A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
A microscopic model is established for financial Brownian motion from the direct observation of the dynamics of high-frequency traders (HFTs) in a foreign exchange market. Furthermore, a theoretical framework parallel to molecular kinetic theory is developed for the systematic description of the financial market from m…
Introduces a new class of hybrid processes combining Markov chains and Hawkes processes.
problem Characterize and ensure existence and uniqueness of complex hybrid marked point processes.
method Defines hybrid marked point processes implicitly via intensity and state process interactions, proving existence and uniqueness under general assumptions.
result Proves existence and uniqueness of hybrid marked point processes, extending existing results.
This chapter is an attempt to present a mathematical theory of compound fractional Poisson processes. The chapter begins with the characterization of a well-known Lévy process: The compound Poisson process. The semi-Markov extension of the compound Poisson process naturally leads to the compound fractional Poisson proc…
Elliptical processes generalize Gaussian and Student-t models with fat tails and computational efficiency.
problem Need for models with fat tails and computational tractability.
method Represent elliptical distributions as continuous mixtures of Gaussian distributions, derive closed-form expressions for marginal and conditional distributions.
result Elliptical processes offer advantages in robust regression compared to Gaussian processes.
We show that the stick-breaking construction of the beta process due to Paisley, et al. (2010) can be obtained from the characterization of the beta process as a Poisson process. Specifically, we show that the mean measure of the underlying Poisson process is equal to that of the beta process. We use this underlying re…
We investigate the Student-t process as an alternative to the Gaussian process as a nonparametric prior over functions. We derive closed form expressions for the marginal likelihood and predictive distribution of a Student-t process, by integrating away an inverse Wishart process prior over the covariance kernel of a G…
Efficient methods for Lévy models using SINH-regular processes.
problem Efficient numerical methods for evaluating Lévy models.
method Defining SL-processes and sSL-processes, deriving properties of characteristic exponent, and showing all popular Lévy processes can be subordinated to Brownian motion.
result All crucial properties of characteristic exponent are consequences of a specific representation, and all popular Lévy processes are SL- or sSL-subordinated Brownian motion.
The aim of process discovery, originating from the area of process mining, is to discover a process model based on business process execution data. A majority of process discovery techniques relies on an event log as an input. An event log is a static source of historical data capturing the execution of a business proc…
This study bridges discrete and continuous state spaces using the Ehrenfest process and diffusion models.
problem Understanding the relationship between discrete and continuous state spaces in stochastic processes.
method Investigates time-continuous Markov jump processes on discrete state spaces and their correspondence to state-continuous diffusion processes.
result The time-reversal of the Ehrenfest process converges to the time-reversed Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, bridging discrete and continuous state spaces.
The fractional Poisson process (FPP) is a counting process with independent and identically distributed inter-event times following the Mittag-Leffler distribution. This process is very useful in several fields of applied and theoretical physics including models for anomalous diffusion. Contrary to the well-known Poiss…
In this paper, we obtain the finite-horizon and infinite-horizon ruin probability asymptotics for risk processes with claims of subexponential tails for non-stationary arrival processes that satisfy a large deviation principle. As a result, the arrival process can be dependent, non-stationary and non-renewal. We give t…
We characterize the combinatorial structure of conditionally-i.i.d. sequences of negative binomial processes with a common beta process base measure. In Bayesian nonparametric applications, such processes have served as models for latent multisets of features underlying data. Analogously, random subsets arise from cond…
State spaces of multifactor approximations of nonnegative Volterra processes are linear transformations of the nonnegative orthant.
problem Characterizing state spaces of multifactor approximations of nonnegative Volterra processes.
method Explicit linear transformation of the nonnegative orthant.
result State spaces of multifactor approximations of nonnegative Volterra processes are given by explicit linear transformation of the nonnegative orthant.
We describe the combinatorial stochastic process underlying a sequence of conditionally independent Bernoulli processes with a shared beta process hazard measure. As shown by Thibaux and Jordan [TJ07], in the special case when the underlying beta process has a constant concentration function and a finite and nonatomic …
New self-exciting random evolutions (SEREs) for modeling traffic and transport processes.
problem Modeling self-exciting and clustering effects in traffic and transport processes.
method Introducing a new process based on a superposition of a Markov chain and a Hawkes process, and constructing self-exciting random evolutions (SEREs).
result Developed new models and limit theorems for SEREs, including averaging and diffusion approximation.
We introduce Dirac processes, using Dirac delta functions, for short-rate-type pricing of financial derivatives. Dirac processes add spikes to the existing building blocks of diffusions and jumps. Dirac processes are Generalized Processes, which have not been used directly before because the dollar value of non-Real nu…