Deep learning models forecast stock market orders over multiple time frames.
problem Forecasting stock market orders over varying time frames.
method Encoder-decoder models with sequence-to-sequence and Attention mechanisms, leveraging Intelligent Processing Units (IPUs) for faster training.
result Multi-horizon forecasting outperforms single-horizon models, especially for long prediction periods.
Meta-learning predicts optimal ensemble size and methods for time series forecasting.
problem Finding the best ensemble of time series forecasting methods.
method Two-step approach using meta-learning to predict ensemble size and methods.
result Meta-learning outperformed benchmarks in forecasting errors for all data types and horizons.
System predicts ice formation to improve road safety.
problem Improving road safety through accurate ice formation prediction.
method Combining physical models and machine learning for data correction.
result Machine learning effectively corrects incorrect data in forecasts.
Paper proposes a framework for precise daily default risk prediction of Chinese credit bonds.
problem Inadequate and inaccurate bond information disclosure creates risk of default for investors.
method Framework includes summarizing factors impacting defaults, constructing a risk index system, and using ConvLSTM neural network for prediction.
result The model provides more responsive and accurate daily default risk predictions than authoritative ratings.
Neural networks predict traffic flow in smart cities.
problem Forecasting stochastic and nonlinear traffic flow.
method Various recurrent neural networks trained on intersection data.
result Vector output model with gated recurrent units performed best.
Paper uses AI methods to forecast Bitcoin prices.
problem Inaccurate Bitcoin price predictions in previous studies.
method Combines EEMD and LSTM for next-day price forecast.
result Improves Bitcoin price prediction accuracy.
Dynamic sample pruning speeds up spatio-temporal forecasting models.
problem Training deep learning models on large, redundant datasets is computationally expensive.
method Dynamic sample pruning based on real-time learning state.
result Significant acceleration of training speed with improved performance.
For any business, planning is a continuous process, and typically business-owners focus on making both long-term planning aligned with a particular strategy as well as short-term planning that accommodates the dynamic market situations. An ability to perform an accurate financial forecast is crucial for effective plann…
Rigorous uncertainty quantification of probabilistic AI weather forecasts with conformal prediction
problem Calibrated uncertainty quantification in probabilistic weather forecasts
method Conformal prediction
result Calibrated uncertainty at no expense to other probabilistic metrics
GACAN combines multi-granularity time series for traffic forecasting.
problem High dynamics and complex spatial-temporal dependency of road networks in traffic forecasting.
method Graph Attention-Convolution-Attention Networks (GACAN) with Att-Conv-Att (ACA) block.
result GACAN outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in traffic forecasting.
Power load forecast with Machine Learning is a fairly mature application of artificial intelligence and it is indispensable in operation, control and planning. Data selection techniqies have been hardly used in this application. However, the use of such techniques could be beneficial provided the assumption that the da…
Paper benchmarks CF mitigation in federated time series forecasting.
problem Catastrophic forgetting in federated learning for time series forecasting.
method Comprehensive evaluation of CF mitigation strategies in federated time series forecasting.
result Introduction of a new benchmark for CF in time series federated learning.
The paper compares advanced deep learning models for Indian stock price forecasting.
problem Complexity of stock price forecasting due to numerous influencing factors.
method Utilizes historical data from national banks in India, combines deep learning models and sentiment analysis.
result Achieved higher accuracy in stock price forecasting compared to traditional methods.
PBC improves AI and dynamical subseasonal forecasts by reducing biases.
problem Subseasonal forecast accuracy drops due to model biases and compounding errors.
method Probabilistic bias correction (PBC) using machine learning to correct historical forecasts.
result PBC doubles AI Forecasting System's subseasonal skill and improves dynamical model skill.
TSFMs outperform traditional models in electricity price forecasting.
problem Accurate electricity price forecasting for effective decision-making.
method Benchmarking several TSFMs against traditional models using real-world data.
result MSTL model consistently outperforms TSFMs across countries and metrics.
Paper uses econometrics time series model with T-student Distribution for short-term load forecasting.
problem Accurate short-term load forecasting for optimizing electrical sources and protecting energy.
method Uses SARIMA-GARCH model with T-student Distribution to forecast electric load.
result The proposed model outperforms the ARIMA model with Normal Distribution.
Paper introduces TS-GPT for engineering time series forecasting.
problem Engineering time series require causal operations, unlike linguistic data.
method Innovations representation theory, Generative Pre-trained Transformer.
result TS-GPT effectively forecasts real-time locational marginal prices.
New methods quantify uncertainties in AI weather forecasts.
problem Uncertainty in AI weather predictions.
method Comparing ensemble and post-hoc uncertainty quantification methods.
result Probabilistic forecasts improve over ensemble physics-based models.
This review examines DL models for financial forecasting.
problem Lack of comprehensive reviews on DL for financial forecasting.
method Categorized studies by forecasting area and DL model type.
result DL models outperform traditional ML methods.
Neural networks outperform single-hour models in day-ahead electricity price forecasting.
problem Improving accuracy in day-ahead electricity price forecasting.
method Compared two neural network structures: one-hour models and daily auction models.
result Daily auction models outperform one-hour models in forecasting accuracy.
AI helps in drug discovery with understandable explanations.
problem Understanding the complex models behind AI-generated drugs.
method Explainable AI methods to interpret deep learning models.
result Improved interpretability of AI-generated drug properties.
Generative AI boosts analyst reports but increases forecast errors.
problem Improving financial analyst reports with AI.
method Natural experiment using FactSet's AI platform.
result AI-assisted reports are more comprehensive but lead to higher forecast errors.
Traffic flow forecasting, especially the short-term case, is an important topic in intelligent transportation systems (ITS). This paper does a lot of research on network-scale modeling and forecasting of short-term traffic flows. Firstly, we propose the concepts of single-link and multi-link models of traffic flow fore…
OceanForecastBench offers a comprehensive benchmark for data-driven ocean forecasting models.
problem Lack of open-source, standardized benchmarks for data-driven ocean forecasting models.
method Proposes OceanForecastBench, a benchmark with high-quality data and evaluation pipeline.
result Offers the most comprehensive benchmarking framework for data-driven ocean forecasting.
The study uses ML and AI to forecast pension fund mortality, outperforming traditional methods.
problem Incorporating longevity risk into pension fund financial assessments.
method Employed actuarial learning with ML/AI techniques (regression trees, random forest, boosting, XGBoost, CatBoost, neural networks) on actuarial data.
result ML/AI algorithms outperform the Lee-Carter model in mortality forecasting for pension funds.
FCNv2 robustness tested under noise and random initial conditions.
problem Assessing AI weather forecasting model robustness to input noise.
method Two experiments with varying noise levels and random initial conditions.
result FCNv2 preserves hurricane features under low to moderate noise, but underestimates intensity and persistence.
Hybrid model improves geopolitical conflict forecasting.
problem Forecasting geopolitical events from sparse, bursty data.
method Sparse Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT) + Variational Nearest Neighbor Gaussian Process (VNNGP).
result Consistently outperforms standalone TFT in long-range horizons.
We focus on wind power modeling using machine learning techniques. We show on real data provided by the wind energy company Ma{ï}a Eolis, that parametric models, even following closely the physical equation relating wind production to wind speed are outperformed by intelligent learning algorithms. In particular, the CA…
AI enhances financial forecasting with challenges in regulation and privacy.
problem Challenges in integrating AI with financial services and regulations.
method Integration of AI technologies like deep learning and reinforcement learning.
result AI improves financial forecasting but faces regulatory and privacy issues.
With the widespread engineering applications ranging from artificial intelligence and big data decision-making, originally a lot of tedious financial data processing, processing and analysis have become more and more convenient and effective. This paper aims to improve the accuracy of stock price forecasting. It improv…
This paper compares traditional econometric and contemporary machine/deep learning techniques for forecasting foreign exchange rates.
problem Accurate prediction of foreign exchange rates for investment purposes.
method Multivariate time series analysis using Vector Auto Regression, Support Vector Machine, and Recurrent Neural Networks.
result Contemporary machine/deep learning techniques outperform traditional econometric methods in forecasting foreign exchange rates.
LAD-BNet improves real-time energy forecasting on edge devices.
problem Real-time energy forecasting on edge devices for smart grid optimization and intelligent buildings.
method Hybrid neural architecture combining temporal lag exploitation and TCN with dilated convolutions.
result 14.49% MAPE at 1-hour horizon with 18ms inference time on Edge TPU, 8-12x faster than CPU.
Accurate and real-time traffic forecasting plays an important role in the Intelligent Traffic System and is of great significance for urban traffic planning, traffic management, and traffic control. However, traffic forecasting has always been considered an open scientific issue, owing to the constraints of urban road …
CoCAI uses copulas for accurate multivariate time-series forecasting and anomaly detection.
problem Accurate multivariate time-series forecasting and robust anomaly detection.
method Copula-based conformal prediction for multivariate time-series analysis.
result CoCAI provides statistically valid predictive regions and robust anomaly scores.
ScoreGrad predicts multivariate time series with energy-based models, achieving state-of-the-art results.
problem Predicting multivariate time series with generative models while considering noise and distribution.
method ScoreGrad uses continuous energy-based generative models with a feature extraction and score matching module.
result ScoreGrad achieves state-of-the-art results on six real-world datasets.
Transfer learning improves highway traffic forecasting using graph neural networks.
problem Lack of historical data for traffic forecasting on large highway networks.
method Developed a transfer learning approach for DCRNN, a graph neural network for highway forecasting.
result TL-DCRNN can forecast traffic on unseen regions of the highway network with high accuracy.
Accurate taxi demand-supply forecasting is a challenging application of ITS (Intelligent Transportation Systems), due to the complex spatial and temporal patterns. We investigate the impact of different spatial partitioning techniques on the prediction performance of an LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) network, in the con…
A3T-GCN improves traffic forecasting by capturing spatial and temporal dependencies.
problem Accurate real-time traffic forecasting in complex road networks.
method Attention Temporal Graph Convolutional Network (A3T-GCN) integrating recurrent units and graph convolutional network.
result Improved prediction accuracy through attention mechanism and global temporal information.
A new explainable CBR system predicts financial risks with interpretability and good performance.
problem Predicting financial risks with interpretability and good performance.
method A novel explainable case-based reasoning (CBR) approach.
result The CBR system provides a good prediction performance and interpretability.
ReGENN improves time series forecasting by considering inter and intra-temporal relationships.
problem Achieving reliable predictions in real-world time series applications.
method ReGENN combines graph evolution with deep recurrent learning to model dynamic dependencies among multiple variables.
result Sound improvement of up to 64.87% over competing algorithms in time-series forecasting.
A new model validation framework for agentic AI systems based on POMDPs.
problem Model validation of agentic AI systems.
method A POMDP-based framework for belief-state, forecast, and policy validation.
result The framework decomposes autonomous decision making into information, beliefs, forecasts, actions, and utility.
LSTMs improve bond yield forecasting with unique signals.
problem Improving bond yield forecasting accuracy.
method Long short-term memory (LSTM) networks with sequence-to-sequence architectures and LSTM-LagLasso methodology.
result Univariate LSTM models with additional memory can achieve similar results as multivariate MLP models using exogenous information.
Traffic forecasting problem remains a challenging task in the intelligent transportation system due to its spatio-temporal complexity. Although temporal dependency has been well studied and discussed, spatial dependency is relatively less explored due to its large variations, especially in the urban environment. In thi…
WassersteinGrad improves weather forecasting explanations by addressing geometric misalignment issues.
problem Improving explainability of autoregressive neural predictions on dynamic physical fields.
method WassersteinGrad, a geometric consensus method for averaged perturbed attribution maps.
result WassersteinGrad provides more accurate explanations for weather forecasting models.
Study uses AI to predict changes in international public finances based on US markets.
problem Understanding correlations between US and international public finances.
method Artificial intelligence and neural networks to model and predict changes.
result Neural network model achieved MSE of 2.79, indicating significant correlation and impact of US market volatility on international markets.
DiffsFormer uses AI-generated samples to improve stock forecasting accuracy.
problem Data scarcity in stock forecasting, including low signal-to-noise ratio and data homogeneity.
method DiffsFormer employs a Diffusion Model with a Transformer architecture to generate augmented stock factors.
result DiffsFormer achieves significant improvements in stock forecasting accuracy (7.2% and 27.8% relative improvements for CSI300 and CSI800 datasets, respectively).
Study compares deep learning models for traffic forecasting, highlighting graph elements' impact.
problem Challenges in forecasting spatial-temporal traffic patterns.
method In-depth comparative study of four deep neural network models with different basic elements.
result Graph attention improves long-term predictions in traffic forecasting models.
A deep learning model for traffic forecasting in telecommunication networks.
problem Complex spatial-temporal dependency in traffic forecasting.
method Spatio-Temporal Hybrid Graph Convolutional Network (STHGCN) combining GRUs and hybrid-GCN.
result The proposed model outperforms classical and state-of-the-art methods.