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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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133266399532 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Medical prediction

Develops a two-stage conformal prediction method for Parkinson's disease medication needs.

problem Heterogeneous disease progression and treatment response in Parkinson's Disease.
method Two-stage conformal prediction framework with statistical guarantees.
result Quantifies uncertainty in medication needs predictions, improving clinical trust and quality of life.

Enhances medical code predictions for multi-morbidity patients using text classification.

problem Improving accuracy in predicting medical codes for patients with multiple illnesses.
method Used machine learning techniques, including multi-label medical text classification, to enhance predictions.
result High dimensional embeddings pre-trained on health data significantly improve multi-label classification performance.

CASCADE improves uncertainty communication in Parkinson's disease medication management.

problem Uncertainty in clinical decision-making for Parkinson's disease patients.
method CASCADE uses a novel conformal prediction framework to adaptively scale prediction intervals based on classification uncertainty.
result CASCADE produces more efficient and robust prediction intervals for Parkinson's disease patients.

The paper presents a novel approach, based on deep learning, for diagnosis of Parkinson's disease through medical imaging. The approach includes analysis and use of the knowledge extracted by Deep Convolutional and Recurrent Neural Networks (DNNs) when trained with medical images, such as Magnetic Resonance Images and …

2019-11-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Representation learning (RL) plays an important role in extracting proper representations from complex medical data for various analyzing tasks, such as patient grouping, clinical endpoint prediction and medication recommendation. Medical data can be divided into two typical categories, outpatient and inpatient, that h…

2019-04-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Personalized predictive medicine necessitates the modeling of patient illness and care processes, which inherently have long-term temporal dependencies. Healthcare observations, recorded in electronic medical records, are episodic and irregular in time. We introduce DeepCare, an end-to-end deep dynamic neural network t…

2016-02-01abs ↗pdf ↗

LMM predicts healthcare costs and risks with improved accuracy.

problem Wasteful healthcare spending and inefficiencies in risk prediction.
method Generative pre-trained transformer trained on patient event sequences.
result Improves cost prediction by 14.1% and chronic conditions prediction by 1.9%.

HRTPP improves TPP interpretability and accuracy in medical event modeling.

problem Lack of interpretability in TPPs for medical event sequences.
method Hybrid-Rule Temporal Point Processes (HRTPP) integrating temporal logic rules and numerical features.
result HRTPP outperforms state-of-the-art interpretable TPPs in predictive performance and clinical interpretability.

Hierarchical-CPI improves variable importance measurement for medical data.

problem Limited interpretability of complex medical models.
method Hierarchical-CPI measures conditional variable importance with statistical control, handling correlated data.
result Hierarchical-CPI outperforms existing methods in medical datasets.

AI predicts medical specialty diagnostic choices from EHR records.

problem Predicting timely medical specialty diagnostic workups for patients.
method Ensemble of feed-forward neural networks trained on EHR data.
result Significantly higher accuracy compared to traditional checklists.

The paper investigates interpretability techniques for deep learning models in medical data.

problem Understanding the logic behind predictions of black-box models in medical decision-making.
method Applied deep neural networks and random forests to a medical dataset. Used autoencoders and local interpretable models to provide insights.
result Local interpretable models and autoencoders provide meaningful insights into cancer predictions, identifying distinct and non-generalizable features.

Feature engineering remains a major bottleneck when creating predictive systems from electronic medical records. At present, an important missing element is detecting predictive regular clinical motifs from irregular episodic records. We present Deepr (short for Deep record), a new end-to-end deep learning system that …

2016-07-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Enhances uncertainty estimation in medical image segmentation.

problem Frequency-related noise in medical imaging leads to biased uncertainty estimates.
method Extends MC-Dropout to the frequency domain for better uncertainty estimation.
result MC-Frequency Dropout improves calibration and uncertainty in semantic segmentation.

Study on how imprecise medical data affects predictions in hyperthyroidism.

problem Impact of imprecise medical data on prediction results.
method Formulated a model for data imprecisions, generated imprecise samples, defined measures to evaluate impacts, and performed experiments.
result Small imprecisions can lead to large ranges of predicted results, potentially causing mis-labeling and inappropriate actions.

This research improves uncertainty estimation for medical predictions, enhancing model trust and decision support.

problem Improving model uncertainty estimation for rare medical conditions.
method Developed and refined heuristics for selecting uncertainty estimation techniques, distinguishing them by clinical use-case. Also, compared ensembles vs. auto-encoders for detecting out-of-domain examples.
result Auto-encoders outperform ensembles in detecting out-of-domain examples, highlighting their importance for medical tabular data.

Prediction models can harm patients even when accurate, leading to self-fulfilling prophecies.

problem Prediction models can lead to harmful decisions that worsen patient outcomes.
method Formal characterization of harmful prediction models and analysis of their impact.
result Well-calibrated models are ineffective for decision-making as they do not change the data distribution.

We propose a Bayesian model that predicts recovery curves based on information available before the disruptive event. A recovery curve of interest is the quantified sexual function of prostate cancer patients after prostatectomy surgery. We illustrate the utility of our model as a pre-treatment medical decision aid, pr…

2015-04-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Study improves confidence measures in medical imaging pipelines by addressing bias.

problem Bias in metric-based imaging pipelines compromises the efficiency of prediction intervals.
method Formalized symmetric and asymmetric CP formulations, analyzed bias effects, and validated empirically.
result Symmetric intervals are inflated by bias, while asymmetric intervals remain unaffected.

The issue of disagreements amongst human experts is a ubiquitous one in both machine learning and medicine. In medicine, this often corresponds to doctor disagreements on a patient diagnosis. In this work, we show that machine learning models can be trained to give uncertainty scores to data instances that might result…

2018-07-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Study improves CNN medical image segmentation accuracy and reliability.

problem Over-confident predictions and silent failures in out-of-distribution data.
method Multi-task learning and spectral analysis of CNN feature maps.
result Joint multi-task learning models outperform dedicated models and detect OOD data more accurately.

Develops a neural model to predict event occurrence and timing.

problem Standard event time models ignore the distinction between event occurrence probability and predicted time.
method Introduces a conditional event time model using a neural network with a binary stochastic layer.
result Shows superior event occurrence and timing predictions on various datasets.

COMPASS improves uncertainty quantification for medical segmentation metrics.

problem Uncertainty quantification for medical segmentation metrics is crucial for clinical decision-making.
method COMPASS leverages deep neural network inductive biases to generate efficient, metric-based conformal prediction intervals.
result COMPASS produces significantly tighter intervals than traditional conformal prediction methods on medical image segmentation tasks.

Paper introduces conformal prediction for reliable uncertainty quantification in landmark localization.

problem Systematic underestimation of total predictive uncertainty in landmark localization.
method Conformal prediction framework for multi-output regression, generating flexible prediction regions.
result Methods outperform existing approaches in validity and efficiency across 2D and 3D datasets.

This paper describes a time-series-based classification approach to identify similarities between bio-medical-based situations. The proposed approach allows classifying collections of time-series representing bio-medical measurements, i.e., situations, regardless of the type, the length and the quantity of the time-ser…

2013-03-01abs ↗pdf ↗