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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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3747471,1211,494 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Maximum Entropy Markov Model

In this paper, we present a novel and general framework called {\it Maximum Entropy Discrimination Markov Networks} (MaxEnDNet), which integrates the max-margin structured learning and Bayesian-style estimation and combines and extends their merits. Major innovations of this model include: 1) It generalizes the extant …

2009-01-18abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce a Maximum Entropy model able to capture the statistics of melodies in music. The model can be used to generate new melodies that emulate the style of the musical corpus which was used to train it. Instead of using the nn-body interactions of (n1)(n-1)-order Markov models, traditionally used in automatic mus…

2016-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗

This work extends ME-RL using diffusion models to sample optimal policies.

problem Sampling from the optimal policy trajectory distribution in ME-RL.
method Introducing Diffusion-Augmented Markov Decision Processes (DA-MDPs) to minimize reverse KL divergence.
result DA-MDPs enable seamless integration into various ME-RL methods and outperform baselines.

The paper tackles efficient exploration in MDPs to learn accurate models.

problem Efficient exploration in MDPs to learn accurate models.
method Formalizes the problem, introduces an algorithm for εε-accurate model estimation, and proposes a heuristic-based algorithm.
result Heuristic-based algorithm outperforms original algorithm in small sample regime.

We present the mixture-of-parents maximum entropy Markov model (MoP-MEMM), a class of directed graphical models extending MEMMs. The MoP-MEMM allows tractable incorporation of long-range dependencies between nodes by restricting the conditional distribution of each node to be a mixture of distributions given the parent…

2012-06-20abs ↗pdf ↗

We discuss how maximum entropy methods may be applied to the reconstruction of Markov processes underlying empirical time series and compare this approach to usual frequency sampling. It is shown that, at least in low dimension, there exists a subset of the space of stochastic matrices for which the MaxEnt method is mo…

2014-11-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Maximum entropy modeling is a flexible and popular framework for formulating statistical models given partial knowledge. In this paper, rather than the traditional method of optimizing over the continuous density directly, we learn a smooth and invertible transformation that maps a simple distribution to the desired ma…

2017-01-12abs ↗pdf ↗

The scalable calculation of matrix determinants has been a bottleneck to the widespread application of many machine learning methods such as determinantal point processes, Gaussian processes, generalised Markov random fields, graph models and many others. In this work, we estimate log determinants under the framework o…

2017-04-24abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithms accelerate MAP inference in Markov fields with faster convergence.

problem Finding the most likely configuration in discrete-valued Markov random fields.
method Entropy-regularized linear programming with accelerated gradient methods.
result Accelerated algorithms find optimal solutions faster, especially when the LP is tight.

We present a theoretical analysis of Maximum a Posteriori (MAP) sequence estimation for binary symmetric hidden Markov processes. We reduce the MAP estimation to the energy minimization of an appropriately defined Ising spin model, and focus on the performance of MAP as characterized by its accuracy and the number of s…

2009-06-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops statistical framework for resolving reward function ambiguity in inverse reinforcement learning.

problem Non-uniqueness of reward functions in inverse reinforcement learning.
method Entropy regularization combined with least-squares reconstruction of the reward from the soft Bellman residual.
result Least-squares reward function is unique and consistent with the expert policy.

Bayesian models use hyperparameters to indirectly assign priors, and this work shows how these priors can be derived from maximum entropy principles.

problem Understanding the assumptions and dependencies in Bayesian hierarchical models.
method Demonstrates how canonical distributions and maximum entropy principles can be used to derive marginal priors in hierarchical models.
result Marginal priors in hierarchical models derived from maximum entropy principles have different constraints compared to the original priors.

In many settings (e.g., robotics) demonstrations provide a natural way to specify tasks; however, most methods for learning from demonstrations either do not provide guarantees that the artifacts learned for the tasks, such as rewards or policies, can be safely composed and/or do not explicitly capture history dependen…

2019-07-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Modeling maximum drawdown records in capital markets using PDMP.

problem Capturing the statistical properties of maximum drawdown records in financial markets.
method Piecewise Deterministic Markov Process (PDMP) for modeling, statistical analysis of mean and variance, simulation study, parameter estimation techniques.
result Derivation of statistical results including mean and variance of maximum drawdown records.

Study on Bayesian reinforcement learning performance bounds.

problem Achieving optimal performance in model-based Bayesian reinforcement learning.
method Defining minimum Bayesian regret, deriving upper bounds using relative entropy and Wasserstein distance, and applying these to specific MDP cases.
result Upper bounds on minimum Bayesian regret for MDPs, including specific cases like MAB and online optimization with partial feedback.

Paper proposes a policy-search algorithm to learn entropy-maximizing exploration policies in reward-free environments.

problem Reward-free learning in high-dimensional, continuous-control domains.
method Maximum Entropy POLicy optimization (MEPOL) algorithm that maximizes a non-parametric state entropy estimate.
result MEPOL learns a maximum-entropy exploration policy that facilitates learning various reward-based tasks.

We consider the problem of learning from demonstrated trajectories with inverse reinforcement learning (IRL). Motivated by a limitation of the classical maximum entropy model in capturing the structure of the network of states, we propose an IRL model based on a generalized version of the causal entropy maximization pr…

2019-11-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Researchers use Gaussian processes to approximate Lagrange multipliers for Maximum-Entropy distributions.

problem Finding Lagrange multipliers for Maximum-Entropy distributions is computationally challenging.
method Employed Gaussian processes to approximate the Lagrange multipliers as a map of moments. Optimized hyperparameters by maximizing log-likelihood.
result Data-driven Maximum-Entropy closure performs well in approximating non-equilibrium distributions.

Enhances RL by controlling policy stochasticity through trajectory entropy constraints.

problem Non-stationary Q-value estimation and short-sighted entropy tuning in maximum entropy RL.
method Proposes TECRL framework with separate Q-functions for reward and entropy, enforcing a trajectory entropy constraint.
result DSAC-E algorithm achieves higher returns and better stability on OpenAI Gym benchmarks.

New method identifies common cause in causal insufficiency, revealing complex phase transitions.

problem Identifying common cause in causal insufficiency with observed joint probability.
method Generalized maximum likelihood method, closely related to maximum entropy principle.
result Identifies consistent common cause that aligns with the common cause principle.

A new method reduces compounding errors in model-based reinforcement learning.

problem Compounding errors in long horizon predictions from model-based reinforcement learning.
method Maximum Entropy Model Rollouts (MEMR) with non-uniform sampling and prioritized experience replay.
result Significantly reduces computation requirements compared to other model-based methods.

Unified framework for estimating reward functions in competitive games.

problem Estimating unknown reward functions in competitive games.
method Unified framework with entropy regularization for reward function recovery.
result Strong theoretical guarantees and practical effectiveness demonstrated.

New method calibrates reference distributions for bounded support.

problem Lack of principled method for bounded-support statistical reference distributions.
method Formulated maximum entropy on projective space of nonnegative measures.
result Prescribed acceptance region uniquely determines deformation parameter.

The paper presents a method to estimate joint interventional distributions from marginal interventional data.

problem Estimating joint interventional distributions from marginal interventional data.
method The paper extends the Causal Maximum Entropy method to use interventional data and employs Lagrange duality to prove the solution lies in the exponential family.
result The method allows for causal feature selection and inference of joint interventional distributions.

We present a new statistical learning paradigm for Boltzmann machines based on a new inference principle we have proposed: the latent maximum entropy principle (LME). LME is different both from Jaynes maximum entropy principle and from standard maximum likelihood estimation.We demonstrate the LME principle BY deriving …

2012-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

New entropy flow method extends generalization bounds for all Markov algorithms.

problem Understanding generalization error for Markov algorithms.
method Unified framework using continuous-time approximation and modified logarithmic Sobolev inequalities.
result Established new connections between generalization error and ergodic properties of Markov processes.

We discuss the systemic risk implied by the interbank exposures reconstructed with the maximum entropy method. The maximum entropy method severely underestimates the risk of interbank contagion by assuming a fully connected network, while in reality the structure of the interbank network is sparsely connected. Here, we…

2017-03-05abs ↗pdf ↗

MEP-Net uses MEP to generate solutions from limited data.

problem Generating solutions to scientific problems with incomplete information.
method Combines MEP with neural networks to learn complex distributions from moment constraints.
result Demonstrates MEP-Net's effectiveness in modeling biochemical reaction networks and generating complex distributions.

Exponential models of distributions are widely used in machine learning for classiffication and modelling. It is well known that they can be interpreted as maximum entropy models under empirical expectation constraints. In this work, we argue that for classiffication tasks, mutual information is a more suitable informa…

2012-07-11abs ↗pdf ↗

In his 2011 work, Maas has shown that the law of any time-reversible continuous-time Markov chain with finite state space evolves like a gradient flow of the relative entropy with respect to its stationary distribution. In this work we show the converse to the above by showing that if the relative law of a Markov chain…

2014-05-11abs ↗pdf ↗

We study approximations of non-Gaussian stationary processes having long range correlations with microcanonical models. These models are conditioned by the empirical value of an energy vector, evaluated on a single realization. Asymptotic properties of maximum entropy microcanonical and macrocanonical processes and the…

2018-01-06abs ↗pdf ↗

The maximum entropy principle can be used to assign utility values when only partial information is available about the decision maker's preferences. In order to obtain such utility values it is necessary to establish an analogy between probability and utility through the notion of a utility density function. According…

2007-09-05abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper extends entropy maximization to multiscale settings and applies it to neural networks.

problem Achieving optimal risk bounds in neural networks using multiscale entropy.
method Generalizing maximum entropy to multiscale settings and applying it to neural networks.
result The multiscale Gibbs posterior can achieve a smaller excess risk than the single-scale Gibbs posterior in a teacher-student scenario.

A neural network method estimates entropy production from system trajectories.

problem Estimating entropy production from system trajectories without detailed dynamics.
method Developed a neural estimator (NEEP) for entropy production (EP).
result NEEP rigorously proves to provide stochastic EP by optimizing an objective function.