Geometric structure reveals optimal investment and hedging products.
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New approach to goal-based investing using hedging and reinforcement learning.
The study designs a green investment fund and a hedging strategy for insurance policies linked to it.
Investment strategy optimized for ambiguity and interest rate risk.
Hedge funds have long been viewed as a veritable "black box" of investing since outsiders may never view the exact composition of portfolio holdings. Therefore, the ability to estimate an informative set of asset weights is highly desirable for analysis. We present a compositional state space model for estimation of an…
A fund manager invests both the fund's assets and own private wealth in separate but potentially correlated risky assets, aiming to maximize expected utility from private wealth in the long run. If relative risk aversion and investment opportunities are constant, we find that the fund's portfolio depends only on the fu…
Study uses machine learning and PolyModel to improve hedge fund performance.
Paper proposes novel hedging strategies using LSTM models for diversified investment portfolios.
The paper models insurance market dynamics under uncertainty and financial frictions.
Pension schemes all over the world are under increasing pressure to efficiently hedge the longevity risk posed by ageing populations. In this work, we study an optimal investment problem for a defined contribution pension scheme which decides to hedge the longevity risk using a mortality-linked security, typically a lo…
This paper presents hedging strategies for European and exotic options in a Levy market. By applying Taylor's Theorem, dynamic hedging portfolios are con- structed under different market assumptions, such as the existence of power jump assets or moment swaps. In the case of European options or baskets of European optio…
In this work we are concerned with valuing optionalities associated to invest or to delay investment in a project when the available information provided to the manager comes from simulated data of cash flows under historical (or subjective) measure in a possibly incomplete market. Our approach is suitable also to inco…
Study of insurer games with model uncertainty in reinsurance and investment strategies.
All the financial practitioners are working in incomplete markets full of unhedgeable risk-factors. Making the situation worse, they are only equipped with the imperfect information on the relevant processes. In addition to the market risk, fund and insurance managers have to be prepared for sudden and possibly contagi…
HedgeAgents boosts financial trading with balanced strategies.
The paper calculates how fast optimal investment strategies approach CRRA strategies in stochastic factor models.
Study shows institutional investments significantly impact cryptocurrency market evolution.
In this paper we show how to hedge a zero coupon bond with a smaller amount of initial capital than required by the classical risk neutral paradigm, whose (trivial) hedging strategy does not suggest to invest in the risky assets. Long dated zero coupon bonds we derive, invest first primarily in risky securities and whe…
Withdrawal guarantees ensure the periodical deduction of a constant dollar-amount from a fund investment for a fixed number of periods. If the fund depletes before the last withdrawal, the guarantor has to finance the outstanding withdrawals. We derive a robust hedging strategy which leads to closed form solutions for …
In this paper, we consider the problem of hedging Asian options in financial markets with transaction costs. For this, we use the asymptotic hedging approach. The main task of asymptotic hedging in financial markets with transaction costs is to prove the probability convergence of the terminal value of the investment p…
Blockchain protocol improves traditional mutual funds with performance fees and investor protection.
Model investor risk preferences to adjust real option valuation.
This report was originally written as an industry white paper on Hedge Funds. This paper gives an overview to Hedge Funds, with a focus on risk management issues. We define and explain the general characteristics of Hedge Funds, their main investment strategies and the risk models employed. We address the problems in H…
This study analyzes costs of CCP default resolution using Radner equilibrium approach.
We consider insurance derivatives depending on an external physical risk process, for example a temperature in a low dimensional climate model. We assume that this process is correlated with a tradable financial asset. We derive optimal strategies for exponential utility from terminal wealth, determine the indifference…
This paper shows how to hedge financial risks with integer investments.
We consider the problem of hedging a European contingent claim in a Bachelier model with transient price impact as proposed by Almgren and Chriss. Following the approach of Rogers and Singh and Naujokat and Westray, the hedging problem can be regarded as a cost optimal tracking problem of the frictionless hedging strat…
Study shows cooperation can reduce investment risk and price gaps.
This paper studies the optimal investment problem with random endowment in an inventory-based price impact model with competitive market makers. Our goal is to analyze how price impact affects optimal policies, as well as both pricing rules and demand schedules for contingent claims. For exponential market makers prefe…
In this paper we investigate novel applications of a new class of equations which we call time-delayed backward stochastic differential equations. Time-delayed BSDEs may arise in finance when we want to find an investment strategy and an investment portfolio which should replicate a liability or meet a target depending…
Investor optimizes portfolio under dynamic risk preferences.
Analyzes empirical risk minimization in finance, showing effectiveness and generalization issues.
Hedge Funds are considered as one of the portfolio management sectors which shows a fastest growing for the past decade. An optimal Hedge Fund management requires an appropriate risk metrics. The classic CAPM theory and its Ratio Sharpe fail to capture some crucial aspects due to the strong non-Gaussian character of He…
A new DRL model optimizes hedging with market impact for low-liquidity stocks.
We develop algorithms for the numerical computation of the quadratic hedging strategy in incomplete markets modeled by pure jump Markov process. Using the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman approach, the value function of the quadratic hedging problem can be related to a triangular system of parabolic partial integro-differential…
ANADDH uses deep learning to improve volatility risk management.
The paper presents new machine learning methods: signal composition, which classifies time-series regardless of length, type, and quantity; and self-labeling, a supervised-learning enhancement. The paper describes further the implementation of the methods on a financial search engine system to identify behavioral simil…
The paper analyzes risk spillovers between AI ETFs, AI tokens, and green markets.
Study optimal consumption and investment for investors with Epstein-Zin preferences.
The paper simplifies hedging and portfolio allocation in markets without a risk-free asset.
Stochastic model prices weather derivatives for Indian states, highlighting temperature volatility impacts.
Method constructs hedging portfolio for carbon risk but not ESG risk.
Develops a machine-learning framework for optimal share repurchase hedging.
The paper shows real market exists free lunches with vanishing risks.
The paper introduces a US crime index to assess financial losses from property and cyber crimes.
We investigate the optimal strategy over a finite time horizon for a portfolio of stock and bond and a derivative in an multiplicative Markovian market model with transaction costs (friction). The optimization problem is solved by a Hamilton-Bellman-Jacobi equation, which by the verification theorem has well-behaved so…
The proprietary nature of Hedge Fund investing means that it is common practise for managers to release minimal information about their returns. The construction of a Fund of Hedge Funds portfolio requires a correlation matrix which often has to be estimated using a relatively small sample of monthly returns data which…
In this paper we consider a class of BSDEs with drivers of quadratic growth, on a stochastic basis generated by continuous local martingales. We first derive the Markov property of a forward--backward system (FBSDE) if the generating martingale is a strong Markov process. Then we establish the differentiability of a FB…