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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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48 results for Multiple Play

We study a generalization of the multi-armed bandit problem with multiple plays where there is a cost associated with pulling each arm and the agent has a budget at each time that dictates how much she can expect to spend. We derive an asymptotic regret lower bound for any uniformly efficient algorithm in our setting. …

2016-06-30abs ↗pdf ↗

We study the multi-armed bandit problem with multiple plays and a budget constraint for both the stochastic and the adversarial setting. At each round, exactly KK out of NN possible arms have to be played (with 1KN1\leq K \leq N). In addition to observing the individual rewards for each arm played, the player also lea…

2017-11-16abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm for shareable arms with load-dependent rewards in stochastic bandits.

problem Learning optimal play strategy with shareable finite-capacity arms in stochastic bandits.
method Developed a capacity estimator and online learning algorithm for MP-MAB with shareable arms.
result Regret upper bound matches the lower bound, validating the algorithm's performance.

This paper proposes using a linear function approximator, rather than a deep neural network (DNN), to bias a Monte Carlo tree search (MCTS) player for general games. This is unlikely to match the potential raw playing strength of DNNs, but has advantages in terms of generality, interpretability and resources (time and …

2019-03-21abs ↗pdf ↗

We prove several results on Almgren's multiple valued functions and their links to integral currents. In particular, we give a simple proof of the fact that a Lipschitz multiple valued map naturally defines an integer rectifiable current; we derive explicit formulae for the boundary, the mass and the first variations a…

2013-06-05abs ↗pdf ↗

We study an extension of the classic stochastic multi-armed bandit problem which involves multiple plays and Markovian rewards in the rested bandits setting. In order to tackle this problem we consider an adaptive allocation rule which at each stage combines the information from the sample means of all the arms, with t…

2020-01-30abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we analyze Gresham's Law, in particular, how the rate of inflow or outflow of currencies is affected by the demand elasticity of arbitrage and the difference in face value ratios inside and outside of a country under a bimetallic system. We find that these equations are very similar to those used to descr…

2012-01-17abs ↗pdf ↗

During the development of AlphaGo, its many hyper-parameters were tuned with Bayesian optimization multiple times. This automatic tuning process resulted in substantial improvements in playing strength. For example, prior to the match with Lee Sedol, we tuned the latest AlphaGo agent and this improved its win-rate from…

2018-12-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimizes financial decisions with illiquid assets using Kelly criterion.

problem Determining optimal betting strategies in games with external capital constraints.
method Dynamic programming and WKB approximation for multi-round games; Kelly criterion for single-round games.
result Rational players adjust their risk-taking based on the proportion of their capital locked away.

This paper relaxes the common prior assumption in the public and private information game of Morris and Shin (2000, 2004). For the generalized game, where the agent's prior expectations are heterogenous, it derives a sharp condition for the emergence of unique/multiple equilibria. This condition indicates that unique e…

2013-12-30abs ↗pdf ↗

In a series of papers, including the present one, we give a new, shorter proof of Almgren's partial regularity theorem for area minimizing currents in a Riemannian manifold, with a slight improvement on the regularity assumption for the latter. This note establishes a new a priori estimate on the excess measure of an a…

2013-06-05abs ↗pdf ↗

The banking systems that deal with risk management depend on underlying risk measures. Following the Basel II accord, there are two separate methods by which banks may determine their capital requirement. The Value at Risk measure plays an important role in computing the capital for both approaches. In this paper we an…

2011-11-18abs ↗pdf ↗

This work introduces a method to learn dynamical systems from noisy sensor measurements using multiple shooting.

problem Learning dynamical systems from noisy sensor measurements is challenging due to system instability.
method A scalable method based on multiple shooting.
result Robust learning of latent representations of dynamical systems from noisy measurements.

The classification work [5], [9] left unsettled only those anomalous isoparametric hypersurfaces with four principal curvatures and multiplicity pair {4,5},{6,9}\{4,5\},\{6,9\} or {7,8}\{7,8\} in the sphere. By systematically exploring the ideal theory in commutative algebra in conjunction with the geometry of isoparametric hypers…

2011-04-16abs ↗pdf ↗

BiHRNN predicts inflation by leveraging hierarchical structure and bidirectional RNNs.

problem Accurate inflation forecasting is challenging due to dynamic factors and the layered structure of the Consumer Price Index.
method Bi-directional Hierarchical Recurrent Neural Network (BiHRNN) model that uses bidirectional information flow between levels and informative constraints on RNN parameters.
result BiHRNN significantly outperforms traditional RNN models in forecasting accuracy.

Novel method uses information theory to measure causal influences during transient neural events.

problem Characterizing network interactions during transient neural events.
method Structural Causal Models, Information Theory, Transfer Entropy, Dynamic Causal Strength, Relative Dynamic Causal Strength.
result Introduced a novel measure, relative Dynamic Causal Strength, with theoretical and empirical support.

The study examines how hyperparameters affect prediction discrepancies in machine learning models.

problem Prediction inconsistencies across different machine learning models trained on the same dataset.
method Investigation of six models (Elastic Net, Decision Tree, k-NN, SVM, RF, XGBoost) on 21 benchmark datasets, focusing on key hyperparameters.
result Hyperparameter tuning improves model performance but increases prediction discrepancies, especially in Extreme Gradient Boosting.

Fictitious play is a simple and widely studied adaptive heuristic for playing repeated games. It is well known that fictitious play fails to be Hannan consistent. Several variants of fictitious play including regret matching, generalized regret matching and smooth fictitious play, are known to be Hannan consistent. In …

2016-10-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Factorial moments are convenient tools in nuclear physics to characterize the multiplicity distributions when phase-space resolution (ΔΔ) becomes small. For uncorrelated particle production within ΔΔ, Gaussian statistics holds and factorial moments FqF_q are equal to unity for all orders qq. Correlations between par…

2011-08-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Self-play is an unsupervised training procedure which enables the reinforcement learning agents to explore the environment without requiring any external rewards. We augment the self-play setting by providing an external memory where the agent can store experience from the previous tasks. This enables the agent to come…

2018-05-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimizes mobile notifications for multiple objectives using reinforcement learning.

problem Optimizing mobile notification systems for multiple objectives.
method End-to-end offline reinforcement learning with Double Deep Q-network and Conservative Q-learning.
result Demonstrates improved performance and benefits of the proposed approach.

The Normal Means problem plays a fundamental role in many areas of modern high-dimensional statistics, both in theory and practice. And the Empirical Bayes (EB) approach to solving this problem has been shown to be highly effective, again both in theory and practice. However, almost all EB treatments of the Normal Mean…

2018-12-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved multi-task averaging reduces mean squared error in high-dimensional data.

problem Joint estimation of multiple distributions using independent data sets.
method Exploits similarities between tasks by shrinking naive estimators towards local averages.
result The method provides a significant reduction in mean squared error, especially in high-dimensional spaces.

Kernel methods are among the most popular techniques in machine learning. From a frequentist/discriminative perspective they play a central role in regularization theory as they provide a natural choice for the hypotheses space and the regularization functional through the notion of reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces. F…

2011-06-30abs ↗pdf ↗