We test the price momentum effect in the Korean stock markets under the momentum universe shrinkage to subuniverses of the KOSPI 200. Performance of the momentum strategy is not homogeneous with respect to change of the momentum universe. It is found that some submarkets generate the higher momentum returns than other …
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48 results for “KOSPI 200”
Paper compares deep learning models for financial series prediction.
problem Predicting financial time series with deep learning methods.
method Compares MLP, 1D CNN, stacked LSTM, attention networks, and weighted attention networks.
result Attention LSTM model produces a 0.76 hit ratio, superior to other methods.
We introduce various quantitative and mathematical definitions for price momentum of financial instruments. The price momentum is quantified with velocity and mass concepts originated from the momentum in physics. By using the physical momentum of price as a selection criterion, the weekly contrarian strategies are imp…
Waiting-time distribution for a stock-market indexphysics.soc-ph
We investigate the waiting-time distribution of the absolute return in the Korean stock-market index KOSPI. We define the waiting time as a time interval during which the normalized absolute return remains continuously below a threshold . Through an exponential bin plot, we observe that the waiting-time distributi…
Scaling Properites of Price Changes for Korean Stock Indicescond-mat.stat-mech
We consider returns of two Korean stock market indices, KOSPI and KOSDAQ index. Central parts of the probability distribution function of returns are well fitted by the Lorentzian distribution function. However, tail parts of the probability distribution function follow a power law behavior well. We found that the prob…
The prediction of a stock market direction may serve as an early recommendation system for short-term investors and as an early financial distress warning system for long-term shareholders. Many stock prediction studies focus on using macroeconomic indicators, such as CPI and GDP, to train the prediction model. However…
This study examined how the correlation and network structure of 30 global indices and 145 local Korean indices belonging to the KOSPI 200 have changed during the 13-year period, 2000-2012. The correlations among the indices were calculated. The results showed that although the average correlations of the global indice…
Dynamical Structures of High-Frequency Financial Dataphysics.soc-ph
We study the dynamical behavior of high-frequency data from the Korean Stock Price Index (KOSPI) using the movement of returns in Korean financial markets. The dynamical behavior for a binarized series of our models is not completely random. The conditional probability is numerically estimated from a return series of K…
Herd Behaviors in the Stock and Foreign Exchange Marketscond-mat.stat-mech
The herd behaviors of returns for the won-dollar exchange rate and the KOSPI are analyzed in Korean financial markets. It is shown that the probability distribution of price returns for three values of the herding parameter tends to a power-law behavior with the exponents (the wo…
A novel approach using graph learning and synthetic long positions for statistical arbitrage in options markets.
problem Exploiting statistical arbitrage opportunities in options markets using machine learning.
method Two-stage graph learning approach: first stage defines a novel prediction target isolating pure arbitrages via synthetic bonds; second stage proposes SLSA positions.
result Statistically significant outperformance of GL baselines and consistent positive returns with an average P&L-contract information ratio of 0.1627.
We investigate multifractality in the Korean stock-market index KOSPI. The generalized th order height-height correlation function shows multiscaling properties. There are two scaling regimes with a crossover time around min. We consider the original data sets and the modified data sets obtained by removin…
The market efficiency in the stock marketsphysics.soc-ph
We study the temporal evolution of the market efficiency in the stock markets using the complexity, entropy density, standard deviation, autocorrelation function, and probability distribution of the log return for Standard and Poor's 500 (S&P 500), Nikkei stock average index, and Korean composition stock price index (K…
In this paper, we studied the dynamics of the log-return distribution of the Korean Composition Stock Price Index (KOSPI) from 1992 to 2004. Based on the microscopic spin model, we found that while the index during the late 1990s showed a power-law distribution, the distribution in the early 2000s was exponential. This…
Topological Properties of the Minimal Spanning Tree in Korean and American Stock Marketsphysics.data-an
We investigate a factor that can affect the number of links of a specific stock in a network between stocks created by the minimal spanning tree (MST) method, by using individual stock data listed on the S&P500 and KOSPI. Among the common factors mentioned in the arbitrage pricing model (APM), widely acknowledged in th…
Multifractal Features in the Foreign Exchange and Stock Marketscond-mat.stat-mech
The multifractal behavior for tick data of prices is investigated in Korean financial market. Using the rescaled range analysis(R/S analysis), we show the multifractal nature of returns for the won-dollar exchange rate and the KOSPI. We also estimate the Hurst exponent and the generalized th-order Hurst exponent in …
We first review empirical evidence that asset prices have had episodes of large fluctuations and been inefficient for at least 200 years. We briefly review recent theoretical results as well as the neurological basis of trend following and finally argue that these asset price properties can be attributed to two fundame…
We list more than 200 new examples of minor minimal intrinsically knotted graphs and describe many more that are intrinsically knotted and likely minor minimal.
Mobile apps and machine learning improve malaria prevention and treatment.
problem High malaria cases and deaths in low-income countries.
method Adaptive interventions using mobile health apps and machine learning.
result Increased malaria testing, adherence, and provider skills.
Sector-wise analysis of Indian stock market: Long and short-term risk and stability analysisq-fin.ST
The paper analyzes Indian stock sectors using multifractal analysis for long and short-term investment.
problem Investment risk and stability in Indian stock sectors.
method Sector-wise multifractal analysis of Bombay Stock Exchange, India, over short and long time scales.
result Long-term investment in stable sectors is more profitable, while sectors with large fluctuations may lead to downturns.
Study confirms improved performance of Self-Critique and Adapt method.
problem Improving performance of MAML++ method.
method Self-Critique and Adapt (SCA) method.
result SCA method improves performance of MAML++.
Paper predicts cryptocurrency bull and bear phases using Bitcoin's moving averages.
problem Determining cryptocurrency bull and bear phases based on Bitcoin performance.
method Employing predictive algorithms to forecast Bitcoin's 50 Day and 200 Day Moving Averages.
result Predicted data from Bitcoin's moving averages helps identify potential bull and bear phases.
Deep Recurrent Electricity Theft Detection in AMI Networks with Random Tuning of Hyper-parameterscs.LG
Modern smart grids rely on advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) networks for monitoring and billing purposes. However, such an approach suffers from electricity theft cyberattacks. Different from the existing research that utilizes shallow, static, and customer-specific-based electricity theft detectors, this paper p…
Intermittency and Localizationphysics.soc-ph
In this paper, we show how simple logistic growth that was studied intensively during the last 200 years in many domains of science could be extended in a rather simple way and with these extensions is capable to produce a collection of behaviors widely observed in an enormous number of real-life systems in Economics, …
Novel loss function improves few-shot classification performance.
problem Few-shot classification struggles with embedding space for new classes.
method Proposes self-compacting softmax loss (SSL) to prevent embedding space fullness.
result SSL leads to significant improvement in state-of-the-art performance.
Recently, our group has published two papers that have received some attention in the finance community. One is about the profitability of trend following strategies over 200 years, the second is about the correlation between the profitability of "Risk Premia" and their skewness. In this short note, we present two addi…
Deep neural networks forecast financial return distributions accurately.
problem Forecasting probability distributions of financial returns.
method Used 1D CNN and LSTM architectures with custom loss functions to optimize distribution parameters.
result LSTM with skewed Student's t distribution outperformed classical models in multiple evaluation metrics.
OpenEDS dataset captures eye images for VR applications.
problem Lack of high-quality eye image datasets for VR applications.
method Captured eye images using VR head-mounted display with synchronized cameras.
result Baseline experiment achieved 98.3% mIoU for pupil, iris, sclera segmentation.
There is growing interest in the design of pension annuities that insure against idiosyncratic longevity risk while pooling and sharing systematic risk. This is partially motivated by the desire to reduce capital and reserve requirements while retaining the value of mortality credits; see for example Piggott, Valdez an…
Deep CNN model improves breast cancer screening exam classification.
problem Improving accuracy in breast cancer screening exam classification.
method Localization-based deep CNN trained on 200,000 exams.
result AUC of 0.919 in predicting malignancy, reducing error rate by 23%.
FSD50K provides an open dataset of over 51k audio clips for sound event recognition.
problem Small and domain-specific sound event recognition datasets.
method Creation of an open dataset with over 51k audio clips manually labeled using 200 classes.
result FSD50K is a new open benchmark for sound event recognition research.
We consider the effects of the global financial crisis through a local Korean financial market around the 2008 crisis. We analyze 185 individual stock prices belonging to the KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index), cosidering three time periods: the time before, during, and after the crisis. The complex networks gen…
A new mutual information optimization method using self-supervised binary contrastive learning.
problem Improving self-supervised contrastive learning for better model performance.
method Proposes a novel loss function for contrastive learning that optimizes mutual information in positive and negative pairs.
result The proposed method outperforms state-of-the-art self-supervised contrastive frameworks on various benchmark datasets.
Estimation of facial expressions, as spatio-temporal processes, can take advantage of kernel methods if one considers facial landmark positions and their motion in 3D space. We applied support vector classification with kernels derived from dynamic time-warping similarity measures. We achieved over 99% accuracy - measu…
This study provides an independent, outside-in estimate of the cost and schedule risks of nuclear waste storage projects. Based on a reference class of 216 past, comparable projects, risk of cost overrun was found to be 202% or less, with 80% certainty, i.e., 20% risk of an overrun above 202%. Based on a reference clas…
We use a geometric construction to exhibit examples of autonomous Lagrangian systems admitting exactly two homoclinics emanating from a nondegenerate maximum of the potential energy and reaching a regular level of the potential having the same value of the maximum point. Similarly, we show examples of Hamiltonian syste…
Breast density classification is an essential part of breast cancer screening. Although a lot of prior work considered this problem as a task for learning algorithms, to our knowledge, all of them used small and not clinically realistic data both for training and evaluation of their models. In this work, we explore the…
Making neural networks robust against adversarial inputs has resulted in an arms race between new defenses and attacks. The most promising defenses, adversarially robust training and verifiably robust training, have limitations that restrict their practical applications. The adversarially robust training only makes the…
Permutation testing is a non-parametric method for obtaining the max null distribution used to compute corrected -values that provide strong control of false positives. In neuroimaging, however, the computational burden of running such an algorithm can be significant. We find that by viewing the permutation testing …
HAMD optimizes cubic portfolios without quadratization, achieving better results.
problem Optimizing higher-order portfolio models with reduced distortion.
method Hybrid pipeline combining continuous Hamiltonian search, cardinality-preserving projection, and iterated local search.
result HAMD achieves significantly lower native cubic objective values than classical heuristics.
Proposes a comprehensive framework for financial product lead recommendations using graph representation learning and link prediction.
problem Challenges in surface lead recommendations for financial products due to changing market scenarios and difficulty in capturing holder's mindset.
method Bi-partite graph representation of financial holders and funds, GraphSage model for learning representations, link prediction model for ranking recommendations.
result The proposed graph ML solution outperforms baseline by 42%, 22%, and 14% in hit rate for top-k recommendations (50, 100, 200) and 18%, 19%, and 18% on unseen holders.
A new portfolio optimization model minimizes maximum drawdown, offering faster and more robust solutions.
problem Optimizing portfolios during financial distress, especially during crises.
method Linearization of Markowitz model based on maximum drawdown, with a Mixed-Integer Linear Programming variation.
result 200 times faster solving time with a more profitable and robust solution.
Supervised Dimensionality Reduction Revisited: Why LDA on Frozen CNN Features Deserves a Second Lookcs.LG
LDA improves image classification accuracy with fewer features.
problem Fine-grained image classification with pretrained features.
method Supervised dimensionality reduction with LDA before linear probing.
result LDA improves accuracy over full features in 11 out of 12 configurations.
CcGAN tackles conditional image generation for continuous labels.
problem Mathematical challenges in conditioning on continuous, scalar labels.
method Proposes novel empirical losses and label input methods for continuous conditional GANs.
result CcGAN generates diverse, high-quality images from continuous labels.
New method targets vaccines for new variants using Thompson sampling.
problem Deciding how to prioritize vaccines for new variants with delayed feedback.
method Partial likelihood Thompson sampling, updating beliefs with partial likelihood.
result Method effectively prioritizes vaccines based on real-world data.
This study presents a new lossy image compression method that utilizes the multi-scale features of natural images. Our model consists of two networks: multi-scale lossy autoencoder and parallel multi-scale lossless coder. The multi-scale lossy autoencoder extracts the multi-scale image features to quantized variables a…
This paper presents a framework to tackle combinatorial optimization problems using neural networks and reinforcement learning. We focus on the traveling salesman problem (TSP) and train a recurrent network that, given a set of city coordinates, predicts a distribution over different city permutations. Using negative t…
Two things seem to be indisputable in the contemporary deep learning discourse: 1. The categorical cross-entropy loss after softmax activation is the method of choice for classification. 2. Training a CNN classifier from scratch on small datasets does not work well. In contrast to this, we show that the cosine loss fun…
TabPFN-3 scales tabular prediction models to large datasets and improves performance and speed.
problem Scaling tabular prediction models to large datasets with high performance and efficiency.
method Pretrained on synthetic data, introduces test-time compute scaling, and uses row-chunking.
result Significantly outperforms other models on TabArena and diverse datasets.