arXiv research

This study examines how market makers balance risk and impact in foreign exchange markets.

There are two schools of thought regarding market impact modeling. On the one hand, seminal papers by Almgren and Chriss introduced a decomposition between a permanent market impact and a temporary (or instantaneous) market impact. This decomposition is used by most practitioners in execution models. On the other hand,…

Modeling market makers' quoting strategies to understand price impact.

Study examines market impact of small orders in futures contracts.

This paper investigates the market impact of passive orders.

PRIME models cryptocurrency exchange market impact.

Modeling option market making with hedging-induced price impact.

We present a thorough empirical analysis of market impact on the Bitcoin/USD exchange market using a complete dataset that allows us to reconstruct more than one million metaorders. We empirically confirm the "square-root law'' for market impact, which holds on four decades in spite of the quasi-absence of statistical …

We present an analysis of the price impact associated with trades effected by different financial firms. Using data from the Spanish Stock Market, we find a high degree of heterogeneity across different market members, both in the instantaneous impact functions and in the time-dependent market response to trades by ind…

Our goal in this paper is to study the market impact in a market in which the order flow is autocorrelated. We build a model which explains qualitatively and quantitatively the empirical facts observed so far concerning market impact. We define different notions of market impact, and show how they lead to the different…

New data improves market impact estimation methods.

Exact simulation method for market impact estimation under various execution strategies.

Unified theory explains market impact using a simplified supply-demand parameter.

Research shows SBP's tone impacts stock market returns positively or negatively.

Proposes a new model to measure trade impact and information content in fluctuating markets.

The price impact for a single trade is estimated by the immediate response on an event time scale, i.e., the immediate change of midpoint prices before and after a trade. We work out the price impacts across a correlated financial market. We quantify the asymmetries of the distributions and of the market structures of …

The paper uncovers two key laws of market impact influenced by volume and participation rate.

Market impact has become a subject of increasing concern among academics and industry experts. We put forward a price impact model which considers the heteroscedasticity of price in the time dimension and dependency between permanent impact and temporary impact. We discuss and derive the extremum of the expectation of …

Study liquidity impact on spread option pricing.

Many independent studies on stocks and futures contracts have established that market impact is proportional to the square-root of the executed volume. Is market impact quantitatively similar for option markets as well? In order to answer this question, we have analyzed the impact of a large proprietary data set of opt…

Decomposing market impact into diffusive components

Transient market impact explained via Nash equilibrium in a game.

We develop a theory for the market impact of large trading orders, which we call metaorders because they are typically split into small pieces and executed incrementally. Market impact is empirically observed to be a concave function of metaorder size, i.e., the impact per share of large metaorders is smaller than that…

Study solves utility maximization in a transient price impact market.

We derive an explicit solution for deterministic market impact parameters in the Graewe and Horst (2017) portfolio liquidation model. The model allows to combine various forms of market impact, namely instantaneous, permanent and temporary. We show that the solutions to the two benchmark models of Almgren and Chris (20…

Study shows price impact increases with order-flow imbalance, using machine learning.

Estimates cross-impact on derivatives markets using E-Mini futures and options.

In this study, we extend the optimal execution problem with convex market impact function studied in Kato (2014) to the case where the market impact function is S-shaped, that is, concave on $[0, \bar {x}_0]$ and convex on $[\bar {x}_0, \infty )$ for some $\bar {x}_0 \geq 0$. We study the corresponding Hamilton-Jacobi-…

New model explains why metaorder impact estimation is hard with public data.

We present a perturbation theory of the market impact based on an extension of the framework proposed by [Loeper, 2018] -- originally based on [Liu and Yong, 2005] -- in which we consider only local linear market impact. We study the execution process of hedging derivatives and show how these hedging metaorders can exp…

The study confirms that market volatility can be explained by correlated metaorders impacting prices in a square-root fashion.

This study examines how DMMs affect market liquidity and competition.

We consider the problem of portfolio optimization in the presence of market impact, and derive optimal liquidation strategies. We discuss in detail the problem of finding the optimal portfolio under Expected Shortfall (ES) in the case of linear market impact. We show that, once market impact is taken into account, a re…

Optimizes bidding in hourly and quarter-hourly electricity markets to reduce price impact.

RL optimizes trading algorithms to reduce market impact and costs.

Develops SPT with price impact, deriving formulas for wealth and arbitrage conditions.

We consider trading against a hedge fund or large trader that must liquidate a large position in a risky asset if the market price of the asset crosses a certain threshold. Liquidation occurs in a disorderly manner and negatively impacts the market price of the asset. We consider the perspective of small investors whos…

This paper is a continuation of Ishitani and Kato (2015), in which we derived a continuous-time value function corresponding to an optimal execution problem with uncertain market impact as the limit of a discrete-time value function. Here, we investigate some properties of the derived value function. In particular, we …

Study shows SEC crypto classification led to significant market reactions.

Using a proprietary dataset of meta-orders and prediction signals, and assuming a quasi-linear impact model, we deconvolve market impact from past correlated trades and a predictable return component to elicit the temporal dependence of the market impact of a single daily meta-order, over a ten day horizon in various e…

We introduce a multivariate Hawkes process that accounts for the dynamics of market prices through the impact of market order arrivals at microstructural level. Our model is a point process mainly characterized by 4 kernels associated with respectively the trade arrival self-excitation, the price changes mean reversion…

The paper uses regression models to predict COVID-19 spread and its stock market impact.

Bayesian framework explains price formation with learning and market impact.

Measures price impact in order-driven markets without relying on averages.

Optimal trading strategy under market resistance and concave price impact model.

In this paper, we assume that the permanent market impact of metaorders is linear and that the price is a martingale. Those two hypotheses enable us to derive the evolution of the price from the dynamics of the flow of market orders. For example, if the market order flow is assumed to follow a nearly unstable Hawkes pr…

Market impact is reduced when orders are filled with concentrated counterparts.

We empirically study the market impact of trading orders. We are specifically interested in large trading orders that are executed incrementally, which we call hidden orders. These are reconstructed based on information about market member codes using data from the Spanish Stock Market and the London Stock Exchange. We…