MAS scores cluster size consistency from points, robust to label changes.
problem Desired uniformity in cluster sizes, stability under label perturbations.
method Mass Agreement Score (MAS) measures point-centric cluster size consistency, robust to label changes.
result MAS yields similar scores for partitions with similar bulk structure, sensitive to genuine redistribution of cluster mass.
Study finds simple model-agreement scores perform well in various error estimation scenarios.
problem Evaluating model performance on unseen distributions using disparate scoring functions.
method Rigorously studied popular scoring functions (confidence, local manifold smoothness, model agreement) independently of mechanism choice.
result Simple model-agreement scores outperform confidence- and smoothness-based scores in realistic settings with compromised training data.
Solves a 60-year-old question on agreement measures in statistics.
problem The challenge of measuring agreement between two raters or measures.
method Developed a new algorithm to minimize diagonals in contingency tables, formulated the minimum feasible agreement, and studied the lower limit of maximum feasible agreement.
result Formulated the lower limit of Cohen's kappa and two statistics for agreement analysis.
Framework assesses autograders' reliability and biases.
problem Mixed reliability and biases in autograders for LLM evaluation.
method Bayesian GLMs to model evaluation outcomes.
result Explicit quantification of scoring differences and biases.
Compact gravity models yield tiny spin-two field masses.
problem Understanding the mass of spin-two fields in compactified gravity models.
method Relies on Bakry-Émery geometry, Cheeger constant, and synthetic Ricci lower bounds.
result Proves the existence of a spin-two field with very small mass under general assumptions.
A robust conformal method for set estimation using non-conformity scores.
problem Lack of robustness in standard conformal prediction methods for outliers or heavy tails.
method Robust conformal method based on non-conformity score defined as half-mass radius.
result Empirical conformal regions converge to robust population central set.
NDDV estimates data point value from a single stochastic trajectory.
problem Estimating marginal contributions of data points over stochastic training paths.
method Introduces Neural Dynamic Data Valuation (NDDV) using stochastic state and adjoint equations.
result NDDV provides a one-run, trajectory-conditioned estimator of data point value.
The most widely used technology to identify the proteins present in a complex biological sample is tandem mass spectrometry, which quickly produces a large collection of spectra representative of the peptides (i.e., protein subsequences) present in the original sample. In this work, we greatly expand the parameter lear…
New algorithm detects anomalies by forcing samples to displace mass in low-density regions.
problem Detecting anomalies in datasets.
method Mass Repulsing Optimal Transport (MROT) approach.
result Our algorithm improves anomaly detection over existing methods.
Index theorems for the Dirac operator allow one to study spinors on manifolds with boundary and torsion. We analyse the modifications of the boundary Chern-Simons correction and APS eta invariant in the presence of torsion. The bulk contribution must also be modified and is computed using a supersymmetric quantum mecha…
Kernel-smoothed scores improve diffusion models by reducing memorization.
problem Diffusion models can memorize training data, leading to biased samples.
method Interpret empirical score as noisy version of true score, kernel-smoothed.
result Kernel-smoothing reduces variance and improves generalization.
Learning how to rank multivariate unlabeled observations depending on their degree of abnormality/novelty is a crucial problem in a wide range of applications. In practice, it generally consists in building a real valued "scoring" function on the feature space so as to quantify to which extent observations should be co…
New index improves anomaly detection in correlated time series data.
problem Challenges in evaluating cluster quality for anomaly detection.
method Introduced Synchronized Anomaly Agreement Index (SAAI) to assess cluster quality.
result Maximizing SAAI improves anomaly detection accuracy by 0.23 compared to SSC and by 0.32 compared to X-Means.
The present study proposes a deep learning model, named DeepSleepNet, for automatic sleep stage scoring based on raw single-channel EEG. Most of the existing methods rely on hand-engineered features which require prior knowledge of sleep analysis. Only a few of them encode the temporal information such as transition ru…
Knowing when a classifier's prediction can be trusted is useful in many applications and critical for safely using AI. While the bulk of the effort in machine learning research has been towards improving classifier performance, understanding when a classifier's predictions should and should not be trusted has received …
This paper aims at formulating the issue of ranking multivariate unlabeled observations depending on their degree of abnormality as an unsupervised statistical learning task. In the 1-d situation, this problem is usually tackled by means of tail estimation techniques: univariate observations are viewed as all the more …
Proposes GM Score to evaluate GANs considering diversity, disentanglement, and discriminability.
problem Evaluation of GANs for sample quality and diversity.
method Integrates various factors including intra-class and inter-class diversity, disentanglement, and discriminability metrics.
result Demonstrates improved evaluation of GANs on MNIST dataset.
Chemical structure elucidation is a serious bottleneck in analytical chemistry today. We address the problem of identifying an unknown chemical threat given its mass spectrum and its chemical formula, a task which might take well trained chemists several days to complete. Given a chemical formula, there could be over a…
MIRA scores assess conditional distribution accuracy using joint samples.
problem Assessing the accuracy of candidate conditional distributions.
method Analytic expression for Mira score based on equal probability mass regions.
result Mira enables Bayesian model comparison by quantifying alignment with true process.
Unified framework to bridge human and LLM judgments.
problem Systematic discrepancies between human and LLM evaluations.
method Latent human preference score and linear transformations of covariates.
result Higher agreement with human ratings and exposure of systematic gaps.
The paper establishes convergence guarantees for SGMs in 2-Wasserstein distance.
problem Establishing convergence guarantees for SGMs in 2-Wasserstein distance.
method Assuming accurate score estimates and smooth log-concave data distribution, the paper specializes its result to several concrete SGMs with specific forward processes modeled by stochastic differential equations.
result Obtained an upper bound on the iteration complexity for each model and a lower bound for Gaussian data distribution.
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the global leading cause of death. A strong risk factor for CVD events is the amount of coronary artery calcium (CAC). To meet demands of the increasing interest in quantification of CAC, i.e. coronary calcium scoring, especially as an unrequested finding for screening and research, auto…
The limits of the nuclear landscape are determined by nuclear binding energies. Beyond the proton drip lines, where the separation energy becomes negative, there is not enough binding energy to prevent protons from escaping the nucleus. Predicting properties of unstable nuclear states in the vast territory of proton em…
Bayesian active learning improves holistic educational assessments.
problem Gap between holistic CJ and criterion-based rubrics in education.
method Extends Bayesian CJ to handle multiple LO components, using entropy-based active learning.
result Enhanced predictive rankings with uncertainty estimates and quantified assessor agreement.
Training models to prefer certain responses can unintentionally shift probability to harmful ones.
problem Likelihood displacement in DPO models, leading to unintended unalignment.
method Characterized and mitigated likelihood displacement using CHES score.
result Training models to prefer certain responses can unintentionally shift probability mass to harmful responses.
Risk-controlled post-processing optimizes decision policies under risk constraints.
problem Optimizing decision policies with risk constraints for better outcomes.
method Developed a post-processing algorithm that selects a threshold based on fitted fallback policy and score, leveraging tools from algorithmic stability and stochastic processes.
result The post-processed policy achieves precise expected risk control under exchangeability and meets or nearly meets risk budgets while preserving more agreement with the baseline.
Selective prediction framework reduces errors in molecular structure identification from MS/MS.
problem High-stakes applications require reliable molecular structure identification from MS/MS data.
method Selective prediction framework using risk-coverage tradeoff and uncertainty quantification.
result First-order confidence measures and retrieval-level aleatoric uncertainty achieve strong risk-coverage tradeoffs.
New method improves SBI efficiency and scalability.
problem Scalability issues in SBI methods for large datasets.
method Langevin dynamics with score matching, exploiting likelihood structure.
result Structured score network enhances statistical efficiency and scalability.
Convolutional neural network based systems have largely failed to be adopted in many high-risk application areas, including healthcare, military, security, transportation, finance, and legal, due to their highly uninterpretable "black-box" nature. Towards solving this deficiency, we teach a novel multi-task capsule net…
An explicit solution found for maximizing/minimizing agreement in a 2x2 table.
problem Maximizing or minimizing agreement between clusterings with given marginals.
method Formal framework for several agreement measures, explicit solution for 2x2 table.
result An explicit solution for the 2x2 case.
SJDs unify masked, continuous, and hybrid diffusion models.
problem Unified modeling of diffusion processes.
method Continuous-time Markov processes with token embeddings and hazard rates.
result Unified model recovers masked, continuous, and hybrid diffusion as limits.
Electronic health records are an increasingly important resource for understanding the interactions between patient health, environment, and clinical decisions. In this paper we report an empirical study of predictive modeling of several patient outcomes using three state-of-the-art machine learning methods. Our primar…
When might human input help (or not) when assessing risk in fairness domains? Dressel and Farid (2018) asked Mechanical Turk workers to evaluate a subset of defendants in the ProPublica COMPAS data for risk of recidivism, and concluded that COMPAS predictions were no more accurate or fair than predictions made by human…
Early detection of breast cancer has a major contribution to curability, and using mammographic images, this can be achieved non-invasively. Supervised deep learning, the dominant CADe tool currently, has played a great role in object detection in computer vision, but it suffers from a limiting property: the need of a …
Machine-learned anomaly detection in new-physics searches needs calibration and look-elsewhere correction
problem Machine-learned anomaly detection in new-physics searches
method Conformal prediction layer
result Calibrated significance with distribution-free guarantees
New deep learning method validated across multiple sleep staging databases.
problem Improving automatic sleep scoring accuracy across different datasets.
method Ensemble of local models using deep learning for automatic sleep staging.
result Good general performance compared to human experts and state-of-the-art methods.
New method evaluates AI stock prediction systems based on decision-making processes.
problem Lack of evaluation for AI systems' decision-making processes.
method Scores intermediate decision process using large language models and closed-loop reinforcement learning feedback.
result Composite behavioral score correlates with Sharpe ratio and reduces prediction error.
Geometrically, high-likelihood regions in DGMs are unlikely to generate OOD data.
problem The paradox of high-likelihood OOD detection in deep generative models.
method Local intrinsic dimension estimation to identify high-likelihood regions that do not generate OOD data.
result A method pairing likelihoods and LID estimates for reliable OOD detection.
VAE improves anomaly detection for jet tagging at the LHC.
problem Anomaly detection in jet tagging at the LHC.
method Variational Autoencoder (VAE) trained on background QCD jets, with latent space learning for anomaly detection.
result Outlier Exposed VAE (OE-VAE) achieves excellent results in both sensitivity and decorrelation of jet mass.
The zeta and eta-functions associated with massless and massive Dirac operators, in a D-dimensional (D odd or even) manifold without boundary, are rigorously constructed. Several mathematical subtleties involved in this process are stressed, as the intrisic ambiguity present in the definition of the associated fermion …
This work introduces significativity indices for agreement values between classifiers.
problem Evaluating the quality of agreement measures between classifiers.
method Proposes general approach and two specific indices for evaluation.
result Introduces two new significativity indices for evaluating agreement values.
SNAP improves robust computation by emphasizing trustworthy items and downweighting outliers.
problem Improving robustness in computation, especially in high-dimensional settings.
method SNAP assigns weights based on mutual agreement, suppressing outlier contributions.
result SNAP ensures outliers contribute negligibly to computations, even in high-dimensional settings.
C-t3VAE improves class representation in long-tailed generative models.
problem Latent geometric bias in VAEs under class imbalance.
method Per-class Student's t-distribution priors, closed-form objective, equal-weight latent mixture.
result Consistently lower FID scores and better class-balanced generation for severely imbalanced datasets.
Large prospective epidemiological studies acquire cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) images for pre-symptomatic populations and follow these over time. To support this approach, fully automatic large-scale 3D analysis is essential. In this work, we propose a novel deep neural network using both CMR images and pati…
Pairwise Label Smoothing improves deep model generalization by reducing overconfidence.
problem Improving deep model generalization through regularization.
method PLS smooths labels for pairs of samples, learning distribution mass during training.
result PLS significantly outperforms LS and baseline models, reducing up to 30% classification error.
Identity-link IRT improves TVD-MI scores without curvature violations.
problem Preserving additivity in TVD-MI scores for efficient LLM evaluation.
method Derives clipped-linear model from Gini entropy maximization, using identity link.
result Identity-link yields lower curvature violations (median curl 0.080-0.150) compared to probit/logit.
Background: Many authors have described MELD as a predictor of short-term mortality in the liver transplantation waiting list. However MELD score accuracy to predict long term mortality has not been statistically evaluated. Objective: The aim of this study is to analyze the MELD score as well as other variables as a pr…
Beam search improves UQ in LLMs by reducing duplicates and variance.
problem Peaked distributions in multinomial sampling lead to duplicates and high variance in uncertainty estimates.
method Employ beam search to generate candidates for consistency-based UQ, providing a theoretical lower bound and empirical evaluation.
result Beam search achieves smaller error than multinomial sampling, leading to state-of-the-art UQ performance.