Study robust linear regression without distributional assumptions for heavy-tailed responses.
problem Linear regression with heavy-tailed responses and no distributional assumptions.
method Combining truncated least squares, median-of-means, and aggregation theory to construct a non-linear estimator.
result Achieves excess risk of order d/n with optimal sub-exponential tail. In this paper, we study the price responsiveness of electricity consumption from empirical commercial and industrial load data obtained from Texas. Employing a dynamical system perspective, we show that price responsive demand can be modeled as a hybrid of a Hammerstein model with delay following a price surge, and a l…
New geometric theory explains nonuniform origami responses.
problem Understanding nonuniform responses in origami sheets.
method Purely geometric continuum theory capturing nonuniform, nonlinear response.
result Three modes govern nonuniform response, varying smoothly across the sheet.
Objects are represented in sensory systems by continuous manifolds due to sensitivity of neuronal responses to changes in physical features such as location, orientation, and intensity. What makes certain sensory representations better suited for invariant decoding of objects by downstream networks? We present a theory…
Paper investigates optimal interpolation methods in linear regression.
problem Understanding when interpolating methods generalize well in linear regression.
method Investigates optimal response-linear interpolators using functions linear in the response variable.
result Provides a closed-form expression for the optimal interpolator and shows it can be derived as the limit of gradient descent.
A new model for complex cells accounts for insensitivity to image shifts.
problem Complex cells' response to image shifts.
method Linear combination of Gaussian derivatives at a single position.
result Maximum response insensitive to small shifts of the image.
The paper provides risk bounds for learning many response functions using linear regression.
problem Learning many response functions from a single dataset.
method Ordinary least squares regression in a high-dimensional feature space.
result Convergence guarantees on worst-case excess prediction risk for infinite response functions with finite VC dimension.
Statistical properties of order-driven double-auction markets with Bid-Ask spread are investigated through the dynamical quantities such as response function. We first attempt to utilize the so-called {\it Madhavan-Richardson-Roomans model} (MRR for short) to simulate the stochastic process of the price-change in empir…
LaRT models LLMs' response accuracy and CoT length to evaluate reasoning ability and speed.
problem Valid evaluation of Large Language Models (LLMs) via response accuracy and chain-of-thought length.
method Introduces Latency-Response Theory (LaRT) to jointly model response accuracy and CoT length using latent ability and latent speed.
result LaRT yields higher estimation accuracy and shorter confidence intervals for latent traits compared to IRT.
Estimates personalized treatment response curves using covariates.
problem Flexible estimation of personalized treatment response curves.
method Sieve based nonparametric estimator of smoothed regimen-response curve function.
result Asymptotic linearity and undersmoothing criteria for efficient estimation.
Mean Field Variational Bayes (MFVB) is a popular posterior approximation method due to its fast runtime on large-scale data sets. However, it is well known that a major failing of MFVB is its (sometimes severe) underestimates of the uncertainty of model variables and lack of information about model variable covariance.…
Item response theory (IRT) is a non-linear generative probabilistic paradigm for using exams to identify, quantify, and compare latent traits of individuals, relative to their peers, within a population of interest. In pre-existing multidimensional IRT methods, one requires a factorization of the test items. For this t…
Theory for soft-margin classifiers on object manifolds.
problem Classifying object manifolds with variability.
method Mean-field theory of soft-margin classifiers applied to object manifolds.
result Prediction of classification errors and their dependence on regularization.
Proposes a new random forest weighted local Fréchet regression method.
problem Complex metric space valued responses and curse of dimensionality in Fréchet regression.
method Locally adaptive kernel generated by random forests for local average and local linear Fréchet regression.
result Significantly improves existing Fréchet regression methods with theoretical guarantees.
We simplify complex regression coefficients using linearization and feature comparison.
problem Interpreting high-dimensional regression coefficients from nonlinear responses.
method Developed a linearization method to derive feature coefficients and compare them with regression coefficients.
result Shows how regression coefficients relate to linearized feature coefficients and how they change under regularization.
Inference methods are often formulated as variational approximations: these approximations allow easy evaluation of statistics by marginalization or linear response, but these estimates can be inconsistent. We show that by introducing constraints on covariance, one can ensure consistency of linear response with the var…
The standard linear and logistic regression models assume that the response variables are independent, but share the same linear relationship to their corresponding vectors of covariates. The assumption that the response variables are independent is, however, too strong. In many applications, these responses are collec…
Faster, more accurate IRT model for large datasets.
problem Speed and accuracy challenges in fitting IRT models to large datasets.
method Variational Bayesian inference for IRT models.
result Higher log likelihoods and improved missing data imputation.
Paper uses SLT to improve model selection for SHM.
problem Model selection for SHM using data-based systems.
method Utilizes Statistical Learning Theory to rigorously estimate generalisation.
result Incorporating domain knowledge improves model generalisation.
We present function preserving projections (FPP), a scalable linear projection technique for discovering interpretable relationships in high-dimensional data. Conventional dimension reduction methods aim to maximally preserve the global and/or local geometric structure of a dataset. However, in practice one is often mo…
Optimum in Convex Hulls (OCH) generalizes clinical trial results to broader populations.
problem Clinical trials exclude confounding but limit recruitment; observational data are more inclusive but suffer from confounding.
method OCH uses convex hulls of conditional expectations or densities to approximate the true treatment effect from both observational and trial data.
result OCH estimates the treatment effect with state-of-the-art accuracy in terms of both expectations and densities.
The study uses response theory to understand RNNs processing input signals.
problem Understanding how RNNs process sequential data.
method Deriving a Volterra series representation for SRNNs output using response theory from nonequilibrium statistical mechanics.
result SRNNs can be viewed as kernel machines operating on a reproducing kernel Hilbert space associated with the response feature.
This paper compares two loss functions for learning from aggregated responses and introduces an interpolating estimator.
problem Learning from aggregated responses in privacy-sensitive settings.
method Investigates bag-level and instance-level loss functions, and introduces an interpolating estimator.
result Instance-level loss can be seen as a regularized form of bag-level loss, leading to improved estimators.
Eigen component analysis combines quantum mechanics with machine learning for efficient data analysis.
problem Efficiently extracting linearly separable components from complex data.
method Eigen component analysis (ECA) incorporates quantum mechanics principles into linear learning models.
result ECA outperforms classical linear models and can be integrated with deep neural networks.
A new neural network model uses polynomial chaos theory to improve neural signal processing.
problem Redundant neural signal representation in DANNs.
method Employing arbitrary polynomial chaos theory to construct orthonormal representations in DANNs.
result Improves neural signal processing by reducing redundancy and enhancing orthogonality.
Kernel models learn low-dimensional predictive subspaces from input data.
problem Learning effective feature transformations in kernel models.
method Study of a compositional kernel ridge regression model.
result Global minimizers of the objective function identify the subspace with high probability.
Extends RRR to capture nonlinear interactions in multi-response regression.
problem Complex relationships in real-world data cannot be adequately modeled by linear interactions.
method Introduces Higher Order Reduced Rank Regression (HORRR) using tensor representations and Tucker decomposition.
result HORRR can capture nonlinear interactions in multi-response regression.
Develops a new theory for neural systems stability and width effects.
problem Stability and finite-width effects in deep neural systems.
method Gauge-covariant stochastic effective field theory using classical commuting fields.
result Predicts the edge of chaos and low-frequency spectral deformation.
Enhances preference learning by incorporating response times into binary choices.
problem Limited information from binary choices about preference strength.
method Combines choices and response times using the EZ diffusion model.
result Response times improve utility estimation for strong preferences.
Mean field variational Bayes (MFVB) is a popular posterior approximation method due to its fast runtime on large-scale data sets. However, it is well known that a major failing of MFVB is that it underestimates the uncertainty of model variables (sometimes severely) and provides no information about model variable cova…
In this paper we formulate a geometric theory of the mechanics of growing solids. Bulk growth is modeled by a material manifold with an evolving metric. Time dependence of metric represents the evolution of the stress-free (natural) configuration of the body in response to changes in mass density and "shape". We show t…
Objective: Predict individual septic children's personalized physiologic responses to vasoactive titrations by training a Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) using EMR data. Materials and Methods: This study retrospectively analyzed EMR of patients admitted to a pediatric ICU from 2009 to 2017. Data included charted time se…
New algorithm speeds up IRT model fitting for large datasets.
problem Inefficient algorithms for fitting Item Response Theory models to large datasets.
method Stochastic Variational Inference for IRT models.
result Higher log likelihoods and accuracy in imputing missing data.
This article considers algorithmic and statistical aspects of linear regression when the correspondence between the covariates and the responses is unknown. First, a fully polynomial-time approximation scheme is given for the natural least squares optimization problem in any constant dimension. Next, in an average-case…
Analyzing real data on international trade covering the time interval 1950-2000, we show that in each year over the analyzed period the network is a typical representative of the ensemble of maximally random weighted networks, whose directed connections (bilateral trade volumes) are only characterized by the product of…
Study on recovering sparse linear classifiers from mixed binary responses.
problem Learning a mixture of sparse linear classifiers from binary responses.
method Query-based approach to identify all sparse vectors from a set.
result Upper bounds on the number of queries required for recovery.
We study the following basic machine learning task: Given a fixed set of d-dimensional input points for a linear regression problem, we wish to predict a hidden response value for each of the points. We can only afford to attain the responses for a small subset of the points that are then used to construct linear pre…
The paper reformulates regression in infinite dimensions as an inverse problem, showing it's equivalent to compact inverse problems.
problem Learning a linear operator between Hilbert spaces from empirical observations.
method Reformulates regression as an inverse problem, proving equivalence to compact inverse problems under specific conditions.
result The inverse problem is equivalent to compact inverse problems in terms of spectral properties and regularisation theory.
Quantum connections replace metrics with operator inner products.
problem Quantifying geometric properties in quantum systems.
method Defining quantum connections and duals using operator fields and inner products.
result Holonomy and dual connections are equivalent in quantum geometry.
New Bayesian method for sparse multidimensional item response theory.
problem Sparse interpretable explanations for questionnaire data.
method Bayesian EM algorithm for sparse factor loadings.
result Reliable recovery of factor dimensionality and latent structure.
Interpretable text-response modelling for structured outcomes
problem Predicting structured responses alongside textual data
method Joint non-negative matrix factorisation and binomial regression
result Recovering stable response-relevant textual signals
Study presents MMC model for better fitting multiple choice data.
problem Improving accuracy of latent trait estimates in IRT models.
method Fit autoencoders to MMC model, demonstrating better fit than nominal response model.
result MMC model outperforms traditional IRT models in fit.
Study learns linear utility functions from comparisons, showing learnability gaps between passive and active learning.
problem Learn linear utility functions from pairwise comparison queries.
method Analyzes passive and active learning settings, considering noise-free and noisy query responses.
result Efficient learnability of linear utilities in passive learning, but not for utility parameters without strong assumptions.
Unified framework for estimating reward functions in competitive games.
problem Estimating unknown reward functions in competitive games.
method Unified framework with entropy regularization for reward function recovery.
result Strong theoretical guarantees and practical effectiveness demonstrated.
Mean field variational Bayes (MFVB) is a popular posterior approximation method due to its fast runtime on large-scale data sets. However, it is well known that a major failing of MFVB is that it underestimates the uncertainty of model variables (sometimes severely) and provides no information about model variable cova…
We propose methods for estimating correspondence between two point sets under the presence of outliers in both the source and target sets. The proposed algorithms expand upon the theory of the regression without correspondence problem to estimate transformation coefficients using unordered multisets of covariates and r…
New neural network models for complex functional data analysis.
problem Complex relations between functional predictors and responses.
method Function-on-Function regression models using neural networks with continuous hidden layers.
result Demonstrated power and flexibility in handling complex functional models.
The paper presents a machine learning approach to multidimensional item response theory.
problem Modeling and predicting student performance from assessment data.
method Inspired by collaborative filtering, the paper defines a general class of models using penalized joint maximum likelihood (JML) for estimation and cross-validation for model selection.
result The high-dimensional model fit to large and sparse data does not lend itself well to traditional factor interpretation.