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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Long-Range Dependence

Introduces Spectral Attention for better long-range time series forecasting.

problem Challenges in capturing long-range dependencies in time series forecasting.
method Spectral Attention mechanism that preserves temporal correlations and long-range dependencies.
result Achieves state-of-the-art results on 11 real-world time series datasets.

This paper presents empirical evidence using recently developed techniques in econophysics suggesting that the degree of long-range dependence in interest rates depends on the conduct of monetary policy. We study the term structure of interest rates for the US and find evidence that global Hurst exponents change dramat…

2006-07-26abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper studies the dynamics of Brazilian interest rates for short-term maturities. The paper employs developed techniques in the econophysics literature and tests for long-range dependence in the term structure of these interest rates for the last decade. Empirical results suggest that the degree of long-range depe…

2006-07-26abs ↗pdf ↗

IGNN captures long-range graph dependencies using fixed-point equations.

problem Limited GNN ability to capture long-range graph dependencies.
method Fixed-point equilibrium equations involving implicitly defined state vectors, leveraging Perron-Frobenius theory and projected gradient descent.
result IGNN consistently captures long-range dependencies and outperforms state-of-the-art GNNs.

Regularizes RNNs to handle long-range dependencies and multiple time scales.

problem Identifying nonlinear dynamical systems with varying time scales and long-range dependencies.
method A simple regularization scheme for vanilla RNNs with ReLU activation.
result Regularized RNNs can solve long-range dependency problems and express slow time scales.

This study uses moving average cluster entropy to analyze financial market dynamics.

problem Understanding long-range dependence in financial markets.
method Moving average cluster entropy approach applied to ARFIMA and FBM processes.
result Long-range positive correlation in financial markets is linked to the cluster entropy behavior.

New model incorporates long-range dependence in mortality rates for better valuation and risk management.

problem Lack of appropriate models for valuing and managing mortality securities with long-range dependence.
method Proposes a novel class of Volterra mortality models that incorporate LRD, derived in closed-form solution.
result Models provide flexibility and tractability for valuing and hedging mortality-related products.

New neural model processes 2D data with long-range dependencies efficiently.

problem Limited receptive field of convolutions for complex 2D tasks.
method Proposes Matrix Shuffle-Exchange network with O(logn)\mathcal{O}( \log{n}) layers and O(n2logn)\mathcal{O}( n^2 \log{n}) complexity.
result Exceeds convolutional and graph neural network baselines in long-range dependency modeling.

Estimates parameters of high-dimensional Bernoulli autoregressive process with long-range dependence.

problem Estimating parameters of a multivariate Bernoulli process with auto-regressive feedback in high dimensions.
method Proposes and analyzes an 1\ell_1-regularized maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) under the assumption of approximate sparsity.
result Derives precise upper bounds on mean-squared estimation error.

Paper proposes an active learning method for surgical workflow recognition using long-range temporal dependency.

problem Challenges in automatic surgical workflow recognition due to lack of large-scale labelled datasets.
method NL-RCNet with non-local block for capturing long-range temporal dependency and intra-clip dependency score for selection.
result Our approach outperforms state-of-the-art methods by selecting only 50% of samples for training.

Develops a bi-variate stochastic framework to model mortality and interest rates with long-range dependence.

problem Captures long-range dependence and instantaneous correlation in mortality and interest rates.
method Mixed fractional Brownian motions, analytical solutions, risk-neutral measure, sequential parameter estimation.
result Explicit pricing of zero-coupon bonds and extreme mortality bonds, practical implications for pricing and risk management.

Rough Transformers improve efficiency for medical time-series data.

problem Efficiently modeling irregularly sampled, long-range time-series data.
method Introducing Rough Transformers, a Transformer variant with continuous-time representations and multi-view signature attention.
result Rough Transformers outperform vanilla Transformers while using less computational resources.

Study finds long-range dependence in financial markets, but deep generative models struggle to replicate it.

problem Long-range dependence in financial markets and challenges of deep generative models.
method Empirical analysis of financial data from three sectors, including LRD through various statistical methods and deep learning models.
result Deep generative models can reproduce stylized features but fail to capture long-range dependence structures.

Cointegration helps insurers understand long-range mortality patterns.

problem Insurers struggle to detect long-range dependence in their mortality data.
method Cointegration techniques applied to mixed fractional Brownian motion (mfBm) to capture long-range dependence.
result Cointegration brings long-range dependence information from national mortality data to insurers' models.

We review ideas on temporal dependences and recurrences in discrete time series from several areas of natural and social sciences. We revisit existing studies and redefine the relevant observables in the language of copulas (joint laws of the ranks). We propose that copulas provide an appropriate mathematical framework…

2013-11-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Investigates RI strategies for life insurers with LRD mortality rates.

problem Effect of long-range dependent mortality rates on RI strategies.
method Volterra mortality model, compound Poisson process, open-loop equilibrium mean-variance criterion.
result Explicit equilibrium RI controls derived and uniqueness studied.

Study on SA with heavy-tailed and LRD noise, establishing finite-time bounds.

problem Analyzing stochastic approximation under heavy-tailed and LRD noise.
method Noise-averaging argument to regularize impact of non-classical noise.
result Established first finite-time moment bounds for SA under heavy-tailed and LRD noise.

Forecaster uses graph Transformers to forecast spatial and time-dependent data.

problem Complex spatial and temporal dependencies in data.
method Graph Transformer architecture with sparsification for spatial and temporal dependencies.
result Forecaster significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in taxi demand forecasting.

TFiLM expands convolutional models' receptive field with minimal overhead.

problem Capturing long-range dependencies in sequential data.
method A novel architectural component using a recurrent neural network to modulate convolutional model activations.
result TFiLM significantly improves learning speed and accuracy on various tasks.

Self-attention prefers sparse functions of input sequences, reducing sample complexity.

problem Understanding the inductive biases of self-attention in modeling long-range dependencies.
method Theoretical analysis and synthetic experiments to probe sample complexity of learning sparse functions with Transformers.
result Bounded-norm Transformer networks can represent sparse functions of the input sequence with logarithmic sample complexity.

Bayesian method models financial time series with non-stationarity and dependency.

problem Discrimination between non-stationarity and long-range dependency in financial time series.
method Adaptive spectral technique using non-parametric Bayesian inference with Reversible Jump Markov Chain Monte Carlo.
result Bayesian method effectively models both long-range dependency and non-stationarity in financial time series.

Analysis of long-range dependence in financial time series was one of the initial steps of econophysics into the domain of mainstream finance and financial economics in the 1990s. Since then, many different financial series have been analyzed using the methods standardly used outside of finance to deliver some importan…

2018-06-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Neural M3 model adapts to diverse user behaviors over short and long timeframes.

problem Adapting to diverse user behaviors over short and long timeframes.
method Neural Multi-temporal-range Mixture Model (M3) combining short-term and long-term models with a learned gating mechanism.
result M3 consistently outperforms state-of-the-art sequential recommendation methods.

We propose a multiresolution Gaussian process to capture long-range, non-Markovian dependencies while allowing for abrupt changes. The multiresolution GP hierarchically couples a collection of smooth GPs, each defined over an element of a random nested partition. Long-range dependencies are captured by the top-level GP…

2012-09-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Approximates derivative pricing under fractional stochastic volatility.

problem Derivative pricing under fractional stochastic volatility model.
method Approximate expression derived from deterministic functions and fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process.
result Numerical simulations show the feasibility and effect of long-range dependencies on derivative prices.

This paper examines multifractal dynamics in cryptocurrencies using two methodologies.

problem Understanding the multifractal nature of cryptocurrencies and their stochastic processes.
method Two alternative multi-scaling methodologies applied to 84 cryptocurrencies.
result Cryptocurrencies exhibit different degrees of long-range dependence and stochastic processes.

Modeling long-range context for multi-function utterances in dialogues.

problem Complex dependencies across dialogue turns in long utterances.
method Adapted Convolutional Recurrent Neural Network (CRNN) to model interactions between utterances.
result Significantly outperforms existing work on CDA recognition on a tech forum dataset.

Geom-GCN improves graph neural networks by preserving structural information and capturing long-range dependencies.

problem Weaknesses in MPNNs' aggregators: loss of structural information and lack of long-range dependencies.
method Proposes a geometric aggregation scheme with three modules: node embedding, structural neighborhood, and bi-level aggregation.
result Achieved state-of-the-art performance on various graph datasets.