Study on consistency of ML methods for moving objects in non-stationary environments.
arXiv research
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Optimal weight windows are found by projecting the origin onto a convex polytope.
Five simple soft sensor methodologies with two update conditions were compared on two experimentally-obtained datasets and one simulated dataset. The soft sensors investigated were moving window partial least squares regression (and a recursive variant), moving window random forest regression, the mean moving window of…
We show Vector Autoregressive Moving Average models with scalar Moving Average components could be estimated by generalized least square (GLS) for each fixed moving average polynomial. The conditional variance of the GLS model is the concentrated covariant matrix of the moving average process. Under GLS the likelihood …
We propose a method for pricing American options whose pay-off depends on the moving average of the underlying asset price. The method uses a finite dimensional approximation of the infinite-dimensional dynamics of the moving average process based on a truncated Laguerre series expansion. The resulting problem is a fin…
Optimizes prediction error method for time-varying models.
Dynamic trading strategies, in the spirit of trend-following or mean-reversion, represent an only partly understood but lucrative and pervasive area of modern finance. Assuming Gaussian returns and Gaussian dynamic weights or signals, (e.g., linear filters of past returns, such as simple moving averages, exponential we…
The study addresses fitting manifolds in high-dimensional ambient space.
CD converges linearly for MCP/SCAD penalized least squares.
Shear moves connect square-tiled surfaces in quadratic differentials.
This paper presents an automatic approach for selecting optimal meta-models for sensitivity analysis in complex systems.
Gradient descent fails to train two-layer ReLU networks, leading to poor performance.
We present an algorithm for approximating a function defined over a -dimensional manifold utilizing only noisy function values at locations sampled from the manifold with noise. To produce the approximation we do not require any knowledge regarding the manifold other than its dimension . We use the Manifold Movin…
In order to avoid the curse of dimensionality, frequently encountered in Big Data analysis, there was a vast development in the field of linear and nonlinear dimension reduction techniques in recent years. These techniques (sometimes referred to as manifold learning) assume that the scattered input data is lying on a l…
New method corrects least-squares temporal difference for better lambda-return estimation.
Illustrates interleaved learning with Kalman Filter for linear least squares.
We study randomized sketching methods for approximately solving least-squares problem with a general convex constraint. The quality of a least-squares approximation can be assessed in different ways: either in terms of the value of the quadratic objective function (cost approximation), or in terms of some distance meas…
Cross validation residuals are well known for the ordinary least squares model. Here leave-M-out cross validation is extended to generalised least squares. The relationship between cross validation residuals and Cook's distance is demonstrated, in terms of an approximation to the difference in the generalised residual …
We compare the risk of ridge regression to a simple variant of ordinary least squares, in which one simply projects the data onto a finite dimensional subspace (as specified by a Principal Component Analysis) and then performs an ordinary (un-regularized) least squares regression in this subspace. This note shows that …
The paper improves Kaczmarz algorithm with momentum for linear least squares.
New algorithm improves online binary classification with constant time complexity.
Reduced-rank method improves least-squares regression under output regularity.
New moves prove crossing number sum for knots.
Paper uses deep learning to solve PDEs without supervision.
Proposes a partitioned least squares model for feature grouping.
ESNs trained with Tikhonov least squares approximate ergodic dynamical systems in L2(μ) norm.
The telegraph process models a random motion with finite velocity and it is usually proposed as an alternative to diffusion models. The process describes the position of a particle moving on the real line, alternatively with constant velocity or . The changes of direction are governed by an homogeneous Poisso…
The kernel least mean squares (KLMS) algorithm is a computationally efficient nonlinear adaptive filtering method that "kernelizes" the celebrated (linear) least mean squares algorithm. We demonstrate that the least mean squares algorithm is closely related to the Kalman filtering, and thus, the KLMS can be interpreted…
A new algorithm solves nonnegative least squares faster with nonnegative data.
The paper identifies saddlepoints in unsupervised auto-encoding neural nets.
The paper proposes a least squares method for binary compressive sampling with low intrinsic dimension signals.
We propose a new forward-backward stochastic differential equation solver for high-dimensional derivatives pricing problems by combining deep learning solver with least square regression technique widely used in the least square Monte Carlo method for the valuation of American options. Our numerical experiments demonst…
We introduce a novel semi-supervised version of the least squares classifier. This implicitly constrained least squares (ICLS) classifier minimizes the squared loss on the labeled data among the set of parameters implied by all possible labelings of the unlabeled data. Unlike other discriminative semi-supervised method…
The paper analyzes the risk of a least squares estimator under a spike covariance model.
New method speeds up solving L0-regularized least-squares problems.
Least squares estimator fails to achieve optimal risk in bounded distributions, but non-linear predictors can.
Yoshikawa moves were introduced at least quarter-century ago and are still actively used by researchers. For any marked graph diagram we will define its twisted diagram and its mirror cut surface. By using a surface-link group of a mirror cut surface of a twisted diagram we will prove the independence of Yoshikawa eigh…
Sparse linear regression, which entails finding a sparse solution to an underdetermined system of linear equations, can formally be expressed as an -constrained least-squares problem. The Orthogonal Least-Squares (OLS) algorithm sequentially selects the features (i.e., columns of the coefficient matrix) to greedil…
We introduce the implicitly constrained least squares (ICLS) classifier, a novel semi-supervised version of the least squares classifier. This classifier minimizes the squared loss on the labeled data among the set of parameters implied by all possible labelings of the unlabeled data. Unlike other discriminative semi-s…
We prove the statistical consistency of kernel Partial Least Squares Regression applied to a bounded regression learning problem on a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. Partial Least Squares stands out of well-known classical approaches as e.g. Ridge Regression or Principal Components Regression, as it is not defined as…
Randomized matrix compression techniques, such as the Johnson-Lindenstrauss transform, have emerged as an effective and practical way for solving large-scale problems efficiently. With a focus on computational efficiency, however, forsaking solutions quality and accuracy becomes the trade-off. In this paper, we investi…
This book introduces linear models and their theories rigorously.
The ratio of two probability densities can be used for solving various machine learning tasks such as covariate shift adaptation (importance sampling), outlier detection (likelihood-ratio test), and feature selection (mutual information). Recently, several methods of directly estimating the density ratio have been deve…
The least-squares support vector machine is a frequently used kernel method for non-linear regression and classification tasks. Here we discuss several approximation algorithms for the least-squares support vector machine classifier. The proposed methods are based on randomized block kernel matrices, and we show that t…
Efficiently estimates private least squares with linear error growth.
We prove strong consistency and asymptotic normality of least squares estimators for the subcritical Heston model based on continuous time observations. We also present some numerical illustrations of our results.
Improved Least-Squares Monte Carlo with finite-difference ansatz.
We study asymptotic properties of some (essentially conditional least squares) parameter estimators for the subcritical Heston model based on discrete time observations derived from conditional least squares estimators of some modified parameters.