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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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265277103 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Markov Violations

This paper detects Markov violations in RL with noise, improving policy development.

problem Partial observability and sensor/actuator noise invalidate Markovian assumptions in RL.
method Combines PCMCI causal discovery with Markov Violation score (MVS).
result Even substantial noise doesn't always disrupt multi-step dependencies.

Paper introduces MVS to detect non-Markovian observations in reinforcement learning.

problem Real-world sensors violate Markov property, leading to suboptimal reinforcement learning performance.
method Uses prediction-based Markov Violation Score (MVS) combining random forest and ridge regression.
result MVS detects non-Markovian structure in observation trajectories, quantifying its impact.

New algorithm reduces sample complexity for safe reinforcement learning.

problem Safe reinforcement learning in constrained MDPs with performance and safety constraints.
method Model-based primal-dual algorithm balancing regret and bounded constraint violations.
result Proves near-optimal policies with bounded violations or zero violations in CMDPs.

New algorithm for reinforcement learning in uncertain environments with unknown thresholds.

problem Safety in reinforcement learning in unknown and uncertain environments.
method Growing-Window estimator sampling and Stochastic Pessimistic-Optimistic Thresholding (SPOT) algorithm.
result Achieves sublinear regret and constraint violation of ildeO(T) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{T}).

As datasets capturing human choices grow in richness and scale -- particularly in online domains -- there is an increasing need for choice models that escape traditional choice-theoretic axioms such as regularity, stochastic transitivity, and Luce's choice axiom. In this work we introduce the Pairwise Choice Markov Cha…

2016-03-08abs ↗pdf ↗

New PDMP samplers improve BNN inference with accelerated computation.

problem Inference on Bayesian Neural Networks violates independence and posterior assumptions.
method Piecewise Deterministic Markov Process (PDMP) with adaptive thinning for inhomogenous Poisson Process (IPPs) sampling.
result PDMP samplers accelerate inference in BNNs, improving accuracy and mixing performance.

New RL algorithm achieves sublinear regret and constraint violation without simulators.

problem Maximizing reward under utility constraints in large-scale systems.
method Model-free, simulator-free algorithm using LSVI-UCB with primal-dual optimization and soft-max policy.
result Achieves ildeO(d3H3T) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{d^3H^3T}) regret and ildeO(d3H3T) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{d^3H^3T}) constraint violation bounds.

New algorithm reduces regret and constraint violation in adversarial CMDP learning.

problem Online learning for episodic stochastically constrained Markov decision processes (CMDPs) with adversarial loss.
method Upper Confidence Primal-Dual Reinforcement Learning (UC-PDL) algorithm.
result Achieves O~(LSAT)\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(L|\mathcal{S}|\sqrt{|\mathcal{A}|T}) upper bounds of both regret and constraint violation.

The paper uses conformal prediction for forecasting conflict sequences in Markov processes.

problem Forecasting future conflict states for national policy decisions.
method Conformal prediction on Markov processes for temporally-dependent data.
result Conformal prediction provides valid uncertainty quantification and robustness to model misspecification.

The paper analyzes CMDPs, balancing exploration and exploitation to avoid constraint violations.

problem Balancing exploration and exploitation in CMDPs to satisfy constraints.
method Two approaches: optimistic planning and incremental updates of primal and dual variables.
result Both approaches achieve sublinear regret on utility and constraint violations, with stronger guarantees for the linear programming approach.

In order to satisfy safety conditions, an agent may be constrained from acting freely. A safe controller can be designed a priori if an environment is well understood, but not when learning is employed. In particular, reinforcement learned (RL) controllers require exploration, which can be hazardous in safety critical …

2019-10-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper develops a method to estimate value of a policy in confounded MDPs.

problem Estimating value of a policy in the presence of unmeasured confounders.
method Uses auxiliary variables to identify target policy's value in a confounded MDP.
result Develops an off-policy value estimator robust to model misspecification.

Paper revisits Deep Variational Information Bottleneck and proposes a new optimization approach.

problem Limitations of Deep Variational Information Bottleneck in optimizing mutual information.
method Proposes a new optimization approach by circumventing the limitation of requiring both Markov chains during optimisation.
result Shows how to optimise a lower bound for mutual information, circumventing the limitation of requiring both Markov chains.

Proposes M-CHMM for robust modeling of multivariate healthcare time series.

problem Challenges in analyzing multivariate healthcare time series data.
method Mixture of coupled hidden Markov models (M-CHMM) with two sampling algorithms.
result Improves data fit, handles missing and noisy measurements, and enhances prediction accuracy.

Bayesian methods detect significant IIA violations in similarity choice data.

problem Detecting IIA violations in similarity choice data complicates classical models.
method Proposed two statistical methods: classical goodness-of-fit test and Bayesian PPC.
result Significant IIA violations confirmed in both datasets, driven by context effects.

The correspondence between Riemann-Finsler geometries and effective field theories with spin-independent Lorentz violation is explored. We obtain the general quadratic action for effective scalar field theories in any spacetime dimension with Lorentz-violating operators of arbitrary mass dimension. Classical relativist…

2018-09-14abs ↗pdf ↗

In many real-world reinforcement learning (RL) problems, besides optimizing the main objective function, an agent must concurrently avoid violating a number of constraints. In particular, besides optimizing performance it is crucial to guarantee the safety of an agent during training as well as deployment (e.g. a robot…

2018-05-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Survey of RL methods for control systems with time delays.

problem Time delays in cyber-physical systems degrade RL performance and stability.
method Categorizes and analyzes five major families of RL methods for time delays.
result Identifies key trade-offs and practical guidelines for selecting RL methods.

Detecting faults and SLA violations in a timely manner is critical for telecom providers, in order to avoid loss in business, revenue and reputation. At the same time predicting SLA violations for user services in telecom environments is difficult, due to time-varying user demands and infrastructure load conditions. In…

2015-09-04abs ↗pdf ↗

We present a new approach to assessing the robustness of neural networks based on estimating the proportion of inputs for which a property is violated. Specifically, we estimate the probability of the event that the property is violated under an input model. Our approach critically varies from the formal verification f…

2018-11-17abs ↗pdf ↗

PDMP samplers improve Bayesian PDE coefficient inference.

problem Efficient Bayesian inference in non-linear inverse problems with expensive likelihoods.
method Piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) with surrogate-assisted thinning.
result PDMP samplers achieve higher accuracy and efficiency than traditional methods.

CVTMLE improves statistical inference in settings of positivity or Donsker class violations.

problem Inference issues in causal inference due to data sparsity or near-positivity violations.
method Cross-validation of TMLE (CVTMLE) to improve performance in settings of positivity or Donsker class violations.
result CVTMLE vastly improves confidence interval coverage without affecting bias, especially in small sample sizes and near-positivity violations.

The study proves strong cosmic censorship violation for spherically symmetric dust clouds.

problem Violation of strong cosmic censorship for spherically symmetric dust clouds.
method Derived an ordinary differential equation for light rays and used it to prove strong cosmic censorship violation.
result Generic violation of strong cosmic censorship for spherically symmetric dust clouds.

This paper considers online convex optimization over a complicated constraint set, which typically consists of multiple functional constraints and a set constraint. The conventional online projection algorithm (Zinkevich, 2003) can be difficult to implement due to the potentially high computation complexity of the proj…

2016-04-08abs ↗pdf ↗

NucleusDiff models atomic nuclei interactions to prevent separation violations in drug design.

problem Maintaining minimum pairwise distance between atoms to avoid separation violations in drug design.
method Enforces distance constraint between atomic nuclei and manifolds in a diffusion model.
result Reduces separation violations by up to 100.00% and enhances binding affinity by up to 22.16%.

New algorithm reduces regret and constraint violation in online convex optimization with complex constraints.

problem Online convex optimization with multiple functional constraints and a simple constraint set.
method Instance-dependent bound using online primal-dual mirror-prox algorithm in general normed spaces.
result Achieves an O(√V*(T)) regret and O(1) constraint violation, improving over previous works.

Optimistic algorithm reduces regret and constraint violations in online convex optimization with adversarial constraints.

problem Online convex optimization with adversarial constraints.
method Improved algorithm using accurate predictions of loss and constraint functions.
result Improved bounds on regret and cumulative constraint violations.

Algorithm minimizes loss and constraint violations in online convex optimization with smooth penalties.

problem Minimizing loss and constraint violations in online convex optimization with smooth penalties.
method Projected gradient descent over a set around the current action.
result Both dynamic regret and constraint violation are bounded by the path-length.

CausalCompass evaluates TSCD robustness under violations of modeling assumptions.

problem Widespread adoption of TSCD is hindered by untestable causal assumptions and lack of robustness evaluation.
method CausalCompass is a flexible benchmark framework for assessing TSCD robustness under violations of modeling assumptions.
result No single method consistently attains optimal performance across all settings, but deep learning-based methods perform well.

Paper proposes a model-free algorithm for CMDPs with long-term constraints, achieving optimal regret bounds.

problem Optimizing systems with long-term constraints where transition probabilities are unknown.
method Combines concepts from constrained optimization and Q-learning to propose an algorithm.
result Achieves optimal regret bounds for reward and constraint violation.

Paper tackles constrained bandit problems with a new learning framework.

problem Optimizing a black-box reward function subject to a black-box constraint function over a continuous space.
method Rectified Pessimistic-Optimistic Learning (RPOL) framework, incorporating optimistic and pessimistic GP bandit learning.
result RPOL achieves sublinear regret and minimal cumulative constraint violation.

Causality violations are typically seen as unrealistic and undesirable features of a physical model. The following points out three reasons why causality violations, which Bonnor and Steadman identified even in solutions to the Einstein equation referring to ordinary laboratory situations, are not necessarily undesirab…

2006-09-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Measures policy-violating content prevalence with ML-assisted sampling and LLM labeling.

problem Accurate measurement of content violations that are often rare and costly to label.
method Design-based measurement system using ML-assisted probability sampling and LLM labeling.
result Produces unbiased prevalence estimates with confidence intervals and dashboard drilldowns.