A new method predicts non-Markovian closure terms for complex systems.
problem Predicting the effect of unresolved variables on resolved dynamics in high-dimensional systems.
method Mamba-Assisted Closure (MAC) framework: sequence model trained to predict closure from resolved trajectory, coupled with reduced-order equations.
result Substantially outperforms existing methods in predictive accuracy and long-time stability.
Kernel analog forecasting studied for multiscale systems.
problem Interpreting data-driven predictions in multiscale dynamical systems.
method Kernel analog forecasting methods applied to multiscale systems with varying Markovian closures.
result Guidance provided for interpreting data-driven predictions in practice.
Derivation of reduced order representations of dynamical systems requires the modeling of the truncated dynamics on the retained dynamics. In its most general form, this so-called closure model has to account for memory effects. In this work, we present a framework of operator inference to extract the governing dynamic…
Jiří Matoušek (1963-2015) had many breakthrough contributions in mathematics and algorithm design. His milestone results are not only profound but also elegant. By going beyond the original objects --- such as Euclidean spaces or linear programs --- Jirka found the essence of the challenging mathematical/algorithmic pr…
New algorithm solves complex stopping problems with robust optimization.
problem Solving complex stochastic optimal stopping problems.
method Simulation-based robust optimization with exact reformulation as a zero-one bilinear program.
result Developed polynomial-time heuristics and algorithms for practical solution.
HS-FNO models non-Markovian PDEs by learning history and future states.
problem Non-Markovian dynamics where future states depend on past history.
method History-Space Fourier Neural Operator (HS-FNO) for delay and memory-driven PDEs.
result HS-FNO achieves lowest aggregate errors across various PDE families.
Novel autoencoder method approximates Koopman operator in low dimensions.
problem Challenges in approximating finite Koopman operators using data-driven methods.
method Mori-Zwanzig autoencoder (MZ-AE) for robust Koopman operator approximation.
result Improved predictive capability and robust long-term statistical performance.
Non-Markovian point process shows power-law scaling, similar to nonlinear Markovian process.
problem Understanding the scaling behavior of non-Markovian point processes.
method Analyzed a confined fractional Brownian motion-driven point process and compared it to a nonlinear Markovian process.
result A nonlinear Markovian process can reproduce the power-law scaling behavior of a non-Markovian point process.
Projects Markovian processes from Itô semimartingales with jumps.
problem Modeling Itô semimartingales with jumps using Markovian projections.
method Construct Markovian projections for Itô semimartingales with jumps using non-local FPKEs.
result Markovian projections match the marginal laws of the original process.
This paper extends Markovian projections to semimartingales with jumps.
problem Extending Markovian projections to semimartingales with jumps.
method Using Markovian projections to match marginal laws of Itô semimartingales with jumps.
result Existence of Markovian projections for Itô semimartingales with jumps.
Algorithm converts plat to standard closure of braids in 3D and related spaces.
problem Converting plat to standard closure of braids in different spaces.
method Algorithmic approach for plat to standard closure conversion in \(\mathbb{R}^3\), handlebodies, and thickened surfaces.
result Algorithm is quadratic for plat to standard closure and linear for standard to plat closure.
This paper solves the inversion problem for jump processes using Markovian projections.
problem Calibrating jump-diffusion models with both local and stochastic features.
method Inverting Markovian projections for pure jump processes.
result Constructs calibrated local stochastic intensity (LSI) models for credit risk applications.
The paper studies knitted surfaces and surface-links, showing their isotopy and closure properties.
problem Understanding the isotopy and closure properties of knitted surfaces and surface-links.
method Analyzing the structure and closure of knitted surfaces and surface-links in R4. result Any surface-link is ambient isotopic to the closure of a 2-dimensional knit.
Analyzes non-Markovian environments in stochastic approximation.
problem Understanding learning mechanisms in non-ergodic, non-Markovian settings.
method Analytic framework for transformer learning and continual learning.
result Proposes a new approach to transformer and continual learning.
Paper introduces PRMs to learn non-Markovian stochastic rewards for reinforcement learning.
problem Lack of structured representation for non-Markovian stochastic rewards in reinforcement learning.
method Introduces probabilistic reward machines (PRMs) and presents an algorithm to learn them from decision processes.
result Algorithm proves correct and convergent for learning PRMs from decision processes.
Study on knot classification using 3-braid closures and ribbon surfaces.
problem Classifying smoothly slice knots from 3-braid closures.
method Construct ribbon surfaces and use twisted Alexander polynomial.
result Classification of knots up to 20 crossings.
Stochastic differential equation approximation for linear TD(0) under Markovian noise
problem Temporal-difference learning with linear function approximation
method Stochastic differential equation approximation
result Explains the constant-stepsize error floor
New proof classifies orbit closures in Hodge bundle.
problem Classifying mGL+(2,R)-orbit closures in Hodge bundle. method Using deformations of flat pairs of pants.
result Short proof of absolute period foliation classification.
Paper establishes convergence rates and concentration bounds for stochastic approximation and reinforcement learning with Markovian noise.
problem Analyzing convergence rates and concentration bounds for stochastic approximation and reinforcement learning with Markovian noise.
method Novel discretization of the mean ODE of stochastic approximation algorithms using intervals with diminishing length.
result First almost sure convergence rate and maximal concentration bound with exponential tails for contractive stochastic approximation algorithms with Markovian noise.
We study a regular closure operator in the category of quandles. We show that the regular closure operator and the pullback closure operator corresponding to the reflector from the category of quandles to its full subcategory of trivial quandles coincide, we give a simple description of this closure operator, and analy…
The study connects lamination and orbit closures in hyperbolic manifolds.
problem Understanding the geometric and dynamical properties of horocycle orbit closures in Z-covers of compact hyperbolic manifolds. method Exposes connections between distance minimizing laminations and horospherical orbit closures in Z-covers of compact hyperbolic manifolds. Provides novel constructions and explicit descriptions. result Even slight perturbations to hyperbolic metrics can drastically change horocycle orbit closures.
Study orbits in right triangles, deducing periodic billiard paths and classifying orbit closures.
problem Understanding periodic billiard paths in right triangles and orbit closures in strata of Abelian and quadratic differentials.
method Classifying orbit closures of rank at least two in hyperelliptic components of strata of Abelian and quadratic differentials.
result Computed orbit closures and deduced asymptotic number of periodic billiard trajectories in right triangles.
Unified analytical tool for non-Markovian jump processes.
problem Analyzing history-dependent jump processes with non-Markovian behavior.
method Developed a standard form of master equations using Laplace-space embedding and asymptotic solution.
result Unified analytical toolset for general non-Markovian processes, leading to the GLE approximation.
Study improves covariance estimation for SGD under Markovian data, matching best rates.
problem Improving covariance estimation for SGD in Markovian data settings.
method Online overlapping batch-means covariance estimator for SGD under Markovian sampling.
result Established convergence rates for covariance estimation under Markovian sampling.
Proves closure for specific spacetimes with certain conditions.
problem Proving closure for globally hyperbolic spacetimes.
method Using a Bonnet-Myers type result.
result Proves closure for spacetimes with specific conditions.
We develop a Markovian approximation for SVV models to compute hedging strategies.
problem Computing optimal hedging strategies for SVV models with non-Markovian noise.
method Develop a Markovian approximation of the Volterra noise kernel to compute hedging strategies.
result Error estimates for the approximation of volatility, prices, and optimal hedge.
A new HOM model improves forecasting of Indian base metal prices.
problem Improving accuracy in predicting base metal prices in the Indian market.
method A Higher Order Markovian (HOM) model with varying order based on market delay.
result The HOM model consistently outperforms the standard Markovian model in forecasting.
Classifies Zariski closures of positive representations in Lie groups.
problem Classifying Zariski closures of positive representations in Lie groups.
method Classifies the Lie algebra of the Zariski closure of a discrete subgroup with specific properties.
result Obtains a new proof of Guichard's classification of Zariski closures of Hitchin representations.
Describes state variables in sequential decision problems, linking them to Markovian and non-Markovian models.
problem Sequential decision problems, especially in active learning and POMDPs, where decisions affect what is observed and learned.
method Canonical framework and novel two-agent perspective of POMDPs, defining state variables to claim Markovian or non-Markovian models.
result Properly modeled sequential decision problems are Markovian, while real decision problems are often non-Markovian.
Study proposes curvature flow model for Drosophila dorsal closure.
problem Modeling and understanding Drosophila dorsal closure during embryonic development.
method Curvature-based mathematical model, analysis of maximum-principle and integral-estimates, numerical approximation scheme.
result Established global existence and convergence for the model.
Deep learning solves non-Markovian FBSDEs for utility maximization.
problem Solving utility maximization problems under rough volatility.
method Deep learning-based numerical methods for non-Markovian fully coupled FBSDEs.
result Error estimates and convergence provided for the deep learning approach.
Investigates optimal consumption and investment strategies in non-Markovian markets with unbounded parameters.
problem Optimal consumption and investment strategies in non-Markovian markets with unbounded parameters.
method Martingale optimal principle and quadratic BSDEs with exponential moment.
result Establishes optimal strategies for consumption and investment.
We revisit Merton's portfolio optimization problem under boun-ded state-dependent utility functions, in a market driven by a Lévy process Z extending results by Karatzas et. al. (1991) and Kunita (2003). The problem is solved using a dual variational problem as it is customarily done for non-Markovian models. One of …
Classifies orbit closures in translation surface strata.
problem Classifying orbit closures in translation surface strata.
method Classification of extGL(2,R) orbit closures. result Applications to joinings of certain Masur-Veech measures.
We simplify a complex volatility model to make it easier to price options.
problem The rough Bergomi model's non-Markovian nature complicates option pricing.
method We approximate the rBergomi model with a Bergomi model that is Markovian.
result The rBergomi model can be effectively approximated by a Markovian model.
Uniform Closure Method and Bayes classifier perform similarly in classifying open knots.
problem Classifying knots in open macromolecular chains.
method Used the Bayes MAP classifier and compared it to the Uniform Closure Method.
result Both methods have comparable accuracy and positive predictive value.
This paper first describes a class of uncertain stochastic control systems with Markovian switching, and derives an Itô-Liu formula for Markov-modulated processes. And we characterize an optimal control law, which satisfies the generalized Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation with Markovian switching. Then, by using …
Modeling high-frequency order book data with Hawkes-Markovian process.
problem Capturing the dynamics of high-frequency order book events.
method Hawkes process with Markovian baseline intensities, LASSO regularization, and Akaike Information Criteria.
result Effective modeling of order book dynamics with reduced parameter redundancy.
We discuss two different in general natural approaches to the ideal closure and ideal boundary of Busemann nonpositively curved metric space. It is shown that the identity map of the space admits surjective continuation from its coarse ideal closure to the weak one. We consider some situations when these closures coinc…
The paper develops a deep signature approach for option pricing under non-Markovian stochastic volatility models.
problem Pricing options under non-Markovian stochastic volatility models is challenging due to the dependence on historical paths.
method Reformulate the asset dynamics as a rough stochastic differential equation and represent rough paths via signatures. Apply standard analytical tools to solve the transformed equation.
result The deep signature approach provides a theoretically grounded and computationally efficient framework for option pricing.
Improved SGD bounds for machine learning models with Markovian noise.
problem Uniform high-probability bounds for SGD under PL condition with Markovian noise.
method Combining Poisson equation for Markovian noise and probabilistic induction for almost-sure bounds.
result Matching 1/k decay rate for expected suboptimality. This paper addresses parameter estimation for wave equations with Markovian switching.
problem Parameter estimation for wave equations with abrupt changes.
method Bayesian statistical framework using discrete sparse Bayesian learning.
result Strong performance in parameter estimation for variable coefficient PDEs.
Paper derives convergence rates and confidence intervals for LSA with Markovian noise.
problem Analyzing convergence rates and constructing confidence intervals for LSA with Markovian noise.
method Derives non-asymptotic Berry-Esseen bounds and multiplier block bootstrap procedure.
result Provides O(n−1/4) convergence rates and guarantees consistent inference. The study bounds the number of closed geodesics in a specific orbit closure of surfaces.
problem Counting closed geodesics in a specific orbit closure of surfaces.
method Analyzes triangulations and Teichmüller geodesics to bound the number of closed geodesics.
result Obtains exponential bounds on the number of closed geodesics of length at most R.
Extends graph degree theorem to simplicial closure of Auter space.
problem Connectivity of graphs in Auter space.
method Defines degree for simplicial closure, extends Hatcher-Vogtmann theorem.
result Simplicial closure of Auter space is (d-1)-connected for degree d.
We study a certain type of braid closure which resembles the plat closure but has certain advantages; for example, it maps pure braids to knots. The main results of this note are a Markov-type theorem and a description of how Vassiliev invariants behave under this braid closure.
We give a Dehn-Nielsen type theorem for the homology cobordism group of homology cylinders by considering its action on the acyclic closure, which was defined by Levine, of a free group. Then we construct an additive invariant of those homology cylinders which act on the acyclic closure trivially. We also describe some…
Paper tackles robust offline RL for non-Markovian processes, improving efficiency and applicability.
problem Learning robust policies for non-Markovian decision processes with limited offline data.
method Proposes a novel algorithm with dataset distillation and LCB design for robust values, derived new dual forms, and introduces concentrability coefficients.
result Proves polynomial sample efficiency for finding ε-optimal robust policies.