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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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5111621 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for Love Live!

Develops control and observer methods for complex systems.

problem Controlling and observing infinite-dimensional systems with boundary actuation.
method Energy-Casimir method and port-Hamiltonian system representation.
result Control law and observer designed for Kirchhoff-Love plate example.

One of the most compelling features of Gaussian process (GP) regression is its ability to provide well-calibrated posterior distributions. Recent advances in inducing point methods have sped up GP marginal likelihood and posterior mean computations, leaving posterior covariance estimation and sampling as the remaining …

2018-03-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning (ML) has become a commodity in our every-day lives. We routinely ask ML empowered smartphones to suggest lovely food places or to guide us through a strange place. ML methods have also become standard tools in many fields of science and engineering. A plethora of ML applications transform human lives a…

2018-05-14abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper examines how loss aversion impacts multi-armed bandit decisions over long periods.

problem The impact of loss aversion on multi-armed bandit decisions over long periods.
method A new central limit theorem for measures with history-dependent variances, derived under risk aversion in gains and risk loving in losses.
result Consequences of loss aversion for asymptotic properties are derived in analytical results.

This expository article describes applications of topological configuration spaces to the control of robotic systems. In particular, we review recent work by the authors on configuration spaces of graphs. These are lovely spaces: we show for example that the configuration space of two points on the complete graph of fi…

2000-09-12abs ↗pdf ↗

The working mathematician fears complicated words but loves pictures and diagrams. We thus give a no-fancy-anything picture rich glimpse into Khovanov's novel construction of `the categorification of the Jones polynomial'. For the same low cost we also provide some computations, including one that shows that Khovanov's…

2002-01-07abs ↗pdf ↗

We discuss Russia's underlying motives for issuing its government-backed cryptocurrency, CryptoRuble, and the implications thereof and of other likely-soon-forthcoming government-issued cryptocurrencies to some stakeholders (populace, governments, economy, finance, etc.), existing decentralized cryptocurrencies (such a…

2018-01-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Study creates a global living index to assess quality of life.

problem Long-term impacts of global economic changes on living conditions.
method Machine learning framework combining socio-economic factors.
result Developed a practical tool for policymakers to identify areas needing improvement.

We discuss several issues regarding material homogeneity and strain compatibility for materially uniform thin elastic shells from the viewpoint of a 3-dimensional theory, with small thickness, as well as a 2-dimensional Cosserat theory. A relationship between inhomogeneity and incompatibility measures under the two des…

2015-06-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Backtests of structured strategies lose much of their predictive power in live trading.

problem Uncertainty in how marketed backtests predict live performance of structured strategies.
method Analysis of 1,726 structured strategies from ten global institutions.
result Raw backtests have limited portability into live trading and deteriorate sharply.

AI-Trader benchmarks LLMs in live financial markets, revealing poor trading performance.

problem Challenges in real-time financial decision-making by autonomous agents.
method Fully automated, live evaluation benchmark with minimal human intervention.
result General intelligence does not translate to effective trading, highlighting limitations.

BiCB combines traffic prediction and bidding optimization for live advertising.

problem Real-time bidding in live advertising with unknown future traffic.
method Binary Constrained Bidding (BiCB) that merges mathematical analysis and statistical traffic estimation.
result BiCB achieves good approximation to optimal bidding results with low complexity.

Model optimal growth strategy in a market with short-lived assets.

problem Investment market with short-lived assets and endogenous prices.
method Formulate stochastic equation for wealth processes and prove existence of optimal strategy.
result Existence of a submartingale strategy ensuring investor's wealth growth asymptotically.

Study finds consumers are more price-sensitive before livestreams than after.

problem Understanding consumer demand during livestreaming lifecycle.
method Examined consumer demand for live events and recorded versions using data from a livestreaming platform.
result Demand is more price-sensitive before livestreams than after.

Proposes GDTW for aligning time series on different, incomparable spaces.

problem Dynamic time warping requires comparable spaces, but time series can live on different, incomparable spaces.
method Gromov dynamic time warping (GDTW) considers intra-relational geometry to avoid comparability requirements.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of GDTW in aligning, combining, and comparing time series on incomparable spaces.

YC Bench forecasts startup success in Y Combinator batches with a short-term metric.

problem Difficult forecasting of startup success due to sparse meaningful outcomes and slow evaluation cycles.
method Developed a live benchmark using publicly available traction signals and web visibility metrics.
result Revealed 6 out of 11 top performers at YC Demo Day with a simple proxy for prior brand recognition.

Complex models are commonly used in predictive modeling. In this paper we present R packages that can be used to explain predictions from complex black box models and attribute parts of these predictions to input features. We introduce two new approaches and corresponding packages for such attribution, namely live and …

2018-04-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep learning predicts cryptocurrency price movements with 78% accuracy.

problem Predicting price formation in cryptocurrency markets with high volatility and illiquidity.
method Applied deep learning to predict mid-price changes on live tick-level cryptocurrency data.
result Achieved 78% accuracy in predicting mid-price movement of Bitcoin vs USD.

Neural networks have shown great potential in many applications like speech recognition, drug discovery, image classification, and object detection. Neural network models are inspired by biological neural networks, but they are optimized to perform machine learning tasks on digital computers. The proposed work explores…

2017-10-30abs ↗pdf ↗

PolyBench benchmarks LLMs on real market data, revealing significant performance gaps.

problem Benchmarking LLMs for real-world event prediction from live market signals.
method Multimodal benchmark derived from Polymarket, evaluating 7 LLMs under identical market states.
result Only two models achieve positive financial returns, highlighting the gap between fluency and probabilistic reasoning.

A predictor that is deployed in a live production system may perturb the features it uses to make predictions. Such a feedback loop can occur, for example, when a model that predicts a certain type of behavior ends up causing the behavior it predicts, thus creating a self-fulfilling prophecy. In this paper we analyze p…

2013-10-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Study combines chit-chat and goal-oriented dialogue in fantasy games.

problem Combining naturalistic chit-chat with goal-oriented tasks in fantasy games.
method Trained a goal-oriented model with reinforcement learning against an imitation-learned chit-chat model using two approaches.
result Both models outperform a baseline and can converse naturally to achieve goals.

A new policy minimizes loss in high-volume, short-lived multi-armed bandit problems.

problem Minimizing loss in high-volume, short-lived multi-armed bandit problems.
method Proposed a Bayesian policy to minimize loss over a large class of prior distributions.
result Our policy outperforms existing methods by 4.32% in total duration and 7.48% in total number of click-throughs.

Two-cycle GEILA equilibria are OLG equilibria and vice versa, with applications to indeterminacy and bubbles.

problem Relationship between GEILA and OLG models.
method Proof of equilibrium equivalence and application to indeterminacy and bubbles.
result GEILA and OLG models are equivalent under certain conditions.