New methods estimate interventional effects with multiple mediators using machine learning.
problem Estimating interventional effects with multiple mediators.
method Flexible machine learning techniques for estimation, with weak convergence results for confidence intervals.
result Closed-form confidence intervals and hypothesis tests for interventional mediation effects.
Method learns causal effects from multiple interventions in presence of unobserved confounders.
problem Disentangling causal effects from sets of interventions in the presence of unobserved confounders.
method Non-linear structural causal models with additive, multivariate Gaussian noise; algorithm that learns causal model parameters by pooling data from different regimes and maximizing combined likelihood.
result Identification proofs demonstrate that causal effects of single interventions can be learned from sets of interventions, even with unobserved confounders.
New method evaluates multiple social disparities using machine learning.
problem Reduction of educational disparities across multiple dimensions.
method Triply-Robust Machine Learning Approach for Causal Decomposition Analysis.
result Simultaneous interventions across multiple domains reduce disparities.
TCFimt forecasts causal effects of multiple interventions from individual data.
problem Estimating causal effects of temporal multi-interventions from individual data.
method TCFimt uses adversarial tasks in seq2seq framework to alleviate bias and contrastive learning to decouple effects.
result TCFimt outperforms state-of-the-art methods in predicting future outcomes and choosing optimal treatments.
New method identifies causal structures with fewer interventions.
problem Discovering causal structures from data.
method Active Intervention Targeting (AIT) method for learning causal DAGs.
result Significantly reduces the number of required interventions.
Estimates joint causal effects using single-variable interventions on nonlinear models.
problem Estimating joint causal effects from single-variable interventions.
method Identifiability result and practical estimator for decomposing causal effects.
result Joint effects can be inferred without joint interventional data for nonlinear additive models.
Estimates effects of multiple interventions with hidden confounders using single-variable interventions.
problem Estimating effects of multiple interventions in the presence of hidden confounders.
method Identifiability under nonlinear structural causal model with additive Gaussian noise; pooling and joint likelihood maximization.
result Proven identifiability and superior performance compared to baseline.
Paper characterizes causal graphs from hard interventions and proposes a learning algorithm.
problem Discovering causal structure from hard interventions and observational data.
method Proposes graphical constraints and a learning algorithm based on do-calculus.
result Characterizes interventional equivalence classes of causal graphs with latent variables.
In this paper, we discuss structure learning of causal networks from multiple data sets obtained by external intervention experiments where we do not know what variables are manipulated. For example, the conditions in these experiments are changed by changing temperature or using drugs, but we do not know what target v…
Develops a personalized reinforcement learning algorithm for dyadic health interventions.
problem Personalizing health interventions for dyadic relationships in mobile health.
method Dyadic Reinforcement Learning (dyadic RL), a Bayesian and hierarchical online algorithm.
result Established a regret bound and demonstrated empirical performance through simulations and real data.
COTA learns abstraction maps from data without complete SCM knowledge.
problem Learning causally consistent representations at different resolutions.
method Multi-marginal Optimal Transport (OT) with do-calculus constraints and interventional cost.
result COTA outperforms non-causal and independent formulations on synthetic and real-world problems.
BaCaDI discovers causal structures from unknown interventions.
problem Inferring causal structures from unknown interventions with limited data.
method Bayesian framework with gradient-based variational inference.
result BaCaDI outperforms related methods in identifying causal structures and intervention targets.
The paper tackles matching a desired mean in causal systems through shift interventions.
problem Matching a desired mean in causal systems.
method Defining Markov equivalence classes, proposing active learning strategies, deriving lower bounds.
result Proposed active learning strategies require fewer interventions than previous approaches, especially for certain graph classes.
DCBO optimizes interventions in evolving causal systems.
problem Optimal interventions in time-varying causal systems.
method Combines sequential decision making, causal inference, and GP emulation.
result DCBO identifies optimal interventions faster than competitors.
Model identifies causal structure from paired observational and interventional data with unknown soft interventions.
problem Identifying causal structure from observational and interventional data with unknown soft interventions.
method Proposes a scalable causal discovery model that aggregates subset-level PDAGs and applies contrastive cross-regime orientation rules.
result The model asymptotically recovers the identifiable PDAG and can orient additional edges compared to non-contrastive subset-restricted methods.
MetaCaDI learns causal graphs and unknown interventions from few data instances.
problem Discovering causal mechanisms in systems with high data costs and unknown interventions.
method MetaCaDI is a Bayesian meta-learning framework that optimizes for rapid adaptation to new intervention targets.
result MetaCaDI significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods in causal graph recovery and intervention target prediction.
New findings show single-treatment effects are unidentifiable in factorial experiments.
problem Identifying the effect of a single intervention in factorial experiments.
method Formalized sufficient conditions for the identifiability of single-treatment effects and developed nonparametric sharp bounds.
result Researchers must justify assumptions for extrapolating single-treatment effects.
New classifiers ensure fairness by adjusting a base classifier's operating characteristics.
problem Ensuring fairness in binary classification with multiple group constraints.
method Intervening directly on a base classifier's operating characteristics using group-wise ROC convex hulls and post-processing.
result Methods satisfy multiple fairness constraints (DP, EO, PP) with minimal interventions and near-oracle accuracy.
New method uses limited labeled data and multiple starts to adapt models across domains.
problem Accurate predictions in target domain with few labeled data.
method Fine-tuning from multiple adaptive starts, extending UDA methods.
result Minimax-optimal target performance with limited labeled target data.
NCoRE learns counterfactual representations for combined treatments.
problem Estimating individual response to multiple simultaneous interventions.
method Neural conditional representation with modulators for cross-treatment interactions.
result NCoRE significantly outperforms existing methods in counterfactual treatment effect estimation.
A new experimental design method for combinatorial interventions reduces complexity and improves accuracy.
problem Efficiently conducting all possible combinatorial interventions with multiple treatments and potential interactions.
method Probabilistic factorial experimental design, applying random combinations of treatments and adapting over multiple rounds.
result Optimal dosage of 1/2 for each treatment yields near-optimal design for estimating any k-way interaction model.
Method identifies unknown intervention targets in structural causal models from diverse data.
problem Identifying unknown intervention targets in structural causal models from heterogeneous data.
method Two-phase approach: first recovers exogenous noises, second matches with endogenous variables.
result Proposed method uniquely identifies intervention targets under causal sufficiency assumption.
New method identifies causal variables from multi-node interventions, expanding on previous single-node approaches.
problem Inferring high-level causal variables from low-level observations under multiple interventions.
method Exploits variance trace of ground truth causal variables and regularizes for sparsity.
result First identifiability result for causal representation learning with multiple node interventions.
New algorithm finds causal parent nodes without graph learning.
problem Finding causal relationships without knowing the graph structure.
method Developed an efficient algorithm using atomic interventions.
result Algorithm optimally performs interventions with sublinear complexity.
Synthetic interventions extend SC method to multiple treatments.
problem Evaluating the impact of multiple treatments in panel data.
method Low-rank tensor factor model for latent factors of treatments.
result Consistent and asymptotically normal estimators for synthetic interventions.
Unobserved confounding is a major hurdle for causal inference from observational data. Confounders---the variables that affect both the causes and the outcome---induce spurious non-causal correlations between the two. Wang & Blei (2018) lower this hurdle with "the blessings of multiple causes," where the correlation st…
This paper tackles causal representation learning from multiple distributions without hard interventions.
problem Recovering latent causal variables and their relations from multiple distributions.
method Develops general solutions for causal representation learning without hard interventions, under sparsity constraints and suitable change conditions.
result Recovering the moralized graph of the underlying directed acyclic graph and latent variables related to the underlying causal model.
Study identifies causal relationships without direct supervision from unknown interventions.
problem Identify causal relationships from unknown interventions without direct supervision.
method General nonparametric setting with multiple datasets from unknown interventions.
result Identify ground truth latents and causal graph up to ambiguities.
Modern longitudinal studies collect feature data at many timepoints, often of the same order of sample size. Such studies are typically affected by {dropout} and positivity violations. We tackle these problems by generalizing effects of recent incremental interventions (which shift propensity scores rather than set tre…
This paper tackles causal interactions in mixtures of DAGs using interventions.
problem Learning causal interactions among variables governed by a mixture of causal systems.
method Establishes necessary and sufficient conditions for intervention size, designs an adaptive algorithm.
result Identifies true edges in a mixture of DAGs using optimal or near-optimal interventions.
Paper models treatment effects by clustering patients with distinct survival characteristics.
problem Estimating treatment efficacy in clinical settings with censored outcomes.
method Latent variable approach to model heterogeneous treatment effects.
result The latent structure can mediate base survival rates and reveal actionable phenotypes.
CausalRegNet generates accurate data for gene perturbation experiments, improving CSL methods.
problem Assessing and selecting causal structure learning methods in gene perturbation experiments.
method CausalRegNet, a multiplicative effect structural causal model, generates accurate observational and interventional data.
result CausalRegNet generates more accurate distributions and scales better than current simulation frameworks.
Review of methods enabling causal predictions under hypothetical interventions.
problem Need for predicting outcomes under hypothetical interventions in decision making.
method Systematic review of methods using causal inference for prediction models.
result Identified 13 methods for causal inference from observational data.
The gold standard for discovering causal relations is by means of experimentation. Over the last decades, alternative methods have been proposed that can infer causal relations between variables from certain statistical patterns in purely observational data. We introduce Joint Causal Inference (JCI), a novel approach t…
COCA refactors training data to identify and erase unsafe concepts in LLMs.
problem Identifying and erasing unsafe concepts in Large Language Models (LLMs) for safety alignment.
method Concept Concentration (COCA) refactors training data with an explicit reasoning process to identify and erase unsafe concepts.
result COCA significantly reduces both in-distribution and out-of-distribution jailbreak success rates while maintaining strong performance on regular tasks.
BayesIMP combines multiple causal graphs to estimate average treatment effects with uncertainty.
problem Uncertainty quantification in causal inference from multiple datasets.
method Bayesian Interventional Mean Processes (BayesIMP) integrating probabilistic integration and kernel mean embeddings.
result Improvements in average treatment effect estimation over state-of-the-art methods.
Empirical Bayes improves causal representation learning across multiple domains.
problem Estimating causal representations from data across multiple domains.
method Developed an EB f-modeling algorithm for linearly-mixed causal representations. result Our method achieves more accurate estimation of causal variables than other methods.
Develops a method to efficiently learn causal DAGs using directed clique trees.
problem Efficiently learning causal DAGs in the presence of large cliques.
method Decomposes DAGs into independently orientable components using directed clique trees and designs a two-phase intervention algorithm.
result Proves that the number of single-node interventions necessary to orient any DAG in an EC is at least the sum of half the size of the largest cliques in each chain component of the essential graph.
MO-CBO optimizes multiple outcomes in causal systems with minimal data.
problem Optimizing multiple outcomes in causal systems with limited data.
method Decomposes MO-CBO into multi-objective optimization tasks and uses relative hypervolume improvement for sequential intervention balancing.
result MO-CBO outperforms traditional multi-objective Bayesian optimization in causal settings.
New method identifies latent variables with causal dependencies from observed data.
problem Identify latent variables with causal relationships from observed data.
method Linear causal disentanglement via higher-order cumulants, with perfect and soft interventions.
result Recovery of parameters via coupled tensor decomposition and polynomial equations.
We study the problem of separating a mixture of distributions, all of which come from interventions on a known causal bayesian network. Given oracle access to marginals of all distributions resulting from interventions on the network, and estimates of marginals from the mixture distribution, we want to recover the mixi…
Meta-learning model predicts intervention effects from uncertain causal graphs.
problem Estimating intervention effects when causal structures are uncertain.
method Model-Averaged Causal Estimation Transformer Neural Process (MACE-TNP) using meta-learning.
result MACE-TNP outperforms Bayesian baselines in predicting intervention distributions.
We consider the problem of learning causal networks with interventions, when each intervention is limited in size under Pearl's Structural Equation Model with independent errors (SEM-IE). The objective is to minimize the number of experiments to discover the causal directions of all the edges in a causal graph. Previou…
Reduces variance in noisy social outcomes to improve policy evaluation and optimization.
problem Improving access to opportunity through personalized treatment decisions.
method Data-driven dimensionality-reduction using reduced rank regression to denoise multiple outcomes.
result Improves estimation error in policy evaluation and optimization, including on real-world data.
This paper tackles CRL for multi-node interventions, achieving identifiability guarantees.
problem CRL under unknown multi-node interventions, focusing on single-node assumptions.
method Establishes identifiability results for general latent causal models under stochastic interventions.
result Identifiability up to ancestors using soft interventions, perfect identifiability using hard interventions.
This work tackles causal graph discovery with stochastic interventions to minimize the number of interventions.
problem Discovering the true causal graph from observational data with limited interventions.
method Proposes a stochastic intervention model and studies verification and search problems with approximation algorithms.
result Provides approximation algorithms with competitive ratios for verification and search problems.
Causal diagrams based on do intervention are useful tools to formalize, process and understand causal relationship among variables. However, the do intervention has controversial interpretation of causal questions for non-manipulable variables, and it also lacks the power to check the conditions related to counterfactu…
Our goal is to identify beneficial interventions from observational data. We consider interventions that are narrowly focused (impacting few covariates) and may be tailored to each individual or globally enacted over a population. For applications where harmful intervention is drastically worse than proposing no change…