The paper examines how loss aversion impacts multi-armed bandit decisions over long periods.
problem The impact of loss aversion on multi-armed bandit decisions over long periods.
method A new central limit theorem for measures with history-dependent variances, derived under risk aversion in gains and risk loving in losses.
result Consequences of loss aversion for asymptotic properties are derived in analytical results.
Theory integrates loss aversion into expected utility for monetary returns.
problem Modeling loss aversion in expected utility theory.
method Develops state-dependent linear utility functions incorporating loss aversion.
result Contracts from monopolists in insurance markets.
Study optimal consumption for loss-averse agents considering past spending peaks.
problem Optimal consumption for loss-averse agents with reference to past spending maximum.
method Adopted S-shaped utility, concave envelope, HJB variational inequality, dual transform, and smooth-fit conditions.
result Obtained piecewise closed-form solutions for optimal consumption and investment control.
A new portfolio model considers investor aversion to loss and risk.
problem Constructing a robust portfolio under uncertain asset returns and investor aversion.
method Distributional robust optimization (DRP) with a Wasserstein ball centered on empirical distribution, mixed-integer quadratic programming, and hybrid algorithm.
result Empirical testing shows superior performance in asset allocation compared to common strategies.
Study on optimal fees in hedge funds with first-loss compensation.
problem Determining the best fee structure for hedge funds with first-loss compensation.
method Solved the manager's non-concave utility maximization problem, calculated Pareto optimal first-loss schemes, and maximized a decision criterion on this set.
result Traditional fees are not Pareto optimal, and the preferred first-loss coverage guarantee varies with investor and market factors.
This paper analyzes optimal consumption strategies for loss-averse investors with multiplicative habit formation.
problem Optimal consumption strategies for loss-averse investors with multiplicative habit formation.
method The study uses a concave envelope of the S-shaped utility function and a nonlinear free boundary problem to analyze the HJB equation.
result The paper provides optimal consumption and investment policies in feedback form.
We enhance conformal prediction for risk-averse decisions with action-conditional guarantees.
problem Uncertainty quantification and safety guarantees for machine learning decisions.
method Action-conditional conformal prediction, pinball-loss minimization.
result Action-conditional prediction sets optimize risk-averse decision-making.
Paper proposes a risk-averse approach to energy storage price arbitrage using conformal uncertainty quantification.
problem Inherent volatility and uncertainty of real-time electricity prices create financial risks for storage arbitrage.
method Two-layer prediction model with conformal uncertainty quantification for high coverage of real-time price uncertainty.
result The framework achieves good profit margins with minimal losses, demonstrating effectiveness in real-time market.
Study of insurance market equilibria with risk-averse policyholders.
problem Analyzing optimal insurance contracts in a monopoly market with risk-averse policyholders.
method Modeling Stackelberg equilibria with a profit-maximizing insurer and a risk-averse policyholder.
result Equilibrium contracts exhibit a layer-type structure, providing full insurance over pessimistic loss layers and no coverage over optimistic ones.
Unified formula for optimal portfolio under piecewise hyperbolic risk aversion.
problem Optimizing portfolios with piecewise hyperbolic risk aversion utilities.
method Derive a unified closed-form formula for the optimal portfolio.
result Unified formula reflects risk aversion behaviors and risk-taking behaviors.
Study optimizes Bitcoin futures hedging to reduce liquidation risk.
problem Optimizing hedging strategies to minimize liquidation risk in Bitcoin futures.
method Derived a semi-closed form optimal hedging strategy considering spot and futures extreme returns, loss aversion, leverage, and collateral management.
result Optimal strategy reduces both hedged portfolio variance and liquidation probability.
Prospect theory is widely viewed as the best available descriptive model of how people evaluate risk in experimental settings. According to prospect theory, people are risk-averse with respect to gains and risk-seeking with respect to losses, a phenomenon called "loss aversion". Despite of the fact that prospect theory…
Study asset pricing with reference-dependent preferences, finding matching equity premia.
problem Understanding asset pricing under reference-dependent preferences.
method Discrete-time consumption-based capital asset pricing model with reference-dependent preferences.
result Models can generate equity premia matching empirical estimates, showing procyclical price-dividend ratio and countercyclical equity premium.
We develop a new approach to solving classification problems, which is bases on the theory of coherent measures of risk and risk sharing ideas. The proposed approach aims at designing a risk-averse classifier. The new approach allows for associating distinct risk functional to each classes. The risk may be measured by …
Investor optimizes investment and consumption under uncertain market conditions with constraints.
problem Investor optimizes investment and consumption in a stochastic environment with model uncertainty and constraints.
method Robust control problem solved using stochastic Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman-Isaacs equations, backward stochastic differential equations, and bounded mean oscillation martingale theory.
result Investor incurs utility loss when ignoring model uncertainty, and constraints impact optimal strategy and value function.
Study incentive efficiency in monopoly insurance markets with hidden information.
problem Maximizing social welfare in a monopoly insurance market with hidden agent types.
method Maximizes social welfare function subject to incentive compatibility and individual rationality constraints.
result Optimal menus of contracts depend on the level of social welfare weight and agent risk attitudes.
We introduce a representation theory for risk operations on locally compact groups in a partition of unity on a topological manifold for Markowitz-Tversky-Kahneman (MTK) reference points. We identify (1) risk torsion induced by the flip rate for risk averse and risk seeking behaviour, and (2) a structure constant or co…
This study improves credit risk management using advanced reinforcement learning.
problem Sub-optimal hedging of credit losses due to bid-ask costs and model limitations.
method Risk-averse stochastic-horizon reinforcement learning for dynamic risk management.
result Efficacy demonstrated through numerical study of a single FX forward contract portfolio.
Investors with anxiety about drawdowns may use stop-loss and trailing stops as optimal selling strategies.
problem Investors' anxiety about drawdowns affects optimal selling strategies.
method Mathematical analysis of optimal stopping with random discounting.
result Stop-loss and trailing stops can be optimal selling strategies under anxiety about drawdowns.
We provide an economic interpretation of the practice consisting in incorporating risk measures as constraints in a classic expected return maximization problem. For what we call the infimum of expectations class of risk measures, we show that if the decision maker (DM) maximizes the expectation of a random return unde…
Develops optimal trading strategy for illiquid currency pairs.
problem Maximizes revenues for a broker liquidating an illiquid currency pair.
method Uses a currency triplet strategy, considering model ambiguity, and employs simulations.
result Mean P&L increases and standard deviation decreases as ambiguity aversion increases.
This paper analyzes a game between insurer and reinsurer under ambiguity and risk aversion, optimizing reinsurance and investment strategies.
problem Optimizing reinsurance and investment strategies in a game between insurer and reinsurer under ambiguity and risk aversion.
method Stackelberg game, α-maxmin mean-variance criterion, Heston's stochastic volatility, Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations, Riccati differential equations. result Excess-of-loss reinsurance is optimal for the insurer, and the equilibrium strategies are determined by specific equations.
In high-stakes machine learning applications, it is crucial to not only perform well on average, but also when restricted to difficult examples. To address this, we consider the problem of training models in a risk-averse manner. We propose an adaptive sampling algorithm for stochastically optimizing the Conditional Va…
Optimal insurance contracts are designed to screen risk preferences and risk types under asymmetric information.
problem Designing optimal insurance contracts under asymmetric information and risk types.
method Constructing a menu of contracts that maximizes mean-variance utilities, subject to truth-telling constraints.
result Equilibrium contracts exhibit nonlinear pricing with decreasing risk loadings, inducing self-selection.
We propose to interpret distribution model risk as sensitivity of expected loss to changes in the risk factor distribution, and to measure the distribution model risk of a portfolio by the maximum expected loss over a set of plausible distributions defined in terms of some divergence from an estimated distribution. The…
We propose a risk-averse statistical learning framework wherein the performance of a learning algorithm is evaluated by the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) of losses rather than the expected loss. We devise algorithms based on stochastic gradient descent for this framework. While existing studies of CVaR optimization …
We introduce a strategic behavior in reinsurance bilateral transactions, where agents choose the risk preferences they will appear to have in the transaction. Within a wide class of risk measures, we identify agents' strategic choices to a range of risk aversion coefficients. It is shown that at the strictly beneficial…
This paper develops a model of reference-dependent assessment of subjective beliefs in which loss-averse people optimally choose the expectation as the reference point to balance the current felicity from the optimistic anticipation and the future disappointment from the realisation. The choice of over-optimism or over…
MVPI framework optimizes risk in reinforcement learning, improving performance in robot simulations.
problem Optimizing risk in reinforcement learning control problems.
method Mean-Variance Policy Iteration (MVPI) framework for risk-averse control in MDPs.
result Risk-averse TD3 outperforms previous methods in robot simulation tasks.
Different models of capital exchange among economic agents have been proposed recently trying to explain the emergence of Pareto's wealth power law distribution. One important factor to be considered is the existence of risk aversion. In this paper we study a model where agents posses different levels of risk aversion,…
A new measure quantifies how risk-averse different risk measures are.
problem Measuring the degree of risk aversion among different risk measures.
method Two axioms: normalization and linearity. Two formulas for the functional.
result Quantifies the degree of risk aversion among spectral risk measures.
A new algorithm avoids worst-case outcomes in risky contexts.
problem Risk-averse behavior in contextual bandits is challenging.
method Developed a first risk-averse contextual bandit algorithm with online regret guarantees.
result First algorithm with an online regret guarantee for risk-averse contextual bandits.
Robo-advisors estimate clients' risk aversion using interactive questionnaires.
problem Estimating risk aversion of non-expert clients using adaptive questionnaires.
method Model risk aversion with cost functions and spectral risk measures. Use inverse reinforcement learning to design questions maximizing distinguishing power.
result Designing questions by maximizing distinguishing power achieves satisfactory accuracy in learning risk aversion with fewer than 50 questions.
Risk aversion is a key element of utility maximizing hedge strategies; however, it has typically been assigned an arbitrary value in the literature. This paper instead applies a GARCH-in-Mean (GARCH-M) model to estimate a time-varying measure of risk aversion that is based on the observed risk preferences of energy hed…
The paper explores how investors make decisions under disappointment aversion, finding that they prefer not to invest.
problem Continuous-time portfolio selection under generalized disappointment aversion.
method Sufficient and necessary condition for equilibrium strategies via fully nonlinear integral equation.
result Equilibrium strategy under disappointment aversion leads to less investment in the stock market compared to classical utility theory.
Modeling informed trading with risk-averse market makers.
problem Understanding informed trading and its impact on market liquidity and risk premia.
method Connections between optimal transport theory and Kyle's model, including new characterizations of profits and duality.
result Liquidity is lower, assets exhibit short-term reversals, and risk premia depend on market maker inventories, which are mean reverting.
We introduce an interactive market setup with sequential auctions where agents receive variegated signals with a known deadline. The effects of differential information and mutual learning on the allocation of overall profit \& loss (P\&L) and the pace of price discovery are analysed. We characterise the signal-based e…
Study risk-averse insider's behavior in dynamic signal asset pricing.
problem Analyzing risk-averse insider's dynamic signal in asset pricing.
method Employing a weak conditioning methodology to construct a Schrödinger bridge, deriving necessary conditions for equilibrium.
result Derive explicit closed-form solutions for important cases.
The standard asset pricing models (the CCAPM and the Epstein-Zin non-expected utility model) counterintuitively predict that equilibrium asset prices can rise if the representative agent's risk aversion increases. If the income effect, which implies enhanced saving as a result of an increase in risk aversion, dominates…
Investigates how diversification preferences relate to risk attitudes.
problem Connecting diversification preferences to risk attitudes.
method Analyzes diversification preferences for various pairs of risks under different conditions.
result Diversification preferences for certain pairs of risks imply specific levels of risk aversion.
New formulations capture aversion to ambiguity about volatility.
problem Capturing aversion to ambiguity about unknown and time-varying volatility.
method Introduces novel preference formulations and compares them with existing models.
result Illustrates the impact of ambiguity aversion in static and dynamic models.
New insights into risk aversion for complex decision models.
problem Understanding risk aversion in non-monotone decision models.
method Characterization of probabilistic risk aversion for generalized rank-dependent functions.
result Probabilistic risk aversion is determined by the distortion function, which is convex or scaled quantile-spread mixtures.
This paper solves optimal consumption-investment choices with wealth-driven risk aversion using neural networks.
problem Optimal consumption-investment choices under wealth-driven risk aversion.
method Neural network LSTM trained on jump-diffusion model data to optimize investment rate and consumption.
result Neural network approach shows promising results in solving the investment problem.
Pari-mutuel markets are trading platforms through which the common market maker simultaneously clears multiple contingent claims markets. This market has several distinctive properties that began attracting the attention of the financial industry in the 2000s. For example, the platform aggregates liquidity from the ind…
Investigates a Kyle model with imperfect information and risk aversion.
problem Tackles a Kyle model with imperfect information and risk-averse informed traders.
method Solves an optimal transport problem and a filtering problem under specific measures.
result Constructs an equilibrium for the Gaussian Kyle model with imperfect information and risk aversion.
Deep Hedging learns optimal strategies for various risk levels.
problem Finding optimal hedging policies for diverse risk aversions.
method Continuous Reinforcement Learning with actor-critic algorithm.
result Demonstrated effectiveness in a stochastic volatility model.
Risk-averse reinforcement learning optimizes option hedging.
problem Optimizing option hedging under risk aversion and realistic market conditions.
method Applied Trust Region Volatility Optimization (TRVO) to a vanilla option hedging environment.
result The derived hedging strategy outperforms Black & Scholes and is robust to market variations.
Study adds investment gains and losses to recursive utility model, proving existence and uniqueness of utility process.
problem Existence and uniqueness of utility process in a recursive utility model with investment gains and losses.
method Generalized recursive utility model with constant elasticity of intertemporal substitution and relative risk aversion degree. Proved existence and uniqueness in a specific, finite-state Markovian setting.
result Utility process exists and is unique when agent derives nonnegative gain-loss utility, and non-existent or non-unique otherwise.