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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,786 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Market entropy

Paper introduces robust market making using Wasserstein distance and entropy regularization.

problem Market making robustness under uncertainty.
method Wasserstein distance, entropy regularization, convex optimization, optimal radius selection.
result The robust market making problem can be reformulated as a convex optimization problem.

News novelty predicts negative stock market returns.

problem Negative stock market returns due to increased news novelty.
method Quantified news novelty using entropy measure from recurrent neural network applied to a large news corpus.
result Entropy exposure carries a negative risk premium, indicating that assets positively correlated with entropy hedge aggregate news risk.

Study detects anomalies in financial markets using GNN and nonextensive entropy.

problem Detecting anomalies in global financial markets with many correlated assets.
method Used Graph Neural Networks (GNN) with nonextensive entropy to measure uncertainty.
result Anomalies are statistically different for nonextensive entropy parameters before, during, and after a crisis.

Market entropy analysis reveals horizon dependence in asset prices.

problem Quantifying horizon dependence of asset prices in high-frequency data.
method Cluster entropy approach to quantify price dynamics over different temporal horizons.
result Systematic dependence of cluster entropy and Market Dynamic Index on temporal horizon.

In terms of transfer entropy, we investigated the strength and the direction of information transfer in the US stock market. Through the directionality of the information transfer, the more influential company between the correlated ones can be found and also the market leading companies are selected. Our entropy analy…

2005-09-02abs ↗pdf ↗

The intrinsic entropy model accurately estimates stock market volatility.

problem Accurately estimating historical volatility of stock market indices.
method Incorporates traded volumes alongside OHLC prices in daily data.
result Intrinsic entropy model delivers reliable estimates with lower coefficient of variation.

This study uses moving average cluster entropy to analyze financial market dynamics.

problem Understanding long-range dependence in financial markets.
method Moving average cluster entropy approach applied to ARFIMA and FBM processes.
result Long-range positive correlation in financial markets is linked to the cluster entropy behavior.

The article presents a new entropy model for assessing stock market interest.

problem Assessing investor interest and market sentiment in exchange-traded securities.
method Intrinsic entropy model using actual trading data, without exogenous factors.
result Empirical evidence supports the model's ability to predict trading activity.

Study the link between entropy and market efficiency using fractal properties.

problem Determining market efficiency using entropy-based measures and fractal properties.
method Theoretical expression for market information using fractional Brownian motion and Lamperti transform. Multiscale method to interpret entropy and market information.
result A Hurst exponent close to 1/2 can lead to high informativeness of time series due to stationarity.

Study examines market response to concentrated policy communication using entropy measures.

problem Characterizing market response under concentrated policy communication.
method Jointly examines dispersion and information complexity (entropy) using sliding window cumulative entropy.
result Entropy captures both market volatility and narrative constraints, signaling coherent policy-driven moves.

We introduce a pathwise approach to analyze the relative performance of an equity portfolio with respect to a benchmark market portfolio. In this energy-entropy framework, the relative performance is decomposed into three components: a volatility term, a relative entropy term measuring the distance between the portfoli…

2013-08-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimate relaxation times in nonextensive systems using gradient flow for Tsallis entropy maximization.

problem Estimating relaxation times in financial market dynamics.
method Developing a method using EGF for maximizing Tsallis entropy.
result Longer relaxation times for nonextensive systems compared to Shannon entropy.

Empirical evidence suggests that even the most competitive markets are not strictly efficient. Price histories can be used to predict near future returns with a probability better than random chance. Many markets can be considered as {\it favorable games}, in the sense that there is a small probabilistic edge that smar…

1999-01-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Study uses CSIE to estimate portfolio volatility relative to market.

problem Estimating relative volatility risk of stock portfolios.
method Cross-sectional intrinsic entropy (CSIE) model to estimate cross-sectional volatility.
result Discover sets of symbols that outperform market indices in terms of return with similar or lower risk.

This paper optimizes trading strategies to minimize risk and maximize profit while accounting for market uncertainty.

problem Optimizing trading strategies to minimize risk and maximize profit while accounting for market uncertainty.
method Relative entropy-regularized robust optimal control problem, modeled as a stochastic differential game.
result Analytical expressions for optimal strategy and trajectory are derived under specific assumptions.

This study uses Tsallis entropy to analyze diversification and integration in Italian stock market companies.

problem Examining the industrial structure and market reactions of cross-shareholding networks.
method Developed Tsallis entropy approach to model diversification and integration using copulas.
result Entropy analysis reveals insights into market polarisation and fairness.

The paper applies information theory to financial markets, improving risk management and asset allocation.

problem Improving risk management and asset allocation in financial markets.
method Information-theoretic measures (entropy, mutual information, etc.) applied to financial time series.
result Normalized mutual information (NMI) is a powerful measure of temporal dependence in financial markets.

Study shows changes in information sharing between Bitcoin markets during 2017 crash.

problem Understanding information dynamics in Bitcoin markets during the 2017 crash.
method Analysis of high-frequency market-microstructure observables using information theoretic measures.
result Temporal changes in information sharing across markets, including predictability, memory, and synchronous coupling.

The price impact for a single trade is estimated by the immediate response on an event time scale, i.e., the immediate change of midpoint prices before and after a trade. We work out the price impacts across a correlated financial market. We quantify the asymmetries of the distributions and of the market structures of …

2017-10-22abs ↗pdf ↗

New method estimates robust multi-period portfolios using entropy.

problem Lack of general agreement on building robust multi-period portfolios.
method Detrended cluster entropy approach to estimate portfolio weights.
result Portfolio weights are estimated reliably from real-world data at varying time horizons.

This essay quantifies convexities in incomplete markets using entropy, adjusting prices for risk and incompleteness.

problem Quantifying convexities in incomplete markets and adjusting prices for risk and incompleteness.
method Using entropy, the essay quantifies convexities and adjusts prices for risk and incompleteness in incomplete markets.
result A new price principle derived from a log-martingale condition is introduced, matching risk aversion and adjusting for market incompleteness and default risk.

The paper explores tail diversification in financial markets using entropy and mutual information.

problem Tail diversification in financial time series.
method Statistical independence through differential entropy and mutual information, using moments as contrast functions.
result Tail covariance matrix is a key driver of tail diversification.

With the help of transfer entropy, we analyze information flows between communities of complex networks. We show that the transfer entropy provides a coherent description of interactions between communities, including non-linear interactions. To put some flesh on the bare bones, we analyze transfer entropies between co…

2017-06-17abs ↗pdf ↗

QNA uses quantum-inspired density operators to diagnose market dependence and structural risk.

problem Lack of unified operator representation for market dependence and structural risk diagnostics.
method Quantum Network of Assets (QNA) framework using density operators.
result QNA entropy remains strongly related to covariance spectral entropy but becomes distinct with multi-feature rolling trajectories.

Study risk-sensitive market making with entropy regularization for better quote control.

problem Risk-sensitive market making with exponential utility and penalties.
method Entropy-regularized certainty-equivalent Bellman policies for discrete-time market dynamics.
result Proves convergence and performance bounds for entropy-regularized policies.

Investor flows in Korean equity market transmit shared information, not private signals.

problem Whether investor flows transmit private information or only public signals.
method Transfer Entropy networks constructed from investor-type flows over umNDates{} trading days.
result Investor flows transmit shared information, not private signals.

New method uses asymmetric Tsallis relative entropy for better risk assessment in financial portfolios.

problem Improving risk assessment for financial portfolios using asymmetric data.
method Generalized Tsallis relative entropy (ATRE) for asymmetric distributions of returns.
result ATRE shows better risk-return profiles, especially during market crashes.

A measure called relative cluster entropy distinguishes between correlated and uncorrelated sequences.

problem Distinguishing between sequences with different correlation degrees.
method Minimum relative entropy principle applied to cluster partitions of power-law correlated sequences.
result Optimal Hurst exponents are selected for market price series, indicating non-markovianity.

Method determines asset prices in incomplete markets to optimize portfolios.

problem Optimizing portfolios in incomplete markets with price constraints.
method Maximum entropy in the mean to adjust distortion function from bid-ask data.
result Prices of assets comply with portfolio optimization constraints.

A pricing principle is introduced for non-attainable claims in incomplete markets.

problem Pricing non-attainable contingent claims in incomplete markets.
method Distorted Radon-Nikodym derivative and Tsallis relative entropy over a family of equivalent martingale measures.
result The pricing principle is closely related to backward stochastic differential equations and is arbitrage-free and time-consistent.

This study analyzes information flow networks in Chinese stock sectors using transfer entropy.

problem Understanding information transmission and market dynamics in Chinese stock sectors.
method Daily closing price data of 28 sectors from 2000 to 2017, transfer entropy, maximum spanning arborescence (MSA).
result The composite sector is an information source, and the non-bank financial sector is an information sink.

This thesis applies entropy as a model independent measure to address three research questions concerning financial time series. In the first study we apply transfer entropy to drawdowns and drawups in foreign exchange rates, to study their correlation and cross correlation. When applied to daily and hourly EUR/USD and…

2018-07-25abs ↗pdf ↗