The Basel II internal ratings-based (IRB) approach to capital adequacy for credit risk implements an asymptotic single risk factor (ASRF) model. Measurements from the ASRF model of the prevailing state of Australia's economy and the level of capitalisation of its banking sector find general agreement with macroeconomic…
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48 results for “Internal ratings-based”
Paper presents a method for estimating long-term PDs with incomplete data.
problem Estimating long-term PDs with limited and incomplete historical data.
method Single risk factor approach for simultaneous calibration of PDs across sub-portfolios.
result Method yields long-term PDs without requiring complete historical data.
Paper proposes hybrid approach for transparent credit scoring models.
problem Lack of transparency in machine learning models limits their use in regulated environments.
method Post-hoc interpretation of black-box models guides feature selection, followed by training glass-box models.
result Reduces feature usage from 106 to 10 while maintaining comparable performance.
The Basel II internal ratings-based (IRB) approach to capital adequacy for credit risk plays an important role in protecting the Australian banking sector against insolvency. We outline the mathematical foundations of regulatory capital for credit risk, and extend the model specification of the IRB approach to a more g…
This letter assesses model risk in credit capital requirements and finds substantial tail risk.
problem Uncertainty in the probability of default and loss-given-default parameters in credit capital requirements.
method Models estimation risk in a simple way, analyzing two datasets and testing parameter dependency.
result Parameter dependency significantly increases tail risk in capital requirements, requiring substantial increases in regulatory capital.
In this paper, we establish a market model for the term structure of forward inflation rates based on the risk-neutral dynamics of nominal and real zero-coupon bonds. Under the market model, we can price inflation caplets as well as inflation swaptions with a formula similar to the Black's formula, thus justify the cur…
An extension of the Heath--Jarrow--Morton model for the development of instantaneous forward interest rates with deterministic coefficients and Gaussian as well as Lévy field noise terms is given. In the special case where the Lévy field is absent, one recovers a model discussed by D.P.~Kennedy.
The literature on statistical learning for time series assumes the asymptotic independence or ``mixing' of the data-generating process. These mixing assumptions are never tested, nor are there methods for estimating mixing rates from data. We give an estimator for the -mixing rate based on a single stationary sample…
In this paper, a finite-state mean-reverting model for the short-rate, based on the continuous time Ehrenfest process, will be examined. Two explicit pricing formulae for zero-coupon bonds will be derived in the general and the special symmetric cases. Its limiting relationship to the Vasicek model will be examined wit…
The problem of completeness of the forward rate based bond market model driven by a Lévy process under the physical measure is examined. The incompleteness of market in the case when the Lévy measure has a density function is shown. The required elements of the theory of stochastic integration over the compensated jump…
Internal Lagrangians derived from variational principles.
problem Reproducing the principle of stationary action in variational geometry.
method Introducing stationary points of internal Lagrangians, establishing connections with symmetries and conservation laws, and investigating relations between non-degenerate and internal Lagrangians.
result Noether's theorem reformulated in terms of internal Lagrangians.
This paper develops a dynamic internal fraud model for operational losses in retail banking. It considers public operational losses arising from internal fraud in retail banking within a group of international banks. Additionally, the model takes into account internal factors such as the ethical quality of workers and …
We consider a stable Cox--Ingersoll--Ross process driven by a standard Wiener process and a spectrally positive strictly stable Lévy process, and we study asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for its growth rate based on continuous time observations. We distinguish three cases: subcritical, c…
New methods reduce private federated learning communication automatically.
problem Reducing communication in private federated learning.
method Automatic compression rate adjustment based on training error, using secure aggregation and differential privacy.
result Provable instance-optimal for mean estimation, achieving favorable compression rates.
New algorithm outperforms existing ones by focusing on mastering rate.
problem Low sample efficiency in learning progress-based algorithms.
method Proposes a new algorithm based on mastering rate.
result Significantly outperforms learning progress-based algorithms.
Examines international taxation's impact on Georgian businesses.
problem Impact of international taxation on Georgian business entities.
method Analyzes types, features, and approaches of international taxation.
result Provides recommendations to correct current taxation issues.
Optimized execution model using interbank and internal liquidity.
problem Minimizing market impact in trading.
method Integrates interbank limit and market orders with internal market-making liquidity.
result Reduces market impact and improves execution efficiency.
Impact of shocks to economies on the efficiency and robustness of the international pesticide trade networksphysics.soc-ph
This study assesses how economic shocks affect the efficiency and robustness of international pesticide trade networks.
problem Economic shocks impact the efficiency and robustness of international pesticide trade networks.
method Simulations were used to quantify efficiency and robustness under different economic shocks. Three strategies were tested: descending, random, and ascending node removal.
result The international pesticide trade networks became more efficient and robust except for clustering coefficient. Import-oriented economies were more vulnerable to shocks.
Deep learning method improves risk assessment for small loan portfolios.
problem Measuring name concentration risk in small loan portfolios.
method Deep learning approach using Monte Carlo simulations with importance sampling.
result New method outperforms existing analytical methods for small portfolios.
There are few papers about the international trade of flowers, so it is believed that this paper, with this topic, could be an important contribution to the international scientific community. It is intended to analyze if the international trade flowers tendencies and policies are adapted to the actual world global con…
Spain uses DEA to select international markets for exports.
problem Choosing the best international markets for Spanish exports.
method Output-oriented DEA model considering multiple validated inputs and outputs.
result Identifies efficient regions generating higher benefits with lower costs.
Improved speech recognition model with better performance.
problem Speech recognition accuracy on Librispeech.
method Integrates an external language model with an internal LM correction.
result Over 14% relative improvement in performance.
New formula classifies product reviews into higher and lower ratings based on sentiment analysis.
problem Lack of research on using sentiment analysis for classifying text into ratings.
method Redefined sentiment proportions as a triangle structure to derive variables for classifying text into higher and lower ratings.
result Proved a dependence exists between sentiments and ratings.
Introduces internal Lagrangians for differential equations and connects them to presymplectic structures.
problem Understanding the geometry of differential equations and their solutions.
method Develops a spectral sequence related to internal Lagrangians and investigates connections to presymplectic structures.
result Interprets a term in Vinogradov's spectral sequence for gauge theories.
New findings show that some knotted surfaces remain distinct even after many stabilizations.
problem Understanding the behavior of knotted surfaces after internal stabilizations.
method Analyzing the properties of smoothly knotted surfaces and their behavior under internal stabilizations.
result There is no upper bound on the number of internal stabilizations required for some knotted surfaces to remain distinct.
GradaGrad adapts learning rate non-monotonically, overcoming AdaGrad's step size decrease.
problem Fixed learning rate in AdaGrad leads to step size decrease over time.
method Introduces GradaGrad, which grows or shrinks the learning rate based on a different accumulation in the denominator.
result GradaGrad achieves similar convergence rates as AdaGrad and demonstrates non-monotone adaptation.
We consider the problem of comparing probability densities between two groups. A new probabilistic tensor product smoothing spline framework is developed to model the joint density of two variables. Under such a framework, the probability density comparison is equivalent to testing the presence/absence of interactions.…
This paper develops a non-Bayesian methodology to analyze the time-varying structure of international linkages and market efficiency in G7 countries. We consider a non-Bayesian time-varying vector autoregressive (TV-VAR) model, and apply it to estimate the joint degree of market efficiency in the sense of Fama (1970, 1…
Investigates optimal strategies for market makers using internal liquidity.
problem Optimizing strategies for market makers with internal liquidity.
method Investigates optimal multi-objective strategy for market makers with internal liquidity.
result Draws important qualitative insights for real-world trading.
Mathematical model predicts international trade and global economy dynamics.
problem Understanding complex international trade and economy interactions.
method Developed a mathematical model for non-equilibrium processes in open systems.
result Predicted model accurately reflects international trade and economy.
Random feature maps improve forecasting with cheaper computation.
problem Improving forecasting accuracy with random feature maps.
method Developed a hit-and-run algorithm to select optimal internal weights.
result Optimal internal weights lead to superior forecasting skill.
New sampling and diffusion models methods introduced without density function assumptions.
problem Sampling and diffusion models without regularity assumptions.
method Inspired by reverse diffusion process, novel sampling and diffusion algorithms.
result Explicit convergence rate and dimension-free particle approximation convergence result.
Study uses AI to predict changes in international public finances based on US markets.
problem Understanding correlations between US and international public finances.
method Artificial intelligence and neural networks to model and predict changes.
result Neural network model achieved MSE of 2.79, indicating significant correlation and impact of US market volatility on international markets.
The International Trade Networkq-fin.GN
Bilateral trade relationships in the international level between pairs of countries in the world give rise to the notion of the International Trade Network (ITN). This network has attracted the attention of network researchers as it serves as an excellent example of the weighted networks, the link weight being defined …
Improves LSTM performance by initializing states via manifold learning.
problem Improving LSTM performance through better initialization.
method Learning an intrinsic data manifold to initialize LSTM internal states.
result Improved LSTM performance through consistent initialization.
This paper introduces a novel optimization method for differential neural architecture search, based on the theory of prediction with expert advice. Its optimization criterion is well fitted for an architecture-selection, i.e., it minimizes the regret incurred by a sub-optimal selection of operations. Unlike previous s…
To meet the Basel II regulatory requirements for the Advanced Measurement Approaches in operational risk, the bank's internal model should make use of the internal data, relevant external data, scenario analysis and factors reflecting the business environment and internal control systems. One of the unresolved challeng…
This paper evaluates and validates cluster results using external and internal evaluation methods.
problem Evaluating and validating the quality of clustering results.
method External evaluation using Homogeneity, Correctness, and V-measure scores; internal evaluation using Silhouette Index and Sum of Square Errors.
result Validation of the number of clusters using dendrogram and statistical frequency distribution.
Paper predicts international trade flows using machine learning and factorization models.
problem Predicting international bilateral trade flows with PTAs.
method Two-stage approach combining SHAP Explainer and Factorization Machine models.
result Enhanced predictive accuracy and deeper insights into trade dynamics.
Relates two types of skein algebras using explicit correspondences.
problem Defining and relating stated and internal skein algebras.
method Explicit correspondence between stated and internal skein algebras, distinguishing between left and right boundary edges, proving excision properties.
result Agrees with excision properties of stated skein algebras under specific conditions.
Trade finance history traced from medieval origins to modern markets.
problem Evolution and standardization of trade finance products.
method Historical analysis of market structures and regulatory changes.
result Global trade finance market evolved from local to centralized, then decentralized.
Method determines latent dimensionality in international trade flows.
problem Finding meaningful low-dimensional latent features in high-dimensional international trade data.
method Proposes a latent dimension determination method based on clustering of nonnegative RESCAL decompositions.
result Validates the latent features against empirical economic facts.
In this article, we investigate whether exchange rate risk is priced. We use a multivariate GARCH-in-Mean specification and test alternative conditional international CAPM versions. Our results support strongly the international asset-pricing model that includes exchange rate risk for both developed and emerging stock …
The study reveals the hierarchical structure of the international FOREX market using currency fluctuation distribution similarities.
problem Understanding the hierarchical structure of the international FOREX market.
method Using Jensen-Shannon divergence to quantify the similarity between normalized logarithmic return distributions of currencies.
result Clusters of currencies are consistent with the nature of underlying economies but diverge during crises.
The study reveals asymmetries in US financial shocks' international impacts.
problem Analyzing nonlinearities in international financial spillovers.
method Developed a flexible nonlinear multi-country model to capture asymmetries in responses to financial shocks.
result Adverse shocks trigger stronger declines in output, inflation, and stock markets than benign shocks.
For Portugal there are few or none works about the international trade of fruits between Portugal and the other countries. In this work it aims to analyze the more recent data for the Portuguese international trade of fruits. They were used data for the years from 2006 to 2010, available by the INE (Statistics Portugal…
This paper reviews and proposes a new approach for evaluating internal cluster validation indices.
problem Selecting the best-performing unsupervised classification algorithm without external information.
method Examines and proposes a new evaluation approach for internal validation indices.
result Suggests a new evaluation approach for internal validation indices.
This paper studies four trading algorithms of a professional trader at a multilateral trading facility, observing a realistic two-sided limit order book whose dynamics are driven by the order book events. The identity of the trader can be either internalizing or regular, either a hedge fund or a brokery agency. The spe…