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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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90180269359 · May 202619922001200920182026
48 results for Mean Opinion Score

RUSLAN is a large Russian speech corpus for text-to-speech.

problem Lack of high-quality annotated Russian speech data for text-to-speech.
method Developed a large annotated Russian speech corpus and trained a neural network for text-to-speech synthesis.
result Synthesized speech quality evaluated with MOS scores: 4.05 for naturalness, 3.78 for intelligibility.

The paper studies how expert opinions improve stock return predictions in a market with a hidden drift.

problem Improving stock return predictions in a market with a hidden Gaussian drift.
method Uses Kalman filter techniques to estimate the hidden drift from noisy expert opinions and stock returns.
result The Kalman filter estimates of the drift converge to the hidden drift as the frequency of expert opinions increases.

The issue of disagreements amongst human experts is a ubiquitous one in both machine learning and medicine. In medicine, this often corresponds to doctor disagreements on a patient diagnosis. In this work, we show that machine learning models can be trained to give uncertainty scores to data instances that might result…

2018-07-04abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper optimizes survey questions to reduce bias and select key tokens for QoE analysis.

problem Reducing bias in user surveys and selecting informative tokens for Quality of Experience analysis.
method Randomized question order and greedy submodular maximization for selecting tokens.
result Randomizing token order can significantly reduce bias, and a subset of 30% tokens captures 94% of the information.

Developers of text-to-speech synthesizers (TTS) often make use of human raters to assess the quality of synthesized speech. We demonstrate that we can model human raters' mean opinion scores (MOS) of synthesized speech using a deep recurrent neural network whose inputs consist solely of a raw waveform. Our best models …

2016-11-28abs ↗pdf ↗

A DL model predicts dynamic uncertain opinions in network data.

problem Predicting uncertain opinions in real-world dynamic network data.
method Integrates Graph Convolutional Network (GCN), Gated Recurrent Units (GRU), and robust statistics.
result Outperforms existing methods in predicting dynamic, uncertain opinions.

Taureau uses Twitter sentiment analysis to predict stock market movement.

problem Predicting stock market movement using public opinion on Twitter.
method Obtained historical tweets, filtered and labeled, generated word embeddings, assessed sentiment scores, correlated with stock price movement, designed and evaluated predictive model.
result Taureau can predict stock price movement from lagged sentiment scores.

The paper optimizes portfolios in a market with hidden drift and random expert opinions.

problem Optimizing portfolios in a market with hidden Gaussian drift and random expert signals.
method Modeling the hidden drift using Kalman filters and solving the utility maximization problem with dynamic programming.
result Derivation of optimal portfolio weights and utility maximization under the given market conditions.

Study examines how social media sentiment impacts biotech stocks.

problem Understanding the impact of social media on biotech stock prices.
method VADER sentiment analysis, ARIMA, and VAR models were used to forecast stock market performance.
result Complex interplay between tweet sentiment and stock market performance was identified.

Unsupervised summarization generates novel reviews reflecting consensus opinions.

problem Creating summaries that reflect subjective information in multiple documents.
method Generative model with hierarchical variational autoencoder, pointer-generator mechanism.
result Model produces fluent and coherent summaries reflecting common opinions.

An increasing number of people are using online social networking services (SNSs), and a significant amount of information related to experiences in consumption is shared in this new media form. Text mining is an emerging technique for mining useful information from the web. We aim at discovering in particular tweets s…

2016-03-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Study subjective perception of low light restored images and develop an unsupervised QA model.

problem Lack of subjective QA for low light restored images and challenges in collecting human opinion scores.
method Create a dataset, conduct subjective QA study, develop self-supervised contrastive learning technique to extract features.
result Unsupervised NR QA model achieves state-of-the-art performance for low light restored images.

Study reveals why polls were inaccurate in 2016 US election.

problem Why opinion polls were inaccurate in 2016 US election.
method Proposes clean sensing framework for optimal parameter estimation from heterogeneous data sources.
result Optimal polling strategy allocates resources based on data quality and quantity.

In an increasingly polarized world, demagogues who reduce complexity down to simple arguments based on emotion are gaining in popularity. Are opinions and online discussions falling into demagoguery? In this work, we aim to provide computational tools to investigate this question and, by doing so, explore the nature an…

2018-02-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper evaluates CRPS for extreme event forecasts, finding it unsuitable.

problem Verifying probabilistic forecasts of extreme events is challenging.
method Formal framework using extreme value theory to assess CRPS as a random variable.
result CRPS is unsuitable for extreme event verification.

The paper introduces a method to incorporate expert opinion on observable quantities into statistical models.

problem Tackling the challenge of integrating expert knowledge on observable quantities into statistical models.
method The approach involves updating a prior belief using a loss function that reflects expert opinion on observable quantities.
result The method allows for a flexible specification of expert opinion and is straightforward to implement.

Study optimal trading strategies with expert signals in a hidden Gaussian drift market.

problem Optimal trading strategies in a financial market with hidden Gaussian drift and expert signals.
method Transformed power utility maximization problem into full information problem using Kalman filter estimates of the drift.
result Closed-form solutions for value function and optimal trading strategy derived.

Opinions and beliefs determine the evolution of social systems. This is of particular interest in finance, as the increasing complexity of financial systems is coupled with information overload. Opinion formation, therefore, is not always the result of optimal information processing. On the contrary, agents are bounded…

2014-08-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper forecasts corporate default risk using Particle MCMC with expert opinions.

problem Predicting corporate default risk in the U.S. market.
method Bayesian approach with Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo (Particle MCMC) algorithm.
result Volatility and mean reversion of hidden factor significantly impact default intensities.

Innovation is among the key factors driving a country's economic and social growth. But what are the factors that make a country innovative? How do they differ across different parts of the world and different stages of development? In this work done in collaboration with the World Economic Forum (WEF), we analyze the …

2016-06-15abs ↗pdf ↗

FinDPO uses preference optimization to improve financial sentiment analysis models.

problem Financial sentiment analysis models often fail to generalize to unseen data.
method FinDPO uses Direct Preference Optimization (DPO) to align LLMs with human preferences.
result FinDPO achieves state-of-the-art performance and maintains positive returns under realistic trading conditions.

Optimal investment strategy with expert opinions in uncertain conditions.

problem Optimizing wealth in a model with unobservable drift and costly expert opinions.
method Embedding into a full information problem, using viscosity solutions and stochastic Perron's method.
result Constructing optimal trading and expert opinion strategies under sufficient regularity conditions.

Crowd opinions in microblogs can predict event outcomes, matching with expert opinions.

problem Utilizing crowd wisdom for event outcome prediction in microblogs.
method Multi-label sentiment classification of tweets to gauge crowd opinion and compare with expert predictions.
result Crowd opinions in microblogs often match with expert opinions, especially in non-debate events.

WaveCycleGAN2 improves speech synthesis quality by reducing aliasing.

problem Human ear can still distinguish synthesized speech from natural speech.
method WaveCycleGAN2 uses generators without down/up-sampling modules and combines discriminators from waveform and acoustic parameter domains.
result WaveCycleGAN2 achieves high-quality speech synthesis with comparable mean opinion scores to natural speech.

Model selection for time series forecasting can be biased by the distribution of scores.

problem Model selection for probabilistic forecasting on time series data.
method Using proper scoring rules to aggregate scores across multiple time series.
result The mean score is immune to the skewness of the score distribution.

The paper develops a method for inferring second opinions from experts using counterfactual inference.

problem Designing efficient decision support systems for second opinions.
method Set invariant Gumbel-Max structural causal model for multiclass classification.
result The proposed model can infer second opinions more accurately than non-causal models.