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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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99198297396 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Markovian case

A new HOM model improves forecasting of Indian base metal prices.

problem Improving accuracy in predicting base metal prices in the Indian market.
method A Higher Order Markovian (HOM) model with varying order based on market delay.
result The HOM model consistently outperforms the standard Markovian model in forecasting.

This paper addresses parameter estimation for wave equations with Markovian switching.

problem Parameter estimation for wave equations with abrupt changes.
method Bayesian statistical framework using discrete sparse Bayesian learning.
result Strong performance in parameter estimation for variable coefficient PDEs.

Unified approach for first-order methods with Markovian noise in stochastic optimization and variational inequalities.

problem Stochastic optimization problems with Markovian noise.
method Unified theoretical analysis of first-order gradient methods using randomized batching and multilevel Monte Carlo.
result Optimal (linear) dependence on the mixing time of the noise sequence, eliminating previous limiting assumptions.

Paper tackles robust offline RL for non-Markovian processes, improving efficiency and applicability.

problem Learning robust policies for non-Markovian decision processes with limited offline data.
method Proposes a novel algorithm with dataset distillation and LCB design for robust values, derived new dual forms, and introduces concentrability coefficients.
result Proves polynomial sample efficiency for finding ε-optimal robust policies.

New bounds for SA with arbitrary norm contractions and Markovian noise.

problem Finite-time analysis of two-time-scale stochastic approximation with arbitrary norm contractions and Markovian noise.
method Use of generalized Moreau envelope for arbitrary norm contractions and solutions of Poisson equation for Markovian noise.
result Mean square error decays at rates of O(1/n2/3)O(1/n^{2/3}) and O(1/n)O(1/n) under different conditions.

Developed scalable Monte Carlo method for VIX option pricing.

problem VIX option pricing in stochastic Volterra rough volatility models with non-Markovian vol-of-vol.
method Infinite dimensional Markovian representation to devise scalable least squares Monte Carlo.
result Efficient VIX option pricing method for generalized models.

Non-Markovian point process shows power-law scaling, similar to nonlinear Markovian process.

problem Understanding the scaling behavior of non-Markovian point processes.
method Analyzed a confined fractional Brownian motion-driven point process and compared it to a nonlinear Markovian process.
result A nonlinear Markovian process can reproduce the power-law scaling behavior of a non-Markovian point process.

Projects Markovian processes from Itô semimartingales with jumps.

problem Modeling Itô semimartingales with jumps using Markovian projections.
method Construct Markovian projections for Itô semimartingales with jumps using non-local FPKEs.
result Markovian projections match the marginal laws of the original process.

Develops non-Markovian couplings for sub-Riemannian Brownian motions.

problem Constructing couplings for sub-Riemannian Brownian motions starting from points on the same vertical fiber.
method Uses global isometries to construct maximal couplings, satisfying a reflection principle.
result Estimates coupling time and applies to inequalities for the heat semigroup.

This paper solves the inversion problem for jump processes using Markovian projections.

problem Calibrating jump-diffusion models with both local and stochastic features.
method Inverting Markovian projections for pure jump processes.
result Constructs calibrated local stochastic intensity (LSI) models for credit risk applications.

Study on kinetic Langevin diffusions and their couplings, showing subtle TV bounds and new non-Markovian couplings.

problem Understanding and quantifying the TV distance between solutions of kinetic Langevin diffusions with different initial values.
method Established new non-Markovian couplings for kinetic Langevin diffusions, derived from optimal coalescence trajectories, and analyzed their TV bounds.
result No Markovian coupling can capture the asymptotic decay rate of the TV distance between solutions of kinetic Langevin diffusions with different initial values.

New algorithm solves complex stopping problems with robust optimization.

problem Solving complex stochastic optimal stopping problems.
method Simulation-based robust optimization with exact reformulation as a zero-one bilinear program.
result Developed polynomial-time heuristics and algorithms for practical solution.

Path signatures improve hedging of exotic derivatives in non-Markovian models.

problem Hedging exotic derivatives under non-Markovian stochastic volatility models.
method Investigates path signatures in deep and shallow learning contexts, comparing neural networks and regression approaches.
result Path signatures outperform LSTM in most cases and yield more accurate results in hedging.

New framework for policy gradient methods in continuous time reinforcement learning.

problem Addressing policy gradient methods for continuous time reinforcement learning.
method Control randomisation technique to derive policy gradient representation for various Markovian control problems.
result Demonstrated application to optimal switching problems in the energy sector.

Paper introduces PRMs to learn non-Markovian stochastic rewards for reinforcement learning.

problem Lack of structured representation for non-Markovian stochastic rewards in reinforcement learning.
method Introduces probabilistic reward machines (PRMs) and presents an algorithm to learn them from decision processes.
result Algorithm proves correct and convergent for learning PRMs from decision processes.

Paper establishes convergence rates and concentration bounds for stochastic approximation and reinforcement learning with Markovian noise.

problem Analyzing convergence rates and concentration bounds for stochastic approximation and reinforcement learning with Markovian noise.
method Novel discretization of the mean ODE of stochastic approximation algorithms using intervals with diminishing length.
result First almost sure convergence rate and maximal concentration bound with exponential tails for contractive stochastic approximation algorithms with Markovian noise.

This paper studies a portfolio optimization problem in a discrete-time Markovian model of a financial market, in which asset price dynamics depend on an external process of economic factors. There are transaction costs with a structure that covers, in particular, the case of fixed plus proportional costs. We prove that…

2007-07-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified analytical tool for non-Markovian jump processes.

problem Analyzing history-dependent jump processes with non-Markovian behavior.
method Developed a standard form of master equations using Laplace-space embedding and asymptotic solution.
result Unified analytical toolset for general non-Markovian processes, leading to the GLE approximation.

Study improves covariance estimation for SGD under Markovian data, matching best rates.

problem Improving covariance estimation for SGD in Markovian data settings.
method Online overlapping batch-means covariance estimator for SGD under Markovian sampling.
result Established convergence rates for covariance estimation under Markovian sampling.

The paper analyzes covariate shift in nonparametric regression with Markovian data.

problem Covariate shift in regression problems with Markovian data.
method Extension of nonparametric convergence rates to Markovian dependence structures, using Hölder smoothness assumptions and similarity measures.
result Precise convergence rates for Nadaraya-Watson kernel estimators under specific Markovian conditions.

Study small-time CLTs for stochastic Volterra equations with various kernels.

problem Understanding the behavior of stochastic Volterra equations with different kernels.
method Proved convergence of finite-dimensional distributions, functional CLT, and limit theorems for smooth transformations.
result Derived asymptotic pricing formulae for digital calls in rough volatility models.

Optimizes state monitoring in Markovian systems with cost constraints.

problem Balancing state queries with prediction costs in Markovian systems.
method Greedy policy and SGD-based learning variant for optimal predict-query tradeoff.
result Greedy policy is suboptimal but performs close to optimal under certain conditions.

We develop a Markovian approximation for SVV models to compute hedging strategies.

problem Computing optimal hedging strategies for SVV models with non-Markovian noise.
method Develop a Markovian approximation of the Volterra noise kernel to compute hedging strategies.
result Error estimates for the approximation of volatility, prices, and optimal hedge.

Rough volatility models are very appealing because of their remarkable fit of both historical and implied volatilities. However, due to the non-Markovian and non-semimartingale nature of the volatility process, there is no simple way to simulate efficiently such models, which makes risk management of derivatives an int…

2018-01-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Describes state variables in sequential decision problems, linking them to Markovian and non-Markovian models.

problem Sequential decision problems, especially in active learning and POMDPs, where decisions affect what is observed and learned.
method Canonical framework and novel two-agent perspective of POMDPs, defining state variables to claim Markovian or non-Markovian models.
result Properly modeled sequential decision problems are Markovian, while real decision problems are often non-Markovian.

Investigates optimal consumption and investment strategies in non-Markovian markets with unbounded parameters.

problem Optimal consumption and investment strategies in non-Markovian markets with unbounded parameters.
method Martingale optimal principle and quadratic BSDEs with exponential moment.
result Establishes optimal strategies for consumption and investment.

Efficient RL in PRMs with improved regret bound.

problem Reinforcement learning in probabilistic reward machines with non-Markovian rewards.
method Design of an algorithm with a new regret bound of O~(HOAT+H2O2A3/2+HT)\widetilde{O}(\sqrt{HOAT} + H^2O^2A^{3/2} + H\sqrt{T}).
result Improved regret bound over existing methods, matching lower bound up to a logarithmic factor.

Maximal concentration bounds for stochastic approximation with heavy-tailed noise.

problem Analyzing the convergence of stochastic approximation algorithms under heavy-tailed Markovian noise.
method Novel Lyapunov function and black-box truncation argument.
result Tail behavior of the error can be sub-Gaussian, sub-Weibull, or lighter than any Pareto but heavier than any Weibull.

We simplify a complex volatility model to make it easier to price options.

problem The rough Bergomi model's non-Markovian nature complicates option pricing.
method We approximate the rBergomi model with a Bergomi model that is Markovian.
result The rBergomi model can be effectively approximated by a Markovian model.

A new method for robust product Markovian quantization overcomes numerical instabilities.

problem Numerical instabilities in the PMQ algorithm limit its adoption, especially for stochastic volatility models.
method Reformulated PMQ as standard vector quantization, applying accelerated Lloyd's algorithm for robustness.
result The method overcomes numerical instabilities and extends applicability to stochastic volatility models.

In this paper, we study a class of Anticipated Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (ABSDE) with jumps. The solution of the ABSDE is a triple (Y,Z,ψ)(Y,Z,ψ) where YY is a semimartingale, and (Z,ψ)(Z,ψ) are the diffusion and jump coefficients. We allow the driver of the ABSDE to have linear growth on the uniform norm of …

2017-05-06abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper develops a deep signature approach for option pricing under non-Markovian stochastic volatility models.

problem Pricing options under non-Markovian stochastic volatility models is challenging due to the dependence on historical paths.
method Reformulate the asset dynamics as a rough stochastic differential equation and represent rough paths via signatures. Apply standard analytical tools to solve the transformed equation.
result The deep signature approach provides a theoretically grounded and computationally efficient framework for option pricing.