New definition for forward rates in multi-state models.
problem Defining forward rates in multi-state models.
method Established a theoretical framework and provided a novel definition.
result Interchanged transition probabilities and intensities in Kolmogorov forward equations.
It is an approach to introduce the forward Kolmogorov equation as an interesting natural ingredient in studying the evolution of the market stock prices.
We link SVEs to SPDEs and derive Kolmogorov equations for singular kernels.
problem Solving stochastic Volterra equations with singular kernels.
method Establishing connections between SVEs and SPDEs, using stochastic calculus in Hilbert spaces.
result Solutions of SVEs can be expressed in terms of backward Kolmogorov equations.
Calibration of stochastic local volatility (SLV) models to their underlying local volatility model is often performed by numerically solving a two-dimensional non-linear forward Kolmogorov equation. We propose a novel finite volume (FV) discretization in the numerical solution of general 1D and 2D forward Kolmogorov eq…
A framework solves parametric families of MFGs efficiently.
problem Efficiently solving MFG systems with varying initial distributions and terminal costs.
method Operator learning framework for parametric families of MFGs.
result Accurate approximation for cybersecurity and quadratic MFGs.
Study on stock returns tail probabilities using stochastic volatility models.
problem Understanding tail probabilities of stock returns in stochastic volatility models.
method Analyzes stochastic differential equations for volatility, applies dimensional analysis, and uses Kolmogorov forward equation.
result Tail probabilities for short-term returns fall off like an inverse cubic and scale with the measurement interval to the power 3/2.
This paper deals with the exact calibration of semidiscretized stochastic local volatility (SLV) models to their underlying semidiscretized local volatility (LV) models. Under an SLV model, it is common to approximate the fair value of European-style options by semidiscretizing the backward Kolmogorov equation using fi…
Paper derives quantum Kolmogorov equations using nonlocal quantum mechanics.
problem Quantum finance equations derived from quantum stochastic calculus.
method Nonlocal approach to quantum mechanics for deriving equations.
result Nonlocal diffusions and quantum stochastic processes linked.
We study the solution to Kolmogorov-Feller equation and by using it provide pricing formulas of well known some options under jump-diffusion model.
Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) and the Kolmogorov partial differential equations (PDEs) associated to them have been widely used in models from engineering, finance, and the natural sciences. In particular, SDEs and Kolmogorov PDEs, respectively, are highly employed in models for the approximative pricing of …
The usual derivation of the Fokker-Planck partial differential eqn. assumes the Chapman-Kolmogorov equation for a Markov process. Starting instead with an Ito stochastic differential equation we argue that finitely many states of memory are allowed in Kolmogorov's two pdes, K1 (the backward time pde) and K2 (the Fokker…
Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks promise scalable performance in high dimensions.
problem Curse of dimensionality in multilayer perceptrons.
method Kolmogorov-Arnold representation theorem and interpolation methods.
result Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks achieve true freedom from the curse of dimensionality.
The goal of this article is to describe the concepts of system dynamics and its applications to the simulation modeling of financial institutions daily activity. The hybrid method of the re-engineering of banking business processes based upon combination of system dynamics, queuing theory and tools of ordinary differen…
MASF improves score-based filters for high-dimensional nonlinear systems with spatially sparse measurements.
problem Challenges in data assimilation for nonlinear, high-dimensional systems with spatially sparse measurements.
method Developed a forward process tailored for filtering that transforms the system state toward the measurement space, enabling a theoretically sound formulation of the likelihood score.
result MASF shows improved performance over existing score-based filters and ensemble-type Kalman filters, achieving up to a 28.2× wall-clock speedup.
Survey revisits Bachelier and Dupire, highlighting optimal transport's role.
problem Finding arbitrage-free models calibrated to volatility surfaces.
method Revisits mathematical finance principles, uses optimal transport results.
result Optimal transport provides rigorous foundations for Dupire's model.
Study finds conjugate points in geodesics of Kolmogorov flows on torus.
problem Characterizing pairs of integers (m,n) for which geodesics have conjugate points.
method Analysis of geodesics in the group of volume-preserving diffeomorphisms of a torus using stream functions.
result Existence of conjugate points for all pairs of strictly positive integers (m,n).
A new machine learning method solves high-dimensional Kolmogorov PDEs efficiently.
problem Solving high-dimensional Kolmogorov PDEs and SDEs.
method Stochastic weighted minimization and stochastic gradient descent with Malliavin weights.
result Accurate approximation of high-dimensional Kolmogorov PDEs and SDEs without curse of dimensionality.
Deep learning solves high-dimensional PDEs efficiently.
problem Solving high-dimensional Kolmogorov PDEs numerically.
method Reformulating as a statistical learning problem using Feynman-Kac formula.
result Single neural network learns entire family of PDEs.
New method speeds up SDE inference by matching moments to FPK equation.
problem Efficiency of sampling schemes in high-dimensional SDEs.
method Direct approximation of Fokker-Planck-Kolmogorov equation by matching moments.
result Fast, scalable inference in high-dimensional latent spaces.
Solves specific mean-field game equations with ODEs.
problem Mean-field game equations in economic applications.
method Reduces coupled PDEs to a quadratically nonlinear system of ODEs.
result Shows specific data leads to solvable ODE system.
Proposes a flexible neural model for multi-state survival analysis.
problem Limited applicability of Cox models for multi-state and competing events.
method Uses neural ordinary differential equations to solve Kolmogorov forward equations.
result Demonstrates state-of-the-art performance and interpretability.
Projects Markovian processes from Itô semimartingales with jumps.
problem Modeling Itô semimartingales with jumps using Markovian projections.
method Construct Markovian projections for Itô semimartingales with jumps using non-local FPKEs.
result Markovian projections match the marginal laws of the original process.
Survey and new results link hydrodynamics, molecular physics, and financial engineering.
problem Understanding financial engineering topics like Asian options and volatility swaps.
method Linking Kevin waves, Klein-Kramers, and Kolmogorov equations to financial models.
result Corrected the original solution of the Kolmogorov equation.
GP-KAN uses Gaussian Processes in KANs for robust, parameter-efficient non-linear modeling.
problem Non-linear modeling with limited parameters and uncertainty estimates.
method Integrates Gaussian Processes into Kolmogorov Arnold Networks (KANs) for robust non-linear modeling.
result GP-KAN achieves 98.5% accuracy on MNIST with 80k parameters compared to 1.5M for state-of-the-art models.
Deriving option prices from operational-time Markov lattices
problem Option pricing
method Operational-time Markov lattice
result Derives option-pricing equations from an operational-time Markov lattice
The development of new classification and regression algorithms based on empirical risk minimization (ERM) over deep neural network hypothesis classes, coined deep learning, revolutionized the area of artificial intelligence, machine learning, and data analysis. In particular, these methods have been applied to the num…
Uniform diffusion approximation for SGD in non-convex settings.
problem Finite-time diffusion approximation for SGD.
method Establishing uniform-in-time diffusion approximation with strong convexity and mild conditions.
result Uniform-in-time diffusion approximation of SGD without convexity of each loss function.
The paper studies dimensions of attractors for modified Leray-alpha equation on various surfaces.
problem Investigate attractor dimensions of the modified Leray-alpha equation.
method Existence and uniqueness of weak solutions, global attractor existence, estimates for vorticity scalar equations, Kolmogorov flows.
result Established upper and lower bounds for Hausdorff and fractal dimensions of global attractors on S2 and T2. KaCGM models provide transparent causal inference from tabular data.
problem Limited auditability in deep causal models for tabular data.
method KaCGM uses Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks to parameterize structural equations, enabling direct inspection and visualization of causal mechanisms.
result KaCGM achieves competitive performance and interpretable causal effects in real-world applications.
Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks offer interpretable models for energy applications.
problem Lack of interpretability in modern machine learning methods for sensitive industries.
method Symbolic regression with Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks compared to traditional feedforward neural networks.
result Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks yield perfectly interpretable models and learn real, physical relations.
New methods improve deep learning for solving linear PDEs.
problem Efficiently solving high-dimensional linear PDEs using deep learning.
method Rigorous investigation of gradient estimators for SDE-based variational formulations.
result Novel methods provide substantial performance improvements.
We consider the heat equation associated with a class of hypoelliptic operators of Kolmogorov-Fokker-Planck type in dimension two. We explicitly compute the first meaningful coefficient of the small time asymptotic expansion of the heat kernel on the diagonal, and we interpret it in terms of curvature-like invariants o…
Proposes a deep hedging method for robust pricing and hedging under parameter uncertainty.
problem Pricing and hedging under parameter uncertainty for generalized affine processes.
method Deep learning approach linked to variational form of Kolmogorov equation.
result Robust deep hedging outperforms existing methods in volatile periods.
We propose a deterministic numerical method for pricing vanilla options under the SABR stochastic volatility model, based on a finite element discretization of the Kolmogorov pricing equations via non-symmetric Dirichlet forms. Our pricing method is valid under mild assumptions on parameter configurations of the proces…
The paper develops a computational method for efficient online filtering of diffusion processes.
problem Online filtering of discretely observed nonlinear diffusion processes.
method The approach involves Doob's h-transforms approximated by solving backward Kolmogorov equations using nonlinear Feynman-Kac formulas and neural networks. result The proposed method can be orders of magnitude more efficient than state-of-the-art particle filters.
High order splitting schemes with complex timesteps are applied to Kolmogorov backward equations stemming from stochastic differential equations in Stratonovich form. In the setting of weighted spaces, the necessary analyticity of the split semigroups can be easily proved. A numerical example from interest rate theory,…
Kolmogorov neural networks can represent various types of functions.
problem Representing different types of functions with neural networks.
method Continuous, discontinuous bounded or unbounded activation functions in a two hidden layer model.
result Kolmogorov neural networks can represent continuous, discontinuous bounded and all unbounded multivariate functions.
We derive a forward partial integro-differential equation for prices of call options in a model where the dynamics of the underlying asset under the pricing measure is described by a -possibly discontinuous- semimartingale. A uniqueness theorem is given for the solutions of this equation. This result generalizes Dupire…
Neural operators solve families of 2BSDEs efficiently.
problem Solving infinite families of 2BSDEs on bounded domains.
method Introduces a mild generative neural operator model to approximate solutions.
result Solution operators can be approximated by neural operators with polynomial parameters.
This paper tackles G-ZSL by learning compositional spaces to classify unseen classes.
problem Classifying unseen classes in a test set.
method Space decomposition method to estimate and fine-tune decision boundaries between source and target classes.
result State-of-the-art performance on multiple G-ZSL benchmarks.
Revisits the connection between neural networks and the Kolmogorov-Arnold theorem.
problem Explains the limitations of using the Kolmogorov-Arnold theorem to explain neural networks with multiple hidden layers.
method Derives modifications of the Kolmogorov-Arnold representation that transfer smoothness properties to the outer function and can be well approximated by ReLU networks.
result Shows that a deep neural network with most layers approximating the interior function is a more natural interpretation of the Kolmogorov-Arnold representation.
Researchers use estimated Kolmogorov complexity for better link prediction in graphs.
problem Improving link prediction accuracy in complex networks.
method Regularization based on an approximation of Kolmogorov complexity, which is differentiable and compatible with recent link prediction algorithms.
result The regularization method shows good performance on diverse real-world networks, but the success is likely due to an aggregation method rather than actual estimation of Kolmogorov complexity.
Maximum principle proves positivity of forward rates in stochastic models.
problem Proving positivity of forward rates in stochastic models.
method Maximum principle for mild solutions to SPDEs with Lipschitz coefficients and Wiener noise.
result Sufficient conditions for positivity of forward rates in the Heath-Jarrow-Morton model.
The paper synthesizes the mathematics of modeling the future.
problem Modeling the future
method Unified mathematical synthesis
result Explicit connection of classical objects into a unified forecasting calculus
Develops deep learning for fast, accurate option pricing models.
problem Computational efficiency and accuracy in option pricing models.
method Neural network generators solving backward Kolmogorov equations for TPDFs.
result Ultra-fast, highly accurate option pricing models for various asset models.
We introduce two simple models of forward-backward stochastic differential equations with a singular terminal condition and we explain how and why they appear naturally as models for the valuation of CO2 emission allowances. Single phase cap-and-trade schemes lead readily to terminal conditions given by indicator funct…
Paper studies central bank's strategy to control systemic risk in interbank system.
problem Minimizing average distance between log-monetary reserves and target levels.
method Weak formulation, Ekeland's variational principle, Gamma-convergence, stochastic Fokker-Planck-Kolmogorov equation.
result Proves convergence of optimal strategies as number of banks increases.
A new Kolmogorov-Arnold network improves function approximation and optimization.
problem Approximating potentially irregular functions in high dimensions.
method Proposes a new Kolmogorov-Arnold network (KAN) and provides error bounds and universal approximation theorems.
result Outperforms multilayer perceptrons in accuracy and convergence speed for irregular functions.