Study on how imprecise medical data affects predictions in hyperthyroidism.
problem Impact of imprecise medical data on prediction results.
method Formulated a model for data imprecisions, generated imprecise samples, defined measures to evaluate impacts, and performed experiments.
result Small imprecisions can lead to large ranges of predicted results, potentially causing mis-labeling and inappropriate actions.
An imprecise SHAP method explains class probabilities with limited data.
problem Explaining class probabilities with limited training data.
method New approach for computing feature marginal contributions and general approach to interval-valued Shapley values.
result The imprecise SHAP method improves explanation of class probabilities.
Paper introduces novel survival models for handling censored data.
problem Complex data structures and heavy censoring in survival analysis.
method Combines imprecise probability theory with attention mechanisms.
result Proposed models, especially iSurvJ, outperform traditional methods.
Paper introduces imprecise logistic regression for handling uncertain data.
problem Uncertainties in data prevent traditional logistic regression from being applied effectively.
method Develops imprecise logistic regression model using intervals of possible values.
result Clearly expresses epistemic uncertainty in predictions.
Walley's Imprecise Dirichlet Model (IDM) for categorical i.i.d. data extends the classical Dirichlet model to a set of priors. It overcomes several fundamental problems which other approaches to uncertainty suffer from. Yet, to be useful in practice, one needs efficient ways for computing the imprecise=robust sets or i…
The study establishes stability in WMOT, crucial for finance with imprecise data.
problem Stability in weak martingale optimal transport for finance with imprecise data.
method Established stability through rigorous mathematical analysis.
result Stability of WMOT is proven, with applications to VIX futures and Brownian motion.
This work introduces a new metric for comparing imprecise probability models.
problem Quantifying differences between imprecise probability models.
method Integral imprecise probability metric framework based on Choquet integral.
result IIPM enables comparison across different imprecise probability models and quantifies epistemic uncertainty.
Conformal Prediction Regions match Imprecise Highest Density Regions under consonance.
problem Matching conformal prediction regions with highest density regions.
method Using consonance and the Imprecise Probability theory of clouds.
result Imprecise Highest Density Regions are equivalent to Conformal Prediction Regions under consonance.
The paper analyzes when credal sets stabilize under iterative updates in machine learning.
problem When do credal sets stabilize under iterative updates in machine learning?
method Fixed-point theorems for credal set updates.
result The paper provides the first analysis of credal set stability.
In this paper, we consider a new low-quality label learning problem: learning time series detection models from temporally imprecise labels. In this problem, the data consist of a set of input time series, and supervision is provided by a sequence of noisy time stamps corresponding to the occurrence of positive class e…
Study generalizes property elicitation to imprecise probabilities.
problem Minimizing risk over imprecise probability distributions.
method Maximin risk minimization over a set of imprecise probabilities.
result Conditions for elicitability of IP-properties.
We give an overview of two approaches to probability theory where lower and upper probabilities, rather than probabilities, are used: Walley's behavioural theory of imprecise probabilities, and Shafer and Vovk's game-theoretic account of probability. We show that the two theories are more closely related than would be …
This paper explores semi-qualitative probabilistic networks (SQPNs) that combine numeric and qualitative information. We first show that exact inferences with SQPNs are NPPP-Complete. We then show that existing qualitative relations in SQPNs (plus probabilistic logic and imprecise assessments) can be dealt effectively …
We improve Gaussian copula models for imputing mixed data types with precise approximations.
problem Imputing missing values with mixed data types in surveys and medical applications.
method We use randomized quasi-Monte Carlo procedures for direct and arbitrarily precise approximations of model estimation and imputation.
result Our method yields lower errors for model parameters and imputed values compared to existing methods.
Two strategies extend multi-label chaining for imprecise probability estimates.
problem Handling imprecise probability estimates in multi-label classification.
method Adapting multi-label chaining to use convex sets of distributions (credal sets).
result Adapted approaches produce relevant cautiousness on hard-to-predict instances.
New method for discrete-time survival analysis with competing risks.
problem Discrete failure time data in survival analysis.
method Proposes a new estimation procedure for discrete-time survival analysis with competing events.
result Offers advantages over existing procedures and integrates regularized regression methods.
New tools connect CP to GF inference for better probabilistic prediction.
problem Lack of versatility in conformal prediction for quantifying evidence.
method Imprecise probability theory and generalized fiducial inference.
result Establishes a formal connection between CP and GF inference.
Paper improves conformal prediction for imprecise training data.
problem Applying conformal prediction to partially labeled data.
method Generalizes conformal prediction for set-valued training and calibration data.
result Validates the proposed method and shows it outperforms baselines.
An imprecise region is referred to as a geographical area without a clearly-defined boundary in the literature. Previous clustering-based approaches exploit spatial information to find such regions. However, the prior studies suffer from the following two problems: the subjectivity in selecting clustering parameters an…
We consider the problem of estimating the transition rate matrix of a continuous-time Markov chain from a finite-duration realisation of this process. We approach this problem in an imprecise probabilistic framework, using a set of prior distributions on the unknown transition rate matrix. The resulting estimator is a …
Optimizes trading strategy for cointegrated assets with bounded risk.
problem Maximizing profit from cointegrated assets with risk constraints.
method Formulates as convex optimization problem, then generalizes to bounded risk.
result Optimal strategy remains efficiently solvable even with bounded risk.
GPUPoly verifies large neural networks robustly on GPUs.
problem Proving robustness of deep neural networks is crucial but challenging.
method Custom polyhedra algorithms on GPUs.
result GPUPoly can verify 1M neuron networks in 34.5 ms.
We introduce imprecise Markov semigroups to handle uncertainty in Markov processes.
problem Uncertainty in transition probabilities and invariant measures of Markov processes.
method Topology, geometry, and probability techniques to analyze ergodic limits under model uncertainty.
result Uniform long-term bounds collapse asymptotically in certain regimes.
Probabilistic representations, such as Bayesian and Markov networks, are fundamental to much of statistical machine learning. Thus, learning probabilistic representations directly from data is a deep challenge, the main computational bottleneck being inference that is intractable. Tractable learning is a powerful new p…
Scales gradual pattern discovery from imprecise data.
problem Managing large collections of gradual patterns from imprecise data.
method Introduces gradualness thresholds and considers attribute value distribution.
result Eliminates noise patterns, showing a smaller set of meaningful patterns.
We develop a new statistical test for comparing variables with varying scales.
problem Comparing variables with different scales in multidimensional spaces.
method Order based on expectations of random variables, generalized stochastic dominance (GSD) order, regularized statistical test, linear optimization, imprecise probability models.
result Validated through multidimensional data from various fields.
This note corrects conditions in Proposition 3.4 and Theorem 5.2(ii) and comments on imprecisions in Propositions 4.2 and 4.4 in Fissler and Ziegel (2016).
Learning disentangled representations is considered a cornerstone problem in representation learning. Recently, Locatello et al. (2019) demonstrated that unsupervised disentanglement learning without inductive biases is theoretically impossible and that existing inductive biases and unsupervised methods do not allow to…
New method achieves faster calibration without randomization.
problem Calibrating probabilistic forecasts in adversarial settings.
method Using interval forecasts and the power of two choices.
result Achieves O(1/T) calibration error rate without randomization. Representation learning (RL) plays an important role in extracting proper representations from complex medical data for various analyzing tasks, such as patient grouping, clinical endpoint prediction and medication recommendation. Medical data can be divided into two typical categories, outpatient and inpatient, that h…
Paper proposes a new method to handle missing data in medical records using sequential variational autoencoders.
problem Missing data in medical records due to sensor off-times and uneven data collection.
method Sequential variational autoencoders (VAEs) with a new methodology called Shi-VAE.
result Shi-VAE achieves the best performance in terms of both metrics compared to state-of-the-art methods.
New approach for handling uncertain probabilities.
problem Handling imprecise or uncertain probabilities.
method Introducing interval probability measures and updating rules.
result Formal solution to the Keynes-Ramsey controversy.
Improves medication name inference for telemedicine and conversational agents.
problem Challenges in mapping user-friendly medication names to standardized ones.
method Entity-boosted two-tower neural network for ranking SMN to DMP.
result State-of-the-art results achieved with improved attention-based ranking.
IDA adapts to non-iid data in federated learning for medical imaging.
problem Statistical heterogeneity in federated learning data, especially in medical imaging.
method IDA (Inverse Distance Aggregation) is a novel adaptive weighting approach for clients based on meta-information.
result IDA outperforms Federated Averaging in handling unbalanced and non-iid data in federated learning.
The treatment effects of medications play a key role in guiding medical prescriptions. They are usually assessed with randomized controlled trials (RCTs), which are expensive. Recently, large-scale electronic health records (EHRs) have become available, opening up new opportunities for more cost-effective assessments. …
Automatic representation learning of key entities in electronic health record (EHR) data is a critical step for healthcare informatics that turns heterogeneous medical records into structured and actionable information. Here we propose ME2Vec, an algorithmic framework for learning low-dimensional vectors of the most co…
This study applies neural models to automatically recognize medical entities from natural language.
problem Automated recognition of medical entities from natural language is complex and time-consuming.
method Utilizes deep neural sequence models trained on a large dataset of death certificates.
result Deep neural models can efficiently recognize medical entities from natural language.
Enhances medical code predictions for multi-morbidity patients using text classification.
problem Improving accuracy in predicting medical codes for patients with multiple illnesses.
method Used machine learning techniques, including multi-label medical text classification, to enhance predictions.
result High dimensional embeddings pre-trained on health data significantly improve multi-label classification performance.
Quantum-enhanced metrology aims to estimate an unknown parameter such that the precision scales better than the shot-noise bound. Single-shot adaptive quantum-enhanced metrology (AQEM) is a promising approach that uses feedback to tweak the quantum process according to previous measurement outcomes. Techniques and form…
Machine learning constructs problem-based medical records from electronic health records.
problem Difficulty in finding relevant medical information for clinical questions.
method Knowledge base completion using machine learning on electronic health records.
result Automatic construction of problem-based groupings of medications, procedures, and lab tests.
Hierarchical-CPI improves variable importance measurement for medical data.
problem Limited interpretability of complex medical models.
method Hierarchical-CPI measures conditional variable importance with statistical control, handling correlated data.
result Hierarchical-CPI outperforms existing methods in medical datasets.
In the presence of a layer of metaprobabilities (from uncertainty concerning the parameters), the asymptotic tail exponent corresponds to the lowest possible tail exponent regardless of its probability. The problem explains "Black Swan" effects, i.e., why measurements tend to chronically underestimate tail contribution…
This paper reviews deep learning methods for handling irregularly sampled medical time series data.
problem Handling irregularly sampled medical time series data for personalized treatment and precise diagnosis.
method Summarizes and compares deep learning methods categorized by technology and task.
result Achieved good results in data imputation and downstream tasks.
This paper addresses privacy in federated learning for medical imaging by estimating model uncertainty.
problem Privacy concerns in federated learning for medical imaging.
method Federated Learning (FL) for collaborative model training while preserving patient data privacy.
result Accurate uncertainty estimation in federated learning for medical imaging.
Extracting relevant information from medical conversations and providing it to doctors and patients might help in addressing doctor burnout and patient forgetfulness. In this paper, we focus on extracting the Medication Regimen (dosage and frequency for medications) discussed in a medical conversation. We frame the pro…
RL algorithms with medical integration improve personalized treatment recommendations.
problem Developing effective personalized treatment strategies for chronic diseases.
method Integrating medical knowledge into RL algorithms for DTR.
result Enhanced treatment recommendations with increased confidence.
New research finds uncertainty estimation techniques fail to reliably detect abnormal medical cases.
problem Uncertainty estimation does not reliably detect out-of-distribution patients in medical tabular data.
method A series of tests on various uncertainty estimation techniques on real-world medical data.
result Almost all techniques fail to identify out-of-distribution patients, contradicting earlier findings.
With the expeditious advancement of information technologies, health-related data presented unprecedented potentials for medical and health discoveries but at the same time significant challenges for machine learning techniques both in terms of size and complexity. Those challenges include: the structured data with var…