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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,291 papers · 148 categories

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6491,2971,9462,594 · Jun 202019922001200920182026
48 results for Inverse Probability of Treatment Weighting

Novel framework for privacy-preserving IPW methods in observational studies.

problem Estimating causal effects from observational studies while preserving privacy.
method Proposes a novel framework for privacy-preserving inverse probability weighting (PP-IPW) methods.
result Theoretical and empirical results support the effectiveness of PP-IPW methods.

The paper proposes an efficient method for estimating ATEs using adaptive experiments.

problem Estimating average treatment effects (ATEs) with minimal sample size and high accuracy.
method The paper defines and uses the efficient treatment-assignment probability to sequentially assign treatments, estimating ATEs using an Adaptive Augmented Inverse Probability Weighting (A2IPW) estimator.
result The proposed experimental design and A2IPW estimator achieve the minimized semiparametric efficiency bound and provide anytime valid confidence intervals for early stopping.

Study designs for estimating treatment effects in adaptive experiments.

problem Estimating treatment effects under adaptive treatment assignment.
method Propose and analyze IPW and AIPW estimators, establish CLTs under design stability.
result Central limit theorems for IPW and AIPW estimators under design stability.

Develops methods for eliciting multiple, continuously valued treatment policies using causal inverse classification.

problem Tackles the problem of eliciting multiple, continuously valued treatment policies.
method Adopts a causal approach to inverse classification, developing the inverse classification potential outcomes framework (ICPOF) and approximate propensity score (APS).
result Demonstrates the viability of the methods on student performance.

Optimal weighting method for time-varying confounders in MSMs.

problem High-variance estimates and sensitivity to model misspecification in standard MSMs.
method Kernel Optimal Weighting (KOW) approach that optimally balances time-dependent confounders.
result KOW directly minimizes time-dependent confounding error and controls for precision.

Proposes DSW for unbiased ITE estimation with dynamic confounders.

problem Estimating ITE from dynamic observational data with time-varying confounders.
method Deep Sequential Weighting (DSW) infers hidden confounders using current treatment assignments and historical information.
result DSW generates unbiased and accurate treatment effects.

Study continuous treatment policy evaluation and optimization.

problem Policy evaluation and learning from batched contextual bandit data with continuous treatments.
method Extended IPW and DR methods using kernel functions for continuous settings.
result Consistent policy estimator and convergent regret for learnable policy classes.

A new method generates counterfactual treatment outcomes for time-varying treatments.

problem Estimating counterfactual outcomes for time-varying treatments with high-dimensional outcomes.
method Conditional generative framework with inverse probability re-weighting.
result Our method outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in generating high-quality counterfactual samples.

Develops KOM method for optimal GATE estimation.

problem Causal effect estimation sensitivity to model misspecification and practical violations of positivity.
method Kernel Optimal Matching (KOM) for optimal GATE estimation.
result KOM provides uniform control over conditional mean squared error and precision.

The paper addresses estimating long-term treatment effects with monotone missing data.

problem Estimating long-term treatment effects with missing data, especially monotone missing.
method The paper introduces the sequential missingness assumption for identification and proposes three novel estimation methods: inverse probability weighting, sequential regression imputation, and SeqMSM. It also introduces a balancing-enhanced approach, BalanceNet, to improve estimation accuracy.
result The proposed methods, including BalanceNet, effectively estimate long-term treatment effects with monotone missing data.

New methods for estimating treatment effects with missing data.

problem Missing outcome data complicates estimating treatment effects.
method Proposed two de-biased machine learning estimators (mDR-learner and mEP-learner) to address under-representation.
result Oracle efficiency of the proposed estimators under reasonable conditions.

Proposes rounding method for precise treatment effect estimation under budget constraints.

problem Resource-constrained experimental design for precise treatment effect estimation.
method Dependent randomized rounding procedure to convert assignment probabilities into binary treatment decisions.
result Improved estimator precision through variance reduction and efficient inference.

R-Learning uses inverse-variance weights to estimate treatment effects more accurately.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects (CATEs) with stable and accurate methods.
method R-Learning with inverse-variance weights (IVWs) for pseudo-outcome regression.
result IVWs improve the stability and accuracy of CATE estimation.

A new method corrects weight values to improve treatment effect estimation.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in high-dimensional data with sample selection bias.
method Differentiable Pareto-Smoothed Weighting (DPSW) framework.
result Our method outperforms existing methods in treatment effect estimation.

Paper develops methods to estimate derivative of dose-response curve for continuous treatments.

problem Estimating the derivative of the dose-response curve for continuous treatments.
method Doubly robust (DR) inference method using kernel smoothing, bias-corrected IPW and DR estimators.
result Proposes novel bias-corrected IPW and DR estimators for continuous treatments.

Develops a method to estimate personalized treatment regimes from summary statistics.

problem Estimating optimal treatment regimes for a target population when individual-level data is unavailable.
method A weighting framework that tailors a treatment regime for the target population using summary statistics.
result Consistent and asymptotically normal estimator for optimal treatment regimes.

New method improves causal effect estimation by addressing imbalance in training data.

problem Imbalance between treatment and control groups in training data.
method Combines distributionally robust optimization and weight regularization.
result Consistent improvements over existing methods in experiments.

New methods for estimating causal effects with limited overlap, using Stable Probability Weighting.

problem Estimating causal effects with limited overlap in multivalued treatments.
method Stable Probability Weighting (SPW) and Finite-Sample Stable Probability Weighting (FPW) methods.
result SPW and FPW provide practical solutions for estimating and inferring causal effects with limited overlap.

Generative framework improves causal estimation from observational data.

problem Estimating individualized treatment effects from non-randomized data.
method Importance-Weighted Diffusion Distillation (IWDD) combining diffusion models and IPW.
result IWDD achieves state-of-the-art prediction performance and significantly improves causal estimation.

Causal Interaction Trees identify treatment subgroup effects in observational data.

problem Identifying subgroups with enhanced treatment effects in observational studies.
method Extending Classification and Regression Trees with subgroup-specific treatment effect estimators.
result The proposed algorithms enhance treatment effect heterogeneity in subgroups.

MOCA uses modular attention to estimate causal effects from complex data.

problem Estimating causal effects from observational data with complex, non-linear, and high-dimensional treatment and outcome mechanisms.
method MOCA is a transformer-based framework that separates treatment and outcome modeling through modular design and one-way attention mechanism, with cutting-feedback to prevent outcome influence on treatment representations.
result MOCA outperforms classical estimators and machine learning approaches across various simulated and real-world scenarios.

Proposes a method to estimate causal effects of continuous treatments using instrumental variables.

problem Estimating causal effects of continuous treatments in the presence of unmeasured confounders.
method Introduces a novel framework using instrumental variables and a uniform regular weighting function to identify and estimate average dose-response functions.
result Establishes the asymptotic properties of the proposed methods for estimating average dose-response functions.

Study best arm identification with contextual info, achieving optimal misidentification probability.

problem Identify the best treatment arm with minimal misidentification probability in a small gap scenario.
method Developed RS-AIPW strategy that matches lower bound of misidentification probability in the small-gap regime.
result RS-AIPW strategy is asymptotically optimal for best arm identification.

Proposes a new method for dynamic treatment regimes that improves sample efficiency and stability.

problem Challenges in estimating optimal treatments for individuals with dynamic decision-making stages.
method Focuses on prioritizing alignment between observed and optimal treatment trajectories across decision stages.
result Improves sample efficiency and stability of IPWE-based methods by relaxing the alignment requirement.

Estimates and infers multi-stage stationary treatment policies with variable selection.

problem Valid inference for multi-stage stationary treatment policies with high-dimensional feature variables.
method Estimate the value function using augmented inverse probability weighted estimator, apply penalty for variable selection, construct one-step improvements for valid inference.
result Improved estimators are asymptotically normal, valid inference for policy parameters demonstrated.

New method corrects ML for informative sampling in time-series treatment outcomes.

problem Informative sampling in irregularly observed data hinders accurate treatment outcome forecasting.
method Formalized as covariate shift, proposed inverse intensity-weighting framework, TESAR-CDE.
result TESAR-CDE effectively learns treatment outcomes under informative sampling.

New method for estimating treatment effects without complex propensity models.

problem Estimating treatment effects in dynamic treatment regimes.
method Recursive Riesz representer estimation for de-biasing corrections.
result Directly estimates de-biasing corrections without auxiliary models.

New nonparametric estimators improve causal effect estimation.

problem Estimation of causal effects with selection bias.
method Undersmoothing of the highly adaptive lasso for estimating the weighting mechanism.
result Asymptotic efficiency and convergence to nonparametric efficiency bound.

New method estimates treatment effects in network data, accounting for spillover effects.

problem Treatment effect estimation in networks with spillover effects.
method Augmented inverse probability weighting (AIPW) with cross-fitting and machine learning.
result Semiparametric treatment effect estimator converges at parametric rate and follows Gaussian distribution.

New estimator reduces variance in off-policy evaluation for contextual bandits.

problem High variance in current OPE methods for contextual bandits.
method Marginal Density Ratio (MR) estimator focusing on marginal distribution shift.
result MR estimator reduces variance compared to IPW and DR methods.

Study shows refugee matching gains are robust to different evaluation methods.

problem Stability of refugee matching gains under various evaluation methods.
method Used multiple off-policy evaluation methods including IPW and AIPW.
result Impact estimates remain consistent in magnitude and statistically significant.

The paper studies causal effects of multiple treatments in healthcare databases with rare outcomes.

problem Estimating causal effects of multiple treatments in healthcare databases with rare outcomes.
method The paper designs three sets of simulations and compares the operating characteristics of three types of methods: Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART), regression adjustment on multivariate spline of generalized propensity scores (RAMS), and inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) with multinomial logistic regression or generalized boosted models.
result BART and RAMS provide lower bias and mean squared error compared to IPTW methods.

Estimates personalized treatment response curves using covariates.

problem Flexible estimation of personalized treatment response curves.
method Sieve based nonparametric estimator of smoothed regimen-response curve function.
result Asymptotic linearity and undersmoothing criteria for efficient estimation.

New method for matrix completion under complex missing data patterns.

problem Matrix completion with complex missing data patterns.
method Estimate the probability matrix of observation via low-rank matrix estimation and use inverse probabilities weighting to complete the target matrix.
result Optimal asymptotic convergence rates for observation probabilities and target matrix estimation.

Efficient inference method for adaptive experiments with tighter confidence sequences.

problem Efficient inference of Average Treatment Effect in a changing policy sequential experiment.
method Semiparametric efficient inference using Adaptive Augmented Inverse-Probability Weighted estimator and asymptotic confidence sequences.
result Derives tighter confidence sequences for adaptive experiments under data-dependent stopping times.