A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Simplifies study of multivariate shortfall risk measures.
Solves utility maximization for delayed informed investors.
We present an optimal investment theorem for a currency exchange model with random and possibly discontinuous proportional transaction costs. The investor's preferences are represented by a multivariate utility function, allowing for simultaneous consumption of any prescribed selection of the currencies at a given term…
Paper proposes a new method to evaluate joint risk under uncertainty.
A Systemic Optimal Risk Transfer Equilibrium (SORTE) was introduced in: "Systemic optimal risk transfer equilibrium", Mathematics and Financial Economics (2021), for the analysis of the equilibrium among financial institutions or in insurance-reinsurance markets. A SORTE conjugates the classical Bühlmann's notion of a …
In this paper, we solve the arms exponential exploding issue in multivariate Multi-Armed Bandit (Multivariate-MAB) problem when the arm dimension hierarchy is considered. We propose a framework called path planning (TS-PP) which utilizes decision graph/trees to model arm reward success rate with m-way dimension interac…
Efficient algorithm for global optimization of multivariate Lipschitz functions.
Generative neural networks model multivariate time series data.
The paper analyzes how ESG investors can prioritize green stocks without sacrificing overall wealth.
For incomplete preference relations that are represented by multiple priors and/or multiple -- possibly multivariate -- utility functions, we define a certainty equivalent as well as the utility buy and sell prices and indifference price bounds as set-valued functions of the claim. Furthermore, we motivate and introduc…
We introduce Contrastive Multivariate Singular Spectrum Analysis, a novel unsupervised method for dimensionality reduction and signal decomposition of time series data. By utilizing an appropriate background dataset, the method transforms a target time series dataset in a way that evinces the sub-signals that are enhan…
Time Series forecasting (univariate and multivariate) is a problem of high complexity due the different patterns that have to be detected in the input, ranging from high to low frequencies ones. In this paper we propose a new model for timeseries prediction that utilizes convolutional layers for feature extraction, a r…
Paper proposes PMformer for better cryptocurrency price forecasting.
New sampling strategy preserves relationships in multivariate scientific data.
Paper extends multivariate rank tests for robust subspace detection.
In this paper, we consider the multivariate Bernoulli distribution as a model to estimate the structure of graphs with binary nodes. This distribution is discussed in the framework of the exponential family, and its statistical properties regarding independence of the nodes are demonstrated. Importantly the model can e…
Paper develops multivariate time series similarity and distance measures.
Bayesian DDR models complex multivariate distributions.
We consider the topic of multivariate regression on manifold-valued output, that is, for a multivariate observation, its output response lies on a manifold. Moreover, we propose a new regression model to deal with the presence of grossly corrupted manifold-valued responses, a bottleneck issue commonly encountered in pr…
Paper presents forecasting models for platelet demand.
We introduce a multivariate stochastic volatility model for asset returns that imposes no restrictions to the structure of the volatility matrix and treats all its elements as functions of latent stochastic processes. When the number of assets is prohibitively large, we propose a factor multivariate stochastic volatili…
Given a set of heterogeneous source datasets with their classifiers, how can we quickly find the most useful source dataset for a specific target task? We address the problem of measuring transferability between source and target datasets, where the source and the target have different feature spaces and distributions.…
Generative moment matching networks (GMMNs) are introduced for generating quasi-random samples from multivariate models with any underlying copula in order to compute estimates under variance reduction. So far, quasi-random sampling for multivariate distributions required a careful design, exploiting specific propertie…
Paper proposes transforming ATN to attack multivariate time series models.
Bayesian method for knot inference in multivariate spline regression.
OFTER predicts multivariate time series online, outperforming baselines.
MTSCI uses diffusion models to impute multivariate time series data with consistency.
Prediction markets show considerable promise for developing flexible mechanisms for machine learning. Here, machine learning markets for multivariate systems are defined, and a utility-based framework is established for their analysis. This differs from the usual approach of defining static betting functions. It is sho…
We consider the problem of predicting several response variables using the same set of explanatory variables. This setting naturally induces a group structure over the coefficient matrix, in which every explanatory variable corresponds to a set of related coefficients. Most of the existing methods that utilize this gro…
New method for multivariate distribution regression using NPT metric.
In this paper we investigate a utility maximization problem with drift uncertainty in a multivariate continuous-time Black-Scholes type financial market which may be incomplete. We impose a constraint on the admissible strategies that prevents a pure bond investment and we include uncertainty by means of ellipsoidal un…
Proposes MinPEN framework for estimating relationships in multivariate models.
MES-LSTM hybrid method improves multivariate time series forecasting and mortality modeling.
Detecting anomalies in multivariate functional data using Bayesian nonparametric methods.
Unified econometric model for portfolio optimization and option valuation.
New method detects bearing faults using multivariate statistical process control.
LUQ-Learning adapts Q-learning for healthcare decisions considering patient preferences.
We explore martingale and convex duality techniques to study optimal investment strategies that maximize expected risk-averse utility from consumption and terminal wealth. We consider a market model with jumps driven by (multivariate) marked point processes and so-called non-linear wealth dynamics which allows to take …
This paper investigates optimal trading strategies in a financial market with multidimensional stock returns where the drift is an unobservable multivariate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. Information about the drift is obtained by observing stock returns and expert opinions. The latter provide unbiased estimates on the cu…
Generalizes underlap coefficient for multivariate group separation.
Investigates optimal investment strategies in financial markets with jumps.
IETNet identifies important channels for MVTS classification.
We utilize copulas to constitute a unified framework for constructing and optimizing variational proposals in hierarchical Bayesian models. For models with continuous and non-Gaussian hidden variables, we propose a semiparametric and automated variational Gaussian copula approach, in which the parametric Gaussian copul…
Paper solves Merton's portfolio problem in a non-Markovian, non-semimartingale model.
We propose a probabilistic model for inferring the multivariate function from multiple areal data sets with various granularities. Here, the areal data are observed not at location points but at regions. Existing regression-based models can only utilize the sufficiently fine-grained auxiliary data sets on the same doma…
Temporal Pattern Mining (TPM) is the problem of mining predictive complex temporal patterns from multivariate time series in a supervised setting. We develop a new method called the Fast Temporal Pattern Mining with Extended Vertical Lists. This method utilizes an extension of the Apriori property which requires a more…
In modeling multivariate time series, it is important to allow time-varying smoothness in the mean and covariance process. In particular, there may be certain time intervals exhibiting rapid changes and others in which changes are slow. If such time-varying smoothness is not accounted for, one can obtain misleading inf…
Accurately learning from user data while providing quantifiable privacy guarantees provides an opportunity to build better ML models while maintaining user trust. This paper presents a formal approach to carrying out privacy preserving text perturbation using the notion of dx-privacy designed to achieve geo-indistingui…