In critical decision-making scenarios, optimizing accuracy can lead to a biased classifier, hence past work recommends enforcing group-based fairness metrics in addition to maximizing accuracy. However, doing so exposes the classifier to another kind of bias called infra-marginality. This refers to individual-level bia…
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48 results for “Margin Level”
MACQ method explains deep learning models by analyzing feature contributions across prediction levels.
problem Explaining deep learning model predictions.
method Global gradient-based, model-agnostic approach focusing on marginal attribution.
result MACQ separates feature contributions from interaction effects and visualizes 3-way relationships.
Both in practice and in the academic literature, models for setting margin requirements in futures markets classically use daily closing price changes. However, as well documented by research on high-frequency data, financial markets have recently shown high intraday volatility, which could bring more risk than expecte…
We study the connections between spectral clustering and the problems of maximum margin clustering, and estimation of the components of level sets of a density function. Specifically, we obtain bounds on the eigenvectors of graph Laplacian matrices in terms of the between cluster separation, and within cluster connecti…
The study tests a functional-form restriction on risk exposure dynamics using margin debt data.
problem Understanding risk exposure dynamics under capital constraints and slack.
method Testing a regime-conditional functional-form restriction on aggregate risk-exposure dynamics implied by VaR-constrained intermediary models.
result The contraction and growth of exposures under capital constraints and slack are observed and tested.
A new sampler for FLMs improves token-level decoding controls.
problem Sampling from FLMs using standard methods collapses marginals and produces invalid sequences.
method Samples clean one-hot endpoints from FLM token marginals and uses Ornstein-Uhlenbeck bridges conditioned on these endpoints.
result The method preserves token-wise posterior-predictive marginals and improves quality-diversity tradeoff.
Margin system for margin loans using cash and stock as collateral is considered in this paper, which is the line of defence for brokers against risk associated with margin trading. The conditional probability of negative return is used as risk measure, and a recursive algorithm is proposed to realize this measure under…
Generative models often fail to preserve joint structure despite matching marginals.
problem Generative models fail to capture complex dependencies beyond univariate marginals.
method Introduced D_Sigma(P,Q) = ||Sigma_P - Sigma_Q||_F to measure covariance-level dependence fidelity.
result Covariance-level divergence can lead to structural instability in downstream inference.
L'effet de levier de trésorerieq-fin.GN
The effect of leverage on liquidity is a tool for analysing the level of liquidity for a given production process. It measures the sensitivity of the level of liquidity that results from changes in the volume of production and unit operating margin. A commercial activity is liquid at the moment when all costs are cover…
In this work, we study a new approach to optimizing the margin distribution realized by binary classifiers. The classical approach to this problem is simply maximization of the expected margin, while more recent proposals consider simultaneous variance control and proxy objectives based on robust location estimates, in…
This paper assesses tail risk and systemic risk in cryptocurrencies using expectiles and MES.
problem Quantifying tail risk and systemic risk in cryptocurrencies.
method The study uses expectiles and Marginal Expected Shortfall (MES) to assess tail risk and systemic risk of cryptocurrencies.
result The expectile-based approach and MES provide a dynamic method to evaluate the impact of single assets on systemic risk.
This paper improves capital efficiency in AMM protocols with leverage.
problem Improving capital efficiency in Automated Market Makers (AMM).
method Formalizes leveraged liquidity provisioning, defines margin level, assets, and debt.
result Leveraged liquidity positions are safe and possess desirable properties.
Beyond Picking Winners: Correlation-Driven Tail Risk in Venture Capital Portfolio Constructionq-fin.PM
Proposes a new framework to manage venture capital portfolio risk by focusing on deal-level correlations.
problem Managing venture capital portfolio risk, especially extreme outcomes.
method Gaussian-copula-based framework that learns deal-level dependence from observed joint success frequencies.
result Correlation amplifies extreme upside outcomes, shifting portfolio distribution toward heavier right tails.
Paper proposes MDAT to stabilize domain alignment in label-scarce settings.
problem Stable and comprehensive domain alignment in label-scarce settings.
method Max-margin Domain-Adversarial Training (MDAT) with Adversarial Reconstruction Network (ARN).
result MDAT stabilizes gradient reversing and achieves strong robustness to hyper-parameters.
Copula-based method generates synthetic populations from marginal distributions.
problem Generating realistic synthetic populations from limited data.
method Copula-based framework for population synthesis.
result Copula framework enhances transferability and realism of synthetic populations.
The paper improves robust optimization by introducing margin theory.
problem Improving the reliability of solutions in high-dimensional robust optimization.
method Introducing margin theory to improve sample complexity and reliability of solutions.
result The sample complexity of a class of random programs does not depend on the number of variables.
Study on neuron dynamics for XOR classification with zero-margin.
problem Understanding neural network training dynamics in zero-margin classification problems.
method Analysis of Gaussian XOR problem, focusing on neuron block dynamics and generalization without margin assumptions.
result Neurons cluster into four directions and block-level signals evolve coherently, essential for reliable prediction in the Gaussian setting.
A novel probabilistic approach forecasts imbalance prices in Belgium.
problem Forecasting imbalance prices in short-term energy markets.
method Two-step approach: compute net regulation volume state transition probabilities, then infer imbalance prices.
result The probabilistic approach outperforms deterministic and Gaussian Process models.
Synthetic population generation is the process of combining multiple socioeconomic and demographic datasets from different sources and/or granularity levels, and downscaling them to an individual level. Although it is a fundamental step for many data science tasks, an efficient and standard framework is absent. In this…
Identifying components and estimating mixing weights in unlabeled finite mixtures under marginal independence.
problem Identifying components and estimating mixing weights in unlabeled finite mixtures.
method Proving structural results and extending them to observable mixtures.
result Identifying components and estimating mixing weights under marginal independence.
Central Counterparty Riskq-fin.RM
A clearing member of a Central Counterparty (CCP) is exposed to losses on their default fund and initial margin contributions. Such losses can be incurred whenever the CCP has insufficient funds to unwind the portfolio of a defaulting clearing member. This does not necessarily require the default of the CCP itself. In …
We present two methods, based on Chebyshev tensors, to compute dynamic sensitivities of financial instruments within a Monte Carlo simulation. These methods are implemented and run in a Monte Carlo engine to compute Dynamic Initial Margin as defined by ISDA (SIMM). We show that the levels of accuracy, speed and impleme…
There are two major paradigms of white-box adversarial attacks that attempt to impose input perturbations. The first paradigm, called the fix-perturbation attack, crafts adversarial samples within a given perturbation level. The second paradigm, called the zero-confidence attack, finds the smallest perturbation needed …
Warm starts improve Gaussian process regression by up to 16x.
problem Optimizing hyperparameters for Gaussian processes.
method Iterative Gaussian processes with warm start optimization.
result Warm starts achieve the same results as conventional methods but significantly speed up computations.
Paper solves stock loan pricing with finite maturity using integral equations.
problem Valuation of margin-call stock loans with finite maturities.
method Fourier Sine transform and Volterra integral equation approach.
result Integral representation of margin-call stock loan value.
MARVEL curbs memorization of noisy labels in deep nets.
problem Noisy labels degrade deep net performance.
method MARVEL tracks classification margins to identify and abandon noisy instances.
result MARVEL outperforms baselines on noisy datasets.
Optimizes classifiers for varying levels of automation.
problem Supervised learning models often perform worse than human experts on specific instances.
method Focuses on convex margin-based classifiers, showing the problem is NP-hard. For SVMs, the objective function is decomposed into monotone and modular components, allowing efficient algorithms to solve the problem.
result The approach demonstrates that classifiers optimized for varying levels of automation can outperform full automation and human-only models.
We investigate the choice of tuning parameters for a Bayesian multi-level group lasso model developed for the joint analysis of neuroimaging and genetic data. The regression model we consider relates multivariate phenotypes consisting of brain summary measures (volumetric and cortical thickness values) to single nucleo…
Recently, the infinitesimal moduli space of heterotic compactifications was described in supergravity and related to the cohomology of a target space differential. In this paper we identify the marginal deformations of the corresponding heterotic nonlinear sigma model with cohomology classes of a worldsheet BRST …
Researchers prove a Penrose inequality for spacetime with specific conditions.
problem Establishing mass lower bounds for spacetime with specific asymptotic conditions.
method Combining harmonic level set approach, Jang equation, and stability techniques.
result Proof of Penrose inequality with universal constant and minimal area requirement.
Enhanced consistency bounds derived for classification under a new noise condition.
problem Enhanced consistency bounds for classification under a new noise condition.
method Model Margin Noise (MM noise) assumption, derived enhanced H-consistency bounds.
result Enhanced H-consistency bounds under MM noise condition, interpolates between linear and square-root regimes.
Understanding how users navigate in a network is of high interest in many applications. We consider a setting where only aggregate node-level traffic is observed and tackle the task of learning edge transition probabilities. We cast it as a preference learning problem, and we study a model where choices follow Luce's a…
CMRFs extend PGMs for topological data, capturing both conditional and marginal dependencies.
problem Limited expressiveness of PGMs for topological data.
method Introducing Colored Markov Random Fields (CMRFs) that model Gaussian edge variables on topological spaces.
result CMRFs improve distributed estimation over physical networks compared to baselines.
Develops a two-level monotonic multistage recommender system for better user-specific prediction.
problem Leveraging user-item-stage dependencies in a monotonic chain of events for enhanced prediction accuracy.
method A multistage recommender system with a two-level monotonic property, using a large-margin classifier based on a nonnegative additive latent factor model.
result The proposed method outperforms existing methods in simulations and an article sharing dataset.
This paper is devoted to the quantification and analysis of marginal risk contribution of a given single financial institution i to the risk of a financial system s. Our work expands on the CoVaR concept proposed by Adrian and Brunnermeier as a tool for the measurement of marginal systemic risk contribution. We first g…
The paper develops distribution-free methods for ordinal classification.
problem Constructing valid prediction sets for ordinal classification problems.
method Leveraging conformal prediction and multiple testing with FWER control.
result The proposed methods achieve satisfactory levels of marginal and class-specific conditional coverages.
Study shows how transformers classify symbols without naming them, proving a margin-versus-collision criterion.
problem How transformers classify symbols without naming them.
method Logistic classification analysis of transformer-kernel regime, colored collision graph.
result Decomposes learned predictor into ideal template-level classifier and finite-sample perturbation.
New foundation for Shapley value immune to coalitional manipulations.
problem Coalitional manipulations in game theory.
method Revised Shapley value criteria for coalitional games.
result Shapley value is immune to coalitional manipulations under new criteria.
The paper addresses portfolio allocation with uncertain covariance matrices, finding a logarithmic risk dependence.
problem Portfolio allocation with uncertain covariance matrices.
method Calculates the expected value of CARA utility function over a distribution of covariance matrices, considering uncertainty in future returns and covariances.
result Marginalization introduces a logarithmic dependence on risk, leading to lower allocation levels for higher uncertainties.
Bayesian approach sparsifies neural networks efficiently.
problem Efficiently pruning neural networks to save resources.
method Sparsifiability via the Marginal likelihood (SpaM) framework.
result Prunes neural networks effectively without significant loss in performance.
MOVDA improves skill ratings by considering margin of victory deviations.
problem Traditional rating systems discard valuable performance data.
method Margin of Victory Differential Analysis (MOVDA) learns a non-linear function to predict expected MOV and uses the difference between true and expected MOV for rating updates.
result MOVDA significantly outperforms standard ELO and Bayesian baselines in NBA basketball data.
We develop nested automatic differentiation (AD) algorithms for exact inference and learning in integer latent variable models. Recently, Winner, Sujono, and Sheldon showed how to reduce marginalization in a class of integer latent variable models to evaluating a probability generating function which contains many leve…
In this paper, we introduce two alternative extensions of the classical univariate Value-at-Risk (VaR) in a multivariate setting. The two proposed multivariate VaR are vector-valued measures with the same dimension as the underlying risk portfolio. The lower-orthant VaR is constructed from level sets of multivariate di…
BiDVL improves EBLVMs for visual tasks by optimizing two variational distributions.
problem Training EBLVMs is challenging due to intractable distributions.
method Bi-level doubly variational learning with two tractable distributions.
result BiDVL achieves impressive image generation and reconstruction performance.
A new method trains and samples from energy-based models using diffusion recovery likelihood.
problem Training and sampling high-dimensional datasets with energy-based models is challenging.
method Trains EBMs with a diffusion recovery likelihood method, maximizing conditional probabilities of data at different noise levels.
result Generates high-fidelity images with low FID and inception scores, and accurately estimates normalized data density.
Risk Margin Quantile Function Via Parametric and Non-Parametric Bayesian Quantile Regressionq-fin.RM
We develop quantile regression models in order to derive risk margin and to evaluate capital in non-life insurance applications. By utilizing the entire range of conditional quantile functions, especially higher quantile levels, we detail how quantile regression is capable of providing an accurate estimation of risk ma…
New system constructs cell-type taxonomy across multiple samples.
problem Challenges in matching clusters from different datasets.
method Combines Optimal Transport with Relaxed Marginal Constraints (OT-RMC) for simultaneous alignment of clusters across multiple samples.
result Highly accurate annotation of cell types and sample-level feature extraction.
The paper tackles multi-level fairness in algorithmic systems, addressing bias at both individual and structural levels.
problem Algorithmic systems can unfairly impact marginalized groups, especially when considering only individual-level bias.
method Formalizes multi-level fairness using causal inference tools, addressing effects of sensitive attributes at multiple levels.
result Illustrates the importance of accounting for macro-level sensitive attributes in fairness assessments.