A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
We consider a high dimensional binary classification problem and construct a classification procedure by minimizing the empirical misclassification risk with a penalty on the number of selected features. We derive non-asymptotic probability bounds on the estimated sparsity as well as on the excess misclassification ris…
This research improves PAC-Bayesian bounds for classification tasks using convexified loss.
problem Deriving generalization bounds for classification tasks with non-convex loss functions.
method Shift focus to misclassification excess risk bounds for PAC-Bayesian classification using convex surrogate loss and leveraging PAC-Bayesian relative bounds in expectation.
result Improved PAC-Bayesian bounds for classification tasks with convex surrogate loss.
Binary classification rules based on covariates typically depend on simple loss functions such as zero-one misclassification. Some cases may require more complex loss functions. For example, individual-level monitoring of HIV-infected individuals on antiretroviral therapy (ART) requires periodic assessment of treatment…
We discuss the problem of risk estimation in the classification problem, with specific focus on finding distributions that maximize the confidence intervals of risk estimation. We derived simple analytic approximations for the maximum bias of empirical risk for histogram classifier. We carry out a detailed study on usi…
Study identifies and mitigates causes of image misclassifications in CNN models.
problem Improving model interpretability and accuracy in image classification.
method Trained six CNN architectures on CIFAR-10, used conditional confusion matrices and misclassification networks to identify morphological similarity and non-essential information interference as causes of misclassification. Developed a method to reduce misclassifications by erasing pixels within top 5% saliency map bounding boxes.
result Identified two causes of misclassification: morphological similarity and non-essential information interference, and developed a method to reduce misclassifications caused by the latter.
Proposes a novel SVM model for binary classification with different misclassification costs.
problem Real-world classification problems with varying misclassification costs.
method Incorporates performance constraints in SVM formulation to seek a hyperplane with maximal margin and misclassification rates below given thresholds.
result The proposed model gives users control over misclassification rates in one class at the expense of the other.
Algorithms are increasingly common components of high-impact decision-making, and a growing body of literature on adversarial examples in laboratory settings indicates that standard machine learning models are not robust. This suggests that real-world systems are also susceptible to manipulation or misclassification, w…
Paper decomposes risk into aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties and generates predictive uncertainty measures.
problem Unclear relationships between various predictive uncertainty measures in literature.
method Bayesian estimation to decompose risk into aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties, generating different predictive uncertainty measures.
result Experimental validation confirms usefulness of derived predictive uncertainty measures for detecting out-of-distribution and misclassified instances.
Community detection is a central problem of network data analysis. Given a network, the goal of community detection is to partition the network nodes into a small number of clusters, which could often help reveal interesting structures. The present paper studies community detection in Degree-Corrected Block Models (DCB…
In this work, we propose a PAC-Bayes bound for the generalization risk of the Gibbs classifier in the multi-class classification framework. The novelty of our work is the critical use of the confusion matrix of a classifier as an error measure; this puts our contribution in the line of work aiming at dealing with perfo…
The paper studies binary classification and aims at estimating the underlying regression function which is the conditional expectation of the class labels given the inputs. The regression function is the key component of the Bayes optimal classifier, moreover, besides providing optimal predictions, it can also assess t…
Assessing the predictive accuracy of black box classifiers is challenging in the absence of labeled test datasets. In these scenarios we may need to rely on a human oracle to evaluate individual predictions; presenting the challenge to create query algorithms to guide the search for points that provide the most informa…
We carefully study how well minimizing convex surrogate loss functions, corresponds to minimizing the misclassification error rate for the problem of binary classification with linear predictors. In particular, we show that amongst all convex surrogate losses, the hinge loss gives essentially the best possible bound, o…
As a model for an on-line classification setting we consider a stochastic process (X−n,Y−n)n, the present time-point being denoted by 0, with observables …,X−n,X−n+1,…,X−1,X0 from which the pattern Y0 is to be inferred. So in this classification setting, in addition to the present…
We study the misclassification error for community detection in general heterogeneous stochastic block models (SBM) with noisy or partial label information. We establish a connection between the misclassification rate and the notion of minimum energy on the local neighborhood of the SBM. We develop an optimally weighte…
Optimal subset selection for hypothesis testing with penalties.
problem Optimal subset selection of information sources for hypothesis testing with misclassification penalties.
method Proposes a misclassification penalty framework and studies two variants of subset selection problems under centralized Bayesian learning.
result Proves the submodularity of the objective and constraints of the subset selection problems and establishes performance guarantees for greedy algorithms.
Automated data-driven decision making systems are increasingly being used to assist, or even replace humans in many settings. These systems function by learning from historical decisions, often taken by humans. In order to maximize the utility of these systems (or, classifiers), their training involves minimizing the e…
Despite having excellent performances for a wide variety of tasks, modern neural networks are unable to provide a reliable confidence value allowing to detect misclassifications. This limitation is at the heart of what is known as an adversarial example, where the network provides a wrong prediction associated with a s…
Community detection is a fundamental statistical problem in network data analysis. Many algorithms have been proposed to tackle this problem. Most of these algorithms are not guaranteed to achieve the statistical optimality of the problem, while procedures that achieve information theoretic limits for general parameter…
Deep neural networks are powerful and popular learning models that achieve state-of-the-art pattern recognition performance on many computer vision, speech, and language processing tasks. However, these networks have also been shown susceptible to carefully crafted adversarial perturbations which force misclassificatio…
Imbalanced data with a skewed class distribution are common in many real-world applications. Deep Belief Network (DBN) is a machine learning technique that is effective in classification tasks. However, conventional DBN does not work well for imbalanced data classification because it assumes equal costs for each class.…
We consider high-dimensional binary classification by sparse logistic regression. We propose a model/feature selection procedure based on penalized maximum likelihood with a complexity penalty on the model size and derive the non-asymptotic bounds for the resulting misclassification excess risk. The bounds can be reduc…