Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

95191286381 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Latent Common Causes

The discovery of causal relationships is a fundamental problem in science and medicine. In recent years, many elegant approaches to discovering causal relationships between two variables from observational data have been proposed. However, most of these deal only with purely directed causal relationships and cannot det…

2019-10-22abs ↗pdf ↗

New method identifies common cause in causal insufficiency, revealing complex phase transitions.

problem Identifying common cause in causal insufficiency with observed joint probability.
method Generalized maximum likelihood method, closely related to maximum entropy principle.
result Identifies consistent common cause that aligns with the common cause principle.

New method identifies causes in time series with latent variables.

problem Identifying direct and indirect causes in time series data with hidden variables.
method Proves necessary and sufficient conditions for causal feature selection using graph constraints and conditional independence tests.
result Method outperforms Granger causality in identifying causes with low false positives and false negatives.

Domain adaptation refers to the process of learning prediction models in a target domain by making use of data from a source domain. Many classic methods solve the domain adaptation problem by establishing a common latent space, which may cause the loss of many important properties across both domains. In this manuscri…

2018-08-19abs ↗pdf ↗

A novel circuit motif uses sister cells for inference with correlated priors.

problem Structured priors in neural systems pose architectural challenges.
method Proposes a novel circuit motif using sister cells to implement correlated priors without direct interactions.
result Demonstrates the efficacy of correlated priors for inference in noisy environments.

Jointly models cause-of-death mortality rates across multiple countries and genders.

problem Modeling cause-of-death mortality rates in a multinational setting.
method Multi-Output Gaussian Processes (MOGP) with Kronecker-structured kernels and latent factors.
result Efficiently captures heterogeneity and dependence across different factor inputs.

CLOUD method detects causal relationships in various data types without latent variable assumptions.

problem Detecting causal relationships in the presence of unobserved common causes.
method CLOUD method using Normalized Maximum Likelihood (NML) Code for various data types (discrete, mixed, continuous).
result CLOUD method is more effective than existing methods in inferring causal relationships.

Proposes a new condition to estimate latent variable causal graphs from observed data.

problem Estimating causal structures when observed variables are not the underlying causal variables.
method Introduces Generalized Independent Noise (GIN) condition and a recursive learning algorithm.
result Shows that GIN helps locate latent variables and identify their causal structure.

Extract common latent factors from graphs for better representation learning.

problem Graph-level representation learning challenges due to limited labeled data and poor negative sample selection.
method Graph-wise Common Latent Factor Extraction (GCFX) using deepGCFX model.
result Improved graph-level and node-level tasks performance compared to state-of-the-art methods.

Observed associations in a database may be due in whole or part to variations in unrecorded (latent) variables. Identifying such variables and their causal relationships with one another is a principal goal in many scientific and practical domains. Previous work shows that, given a partition of observed variables such …

2012-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

We investigate the properties of multidimensional probability distributions in the context of latent space prior distributions of implicit generative models. Our work revolves around the phenomena arising while decoding linear interpolations between two random latent vectors -- regions of latent space in close proximit…

2018-06-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Quantum theory challenges traditional cause-effect relations, showing causal influences even without Bell inequality violations.

problem Challenging traditional concepts of cause-effect relations in quantum mechanics.
method Introducing a general framework to estimate causal influences without interventions or classical/quantum assumptions.
result Every pure bipartite entangled state violates classical bounds on causal influence, negating the idea that Bell inequalities are the only signature of incompatibility.

Paper distinguishes causal structures under latent confounding and selection bias.

problem Distinguishing causal relationships when latent variables and selection bias are present.
method Formulated selected-marginalized directed graphs (smDGs) to distinguish causal structures.
result Two causal structures are indistinguishable if they have the same selected-marginalized directed graph.

Method prevents model divergence in rapidly changing ad markets.

problem Model divergence due to rapid ad turnover and discontinuity.
method Dual ascent optimization with latent vector constraints.
result Significant reduction in diverging instances and improved user experience/revenue.

We propose a method for inferring the existence of a latent common cause ('confounder') of two observed random variables. The method assumes that the two effects of the confounder are (possibly nonlinear) functions of the confounder plus independent, additive noise. We discuss under which conditions the model is identi…

2012-05-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper simplifies calculating causation probabilities and ranks root causes.

problem Computational challenges in assessing causal relationships.
method Algorithmic simplifications and novel methodological framework for Root Cause Analysis.
result Significantly reduces computational complexity for calculating causation probabilities.

Deep learning methods have shown state of the art performance in a range of tasks from computer vision to natural language processing. However, it is well known that such systems are vulnerable to attackers who craft inputs in order to cause misclassification. The level of perturbation an attacker needs to introduce in…

2019-10-09abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper explores indeterminacy in latent factor projections and its implications for data representation.

problem Indeterminacy in latent factor projections and its implications for data representation.
method Analyzes the fundamental problem of indeterminacy in latent factor projections and discusses its implications for data representation.
result Latent factor determinacy across all facets is achieved when the feature-dimension grows to infinity.

Given data over variables (X1,...,Xm,Y)(X_1,...,X_m, Y) we consider the problem of finding out whether XX jointly causes YY or whether they are all confounded by an unobserved latent variable ZZ. To do so, we take an information-theoretic approach based on Kolmogorov complexity. In a nutshell, we follow the postulate that firs…

2019-01-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian inference for topics in documents with many potential causes.

problem Estimating topic distributions in documents with many potential causes and few observations.
method Exact Bayesian inference using a linear-time algorithm with a simple formula.
result Exact Bayesian inference can be computed in linear time for a given upper bound on observations.

We study the problem of discovering the simplest latent variable that can make two observed discrete variables conditionally independent. The minimum entropy required for such a latent is known as common entropy in information theory. We extend this notion to Renyi common entropy by minimizing the Renyi entropy of the …

2018-07-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Transfer learning aims to faciliate learning tasks in a label-scarce target domain by leveraging knowledge from a related source domain with plenty of labeled data. Often times we may have multiple domains with little or no labeled data as targets waiting to be solved. Most existing efforts tackle target domains separa…

2017-11-09abs ↗pdf ↗

VSCOUT detects anomalies in high-dimensional data using a hybrid VAE approach.

problem Challenges in classical SPC for high-dimensional, non-Gaussian data.
method Hybrid VAE architecture with ARD prior, ensemble filtering, and changepoint detection.
result VSCOUT achieves superior sensitivity to special-cause structure and controlled false alarms.

The causes underlying unfair decision making are complex, being internalised in different ways by decision makers, other actors dealing with data and models, and ultimately by the individuals being affected by these decisions. One frequent manifestation of all these latent causes arises in the form of missing values: p…

2019-05-29abs ↗pdf ↗

We describe a method for removing the effect of confounders in order to reconstruct a latent quantity of interest. The method, referred to as half-sibling regression, is inspired by recent work in causal inference using additive noise models. We provide a theoretical justification and illustrate the potential of the me…

2015-05-12abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper corrects climate model biases using a factor model approach.

problem Systematic biases in GCM outputs due to unobserved confounders.
method Factor model approach to learn latent confounders from historical data and apply them to enhance bias correction.
result Significant improvements in the accuracy of precipitation outputs.

Proposes joint LCA for multiview data to identify shared and view-specific components.

problem Extracting shared components sequentially from multiview data.
method Formulates a matrix decomposition model with joint and individual structures, proposes a penalty term objective function, and employs a refitting procedure.
result Achieves simultaneous estimation and rank selection for cross covariance.

Learning multiple tasks across heterogeneous domains is a challenging problem since the feature space may not be the same for different tasks. We assume the data in multiple tasks are generated from a latent common domain via sparse domain transforms and propose a latent probit model (LPM) to jointly learn the domain t…

2012-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider linear models where dd potential causes X1,...,XdX_1,...,X_d are correlated with one target quantity YY and propose a method to infer whether the association is causal or whether it is an artifact caused by overfitting or hidden common causes. We employ the idea that in the former case the vector of regression c…

2018-03-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Sparse GFA identifies disease factors in FTD subgroups.

problem Heterogeneity in neurological disorders hinders understanding and treatment.
method Sparse Group Factor Analysis (GFA) with regularised horseshoe priors.
result Identified latent disease factors differentially expressed in FTD subgroups.

Spectral learning extends matrix methods to tensors for better latent variable modeling.

problem Limitations of matrix-based spectral methods in capturing non-Gaussian data.
method Extend spectral decomposition to tensor-based methods for higher-order moments.
result Tensor decomposition can identify latent effects missed by matrix methods.

This paper tackles federated learning for automatic latent variable selection in multi-output Gaussian processes.

problem Challenges in determining the adequate number of latent processes and relying on centralized learning for privacy and computational issues.
method Proposes a hierarchical model with spike-and-slab priors for automatic latent process selection and variational inference-based federated learning algorithm.
result Demonstrates the advantageous features of the proposed federated approach through simulations and real-world data.