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8 results for Kendall-tau

This paper improves autoregressive model training by focusing on test metrics, not just likelihood.

problem Training autoregressive models to perform better on specific metrics like METEOR score.
method Follows the learning-to-search approach, constructing a reference policy and choosing test metric-related costs.
result The standard KL loss only learns high-probability tokens and can be improved with ranking objectives.

CPMetric learns distances between structured preferences using deep neural networks.

problem Learning distances between structured preference representations.
method Deep Siamese Networks and CP-net formalism for metric learning.
result CPDist outperforms existing approximation algorithms in accuracy and computation time.

New findings challenge the importance of forecast accuracy in battery storage optimization, highlighting the role of rank correlation instead.

problem The challenge of optimizing battery storage dispatch decisions in multi-market electricity trading using forecast accuracy metrics.
method A hierarchical three-layer optimization system trading in multiple markets (FCR, aFRR, day-ahead, intraday) with real market data.
result Rank correlation (Kendall tau) is a better predictor of intraday dispatch value than forecast accuracy (MAE), with a threshold of tau around 0.85-0.95 capturing up to 97-100% of perfect-foresight revenue.

Crypto crashes show no consistent early warning signal, suggesting they are abrupt shocks rather than critical transitions.

problem Identifying early warning signals for crypto crashes.
method Analysis of seven major BTC liquidation cascades using minute-level price and leverage/order-flow data.
result No variable is event-invariant, and the critical-slowing-down signature is present in only five out of seven events.