A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Paper establishes convergence rates and concentration bounds for stochastic approximation and reinforcement learning with Markovian noise.
problem Analyzing convergence rates and concentration bounds for stochastic approximation and reinforcement learning with Markovian noise.
method Novel discretization of the mean ODE of stochastic approximation algorithms using intervals with diminishing length.
result First almost sure convergence rate and maximal concentration bound with exponential tails for contractive stochastic approximation algorithms with Markovian noise.
In this paper, we present a discrete-type approximation scheme to solve continuous-time optimal stopping problems based on fully non-Markovian continuous processes adapted to the Brownian motion filtration. The approximations satisfy suitable variational inequalities which allow us to construct ε-optimal stopping tim…
State spaces of multifactor approximations of nonnegative Volterra processes are linear transformations of the nonnegative orthant.
problem Characterizing state spaces of multifactor approximations of nonnegative Volterra processes.
method Explicit linear transformation of the nonnegative orthant.
result State spaces of multifactor approximations of nonnegative Volterra processes are given by explicit linear transformation of the nonnegative orthant.
Study on statistical inference for nonlinear stochastic approximation with Markovian data.
problem Statistical inference for nonlinear stochastic approximation algorithms with Markovian data.
method Established a functional central limit theorem for the partial-sum process of the target parameter estimate, providing asymptotic pivotal statistics for constructing confidence intervals.
result Valid and efficient asymptotic inference method for nonlinear stochastic approximation algorithms with Markovian data.
The ADO-Heston model approximates market implied skew in vanilla options.
problem Reproduce market implied skew in vanilla options using a Markovian approximation.
method Derived characteristic function under risk-neutral and real measures, chose market price of risk, found closed form for log-price CF and implied skew.
result The ADO-Heston model can approximate the vanilla implied skew at small T but not exactly as rough volatility models.
In this paper, we present a Longstaff-Schwartz-type algorithm for optimal stopping time problems based on the Brownian motion filtration. The algorithm is based on Leão, Ohashi and Russo and, in contrast to previous works, our methodology applies to optimal stopping problems for fully non-Markovian and non-semimartinga…
The paper analyzes convergence rates for stochastic approximation and reinforcement learning.
problem Establishing almost sure convergence rates for stochastic approximation and reinforcement learning under Markovian noise.
method A novel Lyapunov drift construction that applies a Poisson-equation based correction for Markovian noise to the Moreau-envelope smoothing for contractive mappings.
result Almost sure convergence rates for specific learning rates are derived, with rates arbitrarily close to o(n1−2η) and o(n−1).
This paper develops a Hoeffding inequality for the partial sums ∑k=1nf(Xk), where {Xk}k∈Z>0 is an irreducible Markov chain on a finite state space S, and f:S→[a,b] is a real-valued function. Our bound is simple, general, since it only assumes irreducibility and finiteness…
Rough volatility models are very appealing because of their remarkable fit of both historical and implied volatilities. However, due to the non-Markovian and non-semimartingale nature of the volatility process, there is no simple way to simulate efficiently such models, which makes risk management of derivatives an int…
The paper analyzes stability of random matrix products with Markovian noise.
problem Analyzing stability of random matrix products with Markovian noise.
method Using a super-Lyapunov drift condition and controlled growth of matrix-valued functions, the paper provides an exponential stability result for the p-th moment of random matrix product.
result Finite-time p-th moment bounds for linear stochastic approximation and TD learning algorithms.
We describe a Markov latent state space (MLSS) model, where the latent state distribution is a decaying mixture over multiple past states. We present a simple sampling algorithm that allows to approximate such high-order MLSS with fixed time and memory costs.