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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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81162242323 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Latent Variable MOGP

Jointly models cause-of-death mortality rates across multiple countries and genders.

problem Modeling cause-of-death mortality rates in a multinational setting.
method Multi-Output Gaussian Processes (MOGP) with Kronecker-structured kernels and latent factors.
result Efficiently captures heterogeneity and dependence across different factor inputs.

Early approaches to multiple-output Gaussian processes (MOGPs) relied on linear combinations of independent, latent, single-output Gaussian processes (GPs). This resulted in cross-covariance functions with limited parametric interpretation, thus conflicting with the ability of single-output GPs to understand lengthscal…

2017-09-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a Bayesian federated learning method for diverse tasks.

problem Current federated learning approaches focus on homogeneous tasks, ignoring task diversity.
method Integrates multi-task learning with MOGP at the local level and federated learning at the global level.
result Demonstrates superior predictive performance and uncertainty calibration on diverse tasks.

Multi-output Gaussian processes (MOGPs) are an extension of Gaussian Processes (GPs) for predicting multiple output variables (also called channels, tasks) simultaneously. In this paper we use the convolution theorem to design a new kernel for MOGPs, by modeling cross channel dependencies through cross convolution of t…

2018-08-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Multi-output Gaussian processes (MOGPs) leverage the flexibility and interpretability of GPs while capturing structure across outputs, which is desirable, for example, in spatio-temporal modelling. The key problem with MOGPs is their computational scaling O(n3p3)O(n^3 p^3), which is cubic in the number of both inputs nn (e…

2019-11-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper extends multi-task Gaussian Cox processes for heterogeneous tasks.

problem Modeling multiple heterogeneous correlated tasks jointly.
method Data augmentation and mean-field approximation for non-conjugate Bayesian inference.
result Demonstrates improved performance and inference on synthetic and real data.

New method fuses optical and SAR data to fill LAI gaps during cloudy periods.

problem Cloudy periods mask key crop growth stages, leading to unreliable yield predictions.
method Multi-Output Gaussian Process (MOGP) regression for fusing Sentinel-1 RVI and Sentinel-2 LAI time series.
result MOGP provides improved LAI estimations even during cloudy periods, especially for long gaps.

This paper addresses the problem of active learning of a multi-output Gaussian process (MOGP) model representing multiple types of coexisting correlated environmental phenomena. In contrast to existing works, our active learning problem involves selecting not just the most informative sampling locations to be observed …

2015-11-21abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper presents novel mixed-type Bayesian optimization (BO) algorithms to accelerate the optimization of a target objective function by exploiting correlated auxiliary information of binary type that can be more cheaply obtained, such as in policy search for reinforcement learning and hyperparameter tuning of machi…

2019-06-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Study of deep neural networks with dependent weights leading to new model limits and properties.

problem Characterizing deep neural networks with dependent weights in the infinite-width limit.
method Modeling weights as a mixture of Gaussian distributions and analyzing the infinite-width limit.
result Characterization of neural network layers by scalar parameters and Lévy measures, leading to new model limits.

Researchers identify latent variables and causal structures from nonlinear hierarchical models.

problem Challenging task of identifying latent variables and causal structures from observational data, especially when relationships are nonlinear.
method Investigated nonlinear latent hierarchical causal models, developed identification criterion, and constructed an estimation procedure.
result Identifiability of causal structures and latent variables achieved under mild assumptions.

A neural network finds causal relationships among latent variables.

problem Learning causal structure among latent variables in high-dimensional data.
method Redundant Input Neural Network (RINN) with modified architecture and regularized objective function.
result The RINN method successfully recovers latent causal structure between input and output variables.

New method identifies latent causal variables from observed data, overcoming indeterminacies.

problem Identifying latent causal variables from observed data, especially when latent variables are weight-variant.
method Introduces a novel identifiability condition for latent causal models, proposing SuaVE method.
result Identifies latent causal variables up to trivial permutation and scaling, demonstrating consistency and efficacy.

New method identifies latent relationships in deep models without additional constraints.

problem Latent representations in deep latent variable models are not statistically identifiable.
method Identifies relationships between latent variables (distances, angles, volumes) under mild model conditions.
result Empirically demonstrates more reliable latent distances without additional labeled data.

New method for fitting graphical models with latent variables using regularized conditional likelihood.

problem Graphical modeling with latent variables and confounding dependencies.
method Regularized conditional likelihood for exponential family graphical models.
result Framework applicable to broader settings without knowing latent variables' distribution.

Method evaluates disentanglement in DLVMs, including those not aligned with latent axes.

problem Evaluate disentanglement in DLVMs, especially those not aligned with latent axes.
method Proposes a statistical method to discover generative factors of a dataset.
result Empirically demonstrates the advantage of the method on two datasets.

New method learns graphical models with latent variables for extreme events.

problem Learning graphical models with latent variables for multivariate extremes.
method Tractable convex program exttt{eglatent} for Hüsler-Reiss models.
result Consistently recovers conditional graph and latent variables.

DSVNP uses global and local latent variables for improved neural process predictions.

problem Limited expressiveness of vanilla neural processes in capturing target-specific local variation.
method Introduces DSVNP combining global and local latent variables for prediction.
result Competitive prediction performance in multi-output regression and uncertainty estimation.

Paper relaxes identifiability conditions for causal models with latent variables.

problem Challenges in identifying causal graphical models with latent variables.
method Proposes a double triangular graphical condition for nonparametric measurement models with binary latent variables.
result Guarantees identifiability of the entire causal graphical model under relaxed conditions.

Develops a method to identify causal effects in linear models with latent variables.

problem Identifying causal effects in models with latent variables that are not independent.
method A novel graphical criterion and an integer linear program algorithm.
result Sufficient condition for identifying causal effects by rational formulas in the covariance matrix.

The causal discovery of Bayesian networks is an active and important research area, and it is based upon searching the space of causal models for those which can best explain a pattern of probabilistic dependencies shown in the data. However, some of those dependencies are generated by causal structures involving varia…

2016-07-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a new method to identify causal graphs with latent variables using higher-order cumulants.

problem Estimating causal directed acyclic graphs with latent confounders.
method Uses higher-order cumulants to identify causal structures among observed and latent variables.
result Validates the proposed algorithm through simulations and real-world data.

The paper identifies causal effects in latent variable models using higher-order cumulants.

problem Challenges in identifying causal effects in latent variable models with latent confounders.
method Using higher-order cumulants, the paper addresses two challenging setups: a single proxy variable and underspecified instrumental variables.
result Causal effects are identifiable with a single proxy or instrument.

The paper tackles causal disentanglement with linear models and interventions.

problem Identify latent variables in a causal model from observed data.
method Use linear transformations and interventions to uniquely identify latent variables.
result A single intervention on each latent variable is sufficient for identifying the latent causal model.

We analyze the necessary and sufficient conditions for exact inference of a latent model. In latent models, each entity is associated with a latent variable following some probability distribution. The challenging question we try to solve is: can we perform exact inference without observing the latent variables, even w…

2019-01-28abs ↗pdf ↗

CIPNN model tackles continuous latent variables, solving intractable posterior problems.

problem Solving intractable posterior calculation for continuous latent variables.
method Derives analytical solution for posterior of continuous latent variables, proposes CIPNN and CIPAE.
result CIPNN model demonstrates great classification capability, solving problems for continuous latent variables.

Latent variable models improve RL by facilitating efficient learning and exploration.

problem Improving sample efficiency in reinforcement learning.
method Representation view of latent variable models for state-action value functions, incorporating kernel embeddings and UCB exploration.
result Established sample complexity of the proposed approach in online and offline settings, demonstrated superior performance in benchmarks.

A new method reduces variance in training discrete latent variable models.

problem High variance in stochastic gradient estimators for discrete latent variable models.
method Double control variates for score function estimators using Taylor expansions.
result Our method can have lower variance compared to other estimators.

New method identifies latent variables with causal dependencies from observed data.

problem Identify latent variables with causal relationships from observed data.
method Linear causal disentanglement via higher-order cumulants, with perfect and soft interventions.
result Recovery of parameters via coupled tensor decomposition and polynomial equations.