The study examines network analysis for predicting stock market performance.
problem Understanding lead-lag relationships in the NYSE.
method Network analysis of the NYSE to identify lead-lag effects.
result Network analysis reveals valuable insights for investors and analysts.
Model forecasts market structure from financial networks using machine learning.
problem Predicting market correlation structure from financial networks.
method Dynamic Asset Graph (DAG), Dynamic Minimal Spanning Tree (DMST), Dynamic Threshold Networks (DTN).
result Model improves market structure forecasting by up to 40% over benchmarks.
Study reveals how illiquidity network signals Chinese stock market crashes.
problem Understanding and predicting Chinese stock market crashes.
method Established an illiquidity network to model market dynamics.
result Market crashes are preceded by a more densely connected illiquidity network.
Stock market prediction is still a challenging problem because there are many factors effect to the stock market price such as company news and performance, industry performance, investor sentiment, social media sentiment and economic factors. This work explores the predictability in the stock market using Deep Convolu…
Proposes a regularization approach to model German power derivative market, identifying significant risk spillovers.
problem Large portfolio of German power derivative contracts, identifying significant risk spillovers.
method Combines high-dimensional variable selection with dynamic network analysis.
result Identifies significant risk contributors and interdependencies between contracts, especially spot contracts.
A major impact of globalization has been the information flow across the financial markets rendering them vulnerable to financial contagion. Research has focused on network analysis techniques to understand the extent and nature of such information flow. It is now an established fact that a stock market crash in one co…
The structure of return spillovers is examined by constructing Granger causality networks using daily closing prices of 20 developed markets from 2nd January 2006 to 31st December 2013. The data is properly aligned to take into account non-synchronous trading effects. The study of the resulting networks of over 94 sub-…
Paper uses Ricci curvature to measure and forecast China's stock market stability.
problem Measuring and predicting systemic stability of China's stock market.
method Geometric measure derived from discrete Ricci curvature applied to financial networks.
result Ricci curvature effectively captures market stability and predicts future trends.
The paper monitors stock market relationships using network analysis and statistical control charts.
problem Detecting abnormal changes in the financial market network structure.
method Network construction using distance methods, hierarchical clustering, and Shewhart control charts.
result Abnormal changes in financial market relationships can be detected using statistical process control.
Investigation of the market graph attracts a growing attention in market network analysis. One of the important problem connected with market graph is to identify it from observations. Traditional way for the market graph identification is to use a simple procedure based on statistical estimations of Pearson correlatio…
Competition has been introduced in the electricity markets with the goal of reducing prices and improving efficiency. The basic idea which stays behind this choice is that, in competitive markets, a greater quantity of the good is exchanged at a lower and a lower price, leading to higher market efficiency. Electricity …
Simple linear models reveal complex cryptocurrency networks.
problem Understanding complex causal networks in cryptocurrency markets.
method Multivariate linear models to infer financial networks from cryptocurrency price series.
result Simple linear models can create informative cryptocurrency networks reflecting economic intuition.
Generative Adversarial Networks simulate realistic market interactions.
problem Lack of agent-level historical data limits market simulation realism.
method Conditional Generative Adversarial Networks (CGANs) trained on real data.
result CGAN-based synthetic market generator outperforms previous methods in market responsiveness and realism.
Financial networks have become extremely useful in characterizing the structure of complex financial systems. Meanwhile, the time evolution property of the stock markets can be described by temporal networks. We utilize the temporal network framework to characterize the time-evolving correlation-based networks of stock…
Network geometry measures predict market instability.
problem Predicting financial market instability using network geometry.
method Discrete Ricci curvatures to capture network fragility.
result Different geometric measures distinguish normal and crash periods.
Neural nets analyze crypto markets for multi-timeframe trading.
problem High-frequency trading in cryptocurrency markets.
method Multi-timeframe trend analysis and high-frequency direction prediction networks.
result Positive risk-adjusted returns through machine learning.
Study shows stock market efficiency varies over time and can be networked.
problem Understanding the dynamic and collective aspects of stock market efficiency.
method Defined and calculated time-varying efficiency using permutation entropy of log-returns.
result Major world stock markets can be hierarchically classified into groups with similar efficiency profiles, but these rankings are unstable.
Neural networks can find financial arbitrage opportunities without needing market models.
problem Finding arbitrage opportunities in financial markets without using market models.
method Used neural networks to solve convex semi-infinite programs and detect arbitrage opportunities.
result Neural networks can detect model-free static arbitrage strategies in financial markets.
Study models Indian stock market using hyperbolic geometry for market stability and volatility analysis.
problem Identifying market stability and volatility in the Indian stock market.
method Modelled as a heterogeneous scale-free network, embedded in a 2D hyperbolic space, applied coalescent embedding, hyperbolic kmeans, and Bollinger Band analysis.
result Clusters in the embedded network better represent market communities than Euclidean clusters, allowing for early detection of market changes.
Model forecasts global stock market volatility using dynamic graphs and all trading days.
problem Enhance forecasting accuracy and practical utility in global stock market volatility.
method Spatial-temporal graph neural network architecture to capture volatility spillover effect.
result Forecasting performance surpasses baseline models in all scenarios.
Informer improves financial market prediction accuracy with global time stamp features.
problem Intra-day minute-scale financial market prediction challenges.
method Informer network, a novel deep learning model with smaller computational complexity and global time stamp features.
result Informer achieves best performance on MAE, RMSE, and MAPE evaluation criteria across all datasets.
The paper predicts financial markets using news text and semantic network analysis.
problem Predicting financial markets with news data.
method Semantic network analysis of news text to assess economic keywords' importance.
result The index captures financial market phases and predicts returns and volatilities.
This paper solves hedging in incomplete markets using neural networks.
problem Hedging in incomplete markets with risk factor, illiquidity, and discrete transaction dates.
method Proposes a jump-diffusion model and uses RNN, LSTM, and Mogrifier-LSTM neural networks for hedging strategies.
result Mogrifier-LSTM is the fastest and most effective model for hedging.
Paper uses AI to predict stock market volatility with neural networks and genetic algorithms.
problem Traditional methods for predicting stock market volatility have high errors.
method Back-propagation neural network and genetic algorithm integrated model.
result The model predicts future volatility with low errors and high accuracy.
The paper examines how NFT valuations correlate with market data and social trends.
problem Predicting NFT valuations based on market data and social trends.
method Utilizes public market data, NFT metadata, and social trends data; employs linear regression and recurrent neural networks.
result Identifies correlations between NFT valuations and various features.
We consider the dynamics of a smart grid system characterized by widespread distributed generation and storage devices. We assume that agents are free to trade electric energy over the network and we focus on the emerging market dynamics. We consider three different models for the market dynamics for which we present a…
Combining neural networks and multiscale decomposition for financial market analysis.
problem Financial markets' complexity and mainstream models' limitations in capturing non-linear structures.
method Neural networks for non-linear associations combined with multiscale decomposition.
result Improved understanding of financial market data substructures.
Modeling financial markets as gas molecules, the paper predicts phase transitions similar to water and steam.
problem Understanding the dynamics of financial markets through phase transitions.
method Developed a lattice gas model equivalent to the Ising model on a social network, analyzing critical exponents and auto-correlations.
result Financial market dynamics exhibit phase transition-like behavior, with critical exponents analogous to water and steam.
Network analysis reveals changing cryptocurrency market leaders.
problem Understanding evolving cryptocurrency market leaders and their influence.
method Hourly-resolution data and Kendall's Tau correlation for network analysis.
result Pearson's correlation underestimates market dynamics; FTT and FTX were key during the 2021 bull run.
Financial markets modeled like brain networks using dMNC.
problem Understanding latent dynamics in financial markets.
method Biologically inspired framework using dMNC.
result Structural persistence, regime shifts, and early warning signals identified.
This study uses complex networks to analyze influential spreaders and their effects on different market sectors.
problem Existing methods failed to distinguish between positive and negative influences of market sectors.
method LIEST (Local Influential Effects for Specific Target) method using complex network analysis.
result LIEST effectively distinguishes positive and negative influences of market sectors during different periods.
Graph Neural Networks improve volatility prediction in financial markets.
problem Traditional models struggle with complex, non-linear interdependencies in financial markets.
method Temporal Graph Attention Network (Temporal GAT) combines GCNs and GATs to capture dynamic graph structures.
result Temporal GAT outperforms traditional GARCH models in volatility forecasting, especially for short- to mid-term predictions.
Study identifies key trades predicting market movements.
problem Predicting future market price movements.
method Optimized neural network predictor to identify influential trades.
result Trades with specific characteristics significantly impact future price predictions.
Review of correlation-based financial networks and entropy measures.
problem Understanding the dynamics of financial markets through correlation networks.
method Analysis of empirical correlation matrices and entropy measures.
result Entropy measures help in continuous monitoring of financial networks.
Model financial markets with social media influences using hierarchical networks.
problem Understanding social media's impact on financial markets.
method Agent-based model with hierarchical influence network.
result Model accurately simulates real-world financial market behaviors.
DQN outperforms traditional stock market strategies by 30%.
problem Optimizing portfolio management in the stock market.
method Deep Q-Network applied to portfolio management, with discretization and neural network enhancements.
result DQN strategy yields 30% higher profit and lower risk compared to traditional strategies.
Using a rolling windows analysis of filtered and aligned stock index returns from 40 countries during the period 2006-2014, we construct Granger causality networks and investigate the ensuing structure of the relationships by studying network properties and fitting spatial probit models. We provide evidence that stock …
This study analyzes information flow networks in Chinese stock sectors using transfer entropy.
problem Understanding information transmission and market dynamics in Chinese stock sectors.
method Daily closing price data of 28 sectors from 2000 to 2017, transfer entropy, maximum spanning arborescence (MSA).
result The composite sector is an information source, and the non-bank financial sector is an information sink.
Proposes LSTM for financial market trend forecasting.
problem Challenges in financial market trend forecasting.
method Uses LSTM for financial market trend forecasting.
result Improves performance compared to traditional methods.
Study confirms eurozone interbank market stability but finds higher collateral reuse.
problem Analyzing eurozone interbank market behavior and stability.
method Examined secured transactions data from ECB, tested stylized facts, measured network properties.
result Observed higher collateral reuse and network symmetry compared to unsecured markets.
Survey on deep learning methods for stock market prediction.
problem Lack of comprehensive survey on deep learning methods for stock market prediction.
method Propose a novel taxonomy summarizing state-of-the-art models based on deep neural networks.
result Provide detailed statistics on datasets and evaluation metrics.
Generative neural networks improve insurance market risk modeling.
problem Creating realistic market risk scenarios for insurance companies.
method Using generative adversarial networks (GANs) to generate economic scenarios.
result GAN-based models produce similar results to traditional regulatory models.
Study fragility in global financial indices using network analysis.
problem Monitor fragility in global financial indices.
method Network-based approach to analyze daily closing prices of global financial indices.
result Network-centric measures reveal fragility in global financial indices.
We review the recent approach of correlation based networks of financial equities. We investigate portfolio of stocks at different time horizons, financial indices and volatility time series and we show that meaningful economic information can be extracted from noise dressed correlation matrices. We show that the metho…
Study finds users mostly use recent market and decision information to guess market direction.
problem Limited ability to model and predict human decision-making in stock markets.
method Used networks inference with stochastic block models (SBM) to find most predictive model of unobserved decisions.
result Users mostly use recent information to guess market direction, and their decision-making strategies are analogous to behaviors in other contexts.
A financial system contains many elements networked by their relationships. Extensive works show that topological structure of the network stores rich information on evolutionary behaviors of the system such as early warning signals of collapses and/or crises. Existing works focus mainly on the network structure within…
Management of systemic risk in financial markets is traditionally associated with setting (higher) capital requirements for market participants. There are indications that while equity ratios have been increased massively since the financial crisis, systemic risk levels might not have lowered, but even increased. It ha…
The paper maps time-series onto networks to reveal hidden joint information.
problem Extract hidden joint information from uncorrelated time-series.
method Discretize time-series amplitudes, map onto networks, measure coupling deviations, and compare with Gaussian distributions.
result Markets may possess joint patterns even if initially uncorrelated.