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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,694 papers · 148 categories

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3527031,0551,406 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Mean-Variance Modeling

The paper analyzes optimal investment strategies for life insurance contracts using mean-variance optimization.

problem Optimal portfolio choice for equity holders in life insurance contracts.
method Mean-variance optimization, explicit formulas, Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations, numerical analysis.
result Equity holders increase investment in risky assets during economic downturns.

In the continuous time mean-variance model, we want to minimize the variance (risk) of the investment portfolio with a given mean at terminal time. However, the investor can stop the investment plan at any time before the terminal time. To solve this kind of problem, we consider to minimize the variances of the investm…

2019-12-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Study finds equivalence between MMV and MV preferences with conic constraints.

problem Monotone mean-variance portfolio selection under conic constraints.
method Closed-form solutions for optimal strategies under MMV and MV preferences.
result Optimal strategies coincide with and without the conic constraint.

The paper characterizes optimal dynamic portfolios for a modified mean-variance utility.

problem Optimal dynamic portfolio choice for a modified mean-variance utility.
method Complete characterization under minimal assumptions, no restrictions on asset return moments.
result Maximal MMV utility is linked to the monotone Sharpe ratio, with global squared MSR as the nominal yield.

Paper introduces dynamic strategies for multi-period investment models.

problem Optimizing investment strategies over multiple periods with risk and return considerations.
method Developed a Bellman principle for discrete time multi-period mean-variance models, leading to dynamic optimal strategies and efficient frontiers.
result Dynamic optimal strategies can achieve higher returns with lower risk compared to the 1/n strategy.

To improve the efficient frontier of the classical mean-variance model in continuous time, we propose a varying terminal time mean-variance model with a constraint on the mean value of the portfolio asset, which moves with the varying terminal time. Using the embedding technique from stochastic optimal control in conti…

2019-09-28abs ↗pdf ↗

This note finds closed-form solutions for mean-risk portfolios using a specific type of mixture distribution.

problem Finding optimal portfolios under mean-risk criteria for general distributions.
method Using normal mean-variance mixture (NMVM) distributions, the paper derives closed-form expressions for mean-risk frontiers by optimizing a Markowitz model with adjusted return vectors.
result Closed-form solutions for mean-risk portfolios are found for return vectors following NMVM distributions.

New model optimizes portfolios over multiple periods using predictive control.

problem Optimizing multi-period portfolios with risk and variance objectives.
method Model Predictive Control with Mean-Variance and Risk Parity.
result 30x faster and more robust solutions compared to single period models.

Integrates prediction models into portfolio optimization for better asset allocation.

problem Traditional portfolio optimization ignores prediction models, leading to suboptimal decisions.
method Developed a framework that combines regression prediction with mean-variance optimization, providing analytical solutions and neural-network-based optimization for inequality constraints.
result Demonstrated through simulations that integrating prediction models improves portfolio performance.

Optimal B-robust estimate is constructed for multidimensional parameter in drift coefficient of diffusion type process with small noise. Optimal mean-variance robust (optimal V -robust) trading strategy is find to hedge in mean-variance sense the contingent claim in incomplete financial market with arbitrary informatio…

2008-05-01abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper tackles mean-variance analysis in Bayesian optimization under uncertainty.

problem Optimizing decisions in uncertain environments considering trade-offs between average and variance of risk.
method Developed bounds for mean and variance risk measures in Gaussian Process models and proposed AL algorithms for multi-task, multi-objective, and constrained optimization scenarios.
result Proposed AL algorithms effectively address the mean-variance trade-off in uncertain optimization scenarios.

This paper optimizes portfolio selection by penalizing tracking error, improving Sharpe ratio.

problem Optimizing portfolio allocation with a penalty for deviation from a reference portfolio.
method Formulated as a McKean-Vlasov control problem, provides explicit solutions and asymptotic expansions.
result The penalized portfolio strategy outperforms standard mean-variance and reference portfolios in most cases.

In this paper, we consider the optimal portfolio liquidation problem under the dynamic mean-variance criterion and derive time-consistent solutions in three important models. We give adapted optimal strategies under a reconsidered mean-variance subject at any point in time. We get explicit trading strategies in the bas…

2015-10-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Regularization helps resolve ambiguity in mean-variance models, improving predictive uncertainty quantification.

problem Signal-to-noise ambiguity in overparameterized mean-variance models.
method Statistical field theory framework to explain phase transition.
result Regularization reduces variability and improves predictive uncertainty quantification.

Risk management in dynamic decision problems is a primary concern in many fields, including financial investment, autonomous driving, and healthcare. The mean-variance function is one of the most widely used objective functions in risk management due to its simplicity and interpretability. Existing algorithms for mean-…

2018-09-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Investigates mean-variance portfolio selection in non-Markovian markets.

problem Continuous-time Markowitz mean-variance portfolio selection in fake stationary affine Volterra models.
method Stochastic factor solution to a Riccati BSDE, deriving explicit solutions as multi-dimensional Riccati-Volterra equations.
result Analytical closed-form expressions for optimal portfolio policies and mean-variance efficient frontier.

We study dynamic optimal portfolio allocation for monotone mean--variance preferences in a general semimartingale model. Armed with new results in this area we revisit the work of Cui, Li, Wang and Zhu (2012, MAFI) and fully characterize the circumstances under which one can set aside a non-negative cash flow while sim…

2019-03-16abs ↗pdf ↗

New results on financial equilibria in markets with general semimartingales.

problem Existence and uniqueness of mean-variance equilibria in semimartingale markets.
method Analysis of dynamic mean-variance hedging and fixed-point problems.
result First results allowing for general semimartingales and both discrete and continuous time.

New method for portfolio management learns from past wealth evolution.

problem Optimizing portfolio selection based on past performance.
method Simulated annealing clustering for asset selection, considering past wealth evolution.
result Strategy effectively learns from past performance and performs well in practice.

The paper solves MMV and MV problems with random coefficients and finds shared optimal strategies.

problem Optimal trading strategies with random market coefficients.
method Backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) to find optimal strategies.
result MMV and MV problems share the same optimal portfolio and value under random coefficients.

New model considers wealth and time affecting risk aversion in portfolio selection.

problem Optimal investment strategy and consumption process depend on wealth and future income balance.
method Proposed a new mean-variance-utility framework with time and state-dependent risk aversion, solved using game theory.
result Equilibrium investment and consumption policies derived, aligning with investor behavior.

Proposes a virtual bidding strategy for electricity markets using stochastic control.

problem Optimizing electricity prices in day-ahead and real-time markets.
method Modeling price differences as Brownian motion with meteorological variables, transforming into portfolio management problem.
result Developed a strategy to manage electricity prices efficiently.

The paper proposes a new portfolio optimization model that includes VaR risk measure.

problem Computational hardness of portfolio optimization models with VaR as a risk measure.
method Formulated as a Mixed-Integer Quadratic Programming (MIQP) problem, the model minimizes variance with constraints on expected return and VaR.
result The proposed Mean-Variance-VaR portfolios outperform traditional Mean-Variance and Mean-VaR portfolios in out-of-sample performance.

The multi-armed bandit (MAB) problem is a classical learning task that exemplifies the exploration-exploitation tradeoff. However, standard formulations do not take into account {\em risk}. In online decision making systems, risk is a primary concern. In this regard, the mean-variance risk measure is one of the most co…

2020-02-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a robust equilibrium strategy for mean-variance portfolio selection.

problem Time-inconsistency in mean-variance portfolio selection.
method Introduces a novel definition of robust equilibrium strategy and solves the corresponding PDE system.
result A classical solution to the PDE system implies a robust equilibrium strategy.

Study optimal investment-reinsurance strategy for insurers under random coefficients and jumps.

problem Optimal investment-reinsurance strategy for insurers with random coefficients and jumps.
method Solves backward stochastic differential equations with jumps under a convex cone constraint.
result Optimal strategy and value remain the same even with random coefficients and jumps.

Study introduces a new investment strategy model using lazy factor and probability weights.

problem Optimizing investment strategies in volatile markets with transaction costs.
method Combines Price Portfolio Forecasting and Mean-Variance Models with Transaction Costs, using probability weights as laziness factor coefficients.
result Model demonstrates adaptability and generalizability in transforming investment strategies.

The paper introduces new portfolio rules beyond mean-variance, addressing asymmetry and uncertainty.

problem Optimizing portfolios with asymmetric returns and uncertainty in expected returns.
method Derives allocation rules for asymmetric Laplace distributed returns and random normal expected returns. Addresses singular covariance matrices and uncertainty in returns.
result Optimal worst-case scenario solution provides a convex alternative to risk parity, improving portfolio stability.

This paper considers mean-variance optimization under uncertainty, specifically when one desires a sparsified set of optimal portfolio weights. From the standpoint of a Bayesian investor, our approach produces a small portfolio from many potential assets while acknowledging uncertainty in asset returns and parameter es…

2015-12-08abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the mean-variance hedging problem under partial Information. The underlying asset price process follows a continuous semimartingale and strategies have to be constructed when only part of the information in the market is available. We show that the initial mean variance hedging problem is equivalent to a ne…

2007-03-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Investigates portfolio selection among competitive agents with mean-variance preferences.

problem Optimizing portfolios with multi-agent competition and relative wealth comparison.
method Reformulated as a constrained, non-homogeneous stochastic linear-quadratic control problem; derived optimal feedback strategies; used decoupling techniques and fixed-point theory to solve nonlinear BSDEs.
result Characterized three scenarios based on market and competition parameters: unique Nash equilibrium, no Nash equilibrium, or infinitely many Nash equilibria.

The paper identifies the minimum mean-variance spanning set and its importance in asset evaluation.

problem Estimating the minimum subset of assets that span the efficient frontier.
method Established identification conditions and developed a novel procedure for MSS estimation and inference.
result The MSS estimator accurately covers the true MSS and converges to it at any desired confidence level.

Investigates RI strategies for life insurers with LRD mortality rates.

problem Effect of long-range dependent mortality rates on RI strategies.
method Volterra mortality model, compound Poisson process, open-loop equilibrium mean-variance criterion.
result Explicit equilibrium RI controls derived and uniqueness studied.

This paper optimizes reinsurance contracts with belief differences between insurer and reinsurer.

problem Dynamic reinsurance design with heterogeneous beliefs under mean-variance framework.
method Modeling surplus process, applying partitioned domain optimization, solving HJB system.
result Optimal reinsurance contracts with belief heterogeneity are more complex than standard contracts.

In this paper, we study an insurer's reinsurance-investment problem under a mean-variance criterion. We show that excess-loss is the unique equilibrium reinsurance strategy under a spectrally negative Lévy insurance model when the reinsurance premium is computed according to the expected value premium principle. Furthe…

2017-03-06abs ↗pdf ↗