This paper uses alternative data to forecast Japanese real estate performance.
problem Accurate rent and price forecasting in Japanese real estate markets.
method Created a comprehensive house price index using over 5 million transactions and economic factors.
result Alternative data variables can forecast real estate performance effectively.
Investment tool predicts higher returns for Madrid real estate units.
problem Determining which real estate units have higher returns to investment in Madrid.
method Data collection from Idealista.com, descriptive statistics, return index, machine learning algorithms.
result Introduction of machine learning algorithms for rental real estate price prediction.
The study explores when it's best to remove a real estate broker from the process.
problem Optimal conditions for removing a real estate broker.
method New models analyzing information asymmetry, social capital, and contract types.
result Dis-intermediation can be optimal under certain conditions.
Model predicts price polarity of real estate properties using website information.
problem Predicting price polarity of real estate properties.
method Uses doc2vec and xgboost to learn correlations between price and text descriptions of properties.
result Text descriptions provide slightly higher accuracy than features alone.
Examines how extending home loan durations affects French households financially.
problem Financial implications for households with extended home loan durations.
method Analysis of French and international home loan systems, including bullet loans and Japanese home loans.
result Extending home loan durations can reduce monthly payments but raises financial risks.
Optimizes real estate prices with dynamic strategies.
problem Optimizing prices for limited real estate goods over time.
method Develops a mathematical model considering variable demand, time value, and growth of real estate value.
result Enhanced model for better revenue management in real estate.
This paper evaluates financial competitiveness of Indian real estate companies using entropy method.
problem Improving financial competitiveness of Indian real estate companies in a competitive market.
method Financial competitiveness evaluation index system using key financial ratios and a scoring system.
result Companies with high scores have strong profitability and operational capacity, while those with lower scores struggle with solvency and working capital.
Analyzes national real estate investment risks and returns.
problem Investors and home buyers face increasing costs and risks.
method Examines economic vulnerabilities and traditional market analysis.
result Ensures positive returns and fair prices for real estate investments.
Automated valuation model uses diverse data sources for real estate appraisal.
problem Accurate and efficient automated valuation of real estate properties.
method Web data acquisition and machine learning model combining structural and geographical data.
result The model achieves high prediction accuracy for real estate values.
ARED introduces a new dataset for Argentina's real estate market.
problem Lack of mixed modality datasets for Argentina's real estate market.
method Developed a comprehensive real estate price prediction dataset series for Argentina.
result Dataset captures time-dependent phenomena on a market level.
Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) are the only truly liquid assets related to real estate investments. We study the behavior of U.S. REITs over the past three decades and document their return characteristics. REITs have somewhat less market risk than equity; their betas against a broad market index average about .…
Satellite images improve real-estate price predictions.
problem Improving accuracy of real-estate price predictions.
method Used convolutional neural networks (CNN) to incorporate satellite image data.
result CNN model trained on satellite images and structured data performs 7% better in MAE.
The real estate is a pillar industry of China's national economy. Due to changes in policy and market conditions, the real estate companies are facing greater pressures to survive in a competitive environment. They must improve their financial competitiveness. Based on the conceptual framework of financial competitiven…
Model for dynamic pricing across multiple RE groups to maximize revenue.
problem Maximizing revenue from multiple RE pricing groups.
method Mathematical model incorporating multiple pricing groups, revenue goals, and time value of money.
result Algorithm for constructing a pricing policy for multiple RE groups.
Framework selects real estate redevelopment uses by integrating value, risk, complexity, and irreversibility.
problem Persistent underperformance of real estate assets due to structural misalignment.
method Integrates real-options logic and multi-criteria decision analysis.
result Reduces over-complexification and misalignment in strategic use selection.
Article offers models for choosing sale-leaseback vs debt.
problem Choosing between sale-leaseback and debt for commercial real estate.
method Developed decision models for leasing.
result Models can be applied to various types of leasing.
Hedonic models predict 84-92% of U.S. real estate prices, highlighting environmental factors' impact.
problem Predicting real estate prices using hedonic models with environmental factors.
method P-spline generalized additive models for real estate prices, contrasting with linear and polynomial models.
result GAM models explain 84-92% of U.S. real estate price variance, with environmental factors contributing minimally.
In recent years, real estate industry has captured government and public attention around the world. The factors influencing the prices of real estate are diversified and complex. However, due to the limitations and one-sidedness of their respective views, they did not provide enough theoretical basis for the fluctuati…
Successfully predicting gentrification could have many social and commercial applications; however, real estate sales are difficult to predict because they belong to a chaotic system comprised of intrinsic and extrinsic characteristics, perceived value, and market speculation. Using New York City real estate as our sub…
Speculative bubbles have been occurring periodically in local or global real estate markets and are considered a potential cause of economic crises. In this context, the detection of explosive behaviors in the financial market and the implementation of early warning diagnosis tests are of critical importance. The recen…
Cryptocurrency and NFT prices are highly correlated, mirroring historical bubbles.
problem Evaluating the wealth effect of cryptocurrency prices on real estate.
method Exploiting metaverse LAND and cryptocurrencies to track correlations and causality.
result Cryptocurrency prices Granger cause NFT LAND prices, similar to historical bubbles.
Research identifies four motivational groups for crypto-metaverse landowners.
problem Understanding motivations of retail investors in the crypto-metaverse.
method Detailed financial behavior survey and principal components analysis.
result Four distinct motivational groups identified: Aesthetics, Social, Speculation, Innovation.
In this paper, we show how using publicly available data streams and machine learning algorithms one can develop practical data driven services with no input from domain experts as a form of prior knowledge. We report the initial steps toward development of a real estate portal in Switzerland. Based on continuous web c…
Study forecasts sub-city real estate prices weekly using radar and news sentiment.
problem Limited availability of reliable real estate price indicators at neighborhood and long horizons.
method Combining satellite radar signals and news sentiment to forecast sub-city real estate prices.
result The multimodal model reduces mean absolute error by 35% at long horizons (26-34 weeks).
Model predicts climate change's impact on real estate prices.
problem Impact of climate transition on real estate prices.
method Modeling property valuation using Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes and carbon prices.
result Depreciation of inefficient real estate assets due to climate transition is quantifiable.
The real estate market is exposed to many fluctuations in prices because of existing correlations with many variables, some of which cannot be controlled or might even be unknown. Housing prices can increase rapidly (or in some cases, also drop very fast), yet the numerous listings available online where houses are sol…
Study shows houses appreciated more during pandemic due to speculation, not just price uncertainty.
problem Impact of COVID-19 on house prices and speculation.
method Quasi-experimental design, unit-level matching, multivariate difference-in-difference regression.
result Properties listed for sale appreciated an additional 1% per month after pandemic onset, with an excess annual growth of 12.7 percentage points.
We have analyzed the risks of possible development of bubbles in the Swiss residential real estate market. The data employed in this work has been collected by comparis.ch, and carefully cleaned from duplicate records through a procedure based on supervised machine learning methods. The study uses the log periodic powe…
Study builds a Japanese financial-specific LLM through continual pre-training.
problem Lack of domain-specific Japanese financial LLMs.
method Continual pre-training on Japanese financial-focused datasets using a base Japanese LLM.
result Tuned model outperforms original model on Japanese financial benchmarks.
The paper uses CPI growth rates to improve LGD predictions for CRE loans.
problem Challenges in forecasting LGD for CRE loans due to extended resolution times and restricted data.
method Combines internal and public data, including CPI growth rates, to forecast CRE LGD.
result Incorporating CPI at the time of default improves LGD prediction accuracy.
CFRecs uses counterfactual reasoning to improve graph-based recommendations in real estate.
problem Improving model interpretability and actionable insights in graph-based recommender systems.
method A two-stage architecture combining GNN and Graph-VAE to propose minimal yet impactful changes in graph structure and node attributes.
result Demonstrates effectiveness in delivering actionable recommendations for home buyers and sellers.
Machine learning models predict housing prices using macroeconomic factors.
problem Predicting housing prices using macroeconomic data.
method Used machine learning (kNN and tree-bagging) on a dataset of macroeconomic factors.
result Machine learning models can predict housing prices with uncertainties better than existing index uncertainties.
We applied the Johansen-Ledoit-Sornette (JLS) model to detect possible bubbles and crashes related to the Brexit/Bremain referendum scheduled for 23rd June 2016. Our implementation includes an enhanced model calibration using Genetic Algorithms. We selected a few historical financial series sensitive to the Brexit/Brem…
We argue that the present crisis and stalling economy continuing since 2007 are rooted in the delusionary belief in policies based on a "perpetual money machine" type of thinking. We document strong evidence that, since the early 1980s, consumption has been increasingly funded by smaller savings, booming financial prof…
Study shows activist board representation improves Japanese companies' performance.
problem Lack of innovation and improvement in Japanese companies.
method Examined two Japanese companies with activist board representation, analyzing performance metrics.
result Companies with activist board representation experienced significant improvements in stock returns and operational metrics.
We document a well-developed log-periodic power-law antibubble in China's stock market, which started in August 2001. We argue that the current stock market antibubble is sustained by a contemporary active unsustainable real-estate bubble in China. The characteristic parameters of the antibubble have exhibited remarkab…
KaoKore dataset extracts faces from pre-modern Japanese art for machine learning.
problem Lack of relevant datasets for historical Japanese artworks in machine learning.
method Extracted faces from pre-modern Japanese artwork to create a new dataset.
result Demonstrated the dataset's value for image classification and creative applications.
In the aftermath of the burst of the ``new economy'' bubble in 2000, the Federal Reserve aggressively reduced short-term rates yields in less than two years from 6.5% to 1.25% in an attempt to coax forth a stronger recovery of the US economy. But, there is growing apprehension that this is creating a new bubble in real…
Study constructs a Japanese financial LLM benchmark.
problem Need for domain-specific benchmarks for LLMs.
method Constructed a benchmark with multiple Japanese and financial domain tasks.
result GPT-4 outperforms other models in the benchmark.
Study finds varying market efficiency in prewar and wartime Japanese stock market.
problem Measuring market efficiency in prewar and wartime Japanese stock market.
method Using a new market capitalization-weighted stock price index, the study examines market efficiency over time and historical events.
result The adaptive market hypothesis is supported in the prewar and wartime Japanese stock market, with efficiency varying over time and with historical events.
Study on time-varying APT validity in Japanese stock market.
problem Validity of Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) in Japanese stock market over time.
method Rolling window method applied to Fama and MacBeth's two-step regression and Kamstra and Shi's generalized GRS test.
result APT validity is unstable over time in Japanese stock market, influenced by monetary policy and business cycle.
In this article, we develop a model for the evolution of real estate prices. A wide range of inputs, including stochastic interest rates and changing demands for the asset, are considered. Maximizing their expected utility, home owners make optimal sale decisions given these changing market conditions. Using these opti…
This study evaluates prewar Japanese financial market efficiency using time-varying models.
problem Determining when prewar Japanese financial market lost its price formation function.
method Time-varying parameter model, generalized least squares-based time-varying vector autoregressive model.
result The prewar Japanese financial market lost its price formation function in 1932.
Interval bankruptcy problems arise in situations where an estate has to be liquidated among a fixed number of creditors and uncertainty about the amounts of the claims is modeled by intervals. We extend in the interval setting the classical results by Curiel, Maschler and Tijs (1987) that characterize division rules wh…
This paper intends to present the opportunities emerging for the national economy, out of the financial crisis. In particular the management of those, which arise from the commercial real estate owned property sector, defined by the author as crisis heritage management. On one hand, as real estate property prices are s…
Network analysis techniques remain rarely used for understanding international management strategies. Our paper highlights their value as research tool in this field of social science using a large set of micro-data (20,000) to investigate the presence of networks of subsidiaries overseas. The research question is the …
We investigated the network structures of the Japanese stock market through the minimum spanning tree. We defined grouping coefficient to test the validity of conventional grouping by industrial categories, and found a decreasing in trend for the coefficient. This phenomenon supports the increasing external influences …
Study examines asymmetry impacts on Japanese stock market volatility modeling and forecasting.
problem Understanding asymmetry's impact on modeling and forecasting realized volatility in Japanese stock markets.
method Employed heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) models with three types of asymmetry: positive and negative realized semivariance, asymmetric jumps, and leverage effects.
result Leverage effects significantly influence realized volatility modeling and forecast performance in Japanese stock markets.