Study finds investor sentiment has a significant positive relationship with stock returns in Moroccan and Tunisian markets.
problem Investor sentiment and stock returns relationship in Moroccan and Tunisian markets.
method Used indirect measures of investor sentiment (SENT and ARMS) and Granger causality tests.
result Sentiment has a significant positive relationship with stock returns, but not the other way around.
Study uses Granger causality to show investor sentiment influences stock prices.
problem Understanding the relationship between investor sentiment and stock market movements.
method Applied Granger causality to analyze the relationship between close price index and sentiment score.
result Sentiment analysis shows a positive correlation with stock price movements.
Study shows investor sentiment boosts intraday trading in Chinese markets.
problem Impact of investor sentiment on intraday overtrading in Chinese A-share markets.
method High-frequency sentiment indices from social media analyzed for intraday overtrading in CSI 300 and CSI 500 constituents.
result Investor sentiment significantly increases intraday overtrading, especially among institutional investors.
Investor sentiment improves model accuracy but complexity doesn't always boost predictive power.
problem Determining the optimal complexity of investor sentiment measures in asset pricing models.
method Comprehensive review of 71 papers from 2000-2021, analyzing various sentiment measures and models.
result Higher complexity of sentiment measures does not necessarily improve predictive power.
Study investor sentiment and disagreement on StockTwits during COVID-19.
problem Understanding investor beliefs and sentiment during the pandemic.
method Analysis of social media data (StockTwits) for investor messages.
result Sentiment and disagreement sharply decreased in early March 2020, followed by a reversal.
Study proposes a machine learning method to predict stock price crashes based on investor sentiment.
problem Predicting stock price crashes due to investor sentiment.
method Minimum covariance determinant methodology and cross-sectional regression analysis.
result The proposed method effectively captures stock price crash risk and is robust across different firm sizes.
Behavioral theories posit that investor sentiment exhibits predictive power for stock returns, whereas there is little study have investigated the relationship between the time horizon of the predictive effect of investor sentiment and the firm characteristics. To this end, by using a Granger causality analysis in the …
GIFsentiment predicts stock market returns and investor sentiment from social media GIFs.
problem Understanding investor sentiment in the stock market.
method Constructing a sentiment index from social media GIFs and analyzing its correlation with market returns and volume.
result GIFsentiment positively predicts stock market returns and negatively predicts returns for up to four weeks.
Financial market prediction on the basis of online sentiment tracking has drawn a lot of attention recently. However, most results in this emerging domain rely on a unique, particular combination of data sets and sentiment tracking tools. This makes it difficult to disambiguate measurement and instrument effects from f…
This study examines investor sentiment's impact on stock market liquidity and volatility using deep learning and TVP-VAR models.
problem Investor sentiment's impact on stock market liquidity and volatility.
method Deep learning BERT model for sentiment extraction and TVP-VAR model for time-varying analysis.
result Investor sentiment has a stronger impact on stock market liquidity and volatility, with more pronounced effects in short-term shocks.
Hybrid model predicts stock prices using online forum sentiments and popularity.
problem Predicting stock prices accurately considering investor sentiment.
method XLNET for sentiment analysis, BiLSTM-highway model integration, combining post popularity.
result Hybrid model outperforms traditional methods in stock price prediction.
Study finds social media investor emotions predict stock prices.
problem Validation of social media sentiment models in predicting market behavior.
method Employed EmTract, an emotion model, to test social media sentiment against lab experiments.
result Firm-specific investor emotions forecast daily asset price movements.
Study finds Twitter activity correlates with stock volatility but not sentiment.
problem Understanding the impact of social media on stock market dynamics.
method Collected and analyzed tweets from Twitter and Reddit, examining their sentiment and correlation with stock volatility.
result Twitter activity correlates with stock volatility but not sentiment.
StockEmotions dataset for financial sentiment and emotion analysis.
problem Limited resources for financial sentiment analysis.
method Collects 10,000 English comments from StockTwits, categorizes emotions into 12 classes.
result DistilBERT outperforms other models in sentiment classification, and Temporal Attention LSTM model achieves best performance in multivariate time series forecasting.
Study compares sentiment spillover networks from news and social media in tech companies.
problem Understanding how sentiment information flows between companies through news and social media.
method Network-based transfer entropy method to measure and compare sentiment spillover.
result News shows stronger information flow among tech companies after COVID-19.
Study evaluates if LLMs have company-specific biases in financial sentiment analysis.
problem Evaluating if large language models exhibit company-specific biases in financial sentiment analysis.
method Comparing sentiment scores with and without company names, constructing economic models, and empirical analysis.
result LLMs show company-specific biases in sentiment analysis, impacting investor behavior and stock prices.
Cryptocurrency forecasting model considers macro, sentiment, and technical indicators.
problem High price volatility in cryptocurrency markets.
method Dual-prediction mechanism incorporating macroeconomic fluctuations, technical indicators, and individual cryptocurrency price changes.
result The proposed model outperforms ten comparison methods in short-term cryptocurrency forecasting.
We introduce and treat rigorously a new multi-agent model of the continuous double auction or in other words the order book (OB). It is designed to explain collective behaviour of the market when new information affecting the market arrives. The novel feature of the model is two additional slow changing parameters, the…
Study uses topic modeling and sentiment analysis to uncover hedge fund performance insights.
problem Hedge fund opacity and limited disclosure make them hard to analyze.
method Applied topic modeling and sentiment analysis to hedge fund documents using DistilBERT and Top2Vec.
result Automated topic modeling and sentiment analysis can predict hedge fund performance.
Study predicts market bubbles using machine learning and financial news sentiment.
problem Predicting market bubbles in the S&P 500 index.
method Three-step approach combining financial news sentiment and macroeconomic indicators.
result Proposed three-step ensemble approach significantly improves bubble prediction accuracy.
Study enhances cryptocurrency sentiment analysis using TikTok and Twitter data.
problem Lack of comprehensive sentiment analysis in cryptocurrency markets.
method Multimodal analysis of TikTok and Twitter data using large language models.
result TikTok's video sentiment influences speculative assets and short-term trends.
Enhanced portfolio selection using sentiment data and LSTM.
problem Improving portfolio selection through sentiment analysis and price prediction.
method Semantic Attention Model for sentiment prediction, LSTM for price prediction, mean-variance strategy for portfolio optimization.
result Sentiment-aware portfolio strategies outperform non-sentiment aware models on average.
LLMs improve financial sentiment analysis in finance.
problem Defining and measuring financial sentiment.
method Investigation of sentiment measurement methods and LLMs.
result LLMs enhance financial sentiment analysis.
FinEAS models financial sentiment using BERT embeddings.
problem Financial sentiment analysis in markets.
method Supervised fine-tuning of BERT embeddings for financial texts.
result FinEAS outperforms vanilla BERT, LSTM, and FinBERT.
Mining financial text documents and understanding the sentiments of individual investors, institutions and markets is an important and challenging problem in the literature. Current approaches to mine sentiments from financial texts largely rely on domain specific dictionaries. However, dictionary based methods often f…
The study reveals distinct patterns in retail investors' holding periods affecting stock returns.
problem Understanding the impact of retail investors' investment horizons on stock returns.
method Using self-reported holding periods from StockTwits, the study categorizes retail investors into long-horizon and short-horizon groups and analyzes their return patterns.
result Long-horizon retail investors exhibit underreaction to earnings announcements, while short-horizon investors show overreaction.
Study examines how social media sentiment impacts biotech stocks.
problem Understanding the impact of social media on biotech stock prices.
method VADER sentiment analysis, ARIMA, and VAR models were used to forecast stock market performance.
result Complex interplay between tweet sentiment and stock market performance was identified.
This paper uses deep learning to analyze sentiment in financial forums and improve stock market prediction.
problem Improving stock market prediction accuracy through sentiment analysis.
method Crawling financial forum data, training BERT model on financial corpus, and using maximum information coefficient.
result Sentiment features from financial text can reflect stock market fluctuations and improve prediction accuracy.
Study uses AI to analyze emojis for predicting cryptocurrency market trends.
problem Predicting cryptocurrency market trends using social media sentiment.
method Fine-tuned transformer-based BERT model for multimodal sentiment analysis of emojis.
result Emoji sentiment analysis outperforms text-only sentiment analysis in predicting market trends.
A new Twitter sentiment model predicts stock market trends with high accuracy.
problem Real-time prediction of future stock market prices.
method Baseline correlation approach using polynomial regression, classification, and lexicon-based sentiment analysis.
result Predicts stock market trends with 67.22% accuracy, up to 15 time samples in advance.
Crypto simulations show HODL strategy loads risk onto most investors, with macro-sentiment affecting returns.
problem Understanding real risk-return trade-offs and factors affecting crypto returns.
method Two independent analyses: 480 million Monte Carlo simulations and Bayesian multi-horizon local projection framework.
result HODL strategy exposes most investors to extreme downside risk, and macro-sentiment conditions are dominant indicators for future outcomes.
Bitcoin reacts positively to USDT minting but not burning, showing state-dependence.
problem Understanding Bitcoin's response to Tether's supply changes.
method Analyzing Bitcoin's intraday price movements in response to USDT minting and burning events.
result Bitcoin's response to USDT minting events declines after 60 minutes and is influenced by investor sentiment and public announcements.
This study improves stock price forecasting by analyzing daily news sentiment.
problem Improving stock price forecasting accuracy using news sentiment.
method Data collection, preprocessing, and sentiment analysis of NITY50 stocks' news.
result LSTM models with sentiment scores outperform without them in forecasting stock prices.
We investigate the trading behavior of a large set of single investors trading the highly liquid Nokia stock over the period 2003-2008 with the aim of determining the relative role of endogenous and exogenous factors that may affect their behavior. As endogenous factors we consider returns and volatility, whereas the e…
A new model explains U- and Swoosh-shaped stock price recovery during the COVID-19.
problem Modeling stock price recovery during the COVID-19 with V- and L-shaped recovery.
method Introducing a sentiment variable θ to quantify investor sentiment and simulate U- and Swoosh-shaped recovery. result The model explains U- and Swoosh-shaped recovery of sectoral indices with positive sentiment.
FinBERT-BiLSTM predicts cryptocurrency prices using sentiment analysis.
problem Predicting volatile cryptocurrency market prices.
method Hybrid model combining Bi-LSTM and FinBERT for sentiment analysis.
result Enhanced forecasting accuracy for volatile financial markets.
Extends return extrapolation to nonlinear, asymmetric functions under stochastic volatility.
problem Behavioral anomalies in portfolio choice under stochastic volatility.
method Smooth, nonlinear, asymmetric extrapolation function; CRRA investor; Heston stochastic volatility; Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation; Numerical solutions (finite-difference ADI, deep learning-driven iterative).
result Saturation acts as an endogenous correction mechanism, reducing welfare loss.
This paper improves stock price prediction using multimodal data.
problem Accurate stock price prediction with diverse data integration.
method Combining financial metrics, tweets, and news articles through multimodal machine learning.
result Significant performance improvement in stock price prediction by up to 5%.
We extend return extrapolation to incorporate asymmetry and saturation, finding that asymmetric nonlinear extrapolation leads to lower welfare loss.
problem Optimal portfolio choice under stochastic volatility
method Smooth, nonlinear extrapolation function with sentiment and variance hedging
result Lower welfare loss with asymmetric nonlinear extrapolation
This paper predicts stock prices using BERT for sentiment analysis and GAN for technical indicators.
problem Predicting stock prices using advanced techniques.
method BERT for sentiment analysis, GAN for technical indicators, comparison with baseline models.
result GAN outperformed baseline models in predicting stock prices.
Study uses neural networks to value Bitcoin options considering price jumps and sentiment.
problem Valuing Bitcoin options under price jumps and market sentiment.
method Bivariate jump-diffusion model, incorporating Google search sentiment, and artificial neural networks.
result Derives a closed formula for Bitcoin option pricing and validates using high-volatile stocks.
Predicting market volatility from financial news and tweets.
problem Quantifying future volatility and returns in financial modeling.
method Topic modeling and sentiment analysis of financial news and tweets.
result Positive sentiment in tweets is negatively correlated with market volatility.
Recent works have shown that social media platforms are able to influence the trends of stock price movements. However, existing works have majorly focused on the U.S. stock market and lacked attention to certain emerging countries such as China, where retail investors dominate the market. In this regard, as retail inv…
Study shows how sentiment shocks affect equity markets, revealing asymmetries and state-dependent effects.
problem Understanding how sentiment shocks propagate through equity markets and their impact on different investor groups.
method Used four independent proxies with sign-aligned kappa-rho parameters, calibrated a structural model to link sentiment to returns.
result A one standard deviation sentiment shock has a 1.06 basis point impact, with effects amplified over 11.2 months and concentrated in retail-tilted stocks.
Improved crypto market forecasting using historical price reactions to tweets.
problem Challenges in inferring market impact from human sentiment labels.
method Market-derived labeling approach to assign tweet sentiment labels based on historical price trends. Fine-tuned language model with context-aware prompt-tuning.
result 89.6% accuracy on Bitcoin news events, outperforming traditional fusion models.
Predict stock trends using news sentiment and technical indicators in Spark.
problem Predicting the stock market trend is challenging due to multiple influencing factors.
method Created a machine learning classification problem with features from technical indicators and news sentiment scores.
result Random Forest model achieved 63.58% test accuracy in Spark.
Researchers and financial professionals require robust computerized tools that allow users to rapidly operationalize and assess the semantic textual content in financial news. However, existing methods commonly work at the document-level while deeper insights into the actual structure and the sentiment of individual se…
Paper proposes a model to predict stock prices using historical and sentiment data.
problem Improving accuracy in predicting stock prices.
method Integrates historical and sentiment data to predict stock prices using LSTM.
result Improved accuracy in predicting stock prices.