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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Kalman controllability

Transformers can approximate Kalman Filtering in linear systems with small error.

problem Approximating Kalman Filtering using Transformers for linear dynamical systems.
method Two-step reduction: 1) Softmax self-attention block approximates Nadaraya-Watson kernel smoothing, 2) This estimator approximates Kalman Filter.
result Constructs a Transformer that implements the Kalman Filter with small additive error, uniformly bounded in time.

Controlled interacting particle systems such as the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) and the feedback particle filter (FPF) are numerical algorithms to approximate the solution of the nonlinear filtering problem in continuous time. The distinguishing feature of these algorithms is that the Bayesian update step is implemen…

2019-10-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Non-bilinear observations make optimal control harder, showing non-convex costs and non-affine optimal controllers.

problem Optimal control from bilinear observations in linear systems is challenging.
method Analytical and numerical methods to study the non-convex cost-to-go and non-affine optimal controllers.
result The Separation Principle does not hold for bilinear observations, leading to non-convex costs and non-affine optimal controllers.

TASC improves synthetic control for time-series data with trends.

problem Inability of existing SC methods to fully utilize temporal structure in time-series data.
method TASC uses a state-space model with a constant trend and Kalman filter for counterfactual inference.
result TASC offers advantages in settings with strong temporal trends and high observation noise.

A new method improves policy evaluation in RL by tracking value uncertainties.

problem Limitations in existing policy evaluation methods for deep RL tasks.
method KOVA (Kalman Optimization for Value Approximation) based on extended Kalman filter.
result KOVA minimizes a regularized objective function that considers parameter and noisy return uncertainties.

DiSK improves DP optimizers by simplifying Kalman filtering for better performance.

problem Performance drop of DP optimizers in large-scale training due to noise injection.
method DiSK uses Kalman filtering to denoise privatized gradients and refine gradient estimations.
result DiSK achieves significant performance improvements over standard DP optimizers in large-scale training.

We study optimal regret bounds for control in linear dynamical systems under adversarially changing strongly convex cost functions, given the knowledge of transition dynamics. This includes several well studied and fundamental frameworks such as the Kalman filter and the linear quadratic regulator. State of the art met…

2019-09-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper analyzes ensemble Kalman updates for effective dimension and localization.

problem Why small ensemble sizes work well in inverse problems and data assimilation.
method Non-asymptotic analysis of ensemble Kalman updates, focusing on effective dimension and localization.
result Rigorously explains why a small ensemble size is sufficient when prior covariance has moderate effective dimension.

Recursive KalmanNet combines neural networks with Kalman filters for precise state estimation.

problem State estimation in systems with noisy measurements and non-Gaussian noise.
method Recursive KalmanNet uses a recurrent neural network to estimate states with consistent error covariance, optimizing for Gaussian negative log-likelihood.
result Recursive KalmanNet outperforms conventional Kalman filters and deep learning-based estimators in non-Gaussian noise conditions.

Proposes a new method to enhance neural learning by maximizing information gain.

problem Improving neural learning by selecting key variables to maximize information gain.
method Adaptive Ensemble Kalman Filter to quantify uncertainty and maximize information gain.
result The proposed method enables the neural network to learn more effectively from stochastic systems.

This paper proves long-time accuracy of ensemble Kalman filters for chaotic and machine-learned systems.

problem Ensuring long-term accuracy of ensemble Kalman filters for complex dynamical systems.
method Established conditions for long-time accuracy of ensemble Kalman filters for chaotic and machine-learned dynamical systems.
result Ensemble Kalman filters maintain small estimation error over long time horizons for chaotic and machine-learned systems.

KalMamba improves RL efficiency with probabilistic SSMs.

problem Efficiency in learning and inference for probabilistic SSMs in RL.
method Combines Mamba's scalability with Kalman filtering for efficient probabilistic SSMs.
result KalMamba outperforms state-of-the-art SSMs in RL, especially on longer sequences.

The Kalman filter and Heston model are used to estimate asset prices and trading performance.

problem Estimating asset prices using stochastic models.
method Kalman filter applied to mean-reverting processes and Heston model with method of moments.
result The Kalman filter and Heston model provide effective methods for estimating asset prices and trading performance.

State-space smoothing has found many applications in science and engineering. Under linear and Gaussian assumptions, smoothed estimates can be obtained using efficient recursions, for example Rauch-Tung-Striebel and Mayne-Fraser algorithms. Such schemes are equivalent to linear algebraic techniques that minimize a conv…

2016-09-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proves convergence of Kalman filter on Stiefel manifolds with measurement errors.

problem Filtering constant particle with measurement errors on Stiefel manifolds.
method Extended Kalman filter applied to Stiefel manifold-valued observations.
result Convergence of the extended Kalman filter proved for constant system process.

We cast Amari's natural gradient in statistical learning as a specific case of Kalman filtering. Namely, applying an extended Kalman filter to estimate a fixed unknown parameter of a probabilistic model from a series of observations, is rigorously equivalent to estimating this parameter via an online stochastic natural…

2017-03-01abs ↗pdf ↗

In this manuscript we introduce numerical Gaussian process Kalman filtering (GPKF). Numerical Gaussian processes have recently been developed to simulate spatiotemporal models. The contribution of this paper is to embed numerical Gaussian processes into the recursive Kalman filter equations. This embedding enables us t…

2019-12-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Ensemble Kalman methods improve climate model calibration from noisy observations.

problem Calibrating parameters in complex climate models from noisy data.
method Comparing ensemble Kalman methods for efficiency in climate model calibration.
result Ensemble Kalman methods are more efficient and robust for parameter learning in climate models.

Proposes MM-KTD for efficient RL learning with reduced sample size.

problem High sensitivity to parameter selection and overfitting in DNN-based RL methods.
method Adapts Kalman filter parameters using observed states and rewards, enhances sampling efficiency through active learning.
result Significantly reduced number of samples needed to learn optimal policy.

Improved stock volume prediction using Kalman Filters with various hidden states.

problem Improving accuracy of intraday trading volume prediction.
method Extended Kalman Filter with various hidden states for different stocks, using cross-validation to determine optimal state number.
result Demonstrated improved accuracy through comparison experiments and numerical analysis.

Many nonlinear extensions of the Kalman filter, e.g., the extended and the unscented Kalman filter, reduce the state densities to Gaussian densities. This approximation gives sufficient results in many cases. However, this filters only estimate states that are correlated with the observation. Therefore, sequential esti…

2012-07-18abs ↗pdf ↗