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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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181362542723 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Latent factor estimation

Proposes MD-LiNA for multi-domain latent factor causal discovery.

problem Discovering causal structures among latent factors from multi-domain data.
method Multi-Domain Linear Non-Gaussian Acyclic Models (MD-LiNA) with an integrated two-phase algorithm.
result Locally consistent estimators of causal structure among shared latent factors.

New method disentangles latent factors for better treatment effect estimation.

problem Estimating treatment effects from observational data when confounders are not the only variables.
method Variational inference to disentangle latent factors into instrumental, confounding, and risk factors.
result The method improves treatment effect estimation accuracy on various datasets.

A novel disentangled graph autoencoder improves treatment effect estimation from networked observational data.

problem Treatment effect estimation from observational data is challenging due to unconfoundedness assumption and latent confounders.
method Proposes a disentangled variational graph autoencoder to disentangle latent factors and enforce factor independence.
result Extensive experiments show superior performance compared to state-of-the-art approaches.

New method estimates latent gene expression factors without overlap with known confounders.

problem Estimating latent variance components in gene expression data with known confounders.
method Restricted maximum-likelihood method maximizing likelihood on orthogonal subspace.
result Method reduces runtime and attains greater likelihood values than gradient-based optimizers.

Paper develops a new estimator for high-dimensional panel data with common shocks.

problem Cross-sectionally dependent errors driven by common shocks in high-dimensional panel data.
method Factor-augmented sparse-group LASSO estimator combining MIDAS aggregation with latent factors.
result The estimator outperforms standard LASSO for prediction and estimation in settings with cross-sectional dependence.

Interventional data helps identify latent factors without distributional assumptions.

problem Identifying latent factors from interventional data without distributional assumptions.
method Leveraging geometric signatures of latent factors' support from interventional data.
result Latent causal factors can be identified up to permutation and scaling given data from perfect do-interventions.

Estimates crypto risk premia using hidden factors and finds significant integration with traditional markets.

problem Estimating risk premia in cryptocurrency returns.
method Giglio-Xiu (2021) three-pass approach, controlling for latent factors and non-tradable state variables.
result Latent factors significantly impact crypto returns, highlighting the importance of controlling for unobserved risks.

Scalable approach for high-dimensional dynamical systems with noise filtering and parameter estimation.

problem Noise filtering and parameter estimation for high-dimensional dynamical systems.
method Flexible latent factor model with orthogonal factor loading matrix and closed-form parameter estimation.
result Substantial acceleration and higher accuracy compared to alternatives.

This paper uses Factored Latent Analysis (FLA) to learn a factorized, segmental representation for observations of tracked objects over time. Factored Latent Analysis is latent class analysis in which the observation space is subdivided and each aspect of the original space is represented by a separate latent class mod…

2012-07-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes C-STM for multimodal neuroimaging data classification.

problem Multimodal neuroimaging data fusion for better classification.
method Coupled Support Tensor Machine (C-STM) using latent factors from ACMTF.
result C-STM achieves better classification performance than single-mode classifiers.

Develops a dynamic latent-factor model for high-dimensional asset characteristics.

problem Estimating asset pricing tests with high-dimensional data.
method Dynamic latent-factor model with Double Selection Lasso regularization.
result The inflation-mimicking portfolio in the crypto asset class has positive risk compensation.

ATLAS separates invariant and transferable latent factors across diverse environments.

problem Transfer learning and robust prediction in heterogeneous environments.
method ATLAS leverages invariance principle to disentangle latent factors and uses auxiliary labels for robust prediction.
result Near-oracle performance and robust transferable prediction in new environments.

FOCUS method forecasts counterfactuals in panel data with time series dynamics.

problem Forecasting unobserved potential outcomes in causal inference with missing entries and latent factors.
method FOCUS extends matrix completion methods by leveraging time series dynamics of latent factors.
result FOCUS method outperforms existing benchmarks in predicting future counterfactuals.

New method for high-dimensional manifold-based inference tackles latent responses.

problem Inference on latent right factor vectors in multi-task learning with large numbers of responses and features.
method SOFARI-R method with two variants: one for strongly orthogonal factors and another for weakly orthogonal factors.
result Bias-corrected estimators for latent right factor vectors with asymptotically normal distributions and justified asymptotic variance estimates.

SOFARI improves inference on multi-task learning latent factors.

problem Challenges in precise inference on multi-task learning latent factor matrices.
method High-dimensional manifold-based Neyman near-orthogonality inference on Stiefel manifold structure.
result Easy-to-use bias-corrected estimators for latent factor vectors and singular values with asymptotic normal distributions.

Model-based collaborative filtering analyzes user-item interactions to infer latent factors that represent user preferences and item characteristics in order to predict future interactions. Most collaborative filtering algorithms assume that these latent factors are static, although it has been shown that user preferen…

2016-08-17abs ↗pdf ↗

New theory for PCA under weak latent factors, improving inference and testing.

problem Statistical inference for PCA with weak latent factors and cross-sectional dependence.
method Comprehensive estimation and inference theory for PCA under nearly minimal factor strength, non-asymptotic.
result Asymptotic normality of PCA-based estimator for NTN\asymp T with SNR growth rate.

The paper optimizes portfolios using MACD signals derived from price history.

problem Optimizing risky asset portfolios with latent mean-reverting and momentum factors.
method Derives optimal strategies based on MACD signals from EMA processes.
result Establishes admissibility and verification of optimal strategies.

The paper develops a new model for high-dimensional spatial arbitrage pricing.

problem Estimating spatial interactions in high-dimensional asset pricing.
method Integrates spatial interactions with multi-factor analysis using generalized shrinkage Yule-Walker (SYW) estimation.
result Established asymptotic properties for high-dimensional spatial arbitrage pricing models.

The paper explores indeterminacy in latent factor projections and its implications for data representation.

problem Indeterminacy in latent factor projections and its implications for data representation.
method Analyzes the fundamental problem of indeterminacy in latent factor projections and discusses its implications for data representation.
result Latent factor determinacy across all facets is achieved when the feature-dimension grows to infinity.

New method for disentangling latent factors with sparse dependencies.

problem Disentangling latent factors from observed variables and past factors.
method Mechanism sparsity regularization and sparse causal graphical model.
result Identifiability of latent factors up to a sparse causal graph.

New method identifies latent causal factors from observational data alone.

problem Identifying latent causal factors without interventions or graphical restrictions.
method Characterization of latent factors in nonlinear causal models with additive Gaussian noise and linear mixing, using a practical algorithm based on solving a quadratic program over observed data.
result Latent causal variables can be identified up to a layer-wise transformation, and further disentanglement is not possible.

Study uses a bivariate model to price crude oil futures.

problem Pricing crude oil futures using latent factors and state-space models.
method Modelled short and long term factors as OU processes, estimated using Kalman Filter and maximised Gaussian likelihood.
result Successfully estimated model parameters and factors from WTI Crude Oil NYMEX futures data.

New method for estimating financial covariance matrices efficiently.

problem Noisy covariance matrix estimation in high-dimensional financial data.
method Cluster financial time series into groups, apply shrinkage to ensure positive definiteness.
result Proposed methods provide reliable estimates and outperform other estimators.

HireVAE adapts to market regimes for online stock prediction.

problem Building an online and adaptive factor model for stock prediction.
method HireVAE uses a hierarchical latent space to estimate latent factors from historical market information.
result HireVAE outperforms previous methods in active returns across benchmarks.

The paper proposes methods for predicting missing values in mixed data matrices.

problem Matrix completion for mixed data types (continuous, binary, ordinal).
method Generalized latent factor models for low-rank matrix estimation with entrywise consistency.
result Tight probabilistic error bounds for the proposed estimators.

Paper identifies latent factors from noisy measurements using tensor decomposition.

problem Identification of latent factors from noisy, correlated measurements.
method Tensor decomposition of third order cross moments, Kruskal theorem, Kotlarski identity, generalized Kruskal rank.
result Full distribution of latent factors and measurement errors identified without injective measurements.

New method estimates covariance in multi-view data with better accuracy and uncertainty.

problem Estimating covariance in multi-view data with shared and view-specific latent factors.
method Spectral decompositions and conditional conjugate priors for factor loadings and residual variances.
result Proves favorable asymptotic properties and excellent performance in simulations and real data.

Kernel Three-Pass Regression Filter improves forecasting efficiency for nonlinear dependencies.

problem Forecasting with high-dimensional predictors and latent factors.
method Developed a new estimator, Kernel Three-Pass Regression Filter (K3PRF), to address nonlinear dependencies.
result Empirically shows significant improvement in long-term forecasting performance.

Paper presents a framework for learning generative models with structured latent factors.

problem Learning controllable and generalizable representations of multivariate data with desired structural properties.
method The paper introduces a novel generative model framework that uses mask variables to model dependency structure and extends the multivariate information bottleneck theory.
result The framework learns semantically meaningful latent factors that reflect various desired structures and can automatically estimate dependency structure from data.

Proposes a VAE variant for ordinal content factors.

problem Isolating ordinal-valued content factors in deep latent variable models.
method Introduces a partially ordered set (poset) structure and a conditional Gaussian spacing prior model.
result Significant improvements in content-style separation over previous non-ordinal approaches.

GIV methodology extends instrumental variable estimation for high-dimensional data.

problem Estimating structural parameters in high-dimensional models with endogeneity and latent factors.
method Extends GIV methodology to large N and T, treats factors and loadings as unknown, and uses additional instruments for efficiency.
result Efficiency gains and negligible sampling errors in estimated instrument and factors.