Introduces Spectral Attention for better long-range time series forecasting.
problem Challenges in capturing long-range dependencies in time series forecasting.
method Spectral Attention mechanism that preserves temporal correlations and long-range dependencies.
result Achieves state-of-the-art results on 11 real-world time series datasets.
Fractal analysis is carried out on the stock market indices of seven European countries and the US. We find evidence of long range dependence in the log return series of the Mibtel (Italy) and the PX Glob (Czech Republic). Long range dependence implies that predictable patterns in the log returns do not dissipate quick…
Improved GNN handles long-range dependencies in multi-relational graphs.
problem Vanishing gradients in GNNs for multi-relational graphs.
method Proposes a Gated Graph Neural Network with improved long-range dependency handling.
result Outperforms popular GNN models in synthetic tasks.
A new regularizer boosts long-range dependency in sequence data.
problem Improving long-range dependency in sequence data models.
method Developed a mutual information regularizer to enhance sequence learning.
result The approach increases mutual information and likelihood on holdout data.
In this paper, we present the results of Monte Carlo simulations for two popular techniques of long-range correlations detection - classical and modified rescaled range analyses. A focus is put on an effect of different distributional properties on an ability of the methods to efficiently distinguish between short and …
Novel graph neural network combines random walks with local message passing.
problem Graph neural networks struggle with long-range dependencies.
method Combines random walks with local message passing in a novel architecture.
result Significant performance improvements on graph benchmarks.
This paper presents empirical evidence using recently developed techniques in econophysics suggesting that the degree of long-range dependence in interest rates depends on the conduct of monetary policy. We study the term structure of interest rates for the US and find evidence that global Hurst exponents change dramat…
Representation and learning of long-range dependencies is a central challenge confronted in modern applications of machine learning to sequence data. Yet despite the prominence of this issue, the basic problem of measuring long-range dependence, either in a given data source or as represented in a trained deep model, r…
IGNN captures long-range graph dependencies using fixed-point equations.
problem Limited GNN ability to capture long-range graph dependencies.
method Fixed-point equilibrium equations involving implicitly defined state vectors, leveraging Perron-Frobenius theory and projected gradient descent.
result IGNN consistently captures long-range dependencies and outperforms state-of-the-art GNNs.
This paper studies the dynamics of Brazilian interest rates for short-term maturities. The paper employs developed techniques in the econophysics literature and tests for long-range dependence in the term structure of these interest rates for the last decade. Empirical results suggest that the degree of long-range depe…
Study finds long-range dependence in financial markets, but deep generative models struggle to replicate it.
problem Long-range dependence in financial markets and challenges of deep generative models.
method Empirical analysis of financial data from three sectors, including LRD through various statistical methods and deep learning models.
result Deep generative models can reproduce stylized features but fail to capture long-range dependence structures.
Understanding temporal dynamics has proved to be highly valuable for accurate recommendation. Sequential recommenders have been successful in modeling the dynamics of users and items over time. However, while different model architectures excel at capturing various temporal ranges or dynamics, distinct application cont…
This study uses moving average cluster entropy to analyze financial market dynamics.
problem Understanding long-range dependence in financial markets.
method Moving average cluster entropy approach applied to ARFIMA and FBM processes.
result Long-range positive correlation in financial markets is linked to the cluster entropy behavior.
Regularizes RNNs to handle long-range dependencies and multiple time scales.
problem Identifying nonlinear dynamical systems with varying time scales and long-range dependencies.
method A simple regularization scheme for vanilla RNNs with ReLU activation.
result Regularized RNNs can solve long-range dependency problems and express slow time scales.
Develops a bi-variate stochastic framework to model mortality and interest rates with long-range dependence.
problem Captures long-range dependence and instantaneous correlation in mortality and interest rates.
method Mixed fractional Brownian motions, analytical solutions, risk-neutral measure, sequential parameter estimation.
result Explicit pricing of zero-coupon bonds and extreme mortality bonds, practical implications for pricing and risk management.
New model incorporates long-range dependence in mortality rates for better valuation and risk management.
problem Lack of appropriate models for valuing and managing mortality securities with long-range dependence.
method Proposes a novel class of Volterra mortality models that incorporate LRD, derived in closed-form solution.
result Models provide flexibility and tractability for valuing and hedging mortality-related products.
Improved Mamba model for long-range sequence tasks.
problem Mamba's poor performance on long-range sequential tasks.
method Proposed B2S6, combining block-wise selective dynamics and channel-specific bias.
result Empirically, B2S6 outperforms S4 and S4D on LRA tasks.
DRew dynamically rewires message passing to improve long-range tasks.
problem Over-squashing in MPNNs due to local message passing.
method Layer-dependent rewiring and delay mechanism for gradual densification.
result DRew outperforms graph Transformers and multi-hop MPNNs on long-range tasks.
AR-Net models time-series with interpretable coefficients and scalability.
problem Modeling time-series with long-range dependencies and interpretability.
method Feed-forward neural network approach to AR-process dynamics.
result AR-Net learns identical AR-coefficients as Classic-AR and scales to long-range dependencies.
New neural model processes 2D data with long-range dependencies efficiently.
problem Limited receptive field of convolutions for complex 2D tasks.
method Proposes Matrix Shuffle-Exchange network with O(logn) layers and O(n2logn) complexity. result Exceeds convolutional and graph neural network baselines in long-range dependency modeling.
Paper proposes an active learning method for surgical workflow recognition using long-range temporal dependency.
problem Challenges in automatic surgical workflow recognition due to lack of large-scale labelled datasets.
method NL-RCNet with non-local block for capturing long-range temporal dependency and intra-clip dependency score for selection.
result Our approach outperforms state-of-the-art methods by selecting only 50% of samples for training.
We investigate how simultaneously recorded long-range power-law correlated multi-variate signals cross-correlate. To this end we introduce a two-component ARFIMA stochastic process and a two-component FIARCH process to generate coupled fractal signals with long-range power-law correlations which are at the same time lo…
Rough Transformers improve efficiency for medical time-series data.
problem Efficiently modeling irregularly sampled, long-range time-series data.
method Introducing Rough Transformers, a Transformer variant with continuous-time representations and multi-view signature attention.
result Rough Transformers outperform vanilla Transformers while using less computational resources.
TFiLM expands convolutional models' receptive field with minimal overhead.
problem Capturing long-range dependencies in sequential data.
method A novel architectural component using a recurrent neural network to modulate convolutional model activations.
result TFiLM significantly improves learning speed and accuracy on various tasks.
Combines PCA and message passing for better graph node embeddings.
problem Challenges of learning long-range dependencies in graph data.
method PCAPass: PCA + message passing for unsupervised node embeddings.
result Empirically shows competitive performance on node classification benchmarks.
Cointegration helps insurers understand long-range mortality patterns.
problem Insurers struggle to detect long-range dependence in their mortality data.
method Cointegration techniques applied to mixed fractional Brownian motion (mfBm) to capture long-range dependence.
result Cointegration brings long-range dependence information from national mortality data to insurers' models.
We review ideas on temporal dependences and recurrences in discrete time series from several areas of natural and social sciences. We revisit existing studies and redefine the relevant observables in the language of copulas (joint laws of the ranks). We propose that copulas provide an appropriate mathematical framework…
Transformer model improves source code summarization.
problem Generating readable summaries of source code.
method Transformer model with self-attention mechanism for code representation.
result Transformer model outperforms state-of-the-art techniques.
Investigates RI strategies for life insurers with LRD mortality rates.
problem Effect of long-range dependent mortality rates on RI strategies.
method Volterra mortality model, compound Poisson process, open-loop equilibrium mean-variance criterion.
result Explicit equilibrium RI controls derived and uniqueness studied.
Study on SA with heavy-tailed and LRD noise, establishing finite-time bounds.
problem Analyzing stochastic approximation under heavy-tailed and LRD noise.
method Noise-averaging argument to regularize impact of non-classical noise.
result Established first finite-time moment bounds for SA under heavy-tailed and LRD noise.
Estimates LRD in sequential data, improving RNNs.
problem Quantifying LRD in sequential data for better RNNs.
method Principled estimation procedure based on LRD theory for real-valued time series.
result Estimates LRD reliably in user behavior and Wikipedia article writing.
Self-attention prefers sparse functions of input sequences, reducing sample complexity.
problem Understanding the inductive biases of self-attention in modeling long-range dependencies.
method Theoretical analysis and synthetic experiments to probe sample complexity of learning sparse functions with Transformers.
result Bounded-norm Transformer networks can represent sparse functions of the input sequence with logarithmic sample complexity.
Discrimination between non-stationarity and long-range dependency is a difficult and long-standing issue in modelling financial time series. This paper uses an adaptive spectral technique which jointly models the non-stationarity and dependency of financial time series in a non-parametric fashion assuming that the time…
Forecaster uses graph Transformers to forecast spatial and time-dependent data.
problem Complex spatial and temporal dependencies in data.
method Graph Transformer architecture with sparsification for spatial and temporal dependencies.
result Forecaster significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in taxi demand forecasting.
Improved BN-S model for crude oil price analysis using machine learning.
problem Limitations of the BN-S model, especially lack of long-range dependence.
method Refined BN-S model with machine learning algorithms.
result The refined model is more efficient and has fewer parameters.
Analysis of long-range dependence in financial time series was one of the initial steps of econophysics into the domain of mainstream finance and financial economics in the 1990s. Since then, many different financial series have been analyzed using the methods standardly used outside of finance to deliver some importan…
Modeling long-range context for multi-function utterances in dialogues.
problem Complex dependencies across dialogue turns in long utterances.
method Adapted Convolutional Recurrent Neural Network (CRNN) to model interactions between utterances.
result Significantly outperforms existing work on CDA recognition on a tech forum dataset.
MelNet generates high-fidelity audio with long-range structure.
problem Capturing long-range dependencies in audio waveforms.
method Generative model in frequency domain, leveraging spectrograms.
result Improves audio generation in various tasks.
NeuroMemFPP uses LSTM to estimate FPP parameters with high accuracy.
problem Estimating parameters of fractional Poisson process with memory and long-range dependence.
method Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), specifically Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), for parameter estimation.
result The LSTM-based approach reduces MSE by about 55.3% compared to traditional MOM method.
In this paper, we propose TopicRNN, a recurrent neural network (RNN)-based language model designed to directly capture the global semantic meaning relating words in a document via latent topics. Because of their sequential nature, RNNs are good at capturing the local structure of a word sequence - both semantic and syn…
We present the mixture-of-parents maximum entropy Markov model (MoP-MEMM), a class of directed graphical models extending MEMMs. The MoP-MEMM allows tractable incorporation of long-range dependencies between nodes by restricting the conditional distribution of each node to be a mixture of distributions given the parent…
Geom-GCN improves graph neural networks by preserving structural information and capturing long-range dependencies.
problem Weaknesses in MPNNs' aggregators: loss of structural information and lack of long-range dependencies.
method Proposes a geometric aggregation scheme with three modules: node embedding, structural neighborhood, and bi-level aggregation.
result Achieved state-of-the-art performance on various graph datasets.
This paper uses SPk languages to explore LDD characteristics and multi-element dependencies.
problem Understanding and modeling Long Distance Dependencies (LDDs) with multi-element interactions.
method Generated datasets with various properties using Strictly k-Piecewise languages, analyzed using mutual information.
result The number of interacting elements in a dependency is a key characteristic of LDDs.
Deep neural networks estimate long memory parameters efficiently.
problem Estimating long memory parameters in stochastic processes.
method Scale-invariant 1D Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models trained with synthetic data.
result Neural models outperform conventional methods in precision, speed, consistency, and robustness.
A new algorithm for restless bandits handles long-range dependencies.
problem Generalization of linear bandits with time-dependent parameters.
method LinMix-UCB algorithm with Berbee's coupling lemma.
result Sub-linear regret of $\mathcal{O}\left(\sqrt{d n\mathrm{polylog}(n) }
ight)$.
Study homotopy groups of spaces of long links and knots, finding new generators.
problem Understanding homotopy groups of spaces of long links and knots.
method Graphing map increases dimensions, split injections from homotopy groups of spheres, and analyzing knotting effects.
result Generators for homotopy groups in a new degree for spaces of equidimensional long links.
We propose a multiresolution Gaussian process to capture long-range, non-Markovian dependencies while allowing for abrupt changes. The multiresolution GP hierarchically couples a collection of smooth GPs, each defined over an element of a random nested partition. Long-range dependencies are captured by the top-level GP…
We examine the scaling regime for the detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) - the most popular method used to detect the presence of long memory in data and the fractal structure of time series. First, the scaling range for DFA is studied for uncorrelated data as a function of length L of time series and regression li…