Improves Gaussian process factor models for multi-population recordings.
problem Cubic runtime scaling with trial length and group number limits application to large-scale recordings.
method Two approximate approaches: inducing variables and frequency domain.
result Achieved orders of magnitude speed-up with minimal statistical performance impact.
Study on stock price formation on trees with multi-population and non-rational agents.
problem Equilibrium price formation for risky stock with multi-population and non-rational agents.
method Combining mean-field game theory with binomial tree framework, proving existence of unique equilibrium, deriving explicit formula for transition probabilities.
result Existence of unique mean-field market-clearing equilibrium with explicit analytic formula for stock price transition probabilities.
Paper assesses how pandemic data impacts mortality models.
problem Impact of pandemic data on mortality projections.
method Calibrated Li & Lee model with transformed weekly data.
result Impact quantified, scenarios generated for future mortality.
The perennial problem of "how many clusters?" remains an issue of substantial interest in data mining and machine learning communities, and becomes particularly salient in large data sets such as populational genomic data where the number of clusters needs to be relatively large and open-ended. This problem gets furthe…
All you need is log
problem Comparing multiple probability distributions
method Characterizing multi-distribution Rényi divergences
result Found a canonical multi-distribution Rényi calculus
A new family of multi-distribution divergences is characterized for fairness and other problems.
problem Comparing more than two probability distributions in a consistent way.
method Characterized a new family of multi-way coincidence divergences.
result The new family of multi-distribution Rényi divergences is necessary and arises from several independent routes.
Study controlled contagion with state-dependent killing, proving a comparison principle.
problem Analyzing controlled McKean--Vlasov contagion with state-dependent killing.
method Proof of a comparison principle using Wasserstein smooth-gauge comparison and killing-jump absorption estimates.
result Established a comparison principle for the two-population killed-particle HJB.
Given samples from a distribution, how many new elements should we expect to find if we continue sampling this distribution? This is an important and actively studied problem, with many applications ranging from unseen species estimation to genomics. We generalize this extrapolation and related unseen estimation proble…
A new method uses Mean Field Games to optimize mixture models of Bernoulli and categorical distributions.
problem Optimizing parameters of finite mixture models of Bernoulli and categorical distributions.
method Mean Field Games theory applied to multi-population systems.
result The Mean Field Games approach provides a method to compute mixture model parameters.
Modeling hidden neurons in SNNs using mesoscopic approximations.
problem Underconstrained problem of modeling unobserved neurons in SNNs.
method Coarse-graining and mean-field approximations to derive neuLVM.
result neuLVM can efficiently model large SNNs and recover connectivity parameters.
This paper studies how relative performance concerns affect stock prices in a tree-like market model.
problem The impact of relative performance concerns on stock prices in a tree-like market model.
method Mean-field equilibrium analysis in a binomial tree framework with exponential utility.
result Existence and uniqueness of market-clearing mean-field equilibrium in both single- and multi-population settings.
Two new models forecast multiple subpopulations' mortality, outperforming existing methods.
problem Modeling mortality patterns and trajectories in related populations.
method Adapted multivariate functional principal component analysis techniques.
result The second proposed model outperforms existing methods in forecast accuracy.
Neural network model improves longevity risk assessment.
problem Systematic mispricing of longevity risk in linear models.
method Hybrid-Lift framework combining Hierarchical LSTM networks and Mean-Bias Correction.
result Hybrid-Lift outperforms Li-Lee framework by 17.40% in Sweden and 12.57% in West Germany.