Paper improves CDO calibration using Magnus Expansion and Deep Learning.
problem Calibrating CDO to iTraxx market data.
method Large basket approximation, SPDE, Magnus expansion, Deep Learning.
result Highly accurate calibration to market data.
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48 results for “Large basket”
Basket Options with Volatility Skew: Calibrating a Local Volatility Model by Sample Rearrangementq-fin.CP
Method calibrates basket options using rearranged samples from constituent processes.
problem Calibrate basket options with non-linear dependency structure.
method Propose a method to extract dependency structure from market data through systematic sampling rearrangement, then calibrate a local volatility model.
result Efficiently calibrates basket options with near-perfect accuracy.
With growing consumer adoption of online grocery shopping through platforms such as Amazon Fresh, Instacart, and Walmart Grocery, there is a pressing business need to provide relevant recommendations throughout the customer journey. In this paper, we introduce a production within-basket grocery recommendation system, R…
Recommender systems (RS) help users navigate large sets of items in the search for "interesting" ones. One approach to RS is Collaborative Filtering (CF), which is based on the idea that similar users are interested in similar items. Most model-based approaches to CF seek to train a machine-learning/data-mining model b…
In this paper we propose an efficient method to compute the price of multi-asset American options, based on Machine Learning, Monte Carlo simulations and variance reduction technique. Specifically, the options we consider are written on a basket of assets, each of them following a Black-Scholes dynamics. In the wake of…
We prove a large deviations principle for the class of multidimensional affine stochastic volatility models considered in (Gourieroux, C. and Sufana, R., J. Bus. Econ. Stat., 28(3), 2010), where the volatility matrix is modelled by a Wishart process. This class extends the very popular Heston model to the multivariate …
Flat plumbing basket surfaces of links were introduced to study the geometry of the complement of the links. These flat plumbing basket surface can be presented by a sequential presentation known as flat plumbing basket code first found by Furihata, Hirasawa and Kobayashi. The minimum number of flat plumbings to obtain…
Quantum state preparation framework speeds up basket option pricing.
problem Limited practical benefit of quantum amplitude estimation due to state-preparation depth.
method Structure-aware tensor-train rank-based variational state preparation.
result State-preparation depth scaling replaced with linear scaling, maintaining low basket-pricing errors.
Flat plumbing basket surfaces of links were introduced to study the geometry of the complement of the links. In present article, we study links of the flat plumbing basket numbers or less using a special presentation of the flat plumbing basket surfaces. We find a complete classification theorem of links of the fla…
We define the basket number, the flat plumbing number and the flat plumbing basket number of a link. Then we provide some upperbounds for these plumbing numbers by using Seifert's algorithm. We study the relation between these plumbing numbers and the genera of links.
A flat plumbing basket is a Seifert surface consisting of a disk and bands contained in distinct pages of the disk open book decomposition of the 3-sphere. In this paper, we examine close connections between flat plumbing baskets and the contact structure supported by the open book. As an application we give lower boun…
A flat plumbing basket is a surface consisting a disk and finitely many bands which are contained in distinct pages of the trivial open book decomposition of . In this paper, we construct a Legendrian link from a flat plumbing basket, and we describe a relation among the self-linking number, the Thursto…
Pricing basket options with the first three moments of the basket: log-normal models and beyondq-fin.PR
Paper improves basket option pricing for log-normal models.
problem Challenges in pricing basket options with negative weights.
method Moment matching and solving a unary cubic equation.
result Highly accurate closed form solution for basket options.
The paper solves the skewness problem in high-dimensional basket options.
problem Inconsistent skewness between individual stock options and basket options on an index.
method Developed an effective local volatility model and calibrated the basket to the index smile using a jump-diffusion model.
result The method resolves the skewness issue, matching the index smile in basket option prices.
Develops M2 model for next-basket recommendation considering user preferences, item popularity, and transition patterns.
problem Next-basket recommendation problem considering user preferences, item popularity, and transition patterns.
method Mixed model with preferences, popularities, and transitions (M2) using ed-Trans for transition patterns among items.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods on all datasets in all tasks, with up to 22.1% improvement.
Pricing of European basket call option with n-assets and a bond is discussed in this paper, where all prices of n-assets and the bond are driven by Exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes. The close-form of European basket option pricing formula is derived. Utilizing with 1-order differential approximate numerical sol…
Complementary products recommendation is an important problem in e-commerce. Such recommendations increase the average order price and the number of products in baskets. Complementary products are typically inferred from basket data. In this study, we propose the BB2vec model. The BB2vec model learns vector representat…
Generative model prices basket options efficiently.
problem Real-time pricing of basket options with varying market inputs.
method Truncated path signatures and Mixture Density Networks (MDN) for learning the terminal density.
result The model produces small pricing errors and matches Monte Carlo simulations closely.
The study analyzes the differences between physical and risk-neutral correlation estimates for equity baskets.
problem Analyzing the differences between physical and risk-neutral correlation estimates for equity baskets.
method Assumed equicorrelation, reduced dimensionality, approximated ICS from implied volatilities, analyzed dynamics using dynamic semiparametric factor model.
result Proposed profitability improvement schemes based on implied correlation forecasts.
The existence of basket, flat plumbing and flat plumbing basket surfaces of a link was first proven from a braid representative of the link. In the present article, we show the existence of such surfaces from an induced graph of the link. Consequently, we define the basket number, flat plumbing number and flat plumbing…
New formulas for pricing Asian and basket options using stochastic expansion.
problem Pricing Asian and basket options under time-dependent parameters.
method Stochastic Taylor expansion around a log-normal proxy model.
result Highly accurate approximations for Asian options and vanilla options with discrete dividends.
New approximations for Asian basket spread options using stochastic Taylor expansions.
problem Pricing Asian basket spread options under the Black-Scholes model.
method Stochastic Taylor expansion applied to a log-normal proxy model.
result Highly accurate approximations for Asian and spread options, without numerical integration.
Basket links are shown to be isotopic to .
problem Understanding isotopy of basket links to torus links.
method Using symmetrized Seifert form congruence to matrix.
result Basket links are isotopic to .
Tensor network surrogate for efficient option pricing in large portfolios.
problem Large-scale portfolio revaluation problems in market risk management.
method Tensor-train (TT) approximation for high-dimensional price surfaces, direct inference using Laplacian kernel and TT representations.
result Tensor surrogate achieves lower test error and faster evaluation times compared to standard GPR.
The matrix rate of returnphysics.soc-ph
In this paper we give definitions of matrix rates of return which do not depend on the choice of basis describing baskets. We give their economic interpretation. The matrix rate of return describes baskets of arbitrary type and extends portfolio analysis to the complex variable domain. This allows us for simultaneous a…
Numerical valuation of American basket options via partial differential complementarity problemsmath.NA
Study efficient numerical methods for American basket options.
problem Valuation of American basket options.
method Partial differential complementarity problems (PDCPs) and efficient discretization.
result Approximations of American basket options are close and converge favourably.
The possibility that the collective dynamics of a set of stocks could lead to a specific basket violating the efficient market hypothesis is investigated. Precisely, we show that it is systematically possible to form a basket with a non-trivial autocorrelation structure when the examined time scales are at the order of…
This work addresses the problem of pricing American basket options in a multivariate setting, which includes among others, the Bachelier and the Black-Scholes models. In high dimensions, nonlinear partial differential equation methods for solving the problem become prohibitively costly due to the curse of dimensionalit…
The flat plumbing basket presentation of a link is introduced by Furihata, Hirasawa and Kobayashi. In this paper, we show that the pass-equivalence and an equivalence introduced by using the flat plumbing basket presentation are the same relation. Furthermore, we obtain an evaluation of the minimal number of bands used…
OMBA learns product and user representations for better online market basket analysis.
problem Limited ability to uncover rarely occurring and temporal associations in MBA.
method Jointly learns product and user representations, captures temporal dynamics, scalable online method.
result OMBA outperforms state-of-the-art methods by 21% on real-world datasets.
In order to better engage with customers, retailers rely on extensive customer and product databases which allows them to better understand customer behaviour and purchasing patterns. This has long been a challenging task as customer modelling is a multi-faceted, noisy and time-dependent problem. The most common way to…
Four constructions of Seifert surfaces - Hopf plumbing, arborescent plumbing, basketry, and T-bandword handle decomposition - are described, and some interrelationships found, e.g.: arborescent Seifert surfaces are baskets; Hopf-plumbed baskets are precisely homogeneous T-bandword surfaces. A Seifert surface is Hopf-pl…
This paper sets out to provide a general framework for the pricing of average-type options via lower and upper bounds. This class of options includes Asian, basket and options on the volume-weighted average price. We demonstrate that in cases under discussion lower bounds allow for the dimensionality of the problem to …
Lower Bound Approximation to Basket Option Values for Local Volatility Jump-Diffusion Modelsq-fin.PR
In this paper we derive an easily computed approximation to European basket call prices for a local volatility jump-diffusion model. We apply the asymptotic expansion method to find the approximate value of the lower bound of European basket call prices. If the local volatility function is time independent then there i…
Theoretical models applied to option pricing should take into account the empirical characteristics of the underlying financial time series. In this paper, we show how to price basket options when assets follow a shifted log-normal process with jumps capable of accommodating negative skewness. Our technique is based on…
In this paper we discuss the basket options valuation for a jump-diffusion model. The underlying asset prices follow some correlated local volatility diffusion processes with systematic jumps. We derive a forward partial integral differential equation (PIDE) for general stochastic processes and use the asymptotic expan…
We consider the problem of computing upper and lower bounds on the price of a European basket call option, given prices on other similar baskets. Although this problem is very hard to solve exactly in the general case, we show that in some instances the upper and lower bounds can be computed via simple closed-form expr…
The problem of quantile hedging for basket derivatives in the Black-Scholes model with correlation is considered. Explicit formulas for the probability maximizing function and the cost reduction function are derived. Applicability of the results for the widely traded derivatives as digital, quantos, outperformance and …
Next basket recommendation, which aims to predict the next a few items that a user most probably purchases given his historical transactions, plays a vital role in market basket analysis. From the viewpoint of item, an item could be purchased by different users together with different items, for different reasons. Ther…
The paper calculates XVA for complex basket derivatives using machine learning.
problem Computing XVA for American basket derivatives with multiple underlying assets.
method The approach combines machine learning (Gaussian Process Regression) with numerical techniques (control variates) to handle high-dimensional control problems.
result The proposed machine learning methods effectively compute XVA for basket derivatives.
Emerging market hard-currency bonds are an asset class of growing importance, and contain exposure to an EM sovereign and the underlying industry. The authors investigate how to model this as a modification of the well-known first-to-default (FtD) basket, using the structural model, and find the approach feasible.
In the paper, we characterize the asymptotic behavior of the implied volatility of a basket call option at large and small strikes in a variety of settings with increasing generality. First, we obtain an asymptotic formula with an error bound for the left wing of the implied volatility, under the assumption that the dy…
The Pricing of Vanilla Options with Cash Dividends as a Classic Vanilla Basket Option Problemq-fin.PR
This paper uses basket option formulas to price vanilla options with discrete dividends.
problem Pricing vanilla options on stocks with discrete cash dividends.
method Uses existing basket option formulas for European options on a single asset with cash dividends in the piecewise lognormal model.
result Explains the use of basket option formulas for a specific problem in the piecewise lognormal model.
The state price density of a basket, even under uncorrelated Black-Scholes dynamics, does not allow for a closed from density. (This may be rephrased as statement on the sum of lognormals and is especially annoying for such are used most frequently in Financial and Actuarial Mathematics.) In this note we discuss short …
We present a new high-order compact scheme for the multi-dimensional Black-Scholes model with application to European Put options on a basket of two underlying assets. The scheme is second-order accurate in time and fourth-order accurate in space. Numerical examples confirm that a standard second-order finite differenc…
Machine Learning for Pricing American Options in High-Dimensional Markovian and non-Markovian modelsq-fin.CP
In this paper we propose two efficient techniques which allow one to compute the price of American basket options. In particular, we consider a basket of assets that follow a multi-dimensional Black-Scholes dynamics. The proposed techniques, called GPR Tree (GRP-Tree) and GPR Exact Integration (GPR-EI), are both based …
In this paper we propose a closed-form approximation for the price of basket options under a multivariate Black-Scholes model, based on Taylor expansions and the calculation of mixed exponential-power moments of a Gaussian distribution. Our numerical results show that a second order expansion provides accurate prices o…
Determinantal point processes (DPPs) have received significant attention in the recent years as an elegant model for a variety of machine learning tasks, due to their ability to elegantly model set diversity and item quality or popularity. Recent work has shown that DPPs can be effective models for product recommendati…