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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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168336504672 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Minimum Estimation Error

The study analyzes robustness of estimators in linear models with adversarial errors.

problem Analyzing robustness of estimators in linear models with adversarial errors.
method Develops a general theory for minimum norm interpolating estimators and RERM in linear models without conditions on errors.
result Quantitative bound for the prediction error relating it to Rademacher complexity, norm of minimum norm interpolator of errors, and subdifferential size.

Paper proposes deep neural networks for nonparametric regression from dependent data.

problem Nonparametric regression from strongly mixing observations.
method Minimum error entropy principle applied to deep neural networks.
result Deep neural networks achieve minimax optimal convergence rates for Gaussian errors.

The study analyzes how covariance estimation errors affect the global minimum-variance portfolio under heavy-tailed distributions.

problem The impact of covariance estimation errors on the global minimum-variance portfolio under heavy-tailed distributions.
method Characterization of covariance-estimation error's effect on GMVP suboptimality, derivation of regret identity and bound, application to heavy-tailed returns.
result The decision geometry of GMVP regret is invariant to a (p-1)-dimensional projection of the error matrix, with invariance to the covariance-scale direction as an exact special case.

LoCoV reduces portfolio optimization errors from sample covariance matrices.

problem Large errors in sample covariance matrix for optimal portfolio weights.
method LoCoV (low dimension covariance voting) algorithm to reduce these errors.
result LoCoV outperforms classical methods in portfolio optimization experiments.

MPF method improves parameter estimation in probabilistic models.

problem Difficulty in fitting probabilistic models due to intractable partition function.
method Minimum Probability Flow (MPF) method for parameter estimation.
result MPF outperforms existing techniques in convergence time and accuracy.

Private minimum Hellinger distance estimators maintain robustness and efficiency while ensuring privacy.

problem Ensuring privacy in robust statistical estimation.
method Derive private minimum Hellinger distance estimators satisfying Hellinger differential privacy.
result Private minimum Hellinger distance estimators retain robustness and efficiency under privacy constraints.

Defines MER for Bayesian learning, a gap between achievable and optimal performance.

problem Analyzing the best performance of Bayesian learning under generative models.
method Two methods for deriving upper bounds for MER: conditional mutual information and minimum estimation error.
result Quantifies the rate at which MER decays to zero with more data and relates it to model richness.

New method estimates minimizer and minimum value of a regression function.

problem Estimating minimizer and minimum value of a regression function from noisy data.
method Projected gradient descent with gradient estimated by regularized local polynomial algorithm, followed by a rate optimal nonparametric procedure.
result Achieves minimax optimal rates of convergence for smooth and strongly convex functions.

Inflating the minimum norm interpolator improves linear regression generalization error.

problem Highly anisotropic covariances and diverging d/nd/n in linear regression.
method Inflating the minimum 2\ell_2 norm interpolator by a constant greater than one.
result Inflating the minimum norm interpolator improves generalization error.

SLS optimizes minimum-volume regions for conditional quantiles, bypassing density estimation.

problem Constructing minimum-volume prediction regions that satisfy conditional coverage.
method Super-level-set regression (SLS) directly optimizes geometric boundaries of conditional level sets.
result SLS optimizes regions directly, capturing complex conditional structures end-to-end.

K-Medoids(KM) is a standard clustering method, used extensively on semi-metric data.Error analyses of KM have traditionally used an in-sample notion of error,which can be far from the true error and suffer from generalization gap. We formalize the true K-Medoid error based on the underlying data distribution.We decompo…

2019-05-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper uses DFL to optimize portfolio risk and outperforms conventional methods.

problem Optimizing portfolio risk and return under uncertainty.
method Decision-focused learning (DFL) to derive global minimum variance portfolio (GMVP).
result DFL-based methods consistently deliver superior decision performance in portfolio optimization.

Statistical analysis of regularization in continual learning tasks.

problem Understanding how regularization affects model performance in sequential learning.
method Derivation of convergence rates, iterative update formula, and optimal hyperparameters for generalized ℓ2-regularization.
result Optimal hyperparameters balance forward and backward knowledge transfer, improving model performance.

The paper examines prediction and estimation risks of ridgeless least squares under general error assumptions.

problem Prediction and estimation risks of ridgeless least squares under realistic error structures.
method Analysis of prediction and estimation risks under general regression error assumptions, including clustered or serial dependence.
result The benefits of overparameterization extend to time series, panel, and grouped data.

We propose a minimum distance estimation method for robust regression in sparse high-dimensional settings. The traditional likelihood-based estimators lack resilience against outliers, a critical issue when dealing with high-dimensional noisy data. Our method, Minimum Distance Lasso (MD-Lasso), combines minimum distanc…

2013-07-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Comparing with traditional learning criteria, such as mean square error (MSE), the minimum error entropy (MEE) criterion is superior in nonlinear and non-Gaussian signal processing and machine learning. The argument of the logarithm in Renyis entropy estimator, called information potential (IP), is a popular MEE cost i…

2017-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Despite the simplicity and intuitive interpretation of Minimum Mean Squared Error (MMSE) estimators, their effectiveness in certain scenarios is questionable. Indeed, minimizing squared errors on average does not provide any form of stability, as the volatility of the estimation error is left unconstrained. When this v…

2019-12-06abs ↗pdf ↗

The only input to attain the portfolio weights of global minimum variance portfolio (GMVP) is the covariance matrix of returns of assets being considered for investment. Since the population covariance matrix is not known, investors use historical data to estimate it. Even though sample covariance matrix is an unbiased…

2020-01-09abs ↗pdf ↗

The Rasch model is widely used for item response analysis in applications ranging from recommender systems to psychology, education, and finance. While a number of estimators have been proposed for the Rasch model over the last decades, the available analytical performance guarantees are mostly asymptotic. This paper p…

2018-06-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Study minimax off-policy evaluation in multi-armed bandits with known and unknown behavior policies.

problem Evaluate policies in multi-armed bandits with unknown behavior policies.
method Develop minimax rate-optimal procedures for known and unknown behavior policies, including the Switch estimator and Chebyshev polynomial-based estimator.
result Plug-in estimator achieves optimal competitive ratio up to a logarithmic factor when behavior policy is unknown.

Paper introduces a new method for error estimation in classification tasks with limited data.

problem Challenges in designing accurate classifiers and evaluating their performance with limited training data.
method Introduces a novel Bayesian MMSE estimator for optimal Bayesian transfer learning (OBTL) using Monte Carlo importance sampling.
result Proposed OBTL error estimation scheme outperforms standard methods, especially in small-sample settings.

We break dimension dependence in sparse distribution estimation with communication constraints.

problem Estimating sparse distributions with limited communication.
method Novel localization schemes and tree-based estimation.
result Achieve dimension-free convergence rate independent of dimension dd.

New proof shows how to identify DAGs with weakly increasing errors.

problem Identifying the true DAG in models with weakly increasing error variances.
method Minimum-trace DAG method and hill climbing algorithm with R2R neighborhood.
result Hill climbing algorithm without strict local optima under weakly increasing error variances.

In this paper we study the consistency of an empirical minimum error entropy (MEE) algorithm in a regression setting. We introduce two types of consistency. The error entropy consistency, which requires the error entropy of the learned function to approximate the minimum error entropy, is shown to be always true if the…

2014-12-17abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the minimum error entropy (MEE) criterion and an empirical risk minimization learning algorithm in a regression setting. A learning theory approach is presented for this MEE algorithm and explicit error bounds are provided in terms of the approximation ability and capacity of the involved hypothesis space w…

2012-08-03abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithms improve robust estimation in contaminated Gaussian models.

problem Simultaneous estimation of location and variance matrix in contaminated Gaussian models.
method Tractable adversarial algorithms with spline discriminators for robust estimation.
result Achieve minimax optimal rates or near-optimal rates under Huber's contamination model.

Study robust distribution estimation with Wasserstein distance, achieving optimal risk.

problem Robust distribution estimation under adversarial corruption.
method Combining partial OT and minimum distance estimation, proving structural properties and deriving a novel dual form.
result Achieves minimax-optimal robust estimation risk in many settings.

Study uses DNN to accurately estimate daily ET o in various climates.

problem Precise estimation of reference evapotranspiration (ET o ) for irrigation and water management.
method Investigated artificial neural network (ANN) and deep neural network (DNN) models using six meteorological inputs.
result DNN models, especially P-DNN-SeLU, achieve high accuracy in daily ET o estimation.

In value-based reinforcement learning methods such as deep Q-learning, function approximation errors are known to lead to overestimated value estimates and suboptimal policies. We show that this problem persists in an actor-critic setting and propose novel mechanisms to minimize its effects on both the actor and the cr…

2018-02-26abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we present a deep learning (DL) algorithm for channel estimation in communication systems. We consider the time-frequency response of a fast fading communication channel as a two-dimensional image. The aim is to find the unknown values of the channel response using some known values at the pilot location…

2018-10-13abs ↗pdf ↗

We study least squares linear regression over NN uncorrelated Gaussian features that are selected in order of decreasing variance. When the number of selected features pp is at most the sample size nn, the estimator under consideration coincides with the principal component regression estimator; when p>np>n, the esti…

2019-06-04abs ↗pdf ↗

The minimum error entropy (MEE) criterion has been verified as a powerful approach for non-Gaussian signal processing and robust machine learning. However, the implementation of MEE on robust classification is rather a vacancy in the literature. The original MEE only focuses on minimizing the Renyi's quadratic entropy …

2019-09-06abs ↗pdf ↗