We describe random walk boundaries (in particular, the Poisson--Furstenberg, or PF-boundary) for a vast family of groups in terms of the hyperbolic boundary of a special free subgroup. We prove that almost all trajectories of the random walk (with respect to an arbitrary nondegenerate measure on the group) converge to …
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
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Markov boundary improves tabular prediction but not as expected.
Ridge regularized linear models (RRLMs), such as ridge regression and the SVM, are a popular group of methods that are used in conjunction with coefficient hypothesis testing to discover explanatory variables with a significant multivariate association to a response. However, many investigators are reluctant to draw ca…
Solves optimal stopping for Gauss-Markov bridges using time-space transformation.
Algorithm learns Bayesian network structure efficiently from data.
New method simulates sticky boundaries in multidimensional diffusions.
We prove Feynman-Kac formulas for solutions to elliptic and parabolic boundary value and obstacle problems associated with a general Markov diffusion process. Our diffusion model covers several popular stochastic volatility models, such as the Heston model, the CEV model and the SABR model, which are widely used as ass…
Fast algorithm solves BVPs in linear time with probabilistic uncertainty.
Characterizes slopes for Markov ordering on prime pairs.
Paper improves feature selection for predicting outcomes from observational data.
Deriving option prices from operational-time Markov lattices
A new method reduces CI tests for causal structure learning.
Stochastic variational inference for collapsed models has recently been successfully applied to large scale topic modelling. In this paper, we propose a stochastic collapsed variational inference algorithm for hidden Markov models, in a sequential data setting. Given a collapsed hidden Markov Model, we break its long M…
New findings on hyperbolic groups and their boundaries.
We develop a formalism that allows us to describe Markov compacta with finite sets of diagrams that are building blocks of the entire sequence. This encodes complex, continuous spaces with discrete collections of combinatorial objects. We show that topological properties of the limit (such as -connectedness, local $…
We give a criterion in terms of the boundary for the existence of a proper cocompact action of a word-hyperbolic group on a CAT(0) cube complex. We describe applications towards lattices and hyperbolic 3-manifold groups. In particular, by combining the theory of special cube complexes, the surface subgroup result of Ka…
We show that the nearest point retraction is a uniform quasi-isometry from the Thurston metric on a hyperbolic domain in the Riemann sphere to the boundary of the convex hull of its complement. As a corollary, one obtains explicit bounds on the quasi-isometry constant of the nearest point retraction with respect to the…
We develop continuous time Markov chain (CTMC) approximation of one-dimensional diffusions with a lower sticky boundary. Approximate solutions to the action of the Feynman-Kac operator associated with a sticky diffusion and first passage probabilities are obtained using matrix exponentials. We show how to compute matri…
New Markov chains defined on simplicial complexes for understanding their topology.
Revisits life insurance surplus models with new technical bases.
Let N be an irreducible, compact 3-manifold with empty or toroidal boundary which is not a closed graph manifold. Using recent work of Agol, Kahn-Markovic and Przytycki-Wise we will show that pi_1(N) admits a cofinal filtration with `fast' growth of Betti numbers as well as a cofinal filtration of pi_1(N) with `slow' g…
We prove that the Gromov boundary of every hyperbolic group is homeomorphic to some Markov compactum. Our reasoning is based on constructing a sequence of covers of , which is quasi--invariant wrt. the ball -type (defined by Cannon) for sufficiently large. We also ensure certain additional propert…
This paper includes an original self contained proof of well-posedness of an initial-boundary value problem involving a non-local parabolic PDE which naturally arises in the study of derivative pricing in a generalized market model. We call this market model a semi-Markov modulated market. Although a wellposedness resu…
Given a hyperbolic domain, the nearest point retraction is a conformally natural homotopy equivalence from the domain to the boundary of the convex core of its complement. Marden and Markovic showed that if the domain is uniformly perfect, then there exists a conformally natural quasiconformal map which admits a bounde…
Path-connectivity of thick laminations on high-genus surfaces.
Schrödinger bridge solved with Weyl calculus for quadratic state cost.
A new clustering method estimates non-linear boundaries and automatically selects the number of clusters.
In this paper, we will show that the projection does not have a section; i.e. the braid group cannot be geometrically realized as a group of homeomorphisms of a disk fixing the boundary point-wise and marked points in the interior as a set. We also give a new proof of a result o…
Sullivan showed that there exists such that if is a simply connected hyperbolic domain, then there exists a conformally natural -quasiconformal map from to the boundary of the convex hull of its complement which extends to the identity on . Explicit …
Markov switching models (MSMs) are probabilistic models that employ multiple sets of parameters to describe different dynamic regimes that a time series may exhibit at different periods of time. The switching mechanism between regimes is controlled by unobserved random variables that form a first-order Markov chain. Ex…
New method learns diffusion transition density for Bayesian inference.
This paper includes a proof of well-posedness of an initial-boundary value problem involving a system of degenerate non-local parabolic PDE which naturally arises in the study of derivative pricing in a generalized market model. In a semi-Markov modulated GBM model the locally risk minimizing price function satisfies a…
We consider the problem of model selection in Gaussian Markov fields in the sample deficient scenario. The benchmark information-theoretic results in the case of d-regular graphs require the number of samples to be at least proportional to the logarithm of the number of vertices to allow consistent graph recovery. When…
Study no-arbitrage conditions in 1D diffusion markets with interest rates.
Develops a smooth operator framework for analyzing neural network representations.
New approach infers object type from physical data and functional requirements.
Study optimal stopping times for multi-dimensional processes with non-exponential discounting.
In this paper we discuss four problems regarding Markov equivalences for subclasses of loopless mixed graphs. We classify these four problems as finding conditions for internal Markov equivalence, which is Markov equivalence within a subclass, for external Markov equivalence, which is Markov equivalence between subclas…
Improves TTS accuracy by correcting context-dependent units.
The paper estimates key metrics for linear models with Markov or hidden Markov sources.
Expands Hidden Markov Model to include Markov chain observations.
Study approximates financial market with discrete-time models.
New neural processes use stacked Markov operators to improve flexibility.
This paper studies the optimal VIX futures trading problems under a regime-switching model. We consider the VIX as mean reversion dynamics with dependence on the regime that switches among a finite number of states. For the trading strategies, we analyze the timings and sequences of the investor's market participation,…
New algorithms for RL in Markov games with independent linear function approximation, breaking the curse of multiagents.
The paper bounds generalization errors for deep neural networks with Markov datasets.
The paper constructs Markov partitions for geodesic flow on hyperbolic surfaces.
We rephrase Gromov's definition of Markov compacta, introduce a subclass of Markov compacta defined by one building block and study cohomological dimensions of these compacta. We show that for a Markov compactum , $\dim_{\Z_{(p)}}X=\dim_{\Q}X$ for all but finitely many primes where is the localization…