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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Multinomial probit model

New conjugate priors improve Bayesian inference for multinomial probit models.

problem Lack of tractable conjugate priors for efficient Bayesian inference in multinomial probit models.
method Unified skew-normal (SUN) distributions as conjugate priors, leading to improved posterior inference and classification.
result Improved computational methods for posterior inference and classification, especially in high dimensions.

This article proposes Multinomial Probit Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (MPBART) as a multinomial probit extension of BART - Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (Chipman et al (2010)). MPBART is flexible to allow inclusion of predictors that describe the observed units as well as the available choice alternatives. T…

2013-09-30abs ↗pdf ↗

The logistic normal distribution has recently been adapted via the transformation of multivariate Gaus- sian variables to model the topical distribution of documents in the presence of correlations among topics. In this paper, we propose a probit normal alternative approach to modelling correlated topical structures. O…

2014-10-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper develops Bayesian inference for discrete-choice mnp models with Gaussian priors.

problem Estimating parameters of discrete-choice multinomial probit models with Gaussian priors.
method Adapts Fasano and Durante's results to a specific mnp model with zero mean and independent Gaussian priors, simplifying posterior distribution parameters and providing a new variational algorithm.
result Simplified expressions for posterior distribution parameters and a novel variational algorithm.

New method for efficient maximum likelihood estimation of pp-generalized probit regression.

problem Efficient estimation of pp-generalized probit regression models.
method Combining sketching techniques with importance subsampling to obtain a coreset.
result Maximum likelihood estimator can be approximated efficiently up to a factor of (1+ε)(1+\varepsilon) on large data.

Binary classification models get more efficient predictive probabilities.

problem Computing predictive probabilities in Bayesian probit models is computationally challenging.
method Use of expectation propagation (EP) to find a closed-form expression for predictive probabilities.
result Closed-form predictive probabilities improve over existing methods.

Probit Monotone BART estimates binary outcomes using monotonic functions.

problem Estimating conditional mean functions for binary outcomes with monotonicity constraints.
method Proposes a new BART variant that incorporates monotonicity constraints for binary outcomes.
result Allows for more precise estimation of monotonic functions in binary outcome models.

Efficient EP algorithm improves smoothing distribution inference in financial models.

problem Computational intractability of smoothing distribution in high dimensions.
method Adapted expectation propagation (EP) algorithms for the unified skew-normal family.
result Accuracy gains in financial illustrations over existing approximate algorithms.

Bayesian methods improve inference for cumulative probit models on large datasets.

problem Challenges in Bayesian inference for large cumulative probit models.
method Proposed scalable algorithms using Variational Bayes and Expectation Propagation.
result Superior computational performance and accuracy compared to MCMC.

EP method speeds up Bayesian probit regression in high dimensions.

problem Computational challenges in high-dimensional Bayesian probit regression.
method Adapting EP approximation to multivariate Gaussian prior and skew-normal distribution.
result EP routine is computationally feasible in high-dimensional settings.

MPVAE learns latent embeddings and label correlations for multi-label classification.

problem Challenging task of predicting multiple targets with label correlations.
method Proposes MPVAE, a novel framework that learns latent embedding spaces and label correlations using a Multivariate Probit model.
result MPVAE outperforms state-of-the-art methods on various application domains and is robust under noisy settings.

The multivariate probit model (MVP) is a popular classic model for studying binary responses of multiple entities. Nevertheless, the computational challenge of learning the MVP model, given that its likelihood involves integrating over a multidimensional constrained space of latent variables, significantly limits its a…

2018-03-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a new tensor factorization model for better link prediction in knowledge graphs.

problem Lack of information in treating missing and non-existing relations equally in tensor factorization models.
method Introduces a binary tensor factorization model with probit link to address the issue.
result Shows improved prediction accuracy and interpretability compared to existing models.

Bayesian method models binary response and covariates for two groups, estimating causal relationships.

problem Estimating causal relationships between binary response and covariates in observational data.
method Gaussian DAG-probit model with MCMC sampling for posterior distribution estimation.
result Validated method on simulated and real datasets, showing value of grouping variable in causality.

An efficient algorithm selects the correct number of latent dimensions in multidimensional probit models.

problem Determining the correct number of latent dimensions in multidimensional probit graded response models.
method Adaptive Bayesian dimension selection framework using cumulative ordered spike-and-slab (COSS) prior and Albert--Chib latent response augmentation.
result The proposed method accurately recovers latent structures and avoids repeated model fitting.

Efficiently models categorical data with low to medium class overlap, improving accuracy over standard distributions.

problem Poor parameter estimates and accuracy in multinomial and Dirichlet multinomial distributions when assumptions are violated.
method Introduces Beta-Liouville multinomial distribution and efficient estimation methods.
result Beta-Liouville multinomial outperforms standard distributions on two out of four datasets.

Learning multiple tasks across heterogeneous domains is a challenging problem since the feature space may not be the same for different tasks. We assume the data in multiple tasks are generated from a latent common domain via sparse domain transforms and propose a latent probit model (LPM) to jointly learn the domain t…

2012-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Linear Mixed Models (LMMs) are important tools in statistical genetics. When used for feature selection, they allow to find a sparse set of genetic traits that best predict a continuous phenotype of interest, while simultaneously correcting for various confounding factors such as age, ethnicity and population structure…

2015-07-16abs ↗pdf ↗

The study examines mixing times of data-augmentation Gibbs samplers for high-dimensional probit regression.

problem Investigating convergence properties of data-augmentation samplers for Bayesian probit regression.
method Using recent results on Gibbs samplers for log-concave targets, the study provides non-asymptotic bounds on mixing times.
result Explicit non-asymptotic bounds on mixing times depend on design matrix and prior precision, holding uniformly over responses.

Improves graph-based active learning for non-Gaussian models.

problem Efficiently selecting data points for labeling in graph-based semi-supervised learning.
method Approximates non-Gaussian distributions, introduces rank-one update and model change acquisition function.
result Enhanced active learning for graph-based SSL under non-Gaussian models.

Probit regression was first proposed by Bliss in 1934 to study mortality rates of insects. Since then, an extensive body of work has analyzed and used probit or related binary regression methods (such as logistic regression) in numerous applications and fields. This paper provides a fresh angle to such well-established…

2018-02-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Novel Bayesian model improves EEG-based BCI character selection.

problem Accurately identifying target-related responses in EEG-based BCIs.
method Probit-link Split-and-merge Gaussian Process (P-SMGP) prior for feature selection.
result Reduces computational complexity and provides interpretable statistical interpretations.

PIANO speeds up multinomial logistic regression solving.

problem Handling large datasets and many classes in logistic regression.
method Parallel iterative algorithm based on Majorization Minimization.
result PIANO converges to a stationary point of Multinomial and Sparse Multinomial Logistic Regression.

To model categorical response variables given their covariates, we propose a permuted and augmented stick-breaking (paSB) construction that one-to-one maps the observed categories to randomly permuted latent sticks. This new construction transforms multinomial regression into regression analysis of stick-specific binar…

2016-12-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficiently identifies important variables in binary outcomes using variational Bayes.

problem Bayesian variable selection for binary outcomes with computational challenges.
method Mean-field variational Bayes approximation with closed-form updates and efficient inference algorithm.
result Successfully identifies important variables and is orders of magnitude faster than MCMC.

Sparse multinomial logistic regression for multiclass classification with feature selection.

problem High-dimensional multiclass classification with a focus on sparse models.
method Penalized maximum likelihood with complexity penalty, feature selection using group Lasso and Slope classifiers.
result Achievement of minimax order in both small and large number of classes regimes.

Beam search improves UQ in LLMs by reducing duplicates and variance.

problem Peaked distributions in multinomial sampling lead to duplicates and high variance in uncertainty estimates.
method Employ beam search to generate candidates for consistency-based UQ, providing a theoretical lower bound and empirical evaluation.
result Beam search achieves smaller error than multinomial sampling, leading to state-of-the-art UQ performance.

Count data take on non-negative integer values and are challenging to properly analyze using standard linear-Gaussian methods such as linear regression and principal components analysis. Generalized linear models enable direct modeling of counts in a regression context using distributions such as the Poisson and negati…

2020-01-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficient RL algorithm for multinomial logistic MDPs with provable guarantees.

problem Model-based RL for episodic MDPs with unknown transition probabilities.
method Upper confidence bound-based algorithm for exploration-exploitation balance.
result Achieves ildeO(dH3T) ilde{O}(d \sqrt{H^3 T}) regret bound for multinomial logistic models.

Log-concavity proven for multinomial likelihoods under specific constraints.

problem Log-concavity of multinomial likelihoods under interval censoring constraints.
method Proved log-concavity by showing M-convex subsets of the discrete simplex.
result Likelihood function is completely log-concave.

The paper proposes an efficient method to scale Bayesian inference for mixed multinomial logit models to very large datasets.

problem Efficiency in Bayesian inference for mixed multinomial logit models on large datasets.
method Amortized Variational Inference with stochastic backpropagation, automatic differentiation, and GPU acceleration.
result The proposed method achieves significant computational speedups over traditional methods for large datasets.

Two algorithms achieve optimal regret with limited adaptivity in multinomial logistic bandits.

problem Achieving optimal regret with limited adaptivity in multinomial logistic bandits.
method Presented two algorithms, B-MNL-CB and RS-MNL, for batched and rarely-switching paradigms.
result Achieved ildeO(T) ilde{O}(\sqrt{T}) regret with limited adaptivity.

Paper introduces a new text clustering model using Beta-Liouville priors.

problem Clustering short text data.
method Develops a hierarchical mixture model with Beta-Liouville priors for short text clustering.
result The Beta-Liouville distribution offers a more flexible correlation structure for short text clustering.

The paper proves asymptotic normality for multinomial logistic regression on null covariates.

problem Classical asymptotic normality results fail in high-dimensional multinomial logistic models.
method Developed asymptotic normality and chi-square results for multinomial logistic MLE on null covariates.
result Validated new methodology to test feature significance in high-dimensional classification problems.