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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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2.0%4.1%6.1%8.2% · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for Latent Instruments

The paper identifies causal effects in latent variable models using higher-order cumulants.

problem Challenges in identifying causal effects in latent variable models with latent confounders.
method Using higher-order cumulants, the paper addresses two challenging setups: a single proxy variable and underspecified instrumental variables.
result Causal effects are identifiable with a single proxy or instrument.

Paper proposes CIV estimator for categorical instruments in small sample settings.

problem Estimation with categorical instruments in settings with few observations per category.
method CIV estimator leveraging regularization assumption for latent categorical variable.
result CIV estimator is asymptotically normal, efficient, and semiparametrically efficient under homoskedasticity.

ZNet learns instrumental representations from covariates for causal inference.

problem Lack of valid instruments in observational studies.
method Representation learning approach that constructs instrumental representations from observed covariates.
result ZNet enables IV-based estimation without explicit instruments.

BGM-IV uses AI to estimate causal effects in complex data.

problem Estimating causal effects in high-dimensional, nonlinear settings with endogeneity.
method Structured latent generative modeling for posterior inference in a causally structured latent space.
result BGM-IV outperforms existing methods in high-dimensional covariate regimes.

GIV methodology extends instrumental variable estimation for high-dimensional data.

problem Estimating structural parameters in high-dimensional models with endogeneity and latent factors.
method Extends GIV methodology to large N and T, treats factors and loadings as unknown, and uses additional instruments for efficiency.
result Efficiency gains and negligible sampling errors in estimated instrument and factors.

We link disjoint longitudinal data for rare disease patients using latent representations and mixed-effects regression.

problem Analyzing treatment switches in rare diseases with limited data and changing measurement instruments.
method We embed item values into a shared latent space using variational autoencoders and apply mixed-effects regression to quantify treatment effects.
result Our approach allows for statistical inference and quantifies the impact of treatment switches in spinal muscular atrophy.

This paper theoretically explains and validates a deep neural network approach to IV estimation.

problem Endogeneity issues in empirical applications, especially in the presence of omitted variables, measurement error, or simultaneous causality.
method A two-stage estimator using deep neural networks in a linear instrumental variables model, with a latent structural assumption on the reduced form equation.
result The second-stage estimator achieves the semiparametric efficiency bound, with a smaller estimation error and requiring weaker conditions on the smoothness of optimal instruments.

A new method learns IV representation from data to estimate causal effects.

problem Inferring causal effects from observational data with latent confounders.
method Disentangled representation learning using Variational AutoEncoder (VAE).
result The proposed method outperforms existing IV-based estimators and VAE-based estimators.

Deep learning for integrating diverse clinical measurements.

problem Combining data from different measurement instruments in longitudinal clinical registries.
method Domain adaptation using deep learning for mapping items from different instruments.
result Domain adaptation can recover latent trajectories even with limited data and misalignment.

Discovering and exploring the underlying structure of multi-instrumental music using learning-based approaches remains an open problem. We extend the recent MusicVAE model to represent multitrack polyphonic measures as vectors in a latent space. Our approach enables several useful operations such as generating plausibl…

2018-06-01abs ↗pdf ↗

New method disentangles latent factors for better treatment effect estimation.

problem Estimating treatment effects from observational data when confounders are not the only variables.
method Variational inference to disentangle latent factors into instrumental, confounding, and risk factors.
result The method improves treatment effect estimation accuracy on various datasets.

Proposes a method to estimate treatment effects using instruments.

problem Estimating treatment effects from observational data is challenging when unconfoundedness is violated.
method Leverages instruments to estimate bounds on conditional average treatment effect (CATE) through a mapping to a discrete representation space and a two-step procedure.
result Demonstrates theoretical validity and reduced estimation variance in finite-sample settings.

New method tackles confounded bandit problems with dual instrumental variables.

problem Confounded contextual bandit problems where noise affects both contexts and rewards.
method Dual instrumental variable regression applied to reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces.
result Near-optimal convergence rate and computationally efficient algorithms proved.

We present a method for translating music across musical instruments, genres, and styles. This method is based on a multi-domain wavenet autoencoder, with a shared encoder and a disentangled latent space that is trained end-to-end on waveforms. Employing a diverse training dataset and large net capacity, the domain-ind…

2018-05-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Combines IV and observational data to estimate CATEs with low compliance and unobserved confounding.

problem Estimating CATEs in personalized medicine and analytics with observational data and weak IVs.
method Two-stage framework: first learns biased CATEs from observational data, then corrects using IV data.
result Effective in estimating CATEs with low compliance and unobserved confounding.

New tests for identifying the number of latent factors in short panels with small time dimensions.

problem Determining the number of latent factors in short panels with small time dimensions.
method Eigenvalue tests based on variance-covariance matrices of asset returns, with assumptions on spherical errors or instrumental variables for factor betas.
result Established asymptotic distributional results and proposed a novel statistical test for weak factors.

A novel disentangled graph autoencoder improves treatment effect estimation from networked observational data.

problem Treatment effect estimation from observational data is challenging due to unconfoundedness assumption and latent confounders.
method Proposes a disentangled variational graph autoencoder to disentangle latent factors and enforce factor independence.
result Extensive experiments show superior performance compared to state-of-the-art approaches.

Estimates long-term effects using past experiments as instruments with many weak instruments.

problem Estimating long-term causal effects with limited short-term outcomes and many weak instruments.
method Nonparametric instrumental variable inference with many weak instruments, using past experiments as instruments.
result Automatic debiased machine learning estimators for linear functionals of the structural function and its minimum-norm projection are efficient in the many-weak-instruments regime.

Networks play a central role in modern data analysis, enabling us to reason about systems by studying the relationships between their parts. Most often in network analysis, the edges are given. However, in many systems it is difficult or impossible to measure the network directly. Examples of latent networks include ec…

2014-02-04abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method infers neural trajectories in real-time, improving experimental design.

problem Real-time inference of neural trajectories for immediate feedback.
method Exponential family variational Kalman filter (eVKF) for online learning.
result eVKF achieves competitive performance on synthetic and real-world data.

TSCI estimates treatment effects using machine learning and data-adaptive methods for invalid instruments.

problem Estimating treatment effects with invalid instruments.
method Two-stage algorithm: first stage uses machine learning for nonlinearities, second stage selects and projects out instrument violations.
result Effective treatment effect estimation even with invalid instruments.

Researchers develop methods for causal inference with imperfect instrumental variables.

problem Quantifying cause and effect relationships with imperfect instrumental variables.
method Established a quantitative relationship between violations of instrumental inequalities and minimal measurement dependence, providing adapted inequalities valid in the presence of relaxed measurement dependence.
result Adapted inequalities for average causal effect in instrumental scenarios with binary outcomes, addressing violations of instrumental inequalities.

New method uses few instruments to estimate complex causal effects.

problem Estimating causal effects with limited instruments in high-dimensional settings.
method Sequentially selects and combines instruments to estimate the treatment effect.
result Can reliably recover the treatment effect's projection onto the instrumented subspace.

Paper develops a new estimator for panel data with endogenous treatments, improving causal inference.

problem Challenges in causal inference for static panel data with endogenous treatments and confounding variables.
method Develops Double Machine Learning (DML) estimator for static panel models with endogenous treatments (panel IV DML). Introduces weak-identification diagnostics.
result Panel IV DML estimator improves estimation accuracy and delivers more reliable inference under weak identification.

DFIV uses deep neural nets to learn nonlinear features in IV regression.

problem Learning causal relationships from observational data with nonlinear interactions.
method DFIV trains deep neural nets to define nonlinear features on instruments and treatments, alternating training to compose stages 1 and 2.
result DFIV outperforms state-of-the-art methods on IV benchmarks and off-policy policy evaluation.

VAE struggles with distribution class sharpness, which can be learned dynamically.

problem VAE struggles with distribution class sharpness, leading to blurry reconstructions.
method Established that VAE fails if distribution class sharpness does not match data scale. Suggested learning distribution sharpness dynamically.
result Dynamic adjustment of distribution sharpness improves VAE performance, escaping local optima.

Valid causal inference with invalid instruments using majority or modal valid relationships.

problem Estimating causal effects in the presence of unobserved confounding and invalid instruments.
method Ensemble of instrumental variable estimators to estimate the modal prediction, achieving accurate estimates of conditional average treatment effects.
result Valid causal inference can be achieved with a majority or modal valid instrument-response relationship.

Bayesian nonparametric machine learning improves instrumental variable inference.

problem Estimating causal effects with nonlinear relationships.
method Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) for estimating functions and Dirichlet Process mixtures for error terms.
result Dramatic improvements in inference with nonlinear data, no manual tuning required.

Proposes TSCI method to infer causal effects with weak or invalid instruments using machine learning.

problem Causal inference with weak or invalid instrumental variables.
method Two-stage curvature identification (TSCI) using machine learning.
result Asymptotically unbiased and Gaussian estimator for causal effects.

The paper uses graph learning to detect valid instruments in high-dimensional data for house pricing.

problem Endogeneity bias and invalid instrument validation in high-dimensional data.
method Merge variable selection algorithms and probabilistic graphs to estimate house prices and causal structure.
result Efficient data-driven instrument selection and invalid instrument purge in high-dimensional data.

New method for personalized pricing using invalid instrumental variables.

problem Personalized pricing under endogeneity with limited standard methods.
method PRINT method for continuous treatment, solving conditional moment restrictions.
result Established optimal pricing strategy under endogeneity with invalid instrumental variables.

Study shows annotation instrument design affects model performance in hate speech detection.

problem Impact of annotation instrument design on model performance in hate speech detection.
method Collected annotations from five experimental conditions of an annotation instrument, fine-tuned BERT models on each dataset, evaluated performance on holdout portion.
result Significant differences in model performance and annotations across conditions.

Estimates linear model from noisy covariates and instruments using spectral regularization.

problem Estimating a linear model from many noisy covariates and instruments.
method Two-stage least squares with spectral regularization of canonical correlations.
result Upper and lower bounds on estimation error, proving optimality of the method with noisy data.

Causal inference from observational data requires assumptions. These assumptions range from measuring confounders to identifying instruments. Traditionally, causal inference assumptions have focused on estimation of effects for a single treatment. In this work, we construct techniques for estimation with multiple treat…

2018-05-21abs ↗pdf ↗

New method improves IV estimation with many weak and invalid instruments.

problem Identification in linear IV models with unknown validity.
method Non-convex penalized approaches, surrogate sparsest penalty.
result Advantages over other IV estimators in selection consistency and weak IV strength conditions.

New method exploits independence in instrumental variable models for better causal inference.

problem Identify causal functions in the presence of unobserved confounders.
method HSIC-X method that exploits independence between response, hidden confounders, and instruments.
result The method provides better finite sample results and is invariant to distributional shifts.

Develops methods to identify and estimate causal effects with instrumental variables.

problem Causal inference with confounded treatment assignment and unobserved variables.
method General nonparametric causal framework, debiased machine learning, semiparametric theory.
result Consistent and asymptotically normal estimators for average treatment effect.