Two proofs of Kalman Theorem using flows of vector fields.
arXiv research
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Transformers can approximate Kalman Filtering in linear systems with small error.
New algorithm learns linear dynamical systems from measurements.
Graph Kalman filters adapt classical filters to graph data.
Controlled interacting particle systems such as the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) and the feedback particle filter (FPF) are numerical algorithms to approximate the solution of the nonlinear filtering problem in continuous time. The distinguishing feature of these algorithms is that the Bayesian update step is implemen…
Improved Kalman filter for non-linear, non-Gaussian data.
Non-bilinear observations make optimal control harder, showing non-convex costs and non-affine optimal controllers.
TASC improves synthetic control for time-series data with trends.
Nonlinear RNNs' memory capacity varies widely, making it impractical.
A new method improves policy evaluation in RL by tracking value uncertainties.
The introduction of automated flight control and management systems have made possible aircraft designs that sacrifice arodynamic stability in order to incorporate stealth technology intro their shape, operate more efficiently, and are highly maneuverable. Therefore, modern flight management systems are reliant on mult…
Dynamical models estimate and predict the temporal evolution of physical systems. State Space Models (SSMs) in particular represent the system dynamics with many desirable properties, such as being able to model uncertainty in both the model and measurements, and optimal (in the Bayesian sense) recursive formulations e…
Neural EKF improves structural dynamics prediction.
Brain-computer interfaces (BCIs) have enabled prosthetic device control by decoding motor movements from neural activities. Neural signals recorded from cortex exhibit nonstationary property due to abrupt noises and neuroplastic changes in brain activities during motor control. Current state-of-the-art neural signal de…
Improved Kalman filter for Stiefel manifold measurements.
Given a stationary state-space model that relates a sequence of hidden states and corresponding measurements or observations, Bayesian filtering provides a principled statistical framework for inferring the posterior distribution of the current state given all measurements up to the present time. For example, the Apoll…
DiSK improves DP optimizers by simplifying Kalman filtering for better performance.
HKF uses neural networks to adapt Kalman filters for dynamic channel tracking.
The article improves prediction by aggregating Kalman recursions online.
We study optimal regret bounds for control in linear dynamical systems under adversarially changing strongly convex cost functions, given the knowledge of transition dynamics. This includes several well studied and fundamental frameworks such as the Kalman filter and the linear quadratic regulator. State of the art met…
Paper analyzes ensemble Kalman updates for effective dimension and localization.
In this paper, we revisit the Kalman filter theory. After giving the intuition on a simplified financial markets example, we revisit the maths underlying it. We then show that Kalman filter can be presented in a very different fashion using graphical models. This enables us to establish the connection between Kalman fi…
Illustrates interleaved learning with Kalman Filter for linear least squares.
Recursive KalmanNet combines neural networks with Kalman filters for precise state estimation.
Paper introduces EnDKF for more accurate pose tracking.
Proposes a new method to enhance neural learning by maximizing information gain.
The extended Kalman filter is perhaps the most standard tool to estimate in real time the state of a dynamical system from noisy measurements of some function of the system, with extensive practical applications (such as position tracking via GPS). While the plain Kalman filter for linear systems is well-understood, th…
The Kalman filter (KF) is used in a variety of applications for computing the posterior distribution of latent states in a state space model. The model requires a linear relationship between states and observations. Extensions to the Kalman filter have been proposed that incorporate linear approximations to nonlinear m…
This paper proves long-time accuracy of ensemble Kalman filters for chaotic and machine-learned systems.
A Kalman filter reduces valuation risk in business valuation models.
The Kalman filter is extensively used for state estimation for linear systems under Gaussian noise. When non-Gaussian Lévy noise is present, the conventional Kalman filter may fail to be effective due to the fact that the non-Gaussian Lévy noise may have infinite variance. A modified Kalman filter for linear systems wi…
KalMamba improves RL efficiency with probabilistic SSMs.
Study uses Kalman-Filter to assess market efficiency in major stock markets.
The Kalman filter and Heston model are used to estimate asset prices and trading performance.
State-space smoothing has found many applications in science and engineering. Under linear and Gaussian assumptions, smoothed estimates can be obtained using efficient recursions, for example Rauch-Tung-Striebel and Mayne-Fraser algorithms. Such schemes are equivalent to linear algebraic techniques that minimize a conv…
Paper proves convergence of Kalman filter on Stiefel manifolds with measurement errors.
We cast Amari's natural gradient in statistical learning as a specific case of Kalman filtering. Namely, applying an extended Kalman filter to estimate a fixed unknown parameter of a probabilistic model from a series of observations, is rigorously equivalent to estimating this parameter via an online stochastic natural…
In this manuscript we introduce numerical Gaussian process Kalman filtering (GPKF). Numerical Gaussian processes have recently been developed to simulate spatiotemporal models. The contribution of this paper is to embed numerical Gaussian processes into the recursive Kalman filter equations. This embedding enables us t…
In this paper, we present the optimization formulation of the Kalman filtering and smoothing problems, and use this perspective to develop a variety of extensions and applications. We first formulate classic Kalman smoothing as a least squares problem, highlight special structure, and show that the classic filtering an…
Ensemble Kalman methods improve climate model calibration from noisy observations.
Proposes MM-KTD for efficient RL learning with reduced sample size.
Improved stock volume prediction using Kalman Filters with various hidden states.
Enhances linear regression with Kalman filter for loss minimization.
In order to integrate uncertainty estimates into deep time-series modelling, Kalman Filters (KFs) (Kalman et al., 1960) have been integrated with deep learning models, however, such approaches typically rely on approximate inference techniques such as variational inference which makes learning more complex and often le…
Paper presents a robust Kalman filter for state estimation.
Many nonlinear extensions of the Kalman filter, e.g., the extended and the unscented Kalman filter, reduce the state densities to Gaussian densities. This approximation gives sufficient results in many cases. However, this filters only estimate states that are correlated with the observation. Therefore, sequential esti…
EnCF improves data assimilation for implicit, non-smooth observations.
High fidelity behavior prediction of intelligent agents is critical in many applications. However, the prediction model trained on the training set may not generalize to the testing set due to domain shift and time variance. The challenge motivates the adoption of online adaptation algorithms to update prediction model…