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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Minimax Probability Machine

Develops a new minimax probability machine for imbalanced classification tasks.

problem Imbalanced classification tasks with non-decomposable performance measures.
method Derives an equivalent form of the MPMF model for solving linear and nonlinear classifiers.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the new model on real-world datasets.

The Wasserstein metric is an important measure of distance between probability distributions, with applications in machine learning, statistics, probability theory, and data analysis. This paper provides upper and lower bounds on statistical minimax rates for the problem of estimating a probability distribution under W…

2018-02-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficient learning of minimax risk classifiers in high dimensions.

problem Efficient learning of classifiers in high-dimensional data.
method Iterative algorithm leveraging constraint generation methods for minimax risk classifiers.
result The algorithm provides efficient learning and feature selection in high-dimensional scenarios.

Deep neural networks enjoy a powerful representation and have proven effective in a number of applications. However, recent advances show that deep neural networks are vulnerable to adversarial attacks incurred by the so-called adversarial examples. Although the adversarial example is only slightly different from the i…

2019-11-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Given a task of predicting YY from XX, a loss function LL, and a set of probability distributions ΓΓ on (X,Y)(X,Y), what is the optimal decision rule minimizing the worst-case expected loss over ΓΓ? In this paper, we address this question by introducing a generalization of the principle of maximum entropy. Applying t…

2016-06-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Study minimax regret in sequential probability assignment with and without side information.

problem Minimax regret analysis in sequential probability assignment.
method Upper and lower bounds on minimax regret using square-root entropy.
result Lower bound matches upper bound for Donsker classes, up to log factors.

New bounds on minimax regret for sequential probability assignment using logarithmic loss.

problem Minimizing regret in sequential probability assignment against arbitrary experts.
method Using self-concordance property of logarithmic loss to derive tight bounds.
result Tight bounds on minimax regret for various expert classes.

Paper improves risk bounds for nonconvex-strongly-concave minimax problems.

problem Achieving sharper risk bounds for nonconvex-strongly-concave minimax problems.
method Using uniform localized convergence to derive high probability generalization error bounds.
result Derives n times faster excess primal risk bounds for popular algorithms.

We study the minimax optimal rate for estimating the Wasserstein-11 metric between two unknown probability measures based on nn i.i.d. empirical samples from them. We show that estimating the Wasserstein metric itself between probability measures, is not significantly easier than estimating the probability measures u…

2019-08-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper solves DRO for continuous distributions with iterative algorithms.

problem Distributionally robust optimization with continuous worst-case distributions.
method Iterative algorithm for global convergence, leveraging Brenier's theorem and JKO scheme.
result Achieves global convergence under mild assumptions for minimax problems.

Develops high-probability minimax quantile bounds for statistical problems.

problem Statistical procedures often lose information about tail behavior when reduced to expectations.
method Introduces minimax quantiles, develops high-probability variants of minimax methods, and converts risk lower bounds to quantile lower bounds.
result Obtains high-probability minimax quantile lower bounds for various statistical problems.

New method for sequential probability assignment reduces regret using contextual Shtarkov sums.

problem Minimizing regret in sequential probability assignment with arbitrary hypothesis classes.
method Introducing contextual Shtarkov sum and contextual Normalized Maximum Likelihood (cNML) algorithm.
result The contextual Shtarkov sum characterizes minimax regret and provides a minimax optimal strategy.

Improved bounds for discrete probability distribution estimation under the ℓ∞ norm.

problem Estimating discrete probability distributions under the ℓ∞ norm with improved bounds.
method Minimax bounds in expectation and high-probability tail bounds.
result Resolved open questions posed in Kontorovich and Painsky (JMLR, 2025), including a fully empirical tightest risk bound and identifying the worst-case extremal distribution.

T-Cal tests model calibration with a minimax optimal test.

problem Detecting mis-calibration of predictive models using a finite validation dataset.
method T-Cal is a minimax optimal test for calibration based on a debiased plug-in estimator of the 2\ell_2-Expected Calibration Error (ECE).
result T-Cal is a practical tool for testing the calibration of probabilistic classification methods.

Study minimax rates for density estimation under Huber contamination and Besov IPM losses.

problem Minimax convergence rates of nonparametric density estimation under Huber contamination model with outliers.
method Re-scaled thresholding wavelet series estimator and GAN architectures.
result Achieves minimax optimal convergence rates under Besov IPM losses.

The paper analyzes kernel classifiers' performance in Sobolev spaces and proves their optimality.

problem Theoretical analysis of kernel classifiers' performance in Sobolev spaces.
method Deriving upper and lower bounds on classification excess risk using kernel regression theory and estimating interpolation smoothness.
result The proposed kernel classifier is optimal in Sobolev spaces, with theoretical bounds confirmed by real data.

Wavelet-based online learning adapts to noisy Besov spaces with high probability.

problem Minimizing integrated squared error in Besov spaces with noisy observations.
method Adaptive wavelet-based online learning algorithm that dynamically adjusts to gradient noise.
result Achieves minimax-optimal integrated squared error with high probability.

This paper analyzes how machine learning models resist adversarial attacks in nonparametric regression.

problem Adversarial attacks on machine learning models in nonparametric regression.
method Theoretical analysis of minimax rates of convergence under adversarial sup-norm.
result The minimax rate under adversarial attacks is the sum of two terms: standard rate and deviation of true function.

The paper develops a new algorithm for constructing minimax estimators using online learning techniques.

problem Designing minimax estimators for probability distribution parameters.
method Viewing the problem as a zero-sum game and using online learning with non-convex losses to find a Nash equilibrium.
result The algorithm constructs both a minimax estimator and a least favorable prior.

A wide variety of machine learning algorithms such as support vector machine (SVM), minimax probability machine (MPM), and Fisher discriminant analysis (FDA), exist for binary classification. The purpose of this paper is to provide a unified classification model that includes the above models through a robust optimizat…

2012-06-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper investigates optimal transport map estimation in infinite-dimensional spaces.

problem Estimating optimal transport maps in infinite-dimensional spaces is challenging.
method Characterizes γγ-smoothness for optimal transport maps and develops a polynomial-rate estimator.
result Shows polynomial-order minimax risk for optimal transport map estimation.

Study on optimal rates for sequential probability assignment using smoothed analysis.

problem Optimal rates for sequential probability assignment under smoothed adversaries.
method General-purpose reduction from minimax rates to transductive learning, development of an efficient algorithm using MLE oracle.
result Optimal (logarithmic) fast rates for parametric and finite VC dimension classes, sublinear regret for general classes.

Sharp bounds for high-probability estimation of discrete distributions.

problem Estimating discrete distributions with high probability under χ2χ^2-divergence.
method Sharp upper and lower bounds for the classical Laplace estimator, and characterization of minimax high-probability risk for any estimator.
result Sharp bounds for high-probability estimation of discrete distributions can be achieved through a simple smoothing strategy.

New bounds for LDP with heterogeneous privacy levels guaranteeing high probability of accuracy.

problem Statistical estimation under LDP with users having varying privacy levels.
method Developed finite sample upper bounds in ℓ_2-norm with high probability, complemented by lower bounds.
result Optimal guarantees for heterogeneous LDP in terms of probability and constants.

Bayesian approach to robust risk measures under model uncertainty.

problem Representing robust risk measures as a single probability measure.
method Introducing two types of risk measures and analyzing their relation to robust risk measures.
result Robust risk measures can be represented by a mixture probability measure, a Bayesian approach.

We consider the problem of comparing probability densities between two groups. A new probabilistic tensor product smoothing spline framework is developed to model the joint density of two variables. Under such a framework, the probability density comparison is equivalent to testing the presence/absence of interactions.…

2019-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper optimizes distribution estimation with high probability in Kullback-Leibler divergence.

problem Estimating discrete distributions with high probability in Kullback-Leibler divergence.
method Uses online learning techniques for novel estimator construction via online-to-batch conversion.
result Optimal rate of estimation is pinned down up to a doubly logarithmic factor of K.

The paper addresses learner privacy in convex optimization with feedback.

problem Privacy risks from eavesdropping adversaries observing learner's queries.
method Optimally obfuscating learner's queries to make their learned optimal value hard to estimate.
result Query complexity overhead is additive in LL in the minimax formulation, multiplicative in LL in the Bayesian formulation.

Improved matrix completion for non-uniformly sampled data.

problem Estimating unobserved entries in a matrix with varying sampling probabilities.
method Developed entry-specific bounds for low-rank matrix completion under structured non-uniform sampling.
result Error bounds for each entry match minimax lower bounds under certain conditions.

We study high-dimensional asymptotic performance limits of binary supervised classification problems where the class conditional densities are Gaussian with unknown means and covariances and the number of signal dimensions scales faster than the number of labeled training samples. We show that the Bayes error, namely t…

2013-01-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Study minimax off-policy evaluation in multi-armed bandits with known and unknown behavior policies.

problem Evaluate policies in multi-armed bandits with unknown behavior policies.
method Develop minimax rate-optimal procedures for known and unknown behavior policies, including the Switch estimator and Chebyshev polynomial-based estimator.
result Plug-in estimator achieves optimal competitive ratio up to a logarithmic factor when behavior policy is unknown.

The paper analyzes kNN density estimation's convergence rates under different conditions.

problem Analyzing convergence rates of kNN density estimation under bounded and unbounded support conditions.
method Examined two cases: bounded support with known and unknown support sets, and unbounded support with smooth density function.
result kNN density estimation is minimax optimal under certain conditions and better than kernel density estimation in some cases.

Many tasks in modern machine learning can be formulated as finding equilibria in \emph{sequential} games. In particular, two-player zero-sum sequential games, also known as minimax optimization, have received growing interest. It is tempting to apply gradient descent to solve minimax optimization given its popularity a…

2019-10-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes an algorithm to solve complex minimax problems efficiently.

problem Stochastic nonconvex-concave minimax problems in various fields.
method Accelerated first-order regularized momentum descent ascent algorithm (FORMDA).
result Achieves best-known complexity bound of ildeO(ε6.5) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(\varepsilon ^{-6.5}) for single-loop algorithms.

This work establishes near-minimax optimal guarantees for ODE-based samplers under mild assumptions.

problem Develop rigorous statistical guarantees for ODE-based samplers in generative modeling.
method Proposes a smooth regularized score estimator and refined convergence analysis.
result Achieves minimax rate in total variation distance for ODE-based samplers under mild assumptions.

Optimal testing for densities under local differential privacy constraints.

problem Testing goodness-of-fit for densities under privacy constraints.
method Estimation of quadratic distance and minimax separation rates.
result First minimax optimal test under local differential privacy constraints.

This paper tackles convex-submodular minimax problems in mixed continuous-discrete domains.

problem Convex-submodular minimax problems in mixed continuous-discrete domains.
method Introduces new notions of optimality and proposes iterative algorithms combining discrete and continuous optimization.
result Characterizes convergence rates, computational complexity, and quality of solutions for convex and monotone-submodular minimax problems.