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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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118236354472 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for LID estimation

A new method uses diffusion models to efficiently estimate local intrinsic dimensionality of data.

problem Estimating the local intrinsic dimensionality of high-dimensional data.
method Developed a method using the Fokker-Planck equation associated with diffusion models to estimate local intrinsic dimensionality.
result Diffusion models can effectively estimate local intrinsic dimensionality, outperforming existing methods in accuracy and speed.

Bagging reduces variance in LID estimation by preserving local distribution of NN distances.

problem High estimation variance from limited data in small neighborhoods.
method Subbagging to preserve local distribution of NN distances, combined with ensemble size.
result Bagging significantly reduces variance and MSE in LID estimation.

Novel defense algorithm improves SVMs against data poisoning attacks.

problem Vulnerability of SVMs to targeted training data manipulations like poisoning attacks.
method Developed a weighted SVM using K-LID to de-emphasize suspicious data samples.
result Significant reduction in classification error rates (10% on average) with the proposed defense.

New defense mechanism detects and mitigates poisoned regression data.

problem Vulnerability of regression models to targeted data poisoning attacks.
method Introduces N-LID, a measure of local intrinsic dimensionality to distinguish poisoned samples.
result N-LID based defense outperforms state-of-the-art methods in prediction accuracy and runtime.

Spoken language identification (LID) technologies have improved in recent years from discriminating largely distinct languages to discriminating highly similar languages or even dialects of the same language. One aspect that has been mostly neglected, however, is discrimination of languages for multilingual speakers, d…

2020-01-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Geometrically, high-likelihood regions in DGMs are unlikely to generate OOD data.

problem The paradox of high-likelihood OOD detection in deep generative models.
method Local intrinsic dimension estimation to identify high-likelihood regions that do not generate OOD data.
result A method pairing likelihoods and LID estimates for reliable OOD detection.

Framework for safely updating machine learning models.

problem Continuous updates to machine learning models can lead to unintended consequences.
method Formalizes the problem as computing the largest locally invariant domain (LID), uses tractable primal-dual formulation.
result Matches or exceeds heuristic baselines for avoiding forgetting while providing formal safety guarantees.

Given two points on a soup can or conical cup with lid, we find and classify all paths of minimal length connecting them. When the number of minimal paths is finite, there are at most four on a can and three on a cup. At worst, minimal paths are piece-wise smooth with three components, each of which is a classical geod…

2004-01-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Learning shrinks hard tail, improving inference performance.

problem Improving inference performance in neural networks.
method Latent Instance Difficulty (LID) model analyzing fine-tuning of neural networks.
result Training-dependent inference scaling, with βexteffβ_ ext{eff} growing with sample size before saturating.

Neural network framework for language recognition considers sequence information and improves accuracy.

problem Challenging task of automatic language identification in noisy conditions.
method Proposes a neural network framework with bidirectional LSTM and attention modeling for relevance weighting.
result Significant improvements over conventional methods in noisy conditions and multi-speaker speech.

Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) are an elegant mechanism for data generation. However, a key challenge when using GANs is how to best measure their ability to generate realistic data. In this paper, we demonstrate that an intrinsic dimensional characterization of the data space learned by a GAN model leads to an…

2019-05-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Topological entropy measures the number of distinguishable orbits in a dynamical system, thereby quantifying the complexity of chaotic dynamics. One approach to computing topological entropy in a two-dimensional space is to analyze the collective motion of an ensemble of system trajectories taking into account how traj…

2018-08-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a robust training framework to detect backdoor attacks in DNNs.

problem Vulnerability of DNNs to backdoor attacks by poisoned training data.
method Collider framework selects prominent samples based on geometric structures and coreset selection objective.
result Significantly reduces backdoor success rate in various poisoned datasets.

New estimators outperform maximum likelihood without hyper-parameter estimation.

problem Improving system identification performance without hyper-parameter estimation.
method Developed generalized Bayes and closed-form biased estimators using excess MSE.
result New estimators have comparable performance to empirical-Bayes-based regularized estimator.

New framework converts offline to online estimation using black-box offline estimators.

problem Convert offline estimation algorithms to online estimation algorithms.
method Oracle-Efficient Online Estimation (OEOE) framework.
result Achieves near-optimal online estimation error via black-box offline estimators.

New estimator reduces variance in discrete random variables.

problem Estimating gradients for discrete random variables with reduced variance.
method Sampling without replacement and Rao-Blackwellization.
result Our estimator is the most consistent gradient estimator across different entropy settings.

SCOPE estimator improves covariance and precision matrix estimation.

problem Estimating covariance and precision matrices accurately.
method Distributionally robust optimization with convex spectral divergence.
result SCOPE estimator reduces spectral bias and improves condition number.

We present a multi-task learning approach to jointly estimate the means of multiple independent data sets. The proposed multi-task averaging (MTA) algorithm results in a convex combination of the single-task maximum likelihood estimates. We derive the optimal minimum risk estimator and the minimax estimator, and show t…

2011-07-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Obtaining more accurate equity value estimates is the starting point for stock selection, value-based indexing in a noisy market, and beating benchmark indices through tactical style rotation. Unfortunately, discounted cash flow, method of comparables, and fundamental analysis typically yield discrepant valuation estim…

2007-07-24abs ↗pdf ↗

The maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) is a kernel-based distance between probability distributions useful in many applications (Gretton et al. 2012), bearing a simple estimator with pleasing computational and statistical properties. Being able to efficiently estimate the variance of this estimator is very helpful to vario…

2019-06-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Stochastic volatility modelling of financial processes has become increasingly popular. The proposed models usually contain a stationary volatility process. We will motivate and review several nonparametric methods for estimation of the density of the volatility process. Both models based on discretely sampled continuo…

2009-10-27abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper reviews SDR methods for multivariate response regression.

problem Handling sufficient dimension reduction for multivariate response regression.
method Characterizes SDR estimators as inverse or forward regression methods.
result Pooled marginal, projective resampling, distance-based, ordinary least squares, partial least squares, and semiparametric SDR estimators are discussed.

Density ratio estimation is a vital tool in both machine learning and statistical community. However, due to the unbounded nature of density ratio, the estimation procedure can be vulnerable to corrupted data points, which often pushes the estimated ratio toward infinity. In this paper, we present a robust estimator wh…

2017-03-09abs ↗pdf ↗

TAKDE optimizes kernel density estimation for real-time dynamic processes.

problem Real-time density estimation in applications like computer vision and signal processing.
method Derives asymptotic mean integrated squared error (AMISE) upper bound for 'sliding window' kernel density estimator and proposes TAKDE as a novel, theoretically optimal estimator.
result TAKDE outperforms other dynamic density estimators in terms of test log-likelihood and runtime.

We introduce two new estimators of the bivariate Hurst exponent in the power-law cross-correlations setting -- the cross-periodogram and local XX-Whittle estimators -- as generalizations of their univariate counterparts. As the spectrum-based estimators are dependent on a part of the spectrum taken into consideration …

2014-08-28abs ↗pdf ↗

New method for fast volatility estimation robust to change points.

problem Robust high-frequency volatility estimation with change points.
method ℓ1-regularized power variation estimators using LARS for sparse estimation and dynamic programming for change point refinement.
result Minimax rates achieved for volatility estimators, providing accurate and smooth forecasts.

ROME improves density estimation for multi-modal, non-normal data.

problem Robust multi-modal density estimation in non-normal, highly correlated distributions.
method ROME uses clustering to segment multi-modal data into uni-modal clusters, then combines KDE estimates for each cluster.
result ROME outperforms state-of-the-art methods and is more robust to various distributions.

Private estimation of many quantiles using differential privacy.

problem Estimating quantiles of a distribution privately.
method Two approaches: 1) Private estimation of empirical quantiles, 2) Uniform density estimation.
result There is a tradeoff between estimating quantiles at specific points and uniformly estimating the quantile function.

Paper proposes robust LAD estimators for 2D sinusoidal model, proving consistency and normality.

problem Estimation of parameters in 2D sinusoidal models with outliers or heavy-tailed noise.
method Least absolute deviation (LAD) estimators for robust parameter estimation.
result Strong consistency and asymptotic normality of LAD estimators for 2D sinusoidal model parameters.