A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
The generalization properties of Gaussian processes depend heavily on the choice of kernel, and this choice remains a dark art. We present the Neural Kernel Network (NKN), a flexible family of kernels represented by a neural network. The NKN architecture is based on the composition rules for kernels, so that each unit …
This paper tackles the problem of selecting among several linear estimators in non-parametric regression; this includes model selection for linear regression, the choice of a regularization parameter in kernel ridge regression, spline smoothing or locally weighted regression, and the choice of a kernel in multiple kern…
Alternative proof of coisotropic embedding theorem for pre-symplectic manifolds.
problem Proving the coisotropic embedding theorem for pre-symplectic manifolds.
method Recast geometric choice of connection as algebraic embedding into cotangent bundle, identify symplectic thickening as submanifold of Hamiltonian momenta conjugate to kernel directions.
result Alternative proof of the coisotropic embedding theorem.
Kernel methods are one of the mainstays of machine learning, but the problem of kernel learning remains challenging, with only a few heuristics and very little theory. This is of particular importance in methods based on estimation of kernel mean embeddings of probability measures. For characteristic kernels, which inc…
Bayesian Optimization (BO) has become a core method for solving expensive black-box optimization problems. While much research focussed on the choice of the acquisition function, we focus on online length-scale adaption and the choice of kernel function. Instead of choosing hyperparameters in view of maximum likelihood…
The article introduces practical estimators for kernel discrepancies.
problem Estimating kernel discrepancies accurately and efficiently.
method Presented various estimators for MMD, HSIC, and KSD, including V-statistics, U-statistics, and incomplete U-statistics. Stressed the importance of kernel bandwidth and introduced adaptive estimators.
result Adaptive estimators combining multiple estimators with various kernels address the problem of kernel selection.
We show that minimum-norm interpolation in the Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space corresponding to the Laplace kernel is not consistent if input dimension is constant. The lower bound holds for any choice of kernel bandwidth, even if selected based on data. The result supports the empirical observation that minimum-norm …
The expressive power of Gaussian processes depends heavily on the choice of kernel. In this work we propose the novel harmonizable mixture kernel (HMK), a family of expressive, interpretable, non-stationary kernels derived from mixture models on the generalized spectral representation. As a theoretically sound treatmen…
Study proves existence, uniqueness, and positivity of solutions to a complex volatility model.
problem Modeling equity index and spot volatility with path-dependent features and general kernels.
method Proved existence and uniqueness of a continuous solution to a Stochastic Volterra Equation (SVE) with non-convolutional, non-bounded kernels and non-Lipschitz coefficients.
result Positivity of the volatility process under certain conditions on the kernels.
We establish the first nonasymptotic error bounds for Kaplan-Meier-based nearest neighbor and kernel survival probability estimators where feature vectors reside in metric spaces. Our bounds imply rates of strong consistency for these nonparametric estimators and, up to a log factor, match an existing lower bound for c…
The success of kernel-based learning methods depend on the choice of kernel. Recently, kernel learning methods have been proposed that use data to select the most appropriate kernel, usually by combining a set of base kernels. We introduce a new algorithm for kernel learning that combines a {\em continuous set of base …
Information-theoretic Bayesian optimisation techniques have demonstrated state-of-the-art performance in tackling important global optimisation problems. However, current information-theoretic approaches require many approximations in implementation, introduce often-prohibitive computational overhead and limit the choi…
A family of maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) kernel two-sample tests is introduced. Members of the test family are called Block-tests or B-tests, since the test statistic is an average over MMDs computed on subsets of the samples. The choice of block size allows control over the tradeoff between test power and computatio…
Bayesian Gaussian Processes improve exoplanet transit and Hubble constant inference.
problem Improving exoplanet transit and Hubble constant inference using Bayesian Gaussian Processes.
method Kernel-, mean- and noise-marginalised Gaussian Processes with evidence-based model comparison and transdimensional sampling.
result Inferred Hubble constant H0 values from cosmic chronometers, baryon acoustic oscillations and combined datasets are 66±6kms−1Mpc−1, 67±10kms−1Mpc−1 and 69±6kms−1Mpc−1, respectively.
Support Vector Machine (SVM) is powerful classification technique based on the idea of structural risk minimization. Use of kernel function enables curse of dimensionality to be addressed. However, proper kernel function for certain problem is dependent on specific dataset and as such there is no good method on choice …
We introduce a simulation method for dynamic portfolio valuation and risk management building on machine learning with kernels. We learn the dynamic value process of a portfolio from a finite sample of its cumulative cash flow. The learned value process is given in closed form thanks to a suitable choice of the kernel.…
Conditional kernel mean embeddings are nonparametric models that encode conditional expectations in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. While they provide a flexible and powerful framework for probabilistic inference, their performance is highly dependent on the choice of kernel and regularization hyperparameters. Neve…
Kernel methods are ubiquitous tools in machine learning. However, there is often little reason for the common practice of selecting a kernel a priori. Even if a universal approximating kernel is selected, the quality of the finite sample estimator may be greatly affected by the choice of kernel. Furthermore, when direc…
Performing exact posterior inference in complex generative models is often difficult or impossible due to an expensive to evaluate or intractable likelihood function. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is an inference framework that constructs an approximation to the true likelihood based on the similarity between …
Many investment models in discrete or continuous-time settings boil down to maximizing an objective of the quantile function of the decision variable. This quantile optimization problem is known as the quantile formulation of the original investment problem. Under certain monotonicity assumptions, several schemes to so…
Kernel methods are among the most popular techniques in machine learning. From a frequentist/discriminative perspective they play a central role in regularization theory as they provide a natural choice for the hypotheses space and the regularization functional through the notion of reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces. F…