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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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59118176235 · Jun 202019922001200920182026
48 results for Maximum Context

We consider the problem of training probabilistic conditional random fields (CRFs) in the context of a task where performance is measured using a specific loss function. While maximum likelihood is the most common approach to training CRFs, it ignores the inherent structure of the task's loss function. We describe alte…

2011-07-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper presents a method for estimating Hawkes process parameters.

problem Estimating parameters of Hawkes processes with self-excitation or inhibition.
method Maximum likelihood estimation for Hawkes processes with self-excitation or inhibition.
result The proposed estimator provides more accurate estimations in the inhibition context.

Enhances activity recognition in wearable computing with context awareness and uncertainty quantification.

problem Context-dependent activity recognition and unknown contexts in wearable computing.
method Developed the α-{eta} network coupled with uncertainty quantification (UQ) based on maximum entropy.
result Improved accuracy and F-score by 10% through high-level context identification.

Optimal downsampling improves GLM performance in imbalanced classification.

problem Improving GLM performance in imbalanced classification.
method Proposed a pseudo maximum likelihood estimator for optimal downsampling.
result The introduced estimator outperforms existing alternatives in both synthetic and empirical data.

The aim of this paper is to introduce new forms of the weak and Omori-Yau maximum principles for linear operators, notably for trace type operators, and show their usefulness, for instance, in the context of PDE's and in the theory of hypersurfaces. In the final part of the paper we consider a large class of non-linear…

2013-03-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian models use hyperparameters to indirectly assign priors, and this work shows how these priors can be derived from maximum entropy principles.

problem Understanding the assumptions and dependencies in Bayesian hierarchical models.
method Demonstrates how canonical distributions and maximum entropy principles can be used to derive marginal priors in hierarchical models.
result Marginal priors in hierarchical models derived from maximum entropy principles have different constraints compared to the original priors.

Transformers can simulate MLE for Bayesian network sequences.

problem Understanding transformers' capabilities in Bayesian network sequence generation.
method In-context maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) for autoregressive sequence generation.
result A simple transformer model can estimate Bayesian network probabilities and generate new samples.

Algorithm optimizes bandit decisions with changing action sets using Gaussian processes.

problem Optimizing decisions in a bandit problem with time-varying action sets.
method Proposes an algorithm called O'CLOK-UCB using Gaussian processes to handle changing action sets and contexts.
result Achieves regret bound of ildeO(λ(K)KTγKT(tTXt)) ilde{O}(\sqrt{λ^*(K)KTγ_{KT}(\cup_{t\leq T}\mathcal{X}_t)} ) with high probability.

The study compares Bayesian and frequentist approaches in deep learning.

problem Comparing Bayesian and frequentist inference in deep learning.
method Conducts a comparative analysis of point and posterior estimators across various settings.
result Amortized point estimators generally outperform posterior inference, though posterior inference remains competitive in some low-dimensional problems.

Extends Newton's minimal resistance problem to Lorentz-Minkowski space.

problem Minimal resistance in Lorentz-Minkowski space.
method Derived functional energy, determined Euler-Lagrange equation, analyzed maximum principle, found separable and radial solutions.
result Obtained solutions with conical singularities at the origin and analyzed the Single Shock Condition.

The paper uses graph Laplacians and maximum principles to study learning problems on unknown manifolds.

problem Learning problems on unknown manifolds with noise.
method Maximum principle arguments and techniques from partial differential equations and the Calculus of variations.
result Asymptotic consistency guarantees for noise-corrupted, non-parametric regression.

Log-linear models are the popular workhorses of analyzing contingency tables. A log-linear parameterization of an interaction model can be more expressive than a direct parameterization based on probabilities, leading to a powerful way of defining restrictions derived from marginal, conditional and context-specific ind…

2014-09-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper establishes MLE consistency for market microstructure models.

problem Estimating parameters in partially observed diffusion models.
method Tractable sufficient condition for MLE consistency based on stationary distribution.
result Maximum likelihood estimators are consistent for market microstructure parameters.

The paper analyzes how to estimate Gaussian process parameters accurately.

problem Estimating parameters of Gaussian process kernels from noisy data.
method Maximum likelihood estimation of the scale parameter of a Sobolev kernel.
result Maximum likelihood estimation provides significant adaptation against misspecification.

Proposes a new confidence criterion for deep neural networks to predict failures.

problem Predicting failures in deep neural networks.
method Introduces True Class Probability (TCP) as a new confidence criterion and proposes a learning scheme to estimate it.
result The proposed approach consistently outperforms existing methods in failure prediction.

Generalizes bias-variance decomposition for Bregman divergences.

problem No specific problem stated; generalization of bias-variance for Bregman divergences.
method Provided a generalization of the bias-variance decomposition for Bregman divergences.
result A clear, standalone derivation of the bias-variance decomposition for Bregman divergences.

How large can be the width of Riemannian three-spheres of the same volume in the same conformal class? If a maximum value is attained, how does a maximising metric look like? What happens as the conformal class changes? In this paper, we investigate these and other related questions, focusing on the context of Simon-Sm…

2018-09-10abs ↗pdf ↗

New method for sequential probability assignment reduces regret using contextual Shtarkov sums.

problem Minimizing regret in sequential probability assignment with arbitrary hypothesis classes.
method Introducing contextual Shtarkov sum and contextual Normalized Maximum Likelihood (cNML) algorithm.
result The contextual Shtarkov sum characterizes minimax regret and provides a minimax optimal strategy.

Paper derives the maximum entropy characteristics of a rank order distribution for socio-economic applications.

problem Deriving the maximum entropy characteristics of a rank order distribution for socio-economic applications.
method Maximum entropy framework, deriving the discrete generalized beta distribution under a bivariate utility constraint.
result The discrete generalized beta distribution is a natural maximum entropy distribution under an appropriate bivariate utility constraint.

Empowerment quantifies the influence an agent has on its environment. This is formally achieved by the maximum of the expected KL-divergence between the distribution of the successor state conditioned on a specific action and a distribution where the actions are marginalised out. This is a natural candidate for an intr…

2015-09-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper explores Elliptical Wishart distributions in signal processing and machine learning.

problem Estimating parameters of Elliptical Wishart distributions.
method Proposes fixed point and Riemannian optimization algorithms for maximum likelihood estimation.
result Characterizes existence, uniqueness, and convergence of the MLE.

Enhances flexibility in data reweighting with optimal transport and maximum entropy principles.

problem Adapting empirical distributions to predefined constraints on moments, tail behavior, etc.
method Nonparametric distributional constraints, maximum entropy principle, optimal transport.
result Maximum entropy weight adjusted empirical distribution close to a specified distribution in optimal transport metric.

The paper proposes a method to learn and leverage contextual preference distributions for better decision-making.

problem Heterogeneous and context-dependent human preferences in decision-making problems.
method A sequential learning-and-optimization pipeline using a bounded-variance score function gradient estimator to train a predictive model mapping contextual features to preference distributions.
result The approach reduces average post-decision surprise by up to 25 times compared to risk-averse baselines in a ridesharing environment.

Method identifies regions of maximum dissimilarity in stochastic processes.

problem Comparing local characteristics of two random processes to find periods of maximum dissimilarity.
method Bayesian inference with integrated nested Laplace approximation for stochastic processes.
result Identifies regions of maximum dissimilarity with a certain volume.

Modeling preference rankings with salient features to explain irrational choices.

problem Estimating rankings from noisy pairwise comparisons with irrational choices.
method Salient feature preference model with maximum likelihood estimation.
result Strong performance of maximum likelihood estimation on synthetic and real data.

Incorporating feature selection into a classification or regression method often carries a number of advantages. In this paper we formalize feature selection specifically from a discriminative perspective of improving classification/regression accuracy. The feature selection method is developed as an extension to the r…

2013-01-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Generative profiling improves real-time task timing for varied resource contexts.

problem Inaccurate task timing analysis for complex hardware architectures.
method Nonparametric, conditional multi-marginal Schrödinger Bridge (MSB) formulation for synthesizing context-dependent timing profiles.
result Maximum likelihood accurate execution profiles for unseen resource contexts.

EDRBO optimizes Bayesian optimization with continuous contexts using ensemble models and robust methods.

problem Bayesian optimization with unknown and continuous contextual distributions leads to suboptimal results.
method EDRBO uses ensemble surrogate models and Wasserstein ball ambiguity sets to handle uncertainty and maintain computational tractability.
result EDRBO achieves sublinear cumulative regret guarantees of order O(γTT)\mathcal{O}(γ_T \sqrt{T}).

Comparison data arises in many important contexts, e.g. shopping, web clicks, or sports competitions. Typically we are given a dataset of comparisons and wish to train a model to make predictions about the outcome of unseen comparisons. In many cases available datasets have relatively few comparisons (e.g. there are on…

2018-07-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Wasserstein Neural Processes improve traditional NPs by using Wasserstein distance.

problem Traditional NPs fail to learn reasonable distributions for certain problem classes.
method Use approximations of Wasserstein distance to overcome limitations of KL divergence.
result Wasserstein Neural Processes maintain benefits of traditional NPs while approximating new function mappings.

Paper proposes efficient training for normalizing flows in Boltzmann generators.

problem Training normalizing flows for Boltzmann generators is computationally challenging and unstable.
method Regression Training of Normalizing Flows (RegFlow) using 2\ell_2-regression.
result RegFlow enables efficient and stable training of normalizing flows for Boltzmann generators.

New method improves source separation using NMF and adversarial learning.

problem Source separation in single channel data.
method Maximum Discrepancy Generative Regularization applied to NMF.
result Improvement in reconstructed signals, especially in weak supervision scenarios.

The paper argues for interpreting neural networks as approximating the true posterior, enhancing in-context learning.

problem The limitations of traditional MLE interpretation in large-scale, single-epoch training setups.
method Demonstrates the power of interpreting neural networks as approximations of the true posterior, using experiments to predict generalizations.
result Models become robust in-context learners by effectively composing knowledge from their training data, revealing surprising generalizations.

This paper considers the problem of networks reconstruction from heterogeneous data using a Gaussian Graphical Mixture Model (GGMM). It is well known that parameter estimation in this context is challenging due to large numbers of variables coupled with the degeneracy of the likelihood. We propose as a solution a penal…

2013-08-15abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper studies gradient Ricci-Harmonic solitons on warped product manifolds.

problem Characterizing gradient Ricci-Harmonic solitons on warped product manifolds.
method Warped product structure, potential function, warping function, harmonic map analysis.
result Nontrivial examples of warped product gradient Ricci-harmonic solitons are provided.

Research examines how strategic latency manipulation impacts Ethereum's network efficiency and decentralization.

problem Impact of artificial latency on Ethereum's network efficiency and decentralization.
method Comprehensive analysis of MEV-Boost auction system and empirical validation with a pilot.
result Increased profitability for node operators and significant systemic challenges like heightened network inefficiencies and centralization risks.

Two methods improve tensor recovery in Ising models, revealing gene interactions.

problem Improving tensor recovery in Ising models for complex data structures.
method Pseudolikelihood and interaction screening approaches for tensor learning.
result Both methods achieve tensor recovery with sample size logarithmic in nodes, exponential in strength and degree.