Improved Kalman filter for Stiefel manifold measurements.
problem Improving accuracy in measurements on Stiefel manifolds.
method Generalization of extended Kalman filter for Stiefel manifold-valued measurements.
result Significant improvement over raw measurements.
HKF uses neural networks to adapt Kalman filters for dynamic channel tracking.
problem Tracking channels with varying dynamics and Doppler values.
method Combines Kalman filters with hypernetworks for dynamic adaptation.
result HKF achieves up to 2dB gain over Kalman filters at high Doppler values.
In this paper, we revisit the Kalman filter theory. After giving the intuition on a simplified financial markets example, we revisit the maths underlying it. We then show that Kalman filter can be presented in a very different fashion using graphical models. This enables us to establish the connection between Kalman fi…
Illustrates interleaved learning with Kalman Filter for linear least squares.
problem Improving machine learning algorithms through interleaved learning.
method Simple statistical and optimization framework based on Kalman Filter.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of interleaved learning.
The Kalman filter (KF) is used in a variety of applications for computing the posterior distribution of latent states in a state space model. The model requires a linear relationship between states and observations. Extensions to the Kalman filter have been proposed that incorporate linear approximations to nonlinear m…
Recursive KalmanNet combines neural networks with Kalman filters for precise state estimation.
problem State estimation in systems with noisy measurements and non-Gaussian noise.
method Recursive KalmanNet uses a recurrent neural network to estimate states with consistent error covariance, optimizing for Gaussian negative log-likelihood.
result Recursive KalmanNet outperforms conventional Kalman filters and deep learning-based estimators in non-Gaussian noise conditions.
Transformers can approximate Kalman Filtering in linear systems with small error.
problem Approximating Kalman Filtering using Transformers for linear dynamical systems.
method Two-step reduction: 1) Softmax self-attention block approximates Nadaraya-Watson kernel smoothing, 2) This estimator approximates Kalman Filter.
result Constructs a Transformer that implements the Kalman Filter with small additive error, uniformly bounded in time.
Graph Kalman filters adapt classical filters to graph data.
problem Adapting classical Kalman filters to graph data.
method Generalizes Kalman filters to attributed graphs, learning state-transition and readout functions end-to-end.
result Adapted Kalman filters can predict graph outputs.
The Kalman filter is extensively used for state estimation for linear systems under Gaussian noise. When non-Gaussian Lévy noise is present, the conventional Kalman filter may fail to be effective due to the fact that the non-Gaussian Lévy noise may have infinite variance. A modified Kalman filter for linear systems wi…
Paper proves convergence of Kalman filter on Stiefel manifolds with measurement errors.
problem Filtering constant particle with measurement errors on Stiefel manifolds.
method Extended Kalman filter applied to Stiefel manifold-valued observations.
result Convergence of the extended Kalman filter proved for constant system process.
This paper proves long-time accuracy of ensemble Kalman filters for chaotic and machine-learned systems.
problem Ensuring long-term accuracy of ensemble Kalman filters for complex dynamical systems.
method Established conditions for long-time accuracy of ensemble Kalman filters for chaotic and machine-learned dynamical systems.
result Ensemble Kalman filters maintain small estimation error over long time horizons for chaotic and machine-learned systems.
Improved Kalman filter for non-linear, non-Gaussian data.
problem Estimating hidden variables with non-linear, non-Gaussian observations.
method Reproduces and extends Burkhart et al.'s discriminative Kalman filter.
result Enhanced filter performance for complex observation models.
Paper introduces EnDKF for more accurate pose tracking.
problem Accurate pose tracking with directional uncertainty.
method EnDKF integrates unit-quaternion attitude representation for better directional uncertainty capture.
result Significant reduction in error compared to traditional methods.
The extended Kalman filter is perhaps the most standard tool to estimate in real time the state of a dynamical system from noisy measurements of some function of the system, with extensive practical applications (such as position tracking via GPS). While the plain Kalman filter for linear systems is well-understood, th…
A Kalman filter reduces valuation risk in business valuation models.
problem Reducing valuation risk in business valuation models.
method Recursive FCFF model with Kalman filtering to adjust WACC.
result Significant reduction in valuation risk by implementing Kalman filter.
Many nonlinear extensions of the Kalman filter, e.g., the extended and the unscented Kalman filter, reduce the state densities to Gaussian densities. This approximation gives sufficient results in many cases. However, this filters only estimate states that are correlated with the observation. Therefore, sequential esti…
Study uses Kalman-Filter to assess market efficiency in major stock markets.
problem Assessing market efficiency in major stock markets.
method Utilizes Kalman-Filter in two stages, assuming a trendline representing true market value.
result Significant portfolio returns in emerging and developed markets.
Paper presents a robust Kalman filter for state estimation.
problem Robust state estimation under process and measurement noise.
method Generalized Bayesian approach to a Weighted Observation Likelihood Filter (WoLF) framework.
result Achieved robust state estimation against both process and measurement noise.
We cast Amari's natural gradient in statistical learning as a specific case of Kalman filtering. Namely, applying an extended Kalman filter to estimate a fixed unknown parameter of a probabilistic model from a series of observations, is rigorously equivalent to estimating this parameter via an online stochastic natural…
Robust Kalman filtering method for outlier detection.
problem Outliers and misspecified measurement models in state-space models.
method Combines generalised Bayesian inference with Kalman filters for robustness and efficiency.
result Matches or outperforms other robust filtering methods at lower computational cost.
The Kalman filter and Heston model are used to estimate asset prices and trading performance.
problem Estimating asset prices using stochastic models.
method Kalman filter applied to mean-reverting processes and Heston model with method of moments.
result The Kalman filter and Heston model provide effective methods for estimating asset prices and trading performance.
Proposes CE-BASS for robust Kalman filtering with innovative and additive outliers.
problem Robustness to both innovative and additive outliers in Kalman filtering.
method Particle mixture Kalman filter with re-sampling of past states.
result CE-BASS efficiently handles multi-modality and trend changes in hidden state distributions.
Develops inverse extended Kalman filter for predicting adversarial steps.
problem Predicting adversarial Kalman filter estimates from limited information.
method Proposes inverse extended Kalman filter (I-EKF) for non-linear systems with unknown inputs.
result Derives I-EKF with theoretical stability guarantees and consistency proofs.
In this manuscript we introduce numerical Gaussian process Kalman filtering (GPKF). Numerical Gaussian processes have recently been developed to simulate spatiotemporal models. The contribution of this paper is to embed numerical Gaussian processes into the recursive Kalman filter equations. This embedding enables us t…
Improved stock volume prediction using Kalman Filters with various hidden states.
problem Improving accuracy of intraday trading volume prediction.
method Extended Kalman Filter with various hidden states for different stocks, using cross-validation to determine optimal state number.
result Demonstrated improved accuracy through comparison experiments and numerical analysis.
Enhances linear regression with Kalman filter for loss minimization.
problem Minimizing loss in linear regression models.
method Integrates Kalman filter and SGD for optimal weight updates.
result Develops optimal linear regression equation with minimum area under curve.
We consider the nonlinear Kalman filtering problem using Kullback-Leibler (KL) and α-divergence measures as optimization criteria. Unlike linear Kalman filters, nonlinear Kalman filters do not have closed form Gaussian posteriors because of a lack of conjugacy due to the nonlinearity in the likelihood. In this paper …
AD-EnKFs use machine learning to improve data assimilation in high-dimensional systems.
problem Data assimilation in high-dimensional, unknown dynamics systems.
method Auto-differentiable ensemble Kalman filters blending machine learning and ensemble Kalman filters.
result AD-EnKFs outperform existing methods in the Lorenz-96 model.
This study improves state estimation for nonlinear systems using conditional normalizing flows.
problem Performance degradation of traditional filtering algorithms in nonlinear systems with non-Gaussian uncertainty.
method Uses conditional normalizing flows with MLP, transformer, or state-space models for state and parameter estimation.
result Optimal-transport-inspired kinetic loss mitigates overparameterization in flows.
Develops inverse EKF for non-linear systems with stability guarantees and learning unknown dynamics.
problem Estimating adversary's Kalman-filtered estimates in highly non-linear systems.
method Proposes inverse extended Kalman filter (I-EKF) for second-order, Gaussian sum, and dithered forward models. Uses reproducing kernel Hilbert space for learning unknown dynamics.
result Derives theoretical stability guarantees for inverse second-order EKF.
This work preserves linear invariants in ensemble filters for non-Gaussian data assimilation.
problem Maintaining critical invariants like mass, stoichiometric balance, and charge in non-Gaussian data assimilation.
method Introducing a novel class of nonlinear ensemble filters using measure transport theory.
result Recovery of a constrained Kalman filter for Gaussian settings and combination with regularization techniques.
Improved Kalman filtering with hierarchical variational approach.
problem Inconsistent process covariance estimation and slow convergence speed in traditional variational Kalman filtering.
method Introducing a surrogate variable for process-noise-free state, reformulating CAVI, and sliding-window hyperparameter estimation.
result Enhanced convergence speed and superior estimation accuracy compared to existing methods.
This paper explores estimating chaotic dynamics and parameters using local ensemble Kalman filters.
problem Estimating chaotic dynamics and parameters from observations.
method Local ensemble Kalman filters with covariance and local domain localisation.
result Rigorously updating global parameters using a local domain ensemble Kalman filter.
We investigate the convergence and stability properties of the decoupled extended Kalman filter learning algorithm (DEKF) within the long-short term memory network (LSTM) based online learning framework. For this purpose, we model DEKF as a perturbed extended Kalman filter and derive sufficient conditions for its stabi…
Convolutional Bayesian filtering generalizes state estimation by incorporating inequality conditions.
problem Standard Bayesian filtering assumes exact conditional probabilities, limiting its applicability.
method Introducing inequality conditions transforms conditional probabilities into convolutional forms, expanding the filtering framework.
result Convolutional Bayesian filtering encompasses standard Bayesian filtering and allows for more nuanced model consideration.
Develops inverse unscented Kalman filter for non-linear systems.
problem Estimating defender's state in adversarial settings.
method Formulated inverse unscented Kalman filter (I-UKF) and reproducing kernel Hilbert space-based UKF (RKHS-UKF).
result Proposed filters are conservative estimators with upper-bounded error covariance.
We seek to learn an effective policy for a Markov Decision Process (MDP) with continuous states via Q-Learning. Given a set of basis functions over state action pairs we search for a corresponding set of linear weights that minimizes the mean Bellman residual. Our algorithm uses a Kalman filter model to estimate those …
A new filter reduces density fitting to a linear solve, improving performance on nonlinear systems.
problem Nonlinear Bayesian filtering challenges in representing belief distributions.
method Combines score matching with Stein's identity to avoid partition function evaluation.
result The Score Kalman Filter (SKF) outperforms existing methods on nonlinear systems.
New method differentiates square-root Kalman filters robustly.
problem Gradient calculation issues in square-root Kalman filters.
method Closed-form chain rule derived from Gramian identity, resolves non-orthogonal and rank-deficient issues.
result Robust automatic differentiation for Kalman filters, resolving numerical stability and gradient issues.
We present the collaborative Kalman filter (CKF), a dynamic model for collaborative filtering and related factorization models. Using the matrix factorization approach to collaborative filtering, the CKF accounts for time evolution by modeling each low-dimensional latent embedding as a multidimensional Brownian motion.…
Improved robustness for high-dimensional Kalman filtering.
problem Convergence issues in sequential variational inference filter (VIF).
method Variational Kalman Filtering with Hinf-based correction.
result Improved feasibility and robustness in high-dimensional systems.
Research compares ML and Time Series methods for generating trading signals.
problem Efficiency of on-line learning Algorithms in generating trading signals.
method Used technical indicators and ensemble of Random Forests, also Kalman Filter.
result Kalman Filter outperformed Random Forests in on-line learning predictions of stock prices.
Efficient algorithm predicts unknown linear systems with long-term memory.
problem Predicting unknown and partially observed linear dynamical systems with long-term memory.
method Bounding the generalized Kolmogorov width of the Kalman filter model using spectral methods and conducting tight convex relaxation.
result Competes with Kalman filter in hindsight with only logarithmic regret.
A new method approximates deep neural networks using Kalman Filters.
problem Approximating deep neural networks with limited data.
method Matrix Ensemble Kalman Filter-based multi-arm ANN (MEnKF-ANN).
result MEnKF-ANN can adequately approximate LSTM networks and provide uncertainty estimates.
Motivated by the need for accurate frequency information, a novel algorithm for estimating the fundamental frequency and its rate of change in three-phase power systems is developed. This is achieved through two stages of Kalman filtering. In the first stage a quaternion extended Kalman filter, which provides a unified…
Kalman filters are routinely used for many data fusion applications including navigation, tracking, and simultaneous localization and mapping problems. However, significant time and effort is frequently required to tune various Kalman filter model parameters, e.g. process noise covariance, pre-whitening filter models f…
Study uses machine learning to predict stock prices, finds Kalman filter works well for low-volatility stocks.
problem Predicting stock prices using machine learning.
method Applied recursive machine learning techniques including linear Kalman filters and LSTM architectures to historical stock prices.
result Simple linear Kalman filter performs well for low-volatility stocks, while LSTM architectures outperform for high-volatility stocks.
Convergence of the Kalman filter is best analyzed by studying the contraction of the Riccati map in the space of positive definite (covariance) matrices. In this paper, we explore how this contraction property relates to a more fundamental non-expansiveness property of filtering maps in the space of probability distrib…