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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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1345 · Nov 201919922001200920182026
48 results for Japanese candlesticks

Paper proposes a novel approach for stock prediction using NLP and Japanese candlesticks.

problem Challenging task of predicting stock trends due to multiple influencing factors.
method Combines NLP and Japanese candlesticks, creating a language from OHLC data, training Word2Vec model, and predicting trading actions.
result Word2Vec outperformed other models in various scenarios, achieving positive results.

Paper develops new spot regression estimators using candlesticks for asset pricing.

problem Estimation of spot betas in asset pricing and risk management.
method Develops a new estimation and inference framework for spot regressions using high-frequency candlesticks.
result The proposed candlestick-based estimators reduce estimation risk and achieve higher power in hypothesis testing.

Martingale Doppelgänger-Eval benchmarks VLMs on candlestick evidence vs. trend extrapolation

problem Auditing whether VLMs use chart evidence or trend extrapolation
method Proving formal limitations and designing controlled mechanisms
result Identifying regression coefficients for evidence vs. trend

Study builds a Japanese financial-specific LLM through continual pre-training.

problem Lack of domain-specific Japanese financial LLMs.
method Continual pre-training on Japanese financial-focused datasets using a base Japanese LLM.
result Tuned model outperforms original model on Japanese financial benchmarks.

Study shows activist board representation improves Japanese companies' performance.

problem Lack of innovation and improvement in Japanese companies.
method Examined two Japanese companies with activist board representation, analyzing performance metrics.
result Companies with activist board representation experienced significant improvements in stock returns and operational metrics.

KaoKore dataset extracts faces from pre-modern Japanese art for machine learning.

problem Lack of relevant datasets for historical Japanese artworks in machine learning.
method Extracted faces from pre-modern Japanese artwork to create a new dataset.
result Demonstrated the dataset's value for image classification and creative applications.

Study tests five popular trading signal families and finds four refuted, one inconclusive, and one not refuted.

problem Testing the viability of five popular trading signal families for generating a positive edge.
method Statistical edge testing, economic viability assessment, and finite-bankroll survival under leverage using exposure-matched benchmarks, stationary-bootstrap confidence intervals, and hierarchical Benjamini-Yekutieli control.
result Four out of five signal families are refuted, one is inconclusive, and one is not refuted.

Study finds varying market efficiency in prewar and wartime Japanese stock market.

problem Measuring market efficiency in prewar and wartime Japanese stock market.
method Using a new market capitalization-weighted stock price index, the study examines market efficiency over time and historical events.
result The adaptive market hypothesis is supported in the prewar and wartime Japanese stock market, with efficiency varying over time and with historical events.

Study on time-varying APT validity in Japanese stock market.

problem Validity of Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) in Japanese stock market over time.
method Rolling window method applied to Fama and MacBeth's two-step regression and Kamstra and Shi's generalized GRS test.
result APT validity is unstable over time in Japanese stock market, influenced by monetary policy and business cycle.

Enhanced Tacotron for Japanese speech synthesis improves naturalness.

problem Challenges in end-to-end Japanese speech synthesis due to pitch accents.
method Extended Tacotron with self-attention to capture pitch accent dependencies.
result Proposed systems show improvements but still lag behind traditional pipeline methods.

This study evaluates prewar Japanese financial market efficiency using time-varying models.

problem Determining when prewar Japanese financial market lost its price formation function.
method Time-varying parameter model, generalized least squares-based time-varying vector autoregressive model.
result The prewar Japanese financial market lost its price formation function in 1932.

We investigated the network structures of the Japanese stock market through the minimum spanning tree. We defined grouping coefficient to test the validity of conventional grouping by industrial categories, and found a decreasing in trend for the coefficient. This phenomenon supports the increasing external influences …

2007-08-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Study examines asymmetry impacts on Japanese stock market volatility modeling and forecasting.

problem Understanding asymmetry's impact on modeling and forecasting realized volatility in Japanese stock markets.
method Employed heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) models with three types of asymmetry: positive and negative realized semivariance, asymmetric jumps, and leverage effects.
result Leverage effects significantly influence realized volatility modeling and forecast performance in Japanese stock markets.

Trading strategies improved by classifying financial time-series images.

problem Improving financial trading strategies using image classification.
method Created a dataset of financial time-series images, labeled them, and trained machine learning models.
result Machine learning models trained on image data outperformed traditional time-series analysis.

This paper examines the integration process of the Japanese major rice markets (Tokyo and Osaka) from 1881 to 1932. Using a non-Bayesian time-varying vector error correction model, we argue that the process strongly depended on the government's policy on the network system of the telegram and telephone; rice traders wi…

2016-04-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Study examines market reactions and spillovers in Japanese bank mergers using multiple methods.

problem Understanding valuation and spillover effects of bank mergers in the Japanese banking sector.
method Combines event study, VAR models, IRFs, and PSM to analyze two M&A events.
result Significant positive market reaction and prolonged positive spillovers detected.

EDINET-Bench evaluates LLMs on complex financial tasks using Japanese financial statements.

problem Challenges in evaluating LLMs on financial tasks due to specialized expertise and scarce benchmarks.
method Developed EDINET-Bench, an open-source Japanese financial benchmark for LLMs on tasks like fraud detection and earnings forecasting.
result State-of-the-art LLMs perform only marginally better than logistic regression in financial tasks, highlighting the need for more realistic benchmarks.

The persistence phenomenon is studied in the Japanese financial market by using a novel mapping of the time evolution of the values of shares quoted on the Nikkei Index onto Ising spins. The method is applied to historical end of day data from the Japanese stock market during 2002. By studying the time dependence of th…

2008-03-04abs ↗pdf ↗

We detect the backbone of the weighted bipartite network of the Japanese credit market relationships. The backbone is detected by adapting a general method used in the investigation of weighted networks. With this approach we detect a backbone that is statistically validated against a null hypothesis of uniform diversi…

2015-11-21abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we address the question of the size distribution of firms. To this aim, we use the Bloomberg database comprising multinational firms within the years 1995-2003, and analyze the data of the sales and the total assets of the separate financial statement of the Japanese and the US companies, and make a compa…

2005-12-14abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a long term portfolio management method which takes into account a liability. Our approach is based on the LQG (Linear, Quadratic cost, Gaussian) control problem framework and then the optimal portfolio strategy hedges the liability by directly tracking a benchmark process which represents the liability. Two…

2013-03-16abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper evaluates LLMs for technical market analysis, finding GPT-4 Turbo and FinGPT outperform passive benchmarks.

problem Evaluating LLMs for technical market analysis in financial markets.
method Structured evaluation of five LLMs (GPT-4 Turbo, Claude 3 Opus, Gemini 1.5 Pro, Llama 3 70B, FinGPT) on four tasks: candlestick pattern recognition, directional signal generation, backtesting, and financial report comprehension.
result GPT-4 Turbo and FinGPT outperform passive benchmarks in simulated backtesting, with GPT-4 Turbo achieving the highest annualized return and Sharpe ratio.

Study improves Cox model for predicting stock trading signs using Japanese market data.

problem Improving Cox model for predicting stock trading signs using Japanese market data.
method Added new covariates and used high-frequency trading data for 222 Nikkei 225 stocks.
result Cox-type model performs well in Japanese market and identifies key factors for accurate estimation.

Quantum neural network and tensor network models outperform classical models in Japanese stock market predictions.

problem Improving stock return predictions using quantum and quantum-inspired machine learning.
method Evaluation of quantum neural network and tensor network models against classical models like linear and neural networks.
result Tensor network model outperforms classical models in Japanese stock market, including linear and neural network models.

We investigated the temporally evolving network structures of the Japanese and Korean stock markets through the minimum spanning trees composed of listed stocks. We tested the validity of conventional grouping by industrial categories, and found a common trend of decrease for Japan and Korea. This phenomenon supports t…

2005-11-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Investigates neural TTS systems for Japanese and English.

problem Improving neural TTS systems for high-quality speech synthesis.
method Comparative study of neural sequence-to-sequence TTS vs. DNN pipeline TTS, varying model architecture, parameter size, and language.
result A neural sequence-to-sequence TTS system requires sufficient model parameters and a powerful encoder for high-quality speech synthesis.

Following the work of Okuyama, Takayasu and Takayasu [Okuyama, Takayasu and Takayasu 1999] we analyze huge databases of Japanese companies' financial figures and confirm that the Zipf's law, a power law distribution with the exponent -1, has been maintained over 30 years in the income distribution of Japanese companies…

2003-08-19abs ↗pdf ↗

An analysis of the Japanese credit market in 2004 between banks and quoted firms is done in this paper using the tools of the networks theory. It can be pointed out that: (i) a backbone of the credit channel emerges, where some links play a crucial role; (ii) big banks privilege long-term contracts; the "minimal spanni…

2009-01-16abs ↗pdf ↗

We have analyzed the Indices of Industrial Production (Seasonal Adjustment Index) for a long period of 240 months (January 1988 to December 2007) to develop a deeper understanding of the economic shocks. The angular frequencies estimated using the Hilbert transformation, are almost identical for the 16 industrial secto…

2013-05-10abs ↗pdf ↗

We investigate scaling and memory effects in return intervals between price volatilities above a certain threshold qq for the Japanese stock market using daily and intraday data sets. We find that the distribution of return intervals can be approximated by a scaling function that depends only on the ratio between the …

2007-09-11abs ↗pdf ↗

We perform an extended analysis of the distribution of drawdowns in the two leading exchange markets (US dollar against the Deutsmark and against the Yen), in the major world stock markets, in the U.S. and Japanese bond market and in the gold market, by introducing the concept of ``coarse-grained drawdowns,'' which all…

2002-10-23abs ↗pdf ↗